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Wharton School finance professor emeritus Jeremy Siegel issued a strong warning Friday about President Donald Trump's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44631713/tariffs-will-provide-great-buying-opportunity-in-long-term-investors-must-first-cross-stagflatio">sweeping tariff policy</a>, arguing it could be more damaging than the infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930.
What To Know: Speaking on CNBC's <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/04/trumps-tariffs-are-biggest-policy-mistake-in-95-years-whartons-jeremy-siegel-says.html">Squawk Box</a>, Siegel said, "I don't know why Trump didn't learn the lesson of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff [Act], because I know the [Federal Reserve] learned the lesson of its mistakes in 1930, '31 and '32."
He emphasized that while the Fed avoided a repeat of past economic failures during the 2008 financial crisis, Trump's tariff strategy risks serious economic consequences.
Siegel also criticized Trump&#8217;s tariff policy as "a self-inflicted wound" and "an unforced error – did not have to happen."
He warned that maintaining tariffs raises the risk of recession. "If these stay on, I think the probability of a recession has probably moved above 50%."
While Siegel remained hopeful for economic recovery, he noted that uncertainty surrounding tariffs "will reverberate for a number of years."
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">JPMorgan Raises Recession Risk To 60% As &#8216;Largest US Tax Hike&#8217; In 60 Years Hits Global Economy</a>
What Else: Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">declared a national emergency</a> this week to impose reciprocal tariffs on major trade partners, aiming to strengthen the U.S. economy and protect American workers.
Citing a $1.2 trillion trade deficit, the White House blames unfair trade practices, high foreign tariffs and non-tariff barriers. 
The new policy includes a 10% blanket tariff on all imports starting April 5, 2025, with additional tariffs on countries like China, India and the EU. Exemptions cover essential materials.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44644834/recession-imminent-analyst-flags-60-market-crash-risk-under-worst-tariff-scenario">Analysts warn</a> these tariffs could fuel inflation, trigger a global recession and invite retaliatory measures. China's Finance Ministry has already <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44645172/china-retaliates-with-34-tariff-on-all-us-imports-urges-trump-to-immediately-cancel-the-tariffs-calls-for-negotiation">declared a 34% tariff</a> on all U.S. imports, set to take effect on April 10.
Global leaders, including those from China, the EU and Canada, have condemned the move, with some pledging counteractions. JP Morgan predicts <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">severe economic consequences</a> if policies persist.
Price Action: 
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NASDAQ">SPY</a>) is lower by 4.1% to $514.56 Friday morning.</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NASDAQ">DIA</a>) is lower by 3.6% to $390.64.</li>
<li>The Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) is lower by 4.4% to $430.80.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44309742/recession-watch-small-caps-sound-the-alarm-but-credit-markets-shrug" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Recession Watch: Small Caps Sound The Alarm, But Credit Markets Shrug</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

News

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

Trump's Tariffs Could Be Worse Than Smoot-Hawley Act, Jeremy Siegel Tells CNBC

<a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20250404a.htm" title="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20250404a.htm">https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20250404a.htm</a>

Macro Economic Events

Economics

Federal Reserve

Fed's Powell Says A Good Time To Take A Step Back And Let Things Clarify, Too Soon To Say What Monetary Policy Response Should Be; Policy Stance Is In A Good Stance To Wait, Policy Is Modestly Restrictive; Will Wait For Greater Clarity Before Further Adjustments; Fed Is Kind Of In The Same Place As Everyone Else, Awaiting Clarity On Policies And Impacts From Them

<a href="https://www.marijuanamoment.net/marijuana-rescheduling-isnt-on-the-white-houses-new-list-of-top-drug-policy-priorities-under-the-trump-administration/" title="https://www.marijuanamoment.net/marijuana-rescheduling-isnt-on-the-white-houses-new-list-of-top-drug-policy-priorities-under-the-trump-administration/">https://www.marijuanamoment.net/marijuana-rescheduling-isnt-on-the-white-houses-new-list-of-top-drug-policy-priorities-under-the-trump-administration/</a>

Politics

General

AKAN

CRON

GRWG

IMCC

LFLY

MAPS

MSOS

SNDL

TLRY

'Marijuana Rescheduling Isn't On The White House's New List Of Top Drug Policy Priorities Under The Trump Administration' - Marijuana Moment

