最新ニュース SPDR Gold Trust (ARCA:GLD)

Basic Materials

The Trust holds gold bars and from time to time, issues Baskets in exchange for deposits of gold and distributes gold in connection with redemptions of Baskets. The investment objective of the Trust is for the Shares to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the Trusts expenses. The Sponsor believes that, for many investors, the Shares represent a cost-effective investment in gold.

SPDR Gold Trust

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Asia

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Eurozone

Futures

Commodities

Forex

Markets

ADIV

AGOV

ASHR

BBEU

BOIL

CQQQ

PowerShares DBmmodity Index Optimum Yield Diversified Fund

EEMA

FLAX

CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust

IEMG

IEUR

KraneShares Trust KraneShares S&P Pan Asia Dividend Aristocrats Index ETF

KDIV

SPEM

USDU

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

3月17日（月）、景気指標が発表された結果、株式市場は上昇で取引を終えた。数週にわたる損失の後、投資家は打撃を受けた株を買い増しし始めた。米国ではニューヨークの製造業の活動が急速に減少し、関税の上昇によるコストが原因で住宅建設業者の景気後退は明らかである。

アジアとヨーロッパ市場が上昇、金が高値更新 - 米国が眠っている間の本日のグローバル市場

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Emerging Markets

3月13日（木）の米国市場は大幅下落で取引を終了、米国のインフレデータが好調にもかかわらず新たな関税が明らかになったことでS&amp;P500は調整に入った。

今日のグローバル市場⁻アジアとヨーロッパ市場は上昇、金は3,000ドル

What Happened

Analyst Color

Equities

Government

Large Cap

Macro Economic Events

Mid Cap

Regulations

Sector ETFs

Econ #s

Economics

ETFs

$BTC

Market Vectors ETF Trust Market Vectors Gold Miners

GDXJ

GOLD

貿易摩擦の高まりや経済の不透明感から投資家がポートフォリオを守ろうと必死になっており、金は大幅上昇が続き、13日(米国）は高値更新となった。13日の米国東部時間13時55分、金相場は1オンス2,979.76ドルで取引、1.6%上昇し、3日連続で上昇が続いた。金は年初来14%上昇、これは主要資産クラスの中で最も上昇率が高い。

貿易戦争の懸念により安全資産の金が過去最高値を記録

GlobalData PLC

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation - Common Stock

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp

GOLD FINDER RES LTD by Gold Finder Resources Ltd.

Gold Finder Resources Ltd

GoldMining Inc

ETRACS Gold Shares Covered Call ETNs due February 2, 2033

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust

GOLDEN RAPTURE MNG CORP by GOLDEN RAPTURE MNG CORP.

Global X Funds LOBAL X GOLD EXPLORERS ETF NEW

Defiance Gold Enhanced Options Income ETF

Market Summary

General

Benzinga Market Summary: S&P Pulls Back As Trump Says US Is Terminating Trade Discussions With Canada, Gold And Silver Pull Back

WIIM

Gold and silver are trading lower amid US-China trade hopes and Israel-Iran ceasefire efforts, which have eased macro uncertainty.

Benzinga Market Summary: S&P Rises On US-China Trade Framework, Gold Pulls Back, Nike Rises On Earnings Report

On Thursday, June 26, U.S. markets closed higher as easing geopolitical tensions and supportive economic data boosted hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Major indexes advanced in a broad rally, edging the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq closer to record highs.
Bank stocks led gains after a regulatory proposal, while Fed officials signaled openness to easing. Mixed economic signals, including weak consumer spending and strong orders, fueled speculation about the timing of rate cuts.
According to economic data, the U.S. first-quarter GDP was revised down to -0.5% from -0.2%, driven by a larger trade deficit from weaker exports. However, May factory orders jumped 16.4% to $343.6 billion, the biggest monthly gain since 2014, far exceeding expectations. Weekly jobless claims dropped by 10,000 to 236,000, defying forecasts of no change and signaling ongoing strength in the labor market.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by communication services, consumer discretionary, and energy. Real estate and consumer staples declined.
The Dow rose 0.94% to 43,386.84, the S&amp;P 500 was up 0.80% at 6,141.02, and the Nasdaq gained 0.97% to 20,167.91.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 1.42% higher at 40,145.50, led by gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Textile sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was down 0.43% at 8,514.20, led by losses in the Financials, Healthcare, and A-REITs sectors.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was up 0.37% at 25,640.40, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.44% to 23,621.45.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was down 0.70% at 3,424.23, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.61% to 3,921.76.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session 0.17% lower at 24,284.15.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.97%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index gained 0.83%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 rose 1.41%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.54%.
European stocks rose on U.S.-China trade progress and Middle East ceasefire optimism.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.72% at $65.71/bbl, and Brent was up 0.61% at $67.10/bbl.
Oil prices increased Friday but were on track for their biggest weekly drop since March 2023, as easing geopolitical tensions erased risk premiums. Focus shifted back to supply-demand fundamentals, with support from falling inventories and strong Chinese imports.
Natural gas rose 2.75% to $3.623.
Gold traded lower by 1.47% to $3,298.62, Silver fell 2.26% to $35.755, and Copper declined 1.34% to $4.9955.
Gold fell to a near four-week low as the Israel-Iran ceasefire reduced safe-haven demand and investors awaited key U.S. inflation data.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures rose 0.24%, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.23%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.31%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.04% to 97.26, USD/JPY was up 0.01% to 144.44, and USD/AUD gained 0.10% to 1.5290.
The U.S. dollar neared multi-year lows as markets priced in deeper rate cuts and a possible dovish Fed chair replacement.
Photo via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Advances, Gold And Dollar Slip Further - Global Markets Today While US Slept

<ul>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>AMD</li>
<li>CRCL</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>GOOGL</li>
<li>MU</li>
<li>BULL</li>
<li>AAPL</li>
<li>PLTR</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

Trading Ideas

AAPL

BULL

CRCL

GOOGL

NVDA

PLTR

TSLA

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of June 26, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

On Wednesday, June 25, U.S. markets closed mixed, with the Nasdaq lifted by tech shares while the S&amp;P 500 remained flat. Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#8217;s second day of congressional testimony reiterated the central bank&#8217;s wait-and-see approach to rate cuts.
Nvidia&#8217;s market value surged, making it the world&#8217;s most valuable company. Economic uncertainty weighed on corporate guidance, with notable declines from Tesla, FedEx, and General Mills. BlackBerry and Micron saw strong gains.
According to economic data, U.S. new home sales fell by 13.7% to 623,000 units in May, while building permits dropped by 2% to 1.394 million.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower, with real estate, consumer staples, and utilities posting the largest losses, while information technology and communication services stocks ended higher.
The Dow slid 0.25% to 42,982.43, the S&amp;P 500 was flat at 6,092.16, and the Nasdaq gained 0.31% to 19,973.55.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 1.66% higher at 39,588.00, led by gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Textile sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was down 0.10% at 8,550.80, led by losses in the IT, Gold, and A-REITs sectors.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was up 1.26% at 25,562.60, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.99% to 23,527.80.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was down 0.22% at 3,448.45, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.35% to 3,946.02.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session 0.61% lower at 24,325.40.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.18%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index gained 0.76%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 rose 0.24%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.18%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.03% at $64.90/bbl, and Brent was up 0.09% at $66.50/bbl.
Oil prices steadied after erasing earlier gains as investors focused on market fundamentals amid cautious optimism over the Iran-Israel ceasefire.
Natural gas fell 0.90% to $3.537.
Gold traded higher by 0.32% to $3,354.10, Silver rose 1.40% to $36.608, and Copper gained 2.77% to $5.0523.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures rose 0.19%, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.27%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.40%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.56% to 97.15, USD/JPY was down 0.77% to 144.09, and USD/AUD slid 0.39% to 1.5293.
The dollar fell to multi-year lows against the euro and Swiss franc, driven by concerns over the Fed&#8217;s independence and Trump&#8217;s criticism of Powell.
Photo via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Gains, Dollar Hit by Fed Concerns And Cooling Inflation - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Tuesday, June 24, U.S. markets closed higher as investors responded positively to a ceasefire between Israel and Iran and awaited signals from the Federal Reserve. The Nasdaq 100 reached a record close, and the S&amp;P 500 neared its previous peak.
Tech shares led the rally, while energy stocks slipped on lower oil prices. Fed Chair Powell emphasized a cautious approach to rate cuts, with weakening consumer confidence adding to expectations for future easing.
In economic data, the U.S. current account deficit jumped 44% to $450.2 billion in Q1, above the prior $312 billion and slightly above forecasts. Meanwhile, home price growth slowed, with the S&amp;P Case-Shiller Index rising 3.4% in April, down from 4.1% in March.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors ended higher on Tuesday, led by tech, communication services, and financials. Energy stocks declined, bucking the trend.
The Dow rose 1.19% to 43,089.02, the S&amp;P 500 was up 1.11% to 6,092.18, and the Nasdaq gained 1.43% to 19,912.53.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 0.40% higher at 38,946.00, led by gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Textile sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was up 0.04% at 8,559.20, led by gains in the Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Utilities sectors.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was up 0.80% at 25,244.05, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.79% to 23,295.80.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was up 1.01% at 3,455.97, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 1.44% to 3,960.07.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session 1.23% higher at 24,474.67.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.13%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index declined 0.33%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 slid 0.06%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.01%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.27% at $65.19/bbl, and Brent was up 1.12% at $66.92/bbl.
Oil prices rose over 1% as U.S. demand remained firm, and a fragile ceasefire eased supply fears. Expectations of Fed rate cuts also supported the market&#8217;s demand outlook.
Natural gas fell 0.03% to $3.654.
Gold traded higher by 0.11% to $3,337.12, Silver slid 0.21% to $35.658, and Copper gained 0.24% to $4.8840.
Gold prices inched higher Wednesday as a weaker dollar offered support, offsetting pressure from easing geopolitical tensions after the Israel-Iran ceasefire. Other metals also rose slightly on a softer dollar.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures fell 0.07%, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.02%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.06%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.12% to 98.10, USD/JPY was up 0.50% to 145.66, and USD/AUD slid 0.08% to 1.5398.
The dollar hovered near a four-year low against the euro as easing oil prices and a shaky Middle East truce reduced inflation fears, boosting rate-cut hopes and risk appetite.
Photo via Shutterstock