Best Buy Co., Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBY#NYSE">BBY</a>) shares are lower again Friday. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44643100/us-stocks-likely-to-open-lower-after-the-worst-selloff-since-2020-tariff-announcement-was-100-smoot-hawley-disguised-as-thoughtful-policy-says-expert">This comes after yesterday's drop of almost 18%</a>. 
But stocks don't go down forever. Some traders expect a reversal and move up if the stock can hold an important level.
Best Buy is extremely oversold and trading close to support. These dynamics could set the stage for a move higher. This is why our trading team has made it our Stock of the Day.
Most of the time, a stock stays within its normal trading range. But if traders and investors become emotional and sell aggressively, they can push the price below this range. When this happens, the stock is considered to be oversold.
This will get the attention of other traders and investors. Some will enter the market as buyers. They will be expecting a reversion to the mean or a move higher. Their buying could push the price up.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="522" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy-1024x522.png" alt="" class="wp-image-857839" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy-1024x522.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy-300x153.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy-768x392.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy-1536x784.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04114036/BestBuy.png 1611w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44634737/retailers-brace-for-higher-costs-as-us-tariff-rates-soar-says-goldman-sachs">Goldman Sachs Warns Tariffs Will Hit Apparel And Home Furnishings Hardest, Highlights Most Exposed Stocks</a>
There are many ways to determine if a stock is oversold. The bottom part of the chart is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). If the blue line is below the horizontal red line, it indicates oversold conditions. As you can see, that's the case now.
Another way to see if something is oversold is the use of Bollinger Bands. The red line on the price chart is one of these bands. It is two standard deviations below the 20-day moving average price.
According to statistics and probability theory, 95% of trading should occur within two standard deviations of the mean. If the stock is below this threshold, it is considered to be oversold. That's the case here.
Best Buy has also dropped to a support level. You can see on the chart, there was support around $59 in late 2023. Now the stock has reached this level again.
There can be support at levels that were previously support. Some people who sold while the shares were at support regretted doing so when the price rallied after. A number of them vowed to eventually buy their shares back if they could at their selling price.
So now that the stock is back to $59, they are placing buy orders. This has created support.
The combination of being oversold while at support can result in a reversal and move higher.
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">JPMorgan Raises Recession Risk To 60% As &#8216;Largest US Tax Hike&#8217; In 60 Years Hits Global Economy</a> Photo: Shutterstock

Technicals

Trading Ideas

Stock Of The Day: Is Best Buy About To Reverse?

Fed's Powell Says Tariffs Are Higher Than Almost All Forecasters Predicted But Still Don't Know Where It Will Come To Rest; People Expect The Fed To Tell The Truth And That Is What It Will Do; Fed Is Not Responsible For Trade, Immigration, Fiscal Or Other Policies; Over Time The Fed Should Be A Source Of Calm, Rational Analysis And Stability; A Year From Now Uncertainty Should Be Much Lower As Impact Of Trump Policies Becomes Clearer

Fed's Powell Says At Grocery Store, Consumers Still Upset About Past Inflation; Will Be 'Very Challenging' to Say How Much Inflation Came From Tariffs; More Policy Certainty to Come As Trump Admin Makes Decisions; For Now, Hard Data Are Pretty Solid; Weaker Growth, Higher Inflation Balanced Out To Keep Fed At 2 Projected 2025 Cuts; Risks Of Higher Inflation And Higher Unemployment Are Elevated; Uncertainty Is High

Cboe Global Markets (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBOE#BATS">CBOE</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 5.02% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 14.61%. Currently, Cboe Global Markets has a market capitalization of $23.40 billion. 
Buying $100 In CBOE: If an investor had bought $100 of CBOE stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $395.04 today based on a price of $223.47 for CBOE at the time of writing.
<h3>Cboe Global Markets's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1743780660_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

CBOE

If You Invested $100 In This Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

Global

AAPL

AMZN

GOOG

GOOGL

MSFT

Japan's Rapidus In Talks With Apple And Google To Mass-Produce Chips; Rapidus' Prototype Chip Line Scheduled To Be Fully Up And Running Within The Month; Rapidus In Discussions With Google, Apple, Meta Platforms, Amazon And Microsoft

While the world focused on escalating global trade tensions, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that nonfarm payrolls surged by 228,000 in March, far better than economists&#8217; forecasts of 135,000. Economists are weighing in on the positive jobs report as fears of a global trade <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645518/strong-jobs-report-offers-hope-but-will-it-be-enough-to-counter-tariff-turmoil">war roil the markets.&nbsp;</a>
Gregory Daco, chief economist for EY, referred to the jobs report as "reassuring" in <a href="https://x.com/GregDaco/status/1908146706744520971" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a post</a> on X but also noted several metrics appear to be slowing, including wage growth and participation.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="817" height="1024" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111225/daco-x-1-1-817x1024.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-857772" style="width:550px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111225/daco-x-1-1-817x1024.jpg 817w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111225/daco-x-1-1-239x300.jpg 239w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111225/daco-x-1-1-768x962.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111225/daco-x-1-1.jpg 862w" sizes="(max-width: 817px) 100vw, 817px" /></figure>
Daco also said in <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQp-e_XQnDE">an interview</a> with Yahoo Finance on Friday morning that this may be the last strong report for some time, as the country sits &#8220;on the eve of what may be a significant economic slowdown resulting from the tariffs.&#8221;
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44517885/trump-slaps-25-tariffs-on-autos-what-it-means-for-your-next-car-purchase"> Trump Slaps 25% Tariffs On Autos: What It Means For Your Next Car Purchase</a>&nbsp;
Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist for RSM, also predicted future turmoil in the job market in <a href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs-report-march-2025-unemployment-economy-2fef9001?st=Bp5awU">comments </a>to the Wall Street Journal.&nbsp;&nbsp;
"The primary takeaway for the March jobs report is that it represents the calm before the storm," said Brusuelas. "The new tariff regime is going to dampen hiring and send unemployment higher in the coming months." Brusuelas added. 
Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Northlight Asset Management, said that the positive jobs report comes "on a day when good news doesn't matter," adding that markets are "focused squarely on tariffs and trade wars as the US plays chicken with the rest of the world, potentially beginning a downward spiral into a worldwide recession."
President Donald Trump, seemingly unfazed by the market rout, touted the better-than-expected March jobs report in <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114279844695644343">a post</a> on Truth Social.&nbsp;
"GREAT JOB NUMBERS, FAR BETTER THAN EXPECTED. IT'S ALREADY WORKING. HANG TOUGH, WE CAN'T LOSE!!!" Trump wrote.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="354" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111040/Trump-Truth-Social-Post--1024x354.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-857769" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111040/Trump-Truth-Social-Post--1024x354.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111040/Trump-Truth-Social-Post--300x104.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111040/Trump-Truth-Social-Post--768x266.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04111040/Trump-Truth-Social-Post-.jpg 1300w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Markets React: All three major U.S. indexes were deeply red on Friday morning with the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), tracking the S&amp;P 500, down 3.2% at $519.50 and the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), tracking the Nasdaq 100 index, down 3.55% at $434.65. 
Read Next:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44628368/trumps-tariffs-prompt-china-to-vow-countermeasures-experts-see-retaliation-likely">Trump&#8217;s Tariffs Prompt China To Vow &#8216;Countermeasures&#8217;: Experts See Retaliation Likely&nbsp;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Analyst Color

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Econ #s

Movers

ETFs

Strong Jobs Report 'On A Day When Good News Doesn't Matter,' Economist Says

<a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20250404a.htm">https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20250404a.htm</a>

Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says Surveys Show Dimming Expectations, Higher Uncertainty Due To New Federal Policies, Especially Trade; Fed Is Closely Watching Tension Between Hard And Soft Data; Unemployment Rate Still In Low Range, Job Market Not A Source Of Inflation; Progress Toward 2% Inflation Goal Has Slowed

WIIM

Niu Technologies shares are trading lower. The company provided Q1 sales volume updates.

Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says Most Measures Of Long-term Inflation Remain Well-Anchored; Fed's Obligation Is To Make Certain That One-Time Increase In Price Levels Doesn't Become An Ongoing Inflation Problem; Outlook Is Highly Uncertain, With Elevated Risks Of Higher Unemployment And Higher Inflation; Uncertainty High, Downside Risks Have Risen, But Economy Still In A Good Place; Data Show Solid Growth, Labor Market In Balance, Inflation Much Closer To, But Still Above, 2% Goal

Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says Trump Tariffs Bigger Than Expected, Risking Higher Inflation, Slower Growth; Too Soon To Say What Will Be The Appropriate Path For Monetary Policy; Fed Well-Positioned To Wait For Greater Clarity Before Considering Policy Adjustments; Tariffs Likely To Raise Inflation In Coming Quarters; More Persistent Effects Possible; Becoming Clear That Tariff Increases Will Be Significantly Larger Than Expected; Same Is True Of Economic Effects

POAI

RENB

Renovaro and Predictive Oncology shares are trading lower after the merger agreement between the two companies was terminated.