Asia Up, Europe Markets Slip, Dollar Under Pressure On Increased Risk Appetite - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Monday, June 23, U.S. markets closed higher as investors were relieved by Iran&#8217;s measured response to American airstrikes, easing fears of wider conflict.
The major indexes ended higher, while oil prices plunged sharply after traders bet that global crude supplies would remain stable. Analysts pointed to Iran&#8217;s limited military capabilities and lack of strong allies as reasons for the market&#8217;s calm reaction despite heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
In economic data, S&amp;P Global&#8217;s U.S. services PMI dipped to 53.1 in June from 53.7, slightly above expectations of 52.9. The manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, indicating a steady expansion in factory activity.
Related: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/06/46068524/israel-says-iran-broke-trump-ceasefire-orders-high-intensity-strikes-on-tehran" rel="noreferrer noopener">Israel Says Iran Broke Trump Ceasefire, Orders&#8217; High-Intensity Strikes&#8217; On Tehran</a>
Consumer and real estate stocks led broad S&amp;P 500 gains Monday, while energy shares fell as oil prices dropped.
The Dow rose 0.89% to 42,581.78, the S&amp;P 500 was up 0.96% to 6,025.17, and the Nasdaq gained 0.94% to 19,630.97.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 1.16% higher at 38,800.00, led by gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Textile sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was up 0.95% at 8,555.50, led by gains in the Metals &amp; Mining, Materials, and Financials sectors.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was up 0.26% at 25,037.10, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.48% to 23,110.60.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was up 1.15% at 3,420.57, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 1.20% to 3,904.03.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session 2.06% higher at 24,177.07.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was up 1.77%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index gained 2.15%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 rose 1.45%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.38%.
European shares jumped as Trump announced an Iran-Israel ceasefire, boosting travel stocks. Energy lagged on falling oil; the STOXX 600 rose, led by airlines and leisure.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 3.20% at $66.29/bbl, and Brent was down 3.29% at $68.21/bbl.
Oil prices dropped to two-week lows after Israel accepted Trump&#8217;s ceasefire plan with Iran, easing fears of supply disruption and erasing the recent risk premium in crude markets.
Natural gas fell 1.52% to $3.752.
Gold traded lower by 1.85% to $3,332.90, Silver slid 0.50% to $36.005, and Copper gained 0.87% to $4.8920.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures rose 0.77%, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.89%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 1.17%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.41% to 97.99, USD/JPY was down 0.81% to 144.97, and USD/AUD slid 0.78% to 1.5361.
The U.S. dollar fell as ceasefire optimism between Iran and Israel boosted risk appetite. The Dollar Index dropped while the euro, sterling, and yen gained on improving sentiment.
Photo via Shutterstock

Global Markets Rally, Oil Plunges On Ceasefire Optimism

Reuters Cites Industry Ministry Statement Saying China Aims To Increase Its Gold Resources By 5-10% By 2027

<ul>
<li>HIMS</li>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>CRCL</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>GOOGL</li>
<li>BULL</li>
<li>GOOG</li>
<li>NVO</li>
<li>AMD</li>
<li>UNH</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

GOOG

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. Class A Common Stock

HIMS

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of June 23, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

On Friday, June 20, U.S. markets closed mixed amid heightened Iran-Israel tensions and uncertainty over possible U.S. involvement. Choppy trading, triple-witching volume, and inflation concerns weighed on sentiment. While the S&amp;P dipped, the Nasdaq gained for the week. Tech megacaps dragged indices lower as investors remained cautious. Mixed Fed comments added to market unease over interest rate direction.
In economic data, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index held steady at minus 4.0 in June, matching the previous reading and falling short of the expected minus 1.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell Friday, led by health care, materials, and communications, while energy and consumer staples gained.
The Dow rose 0.08% to 42,206.82, the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.22% to 5,967.84, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.51% to 19,447.41.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 0.01% lower at 38,401.00, led by losses in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Transport and Communication sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was down 0.36% at 8,474.90.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was down 0.62% at 24,954.30, and the Nifty 500 declined 0.23% to 22,987.20.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was up 0.65% at 3,381.58, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.29% to 3,857.90.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session 0.67% higher at 23,689.13.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.27%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index declined 0.44%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 fell 0.48%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.01%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.99% at $74.58/bbl, and Brent was up 1.04% at $76.30/bbl.
Oil hit five-month highs as the U.S. joined Israel in striking Iran, raising supply fears. Prices later flattened as no disruptions occurred, but the risk premium persists amid Hormuz closure threats.
Natural gas rose 0.94% to $3.986.
Gold traded lower by 0.13% to $3,381.60, Silver rose 0.34% to $36.135, and Copper declined 0.67% to $4.8000.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures rose 0.11%, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.22%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.23%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
As of 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.59% to 99.29, USD/JPY was up 1.19% to 147.84, and USD/AUD rose 1.12% to 1.5677
The U.S. dollar strengthened as investors sought safety amid Middle East tensions, especially after strikes on Iran. Moves were muted as markets awaited Iran&#8217;s response.
Photo via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Slips As Oil Hits $75 - Global Markets Today While US Slept

<ul>
<li>CRCL</li>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>ASTS</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>AVIV</li>
<li>GOOGL</li>
<li>BULL</li>
<li>TEL</li>
<li>OSCR</li>
<li>RDDT</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

ASTS

AVIV

OSCR

RDDT

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of June 20, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced Thursday that the U.S. is leaving the door open to negotiations with Iran, as President Donald <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">Trump considers military options</a>.
In a direct message quoted by Leavitt, Trump said, "Based on the fact that there's a substantial chance of negotiations that may or may not take place with Iran in the near future, I will make my decision whether or not to go within the next two weeks."
The remarks came after days of mounting tension, as Israel targeted Iranian nuclear sites and Tehran responded with ballistic missile strikes on Israeli cities.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Hints At Diplomacy, Yet Keeps Military Option Open</h3>
Leavitt reiterated that while the administration remains ready to act militarily, its preference is clear. 
"The president has made it clear he always wants to pursue diplomacy, but believe me, he is unafraid to use strength if necessary," she said. 

She added that the U.S. has already engaged in six rounds of indirect and direct talks and confirmed a new proposal was sent to Iran.
"The deal was both realistic and acceptable," Leavitt said, without providing further details.
Leavitt emphasized the gravity of the situation, stating that Iran possesses all the necessary components to build a nuclear weapon. "Let's be very clear. Iran has all that it needs to achieve a nuclear weapon.&#8221;
The White House press secretary warned that such a development would pose an "existential threat not just to Israel, but to the United States and to the entire world." 
She reaffirmed that President Trump has been clear for decades that Iran must never obtain a nuclear weapon, calling it a red line for U.S. national security.
Trump's approach of "peace through strength," Leavitt said, is unchanged. "Iran can and should make a deal. Or they will face grave consequences," she added.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Markets highly sensitive to Middle East development swiftly reacted to the White House announcements on Thursday. 
West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which had surged to $76.50 earlier on the day, reversed sharply after the briefing, plunging toward $73 per barrel. 
Traders took the president's 14-day decision window and openness to talks as a sign that a direct U.S.-Iran conflict was less likely in the near term.
Leavitt emphasized that the president is monitoring energy markets closely. "He is paying attention and monitoring oil prices," she said, further reassuring markets.
The foreign exchange market mirrored the softening of geopolitical risk. The U.S. dollar index, which had been gaining through the day, slipped by 0.3% after the White House briefing. 
Unlike oil and the dollar, gold remained resilient. Futures on the bullion – which is tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) – ware unchanged at $3,370 per ounce. 
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Global

Trump Gives Iran 2 Weeks To Strike A Deal Or Face US Military Action

With Wall Street shut for Juneteenth, global investors turned their eyes to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, triggering a sharp oil price rally and pulling European stocks <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/european-markets">to multi-week lows.</a>
West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed past $76.50 per barrel on Thursday, marking their highest level since January. Investors responded to rising geopolitical risk after Tel Aviv said it targeted Iranian nuclear sites in retaliatory strikes, prompting fears of a broader regional conflict.
The tension grew after <a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-privately-approved-attack-plans-for-iran-but-has-withheld-final-order-4563c526">The Wall Street Journal</a> reported President Donald Trump had approved U.S. military plans for Iran but held back from issuing a final order. Trump responded on Truth Social, saying, "The Wall Street Journal has No Idea what my thoughts are concerning Iran!"
The potential for a U.S. military entry into the conflict has revived fears of shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint through which roughly 20% of global oil supply flows.
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/25/06/45940903/a-thin-strip-of-water-keeps-the-world-economy-on-edge-will-it-trigger-a-100-oil-shock">A Thin Strip Of Water Keeps The World Economy On Edge: Will It Trigger A $100 Oil Shock?</a>
Adding to bullish oil momentum, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday a staggering 11.5-million-barrel draw in crude inventories for the week ending June 13. This marks the largest weekly decline in a year, reflecting surging demand and high refinery throughput amid the peak summer fuel season.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">European Equities Tumble As Risk-Off Mode Deepens</h3>
European equities ended Thursday's session with sharp losses as investors reduced risk exposure amid geopolitical instability and energy concerns.
Italy's FTSE MIB index fell 1.59% to 38,793, touching a six-week low. 
The Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 1.38% to 5,197, while France's CAC 40 and Spain's IBEX 35 slid 1.38% and 1.36%, respectively. 
Germany's DAX closed 1.17% lower at 23,047.
Investors are bracing for Friday's diplomatic meeting between European Union leaders and Iran in Switzerland.
Monetary policy responses were mixed across Europe on Thursday.
The Swiss National Bank reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0%, marking the first time borrowing costs returned to zero since negative rates ended in late 2022. The rate cut, widely expected by markets, aims to support domestic growth amid a cooling economy.
Norway's central bank also trimmed rates, aligning with a broader shift among smaller European economies facing sluggish momentum.
Meanwhile, the Bank of England kept its main interest rate unchanged at 4.25%. Six of nine Monetary Policy Committee members voted to maintain rates, while three pushed for a 25 basis point cut, reflecting growing pressure to ease financial conditions.
Despite, the broader risk-off mood, futures on gold – as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) – remained steady at $3,365 per ounce. 
In currency markets, the dollar gained slightly, with the U.S. dollar index rising 0.3% to 99.10 levels, extending its weekly rally. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">European Indices&#8217; Performance On Thursday</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table class="has-fixed-layout">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Italy&#8217;s Ftse Mib</td>
<td>38793</td>
<td>-1.59%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Euro STOXX 50</td>
<td>5197</td>
<td>-1.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France&#8217;s CAC 40</td>
<td>7550</td>
<td>-1.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain&#8217;s IBEX 35</td>
<td>13734</td>
<td>-1.36%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany&#8217;s DAX</td>
<td>23047</td>
<td>-1.17%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Read now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/25/06/46014659/anti-powell-crusade-rages-on-as-housing-sector-demands-fed-chair-resignation">Anti-Powell Crusade Rages On As Housing Sector Demands Fed Chair Resignation</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Oil Prices Jump, European Markets Plummet As US-Iran Tensions Rise: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

Following gold's conspicuous correction in early April, the precious metal has marched steadily higher, with the latest tensions in the Middle East acting as a supporting catalyst. Subsequently, this backdrop may provide a tailwind for the mining sector, particularly for precious metal streaming management company Royal Gold Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RGLD#NASDAQ">RGLD</a>).
Fundamentally, headlines are zeroed in on Israel's military strike against Iran, with the escalating conflict sparking two major concerns. First, Iran is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/macro-economic-events/25/06/45943707/us-economy-to-face-pretty-limited-impact-from-israel-iran-airstrikes-with-only-a-tiny-bit-recession-risk-say-economists">strategically positioned near the Strait of Hormuz</a>, which is a vital route for global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments. Second and more critically, lawmakers — including Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) — have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/45988135/bernie-sanders-slams-israels-illegal-attack-on-iran-says-absolutely-imperative-that-the-united-states-not-be-dragged-into-this-war">expressed deep anxieties</a> about the U.S. potentially being dragged into the conflict.
Given the seriousness of the matter, several sectors have attracted pragmatic (if not cynical) investment capital. Predictably, the precious metals ecosystem has been elevated as diplomatic solutions wane. Recently, benchmark exchange-traded funds, such as the iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>) and SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/45983526/trump-wants-an-end-not-a-ceasefire-for-the-israel-iran-war-what-that-means-for-etfs">witnessed modest but consistent inflows</a>.
In fairness, as other publications have noted, RGLD stock isn't exactly the gold industry's standard bearer. At this moment, the consensus <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/rgld/analyst-ratings">analyst rating</a> for Royal Gold is 2.5, which is in Sell territory. In contrast, streaming competitor Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WPM#NYSE">WPM</a>) carries a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/wpm/analyst-ratings">3.0 rating</a> or Hold, while mining powerhouse Newmont Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>) is slightly better with a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/nem/analyst-ratings">3.2 rating</a>.
Nevertheless, RGLD stock appears to provide a more "readable" signal. From a more heuristic perspective, technical analysts will likely argue that RGLD is currently charting a bullish pennant formation. In April, the security popped higher but has since entered a consolidation phase of generally lower highs.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1001" height="598" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18152038/RGLD-stock-technical-analysis.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-954459" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18152038/RGLD-stock-technical-analysis.jpg 1001w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18152038/RGLD-stock-technical-analysis-300x179.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18152038/RGLD-stock-technical-analysis-768x459.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1001px) 100vw, 1001px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image by TradingView</figcaption></figure>
Still, RGLD stock has also been charting higher lows, which lends credence to the idea that it could eventually break out of this consolidation zone. Contrast that with WPM or NEM, where the respective charts arguably lack a discernible pattern.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Using Statistics To Frame The Opportunity In RGLD Stock</h2>
Although RGLD stock enjoys both a fundamental and technical justification for bullishness, both these methodologies lack specificity. From an investor's point of view, the typical timeframe — usually a year or longer — provides the underlying thesis with considerable flexibility to pan out as forecasted. Unfortunately, traders (especially options traders) don't have that luxury.
It comes down to structure. Since options have an expiration date, a thesis has to materialize accurately in terms of magnitude (y-axis) and time (x-axis). To be sure, what raises the stakes is that when an options strategy goes sour, the entire principal — or worse if selling naked calls and puts — is at risk.
Still, the tremendous leverage that options provide consistently attracts market participants. For these folks, the decision to trade comes down to probabilities. However, in order to calculate probabilities that are relevant — the conditional variety — the language within the target dataset must be unified.
In that sense, both the fundamental and technical approaches suffer from the same dilemma: non-stationarity of the core measurement metric. For example, share prices frequently change over time, as do valuation ratios such as price to earnings. In order to conduct sensible statistical analysis, one must impose stationarity on the dataset. Converting price action into market breadth, which simply tracks accumulative and distributive sessions, is one viable solution.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18151219/RGLD-stock-10wk-forecast-1024x576.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-954442" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18151219/RGLD-stock-10wk-forecast-1024x576.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18151219/RGLD-stock-10wk-forecast-300x169.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18151219/RGLD-stock-10wk-forecast-768x432.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/18151219/RGLD-stock-10wk-forecast.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image by author</figcaption></figure>
Under this framework, RGLD stock is on course toward printing a "4-6-U" sequence by this Friday: four up weeks, six down weeks, with a net positive trajectory across the 10-week period. A rare event, this sequence has only materialized 25 times in the trailing decade. Notably, in 72% of cases, the following week's price action results in upside, with a median return of 2.7%.
Should the implications of the 4-6-U pan out as projected, RGLD stock could breach $185 in short order, perhaps in a week or two. If the bulls maintain control of the market, a push toward the $190 level wouldn't be unreasonable, especially with the fundamental backdrop acting as a supporting element.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Aggressive Call Spreads For The Bullish Trader</h2>
Based on the market intelligence above, arguably the most aggressive but realistic trade is to buy the 180/185 bull call spread expiring July 18. This transaction involves buying the $180 call and simultaneously selling the $185 call, for a net debit paid of 280. Should RGLD stock rise through the short strike price ($185) at expiration, the maximum reward is $220, a payout of roughly 79%.
Those who want to take a little more risk may consider the 180/190 bull spread, also expiring July 18. This transaction involves a higher net debit paid of $445. However, the max reward stands at $555, translating to a payout of almost 125%.
In both trades, the appeal centers on the implied shift in sentiment regime. As a baseline, the chance that a long position in RGLD stock is profitable over any given week is only 52.29%. Therefore, the 4-6-U sequence statistically provides "free odds" for the bullish speculator.
To be 100% clear, this doesn't guarantee a positive outcome. Rather, for those who are already willing to take a risk in the options market, the use of conditional probabilities helps traders separate the wheat from the chaff empirically.
The opinions and views expressed in this content are those of the individual author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Benzinga. Benzinga is not responsible for the accuracy or reliability of any information provided herein. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be misconstrued as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Readers are asked not to rely on the opinions or information herein, and encouraged to do their own due diligence before making investing decisions.
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Photo: Shutterstock