The 10-year Treasury just notched its best week since August, as a market flight to safety sent <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/treasury-yields">yields tumbling below 4%</a>. 
Investors rushing out of risk assets have piled into government bonds, pushing Treasury prices higher and handing the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) a solid boost.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">A Bullish Run With Caution Signs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0404"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="631" height="489" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04102320/Screenshot-2025-04-04-at-7.49.49-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-857708" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04102320/Screenshot-2025-04-04-at-7.49.49-PM.png 631w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04102320/Screenshot-2025-04-04-at-7.49.49-PM-300x232.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 631px) 100vw, 631px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0404" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
TLT is riding the wave, up 6.53% year-to-date and 2.03% in the past month. Technically, it&#8217;s looking strong — trading above its five-, 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages, flashing bullish signals. Its eight-day, 20-day, 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages all confirm bullish momentum.
But, the RSI (relative strength index) at 67.88, nearly overbought, flags a potential sell-off risk ahead.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44572838/treasury-bonds-have-lost-50-in-5-years-yet-reversal-signals-emerge-in-q1-could-tariffs-actually-push-tlt-higher">Treasury Bonds Have Lost 50% In 5 Years, Yet Reversal Signals Emerge In Q1: Could Tariffs Actually Push TLT Higher?</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Why Treasuries Are Hot Again</h1>
Trump's latest round of tariffs has jolted markets, sending stocks and the dollar reeling. &#8220;U.S. Treasury yields have been falling sharply as investors rotate out of risk assets into safe havens,&#8221; notes Nicolas Trindade of AXA Investment Managers, <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/25e49d20-27e0-4850-9235-a98bb0adf9c9">reported</a> the Financial Times. The shift marks a return to a traditional risk-off trade, where bond demand surges when stocks struggle.
Fraser Lundie of Aviva Investors sees this as a welcome reset, saying, &#8220;The return of a negative correlation between bonds and risk assets is a sign traditional relationships are reasserting themselves.&#8221; That's a major shift from 2022, when both bonds and stocks crashed in tandem.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">TLT: A Trend To Watch</h1>
With Treasuries rallying and TLT gaining ground, the momentum is clear. But with selling pressure building and economic uncertainty swirling, investors should keep a close eye on technical levels. 
If bond yields reverse, TLT could find itself in a turbulence zone just as fast as it took off.
For now, though, bond bulls are enjoying the ride.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44569760/peter-schiff-sounds-the-alarm-same-mistake-again-could-trigger-economic-firestorm">Peter Schiff Sounds The Alarm: &#8216;Same Mistake Again&#8217; Could Trigger Economic Firestorm</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: William Potter via Shutterstock

Bonds

Specialty ETFs

Treasuries

Markets

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

Treasuries Are Hot Again: 10-Year Records Best Week Since August, What Bond ETF Is Bullish?

AMAT

ASML

AVGO

INTC

KLAC

LRCX

LSCC

MPWR

MRVL

NVDA

NXPI

SMCI

iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund

SOXX

Shares of chip stocks are trading lower as global markets continue to decline following President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.

AIM ImmunoTech shares are trading lower after the company announced it entered into a $3 million equity distribution agreement with Maxim Group for an at-the-market offering

SHEL

Shares of energy stocks are trading lower as oil prices fall after OPEC+ producers accelerated output hikes. Additionally, President Trump's recent tariff announcements and China's retaliatory tariffs on the US have driven further demand uncertainty.

LFCR

Lifecore Biomedical shares are trading lower after the company reported a Q3 EPS miss.

CROX

DECK

LEVI

LULU

ONON

SHOO

Shares of footwear, retail, e-commerce and apparel companies are trading higher after President Trump said Vietnam is willing to cut tariffs down to zero if they are able to make an agreement with the US.

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最新ニュース Amaya Glb Hldgs (OTC:AYAG) 株価情報

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