Long Ideas

Options

RGLD

Options Corner: Safe-Haven Demand Could Spark A Golden Payout For This Royal Gold Call Spread

TSLAGLDPLTRBULLRDDTAMDNVDATELAVIVGOOGL
<ul>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>PLTR</li>
<li>BULL</li>
<li>RDDT</li>
<li>AMD</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>TEL</li>
<li>AVIV</li>
<li>GOOGL</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment" title="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of June 18, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

Silver is finally out of gold's shadow and investors should be paying attention. While gold prices hover near record highs, silver is quietly stealing the spotlight. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/peter-schiff">Peter Schiff</a> says the &#8220;gold rally has a silver lining.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Hi-Ho silver. Silver is up over 70 cents this morning, trading above $37. Not only is this very bullish for silver, but it&#39;s also bullish for gold. It&#39;s no longer just a gold rally, but a precious metals rally. Now that the gold rally has a silver lining, it&#39;ll be even stronger.
&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1934967497469689925?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 17, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45842761/silver-just-shattered-a-14-year-ceiling-could-50-be-next">Silver Just Shattered A 14-Year Ceiling &#8211; Could $50 Be Next?</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Silver Outpaces Gold, Ratio Signals More Upside</h2>
On Tuesday, silver surged over 70 cents intraday to trade above $37, marking its highest level since 2012. That's a 2% daily gain, outshining gold's more modest 0.8% move. The silver-tracking iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>) is up over 25%, while SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) has climbed around 14%, giving silver a 2-to-1 edge.
The gold-to-silver ratio has dropped sharply from over 90 in March to below 76 &#8211; historically a bullish setup for silver. In past cycles, a falling ratio has preceded major runs in silver miners.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Breakout Level Breached, Miners Ride The Wave</h2>
Silver also broke above key resistance at $35, a level it couldn't hold in 2020 or 2021. With that technical ceiling cleared, analysts are eyeing $40+ as the next stop.
Schiff called the move "a precious metals rally," and he's not alone. Stocks like First Majestic Silver Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AG#NYSE">AG</a>) and Pan American Silver Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PAAS#NYSE">PAAS</a>) are already rallying in tandem, buoyed by rising spot prices as momentum flows into silver.
While gold remains the classic hedge, silver offers both monetary and industrial upside. With AI, solar, and EV demand growing—and macro jitters rising—silver might be the surprise winner of 2025's commodity trade.
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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

PAAS

Peter Schiff Says 'The Gold Rally Has A Silver Lining' - As It Outperforms Gold By 2:1

On Tuesday, June 17, U.S. markets closed lower as the Israel-Iran conflict entered its fifth day, heightening geopolitical tensions and prompting the U.S. to deploy more fighter jets to the region.
Volatility rose, with energy and defense stocks gaining on higher oil prices, while solar stocks plunged following proposed tax credit cuts. Investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s policy decision.
On the economic data front, May retail sales dropped 0.9%, deeper than April&#8217;s 0.1% decline and worse than expected. Industrial production slipped 0.2%, missing estimates, while import prices were unchanged and export prices fell 0.9%.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors ended in the red, led by health care, materials, and consumer discretionary. Energy was the lone bright spot. The Dow fell 0.70% to 42,215.80, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.84% to 5,982.72, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.91% to 19,521.09.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/topics/25/06/45988985/israel-says-it-struck-iranian-centrifuge-site-missile-factories-near-tehran-with-over-50-jets-to-disrupt-weapons-program" rel="noreferrer noopener">Israel Says It Struck Iranian Centrifuge Site, Missile Factories Near Tehran With Over 50 Jets To Disrupt Weapons Program</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Asia Markets Today</h2>
On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed 0.87% higher at 38,873.00, led by gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Textile sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was down 0.12% at 8,531.20, led by losses in the Gold, Metals &amp; Mining, and Materials sectors.
India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was down 0.19% at 24,807.20, and the Nifty 500 declined 0.26% to 22,922.25.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite was up 0.04% at 3,388.81, and Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.12% to 3,874.97.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng closed the session at a 1.12% lower rate of 23,710.69.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.01%.
Germany&#8217;s DAX index declined 0.13%.
France&#8217;s CAC 40 rose 0.09%.
U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.19%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Commodities at 05:45 AM ET</h2>
Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.13% at $72.45/bbl, and Brent was down 1.10% at $75.61/bbl.
Oil prices dipped Wednesday in Asian trade after a sharp 4% rise as markets balanced Middle East supply risks against the Fed&#8217;s looming rate decision.
Natural gas fell 0.68% to $3.826.
Gold traded lower by 0.27% to $3,397.80, Silver rose 0.35% to $37.283, and Copper gained 0.68% to $4.8423.
Gold held steady as safe-haven demand rose amid Middle East tensions and weak U.S. data. Other metals gained on a weaker dollar.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">U.S. Futures</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the Dow Jones futures rose 0.21%, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.28%, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.36%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forex</h2>
At 05:45 AM ET, the U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.15% to 98.69, USD/JPY was down 0.21% to 144.93, and USD/AUD declined 0.31% to 1.5392.
On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar slipped against the yen and Swiss franc as Middle East tensions drove demand for safe-haven assets.
Photo via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed, Dollar Pressured Amid Middle East Tensions - Global Markets Today While US Slept

As world leaders convened in Canada for the G7 summit to debate economic cooperation, U.S. President Donald Trump suddenly hijacked the headlines by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45968002/trump-says-israel-iran-ceasefire-not-on-the-table-left-g7-early-for-a-much-bigger-reason-spy-qqq-dip-in-premarket-oil-climbs">cutting his G7 visit short </a>and boarding Air Force One to tackle what he described as a much more pressing issue: stopping Iran&#8217;s nuclear pursuits once and for all. With Israel having struck deep inside Iranian territory and Tehran threatening retaliation, investors now prepare themselves for the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">ETF</a>-level consequences of a protracted geopolitical crisis.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Happened</h2>
Trump emphatically brushed aside proposals for a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, instead calling for &#8220;an end. A real end. Not a ceasefire. An end.&#8221; The statement, made en route to Washington, was immediately seen by markets as a possible ratcheting up of an already tense conflict. 
And while global equities have been fairly stable, activity below the surface is very different: energy, defense, and gold ETFs are flashing new risk signs.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Energy ETFs Respond To Oil Supply Threats</h2>
With the flagship Bazan oil refinery closing after deadly missile attacks by Iran, and concerns building over possible disruptions to Iranian oil exports or shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45965846/israel-is-pounding-irans-energy-infrastructure-and-its-sending-these-oil-etfs-soaring-but-it-maybe-bad-news-at-the-gas-pump">energy-linked ETFs are picking up steam</a>.
Securities such as the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) and the Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) experienced small inflows for the week as oil prices ticked higher on supply worries. United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), a direct play on crude futures, also experienced increased volume, and the fund is up around 5% as of Tuesday afternoon.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Defense ETFs Get A War-Posture Boost</h2>
Trump&#8217;s comments, combined with the deployment of U.S. military, specifically, the Middle East-bound USS Nimitz aircraft carrier battle group, has strengthened sentiment behind defense and aerospace stocks.
iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) both were up moderately after the president&#8217;s statements. Leveraged vehicles such as Direxion Daily Aerospace &amp; Defense Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFEN#NYSE">DFEN</a>) also gained interest.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Safe Havens Shine As Diplomatic Channels Fade</h2>
Gold ETFs, traditionally the &#8220;nuclear fallout shelter&#8221; of international finance, are getting some life after a slow spring. Trump&#8217;s &#8220;not in the mood to negotiate&#8221; refrain coupled with tweets threatening strikes on Tehran revived safe-haven demand.
Since Friday, the iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>) and SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) have seen modest but consistent inflows.
The G7 walkout sent a message to markets that this administration isn&#8217;t pivoting, it&#8217;s running away from diplomacy. Even if risk assets aren&#8217;t pricing in disaster, safe-haven ETFs are quietly getting ready for one.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/06/45939307/are-gold-etfs-really-a-hedge-during-a-geopolitical-crisis-heres-what-to-check-before-investing">Are Gold ETFs Really A Hedge During A Geopolitical Crisis? Here&#8217;s What To Check Before Investing</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Middle East ETFs Navigate Uncertain Course</h2>
Regional funds could suffer devastating fallout if the conflict escalates. ETFs such as WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GULF#NASDAQ">GULF</a>) and iShares MSCI Frontier and Select EM ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FM#NYSE">FM</a>) have minimal direct exposure to Iran but could still lose out on general capital outflow in the face of geopolitical volatility.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Conclusion: An Endgame Without An Exit Strategy</h2>
Markets can typically absorb tension, but they have trouble with open-ended uncertainty. Keywords like &#8220;not a ceasefire,&#8221; &#8220;an end,&#8221; and the like give investors little hints of how this war could end and at what cost markets could eventually pay.
For the time being, ETFs are where the market is subtly voting on what lies ahead, and the early indicators are that it&#8217;s gearing up for a rough ride.
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
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</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Politics

DFEN

GULF

iShares Dow Jones US Aerospace & Defense Index Fund

Trump Wants 'An End, Not a Ceasefire' For The Israel-Iran War: What That Means For ETFs

Even with the world on edge, with rising geopolitical tensions, uncertain interest rate moves and tech stocks showing some mood swings, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">ETF investors</a> aren't running scared. They're doing something smarter: diversifying their bets.
Last week, U.S.-listed ETFs pulled in $22.7 billion, pushing 2025's total inflows to $462 billion, per Etf.com. 
Here's what makes that number interesting: the money didn't just flood into one corner of the market. It was a broad-based buying spree, with investors scooping up U.S. equities, international stocks, bonds, gold, and even crypto ETFs.
Four weeks ago, the trend showed high <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45550710/investors-ditch-us-stocks-as-international-etfs-hit-52-week-highs-heres-whats-driving-the-portfolio-pivot">inclination toward international equity</a> amid shifting macroeconomic tides and geopolitical realignments. &nbsp;The so-called "Sell America" trade concerns,&nbsp;sparked by Moody's downgrade of America's credit rating, had investors redirecting capital from U.S. markets to opportunities abroad. But that narrative changed in a matter of weeks.
So what's behind this diversified appetite? 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">A "Both-And" Market Mentality</h1>
This isn't a market where investors are choosing either risk or safety, they're doing both.
On one hand, funds like the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) took in a massive $14.4 billion last week alone, proof that many still believe in the long-term power of U.S. large caps.
On the other hand, ETFs tied to gold, such as SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) and the leveraged ProShares Ultra Gold ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UGL#NYSE">UGL</a>) and iShares Bitcoin Trust&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBIT#NASDAQ">IBIT</a>), also made it into the top 10 inflow list.
Translation? Investors saying, "Yes, we're bullish — but just in case…"
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/06/45939307/are-gold-etfs-really-a-hedge-during-a-geopolitical-crisis-heres-what-to-check-before-investing">Are Gold ETFs Really A Hedge During A Geopolitical Crisis? Here&#8217;s What To Check Before Investing</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Going Global, Playing Defense</h1>
More investors are eyeing international ETFs and bonds to add some global flavor and stability to their portfolios. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Asia ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EEMA#NASDAQ">EEMA</a>) pulled in $861 million, showing growing interest in Asian growth stories.
At the same time, safer bets like the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BND#NASDAQ">BND</a>) and Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTEB#NYSE">VTEB</a>) drew strong inflows, as investors look to cushion against potential rate shocks or market hiccups.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">What's Fueling The Trend?</h1>
Geopolitical uncertainty: The Israel-Iran conflict and global election jitters are reminding investors that headlines can shake markets fast.
No clear Fed signal: With mixed signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve, no one wants to bet the farm on one asset class.
Tech fatigue: Even as big tech rallies, outflows from Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXL#NYSE">SOXL</a>) suggest some profit-taking and wariness of over-concentration.
Now isn't the time to go all-in on one theme. Instead, ETF investors are layering their strategies, holding onto core U.S. equity positions, but adding gold, bonds, and emerging markets for extra protection and growth potential.
It's less "fear of missing out," and more "fear of not being prepared."
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/06/45975763/risk-on-revival-growth-themed-etfs-hit-52-week-highs-as-market-calms-down">Risk-On Revival: Growth-Themed ETFs Hit 52-Week Highs As Market Calms Down</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Vitalii Vodolazskyi via Shutterstock

IBIT

SOXL

VTEB

Why Smart Money Is Spreading Out: ETF Flows Signal Surge In Portfolio Diversification

Screenshot 2024-05-29 at 5.35.33 PM

ADVZF

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Precious metal prices are significantly influenced by investor sentiment, much like stocks and bonds. This can lead to routine price fluctuations, sometimes large and erratic, where the volatility can create both challenges and opportunities for investors. 

Silver Prices Surging – How Market Conditions Are Affecting The Price Of Silver

3月17日（月）、景気指標が発表された結果、株式市場は上昇で取引を終えた。数週にわたる下落の後、投資家は打撃を受けた株を買い増しを始めた。米国ではニューヨークの製造業の活動が急速に減少し、関税の上昇によるコストが原因で住宅建設業者の景気後退は明らかである。
投資家たちのマーケットの注目は、金曜日に予定されている連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）の会合である。金利はこの会合で据え置かれると予想されている。
経済指標によると、2月における米国の小売売上高は予想を下回る0.2%増。この結果は、新たに発表された米国の製造業指数が-20.0にまで下がり、2023年5月以来の最低水準。住宅建設業者の信頼感も2月の42から3月の39に減少。
月曜日、株式市場のS&amp;P500のほとんどのセクターが上昇し、不動産、エネルギー、および日用品関連株は上昇し、一方で、消費関連株は下落。
ダウ平均株価は0.85％上昇し、4万1841.63ドルで取引を終了した。S&amp;P 500は0.64％上昇の5,675.12ドルで取引を終え、ナスダック総合株価指数も0.31％増の17,808.66ドルで終了した。
本日のアジア市場
<ul>
<li>火曜日、日経225株価指数は1.24％上昇し、3万7859.00ポイントで取引を終了した。上昇は、電力、ゴム・化学、石油・プラスチックセクター。</li>
<li>S&amp;P/ASX 200指数は0.08％上昇し、7,860.40ドルで取引を終了。公共関連、ゴールド、A-REITsセクターが上昇。</li>
<li>インドのNifty 50は1.29％上昇し、22,800.35で取引を終了。Nifty 500は1.66％上昇の20,624.05。</li>
<li>上海総合指数は0.11％減の3,429.76で、CSI300は0.27％上昇の4,007.72で取引を終了。</li>
<li>香港のハンセン指数は2.46％急伸し、24,740.57で取引を終了した。</li>
</ul>
05:45ETのユーロ圏市場
<ul>
<li>欧州STOXX 50は0.93%上昇。</li>
<li>ドイツのダックスは1.32%上昇。</li>
<li>フランスのCACは0.64%上昇。</li>
<li>英国のFTSE 100指数は0.50%上昇。</li>
</ul>
05:45ETの商品市場
<ul>
<li>WTI原油はバレルあたり68.35ドルで1.48%上昇、ブレンド原油はバレルあたり1.36%上昇の72.04ドルでの推移。</li>
<li>中東の緊張と中国の景気刺激策により、原油価格は上昇した。しかし、世界経済成長の懸念、米国の関税、ウクライナの停戦不透明さから、これらの上昇は限定的。</li>
<li>天然ガスはバレルあたり3.980ドルで0.95％減少。</li>
<li>金は史上最高値の1オンス3,037ドルを更新。執筆時点では、1オンスで0.82％上昇の3,030.46ドル、銀は1.32％上昇の34.763ドル、銅は0.41％上昇の4.9795ドルで取引を終えている。</li>
</ul>
05:45ETの米国先物市場
ダウ先物は0.02％下落、S&amp;P500先物は0.02％下落、ナスダック100先物は0.10％下落。
05:45ETの外国為替市場
<ul>
<li>米ドル指数は0.08％下落のの103.33、米ドル/円は0.40％上昇の149.81、米ドル/豪ドルは0.01％上昇の1.5664での推移。</li>
<li>FRBの会合を控え、米ドルは下落し、一方でドイツの景気刺激策による期待を前に、ユーロは上昇した。日本銀行による政策決定を前に、円は売られ、中国の人民元は横ばいの動きを見せた。</li>
</ul>
以上
提供：シャッターストック

3月13日（木）の米国市場は大幅下落で取引を終了、米国のインフレデータが好調にもかかわらず新たな関税が明らかになったことでS&amp;P500は<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44317410/sp-500-enters-technical-correction-as-trade-war-fears-rattle-markets" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">調整</a>に入った。
投資家感情は悪化しているが、PPI(生産者物価指数)とCPI(消費者物価指数)が予想よりも落ち着いており、失業保険申請件数も微減で労働市場は強いままだった。主要な株価指数の下落材料は、「マグニフィセント・セブン」をはじめとした大手ハイテク株の大量の売り越しだった。欧州が米国の鉄鋼やアルミに対する報復関税で貿易摩擦の緊張が高まっている。
経済データでは、2月の米国の生産者物価は横ばいで1月の改定値０．6％増の後、予想の０．3％増を下回った。失業保険申請件数は2,000件減の22万件で予想の22万5000件を下回る結果だった。
S&amp;P 500のほとんどのセクターは軒並み値を下げたが、公共事業セクターの銘柄の中には上昇しているものもあった。
ダウ平均は1.30％安の40,813.57、S&amp;P500は1.39％安の5,521.52、ナスダックは1.96％安の17,303.01で取引終了。
本日のアジア市場の動向
<ul>
<li>日経225は、電力、ゴム・化学、石油・プラスチックが値を上げ、0.72％上昇し、終値は37,053.10。</li>
<li>オーストラリアのS&amp;P/ASX200は0.52％上昇し、終値は7,789.70。</li>
<li>インド市場はホーリー祭の休日のため休場。</li>
<li>上海総合指数は1.81％上昇し、終値は3,419.56。CSI300は2.43％上昇、終値は4,006.56。</li>
<li>ハンセン指数は2.12％上昇し、終値は23,959.98。</li>
<li>中国株は、月曜日の中国の政府高官の記者会見を控え、人民銀行の流動性対策や消費刺激策などの新たな政策の期待感から上昇した。</li>
</ul>
ユーロ圏の05:45AM(ET)
<ul>
<li>ユーロ・ストックス50は0.60％上昇。</li>
<li>ドイツのDAXは0.55％上昇。</li>
<li>フランスのCACは0.65％上昇。</li>
<li>イギリスのFTSE100指数は0.41％上昇。</li>
</ul>
05:45AM(ET)現在の商品
WTI原油は1.01％上昇し、1バレル67.21ドルで取引されており、Brentは0.90％上昇の1バレル70.51。
ロシアの原油供給の削減とウクライナとの即時停戦の希望が薄れたことで、原油価格が急騰。
天然ガスは0.63％下落し、1発4.085ドルでの取引。
金は1.36％上昇し、1オンス34.773ドル、銀は0.66％上昇し、1オンス3010.96ドル、銅は0.04％上昇し、1ポンドあたり4.9270ドルでの取引。
貿易戦争の緊張感の高まりと、利上げ予想により、金相場は高値更新が続いている。また、ETFの流入やFRBの政策の見通しが引き続き投資家の感情を後押ししている。
05:45AM(ET)時点の米国先物
ダウ先物は0.54％上昇、S&amp;P500先物は0.76％上昇、ナスダック100先物は1.00％上昇。
05:45AM(ET)時点の外国為替
米ドル指数(DXY)は0.08％上昇の103.92、米ドル/円は0.076％上昇の148.93、米ドル/豪ドルは0.34％減の1.5860での取引。
米ドルの相対的な弱さが一部の通貨にプレッシャーをかけた。　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　以上

貿易摩擦の高まりや経済の不透明感から投資家がポートフォリオを守ろうと必死になっており、金は大幅上昇が続き、13日(米国）は高値更新となった。
13日の米国東部時間13時55分、金相場は1オンス2,979.76ドルで取引、1.6%上昇し、3日連続で上昇が続いた。金は年初来14%上昇、これは主要資産クラスの中で最も上昇率が高い。
SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）によると、S&amp;P 500は5.2%下落、ビットコイン（CRYPTO:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）は12%下落、米ドル指数は年初来4%下落である。
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">なぜ金は急騰しているのか</h1>
金の急上昇は経済および政治的懸念よる。トランプ大統領政権の各国に対する高い関税措置の脅威が世界貿易戦争への懸念を再燃させたことが金の急騰要因である。
一方で、景気低迷の兆候が見え始めている。アトランタ連邦準備銀行のGDPNowは、2025年第1四半期に米国経済が2.4%の縮小を予想、JPモルガンでは今年の米国の景気後退率を40%に引き上げた。
「巨大な不明なプレイヤーが最近の金の急上昇を牽引している」と、メタルズ・デイリー(Metals Daily Ltd.） のCEOであるロス・ノーマン(Ross Norman）氏は述べた。 これは、金が一般的な取引パターンに反して、国債利回りや為替相場が変動しても上昇を続けていることで明らかである。
「トランプ大統領によって始まった貿易戦争が悪化するにつれて、金が今なお最もパフォーマンスが良い資産の1つであることは当然だ」と、ベテラン市場戦略家のエド・ヤルデニ(Ed Yardeni）氏は述べている。
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">今後、金はどちらに動くのか</h1>
リスク回避が感情が高まる中、アナリストたちは金の価格予測を引き上げている。 UBS投資銀行のジョニ・テベス(Joni Teves）氏はCNBCの「スクワークボックス(Squawk Box）」で「特に関税などの政治的なリスク回避には、ポートフォリオへ金を追加することが有効だ」と発言した。
UBSは、年末までに金が1オンス3,100ドルに達すると予想している。
また、マッコーリーグループのアナリストは、さらに楽観的で第3四半期に金が1オンス3,500ドルに達すると予想している。
「私たちはこれまでの金の強さ、そして今後も上昇が続くと予想しているが、これは主に投資家や公的機関が信用リスクまたは取引の相手方が債務不履行や倒産などにより取引が履行されず、損失を被るリスクないという理由から、金への購入が増加した結果だと見ている」と、マッコーリーグループは述べている。
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">金の急騰により、鉱業株も急騰</h1>
金の急騰によって鉱業株も上昇したが、過去の高値を大きく下回る銘柄が多い。
ヴァンエック金鉱株ETF（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>）は3.13%上昇、ただし2011年の最高値の35%以下での取引。 ヴァンエック・ジュニア・ゴールド・マイナーズETF（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDXJ#NYSE">GDXJ</a>）も3.48%上昇、ただし2010年の最高値の70%以下での取引。
個別銘柄では、ニューモント（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>）は4.63%上昇。B2ゴールド（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTG#NYSE">BTG</a>）は5.07%上昇。キンロス・ゴールド（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KGC#NYSE">KGC</a>）は2.43%上昇。フランコ-ネバタ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FNV#NYSE">FNV</a>）は2.29%上昇。バリックゴールド（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOLD#NYSE">GOLD</a>）は2.13%上昇。
以上

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本日の注目ポイントは以下の通りです。
<h4>投機的なセンチメント</h4>
以下の点に注目：
<ul>
<li>この記事は個別の銘柄ではなく、大局についてのものである。TSLA株のチャートはさまざまな視点について示すために使用されている。</li>
<li>投機的なセンチメントは株式市場の主要なドライバーの一つである。
<ul>
<li>投機的なセンチメントが現在非常に高い水準にある。</li>
<li>ヒューマノイドロボットとロボタクシー vs 電気自動車の戦いが予想される。この戦いの結果は、投機的なセンチメントに大きな影響を与えるか、あるいは取り除くかに関わる。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>チャートによると、TSLA株はガンマ・スクイーズがかかり急騰している。ガンマ・スクイーズはウォール街の重要なメカニズムである。投資家はウォール街のメカニズムについて学ぶことで大きな利得を得ることができる。</li>
<li>チャートは、TSLA株の抵抗ゾーンとサポートゾーンを示している。</li>
<li>チャートのRSIによると、TSLA株は過剰買い気味になっている。これにより、TSLA株が上昇するのを容易にする。</li>
<li>テスラの決算発表後の戦いが株式の主要な決定要因となるだろう。本日の取引の終了後にテスラは決算を発表する。</li>
<li>イーロン・マスクは、テスラの株主の一部にヒューマノイドロボット、ロボタクシー、AIにフォーカスするように働きかけることに成功した。マスク氏の株主基盤の再構築に成功したにもかかわらず、テスラ株の大部分の株主は引き続き同社の電気自動車部門に焦点を当てている。</li>
<li>電気自動車事業は引き続き弱く、さらに弱くなる可能性が高い。</li>
<li>マスク氏は、テスラがヒューマノイドロボットを生産しており、これらは来年テスラで稼働すると語った。
<ul>
<li>テスラは2026年から他社にヒューマノイドロボットを販売することを目指している。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>テスラのロボタクシーイベントは8月から10月に延期された。ロボタクシーに関するさらなる煽りと目を見張るような予測を期待していい。</li>
<li>決算発表後、電気自動車に焦点を当てる人々と、ヒューマノイドロボットとロボタクシーに焦点を当てる人々との間で戦いが繰り広げられる。この戦いの結果は、TSLA株だけでなく、株式市場全体のセンチメントにも影響を及ぼすだろう。</li>
<li>重要な決算の中で、ジェネラル・モーターズ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>）、ゼネラル・エレクトリック（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>）、コカ・コーラ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KO#NYSE">KO</a>）、ロッキード・マーティン（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>）、SAP（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAP#NYSE">SAP</a>）、Spotify Technology SA（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>）が予想を上回る決算を発表した。</li>
<li>ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NYSE">UPS</a>）とNXPセミコンダクターズ（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NXPI#NASDAQ">NXPI</a> ）は予想を下回る決算を発表した。</li>
<li>S&amp;P500の企業のうち、約25％が今週決算を発表している。</li>
<li>株式市場は、カマラ・ハリスが大統領指名を獲得するために必要な代議員を確保したというニュースに大きな反応を見せている。しかし多くの市場関係者は、この興奮は一時的なものだと考えている。</li>
</ul>
<h4>インド</h4>
インドは引き続き最も優れた長期投資機会の一つである。フルディスクロージャーとして、インドに焦点を当てたファンドであるFairfax India Holdings Corp（OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FFXDF#OTC">FFXDF</a>）は The Arora Report の ZYX Buy Model Portfolio に含まれている。インドにフォーカスした3つのETF、WisdomTree India Earnings Fund（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EPI#NYSE">EPI</a>）、iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF（BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMIN#BATS">SMIN</a>）、VanEck India Growth Leaders ETF（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLIN#NYSE">GLIN</a>）が The Arora Reportの ZYX Emerging Model Portfolio に含まれている。
インドの株式にとって、中央政府の予算は常に大きなイベントとなる。この度発表された予算は、長期的には素晴らしいものだが、短期的には、キャピタルゲイン税が増えたことによって投資家が慄いている。短期キャピタルゲインには20％の税率、長期キャピタルゲインには12.5％の税率が適用される。
<h4>投資の賢者の７つの流れ</h4>
早朝の取引では、Tesla Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>）のマネーフローはプラスに傾いている。
早朝の取引では、Apple Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>）、Amazon.com, Inc.（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>）、Alphabet Inc Class C（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>）、Meta Platforms Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>）、およびMicrosoft Corp（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>）のマネーフローは中立的なものである。
早朝の取引では、NVIDIA Corp（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>）のマネーフローはマイナスに傾いている。
早朝の取引では、SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）とInvesco QQQ トラスト シリーズ1（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）のマネーフローはマイナスに傾いている。
<h4>株式のモモ・クラウドとスマートマネー</h4>
SPYとQQQのマネーフローを知ることで、投資家は利点を得ることができる。株式、金、および原油の買いがスマートマネーによって行われたタイミングを知ることで、投資家はさらなる利点を得ることができる。金にとって最も一般的なETFは、SPDR ゴールド トラスト（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）である。銀にとって最も一般的なETFは、iShares Silver Trust（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>）である。原油にとって最も一般的なETFは、アメリカン・オイル・ファンド（ASCA:USO）である。
<h4>ビットコイン</h4>
ビットコインの大口投資家は、ビットコイン（暗号通貨: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）を月面まで駆け上がらせる野心的なトランプの噂に取り組んでいる。その噂とは、トランプが、ビットコインを国家的な戦略準備金にすることができるというものだ。なお、トランプは、これに先立ち、ビットコインを100％ハイプした2024年の会議（およびそのラウンドテーブルイベント）に投資家を招待している。トランプはこの会議に対して、1人当たり84.5万ドルの費用を支払うことが条件となっている。
<h4>保護バンドと今後の対応</h4>
投資家にとっては、前方を見ることが、後方を見ることよりも重要である。
良質な、非常に長期のポジションを維持することを検討してみるのも一つの方法である。個々のリスク選好に基づき、現金あるいは国債、あるいは短期の戦術的取引、または短期から中期のヘッジ取引を含む保護バンドを考慮することも重要だ。これは自己を保護するための良い方法であり、反対に利益を伸ばすことができる。
投資家は、ヘッジと現金を合算することで、自己の保護バンドを確定することができる。高い保護バンドは、年配者または保守的な投資家に適している。低い保護バンドは、若い投資家または積極的な投資家に適している。もしヘッジを行わない場合、現金の合計額は上記よりも多く、しかしそれ以上にヘッジを行った場合よりも現金の合計額は少ない。
保護バンドが0％の場合、その時点での市場予測は非常に楽観的であり、投資家は現金を0％保有し、100％の資産を株式に投資することを選択したことを意味する。一方で保護バンドが100％の場合、その時点での市場予測は非常に悲観的であり、投資家はヘッジまたはショートセリングの方法で自己を保護しようと決意したことを意味する。
新たな機会を活用するには、十分な現金を保有していなければならない。これは投資家にとって非常に重要なポイントである。ヘッジレベルを調整する際には、株式ポジション（ETF以外）の部分的なストップ数量を調整することを検討する。また、残りの数量に対して幅の広いストップを使用すること、およびハイベータ株に対してもっとスペースを与えることを検討することも重要だ。なお、ハイベータ株とは、市場よりも個

Cryptocurrency

AMZN

FFXDF

GLIN

MSFT

NXPI

SMIN

SPOT

ヒューマロイドロボットの競争激化　市場は投機的に

米連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）のパウエル議長は6月の記者会見で、金曜日に発表されたレポートによると、市場の期待をわずかになだめる形で、物価が目標を下回るかどうかの「さらなる信頼を得たい」という考えを再度表明しました。
「今年になって、データがそのような信頼を得られていない。今年初めに受け取ったインフレデータは期待を上回るものでしたが、最近の月次データはやや緩和されました」とパウエル議長は述べています。
パウエル議長は今日のデータを歓迎しましたが、2023年下半期からの不利なベース効果によって、年間データに影響を与える可能性のある新たなインフレデータは、「良いが（先月のデータよりも）それほど大きなものではない」と警告しました。
パウエル議長は、今日のデータについて投資家の興奮をなんとか冷やしました。「それは正しい方向への一歩です。ですが、これは単なる１つのデータです」と述べました。
続きを読む: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/06/39298115/fed-holds-rates-steady-projections-show-fewer-rate-cuts-higher-inflation-outlook">Fed Holds Rates Steady: Projections Show Fewer Rate Cuts, Higher Inflation Outlook</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">5月のインフレ報告はFRBの新しいインフレ見通しに変更をもたらさなかった</h3>
パウエル議長は、今朝発表された5月の新しいインフレデータに続いて、連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）メンバーは経済見通し要約（SEP）でインフレ予測を更新する機会を持っていたと説明しました。しかし、SEPの結果は、多くのメンバーが概して自分の意見を変更していないと見られます。
今年の個人消費支出（PCE）インフレの予測中央値は2.6％に上昇し、これは3月の2.4％からの上昇です。来年の予測は2.3％に上昇し、これも3月の2.2％からの上昇です。2026年の予測は2.0％のままです。
パウエル議長によれば、労働市場の状況は、2020年の新型コロナウイルス（新型コロナ）パンデミックの前夜に立っていたときと同じような「相対的にタイトで過熱していない」バランスに戻っています。
2024年に1回だけの利上げが見込まれている（SEPで示されている通り）という見解に対して9月の利下げが実現可能かどうか尋ねられた際、パウエル議長は、FRBは必要な情報がすべて揃うまで、将来の会合についての決定はデータに基づいて行うと強調しました。
パウエル議長は再び繰り返しました。「我々は、現在の政策の緩和を正当化する自信を持っていない」と、今後の数ヵ月でさらなるプラスのインフレデータが必要だと強調しました。
Fed議長はまた、「労働市場での予想外の減少」が米連邦準備制度をインフレに対応するために利下げに駆り立てるかもしれないとも示唆しました。
「私たちがやるべきことは、物事が壊れてから修復するまで待つことではありません」とパウエル議長は述べ、FRBが労働市場データの進化を細心の注意を払ってモニタリングしていくと明言しました。
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">市場の反応</h3>
株式がセッションの上昇をわずかに縮小させる一方で、国債利回りはこの日の早い時間に経験した急落から回復しました。
9月の利下げに対する市場の期待は、今日の予想よりもわずかに低下し、70％前後から63％になりました。トレーダーたちは、2024年12月までに2回の完全に価格がついた利下げが期待されています。
3:30p.m. ET時点でS&amp;P 500指数は、その日の株価が1.5％上昇した3:30p.m. ETで最高値を記録した後、0.8％上昇しています。
この日の初めに史上最高値を記録した後、テクノロジー重視のNASDAQ100指数は1.1％上昇しているため、これはその勢いが落ちたということになります。 （NASDAQ：QQQ）
2年債の利回りは4.67％という日中の最安値を記録した後、4.76％に戻します。
10年債の利回りは4.25％の日中の安値からバウンスバックし、4.32％になりました。
この日の値動きを見ると、ゴールドは平坦で、セッション全体での上昇を消しました。<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>)

Macro Notification

Bonds

Treasuries

パウエル議長、市場の興奮を抑える「更なる信頼を得たい」

2020年6月以来、消費者物価指数（CPI）報告が<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/fomc">連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）の会合</a>と同日に発表されるのは初めてのことだ。
このことは、金融市場にとって潜在的にボラティルな水曜日を予示している。
2024年第1四半期の3ヶ月間にわたり期待を上回るインフレ率の読書が続いたが、4月のデータは物価<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/05/38842603/us-inflation-falls-as-expected-in-april-bolsters-fed-rate-cut-bets">プレッシャーが緩和され、予測に合致した。</a>
このためCPIデータは、インフレ率が続く低下傾向を示しているのかどうかを確認する上で極めて重要だ。これがあれば、連邦準備制度理事会の2％の物価目標を達成する希望を支えることになる。
このため、水曜日午前8時30分に労働統計局から発表される5月のインフレ報告書の重要性が増している。
5月のインフレ報告書の結果は、同日のプレスカンファレンス中に行われるジェローム・パウエル（Jerome Powell）議長の声明にも大きな影響を与えるだろう。
柔らかいインフレ率の読書は、今年の後半に利上げが行われる可能性を補強する一方、予想を上回るインフレ率はより積極的なアプローチを必要とし、おそらく長期間金利を高めに維持する必要があることを繰り返す可能性がある。
市場参加者は現在、9月の利上げの可能性を50-50で見積もっており、年末までに完全に価格が大きく下落することを期待していない。
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39252500/fed-meeting-preview-economists-predict-steady-rates-in-june-fewer-cuts-ahead">Fed Meeting Preview: Economists Predict Steady Rates In June, Fewer Cuts Ahead</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">5月のインフレ報告書のプレビュー：経済学者の予想</h3>
<ul>
<li>Econodayが収集した経済学者の予想によると、全体の見出しの年間インフレ率は3.4％で横ばいになると予想されている。</li>
<li>総合的なCPIは、4月の0.3％の上昇から0.1％上昇すると予想されている。</li>
<li>食品およびエネルギー価格の変動を除いた年間のインフレ率は、0.3％の月次の上昇と、4月から変わらない3.6％で推移すると予想されている。</li>
</ul>
ゴールドマンサックスのエコノミスト マヌエル・アベカシス氏は、コンシューマーエレクトロニクスやパーソナルケアなどの分野でのインフレ率の低下が報告されると予想しており、5月のデータに反映されるという見方だ。彼はまた、自動車保険料の持続的な上昇も予測しているが、ペースは徐々に遅くなり、家賃やオーナーの同等の家賃（OER）のインフレ率は横ばいで推移すると予想している。
アベカシス氏は、「今後、2024年の終わりまでの数ヶ月間、月次コアCPIインフレ率は0.2〜0.3％の範囲内に留まると予想している。 2024年12月の年間コアCPIインフレ率は3.5％、コアPCEインフレ率は2.8％と予測している」と述べた。
著名なベテラン市場アナリストのエド・ヤーデニ氏は、5月のCPI報告書が依然としてインフレが抑制されていることを確認すると見ている。
「クリーブランド連銀のインフレ・ナウキャスティング・モデルによると、5月のヘッドラインおよびコアCPIは、前年比でそれぞれ3.36％および3.55％上昇し、これは2021年4月以来の最低の年間コアインフレ率読書となる」とYardeni氏は述べている。
ヤーデニ氏は、住居のインフレ率と中古車の価格の低下を予想しており、自動車関連の他の消費者価格が安定することを期待している。
米国銀行の経済学者マイケル・ゲープン氏は、5月の報告書が4月の好調な推移を継続すると見ている。
ゲープン氏は、「1月から3月までの月次コアCPIインフレ率が0.4％と平均した後、4月には方向性が変わった。 我々は5月のコアCPIとヘッドラインCPIがそれぞれ0.3％と0.1％の上昇となり、年間インフレ率はそれぞれ4.6％と34％で4月と同じになると予想している」とゲープン氏は語った。
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">過去のCPI報告書に対する市場の反応</h3>
2024年5月15日にCPI報告書が発表され、これは、株式、債券、金、および投機的資産を巡る株式市場の反発を引き起こした。
<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 500は、この日に SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）で1.2％上昇した。</li>
<li>テクヘビーなナスダック100は、 Invesco QQQ Trust（NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）で1.6％上昇した。</li>
<li>長期国債利回りは下がり、 iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF（NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>）は1.4％上昇した。</li>
<li>金は SPDR Gold Trust（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）で1.3％上昇した。</li>
<li>ビットコイン（CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）は7.4％上昇し、2か月間で最高の1日となり、今年の最高の3番目の読書を記録した。</li>
<li>Invesco DB USDインデックスブリッシュファンドETF（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>）がドルの指標として下落し、0.7％下がり、2023年12月中旬以来の最悪の1日の性能を記録した。</li>
</ul>

Federal Reserve

消費者物価指数がFOMCで異例の報告

中東で再び緊張が高まっており、イスラエルの戦争内閣は国の対応を熟慮するために月曜日に開会し、<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">市場に衝撃を与えました。</a>
イスラエルがイランに対する報復策を検討しているという見出しにより、株式市場は急落し、金の価格が急騰しました。
何が起こったのか：チャンネル12は、イスラエルの内閣がイランに「明確で力強い」対応することを決定したと発表し、これはイスラエルが「このような大規模な攻撃を受けても無反応でいることは許さない」というイスラエルの信号を意味しています。
イスラエルの国防大臣ヨアブ・ガランは、イランがイスラエルに対する直接攻撃を繰り返すことを耐えかねると米国国防長官ロイド・オースティンに伝えましたが、この対応は中東全体を巻き込むような地域全体の紛争に発展することを回避します。 
国家安全保障会議報道官のジョン・カービーは、イランの攻撃を「壮大で恥ずべき失敗」と表現し、今日の「世界の多くはイスラエルとともに立っている」と強調しました。
先週日曜日、G7首脳会議は、イランのミサイル計画に対する新たな制裁を検討しており、イスラエルを支持しつつ、さらなるエスカレーションを防ぎたいと考えています。 
バランスのとれたアプローチを提唱する国務長官アントニー・ブリンケンは、「力と知恵は同じコインの異なる面でなければならない」と述べ、状況を慎重にかつ断固として処理することを示唆しました。ブリンケンはまた、地域のパートナーとの継続的な協議を確認し、外交努力を約束します。
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米国はイスラエルを支援することを約束しています。イランによるイスラエルへの前代未聞の攻撃に続き、我々は外交的な対応を調整し、エスカレーションを防ごうとしています。 <a href="https://t.co/9gW2gC8Y5s">pic.twitter.com/9gW2gC8Y5s</a>
&mdash; Secretary Antony Blinken (@SecBlinken) <a href="https://twitter.com/SecBlinken/status/1779940420174155836?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">2024年4月15日</a></blockquote>
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一方、中国は国連で、イランの行動をイスラエルの侵略に対する正当防衛として擁護する一方で、対照的な意見を述べました。 「イランには自衛権があります。イスラエルは国際法に違反してイラン領事館を攻撃しました。イランは反応し、自国の法的権利を行使しました」と述べました。 
なぜ重要なのか：米欧の同盟国は、世界的な影響を持つような地域全体の戦争の拡大を避けるようイスラエルに何度も警告しています。 
人的被害の観点でのみならず、イランとイスラエルの間の戦争の経済的影響は、世界経済にとって極めて破壊的であると言えます。
最初のリスクの1つは、原油価格の上昇に関連するものです。イランの原油生産は現在、世界供給の約3.4mb/d（3.3％）に上昇しています。
ゴールドマン・サックスによると、現在世界の17%の原油生産が流れているホルムズ海峡の原油の流れが途絶すると、1か月で原油価格が20%上昇し、途絶が数か月間続くと、最終的には2倍になります。 
市場の反応 SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）は米国東部時間3:00pm現在、1.2％下落し、2か月ぶりの最低水準でのクローズを予想しています。
先週金曜日の損失率1.8％に追随した形で、米国株中心のInvesco QQQ トラスト（NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）は1.6％低下しました。 
不動産セレクトセクター SPDR トラスト（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>）は2.1％ダウンし、リアルタイムで総合株指数において最大の損失を記録しました。 
仮想通貨市場は一段と悪化し、仮想通貨は大損を報告しました。 ビットコイン（CRYPTO：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）は6％下落し、62400ドルとなりました。 イーサリアム（CRYPTO：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>）は、4.1％下落し、3024ドルとなりました。
一方、ゴールド（金）やシルバーは急激に上昇し、投資家たちはこぞって安全な資産に逃避しました。
SPDR ゴールド トラスト（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）は1.5％上昇し、史上最高のクローズを記録しました。 シルバーは、2月2021年以来の最高値でのクローズを目指し、2.9％上昇しました、というのも iShares シルバー トラスト（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>）が報じています。
原油は、米国の早い時間帯の損失を取り消し、西テキサス中間原油はバレル85ドルを超える急騰を見せました。米国石油基金（United States Oil Fund）（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>）は0.1％上昇しました。 
チャート：2024年4月15日におけるSLV、GLD、USO、SPY、QQQ、BTCの株価
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="495" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79-1024x495.png" alt="" class="wp-image-292577" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79-1024x495.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79-300x145.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79-768x372.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79-1536x743.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/15150756/image-79.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
今すぐ読む: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/04/38239994/financial-markets-on-edge-as-oil-and-gold-prices-could-soar-amid-rising-israel-iran-tensions">イスラエルとイランの緊張が高まる中、原油と金の価格が急騰する可能性があるため、金融市場は緊迫している</a>
写真：シャッターストック
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