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Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is increasingly demonstrating a dual identity—mirroring the performance of high-growth tech stocks while simultaneously acting as a hedge against broader financial uncertainty, according to Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered.
In a market note shared with Benzinga on Friday, Kendrick highlighted recent trading behavior that shows Bitcoin aligning with top technology stocks, particularly Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), while also offering protection during macroeconomic stress. 
"Bitcoin is proving itself to be the best of tech—upside when stocks go up—and a hedge in multiple scenarios," he wrote.
Kendrick pointed to the price action over the past 36 hours, noting that both Microsoft and Bitcoin led gains across major assets. 
"Strongest performers were MSFT and BTC. Same again so far today in BTC spot and tech futures," he said.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/04/44634188/are-bitcoin-and-the-sp-500-heading-for-a-death-cross">Are Bitcoin And The S&amp;P 500 Heading For A Death Cross?</a>
He also emphasized that Bitcoin's resilience isn't limited to bullish equity environments. 
Citing examples such as the March 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Kendrick said Bitcoin has shown its utility as a hedge in times of traditional finance instability.
More recently, he added, it appears to be responding to concerns around "U.S. isolation," suggesting geopolitical developments are reinforcing Bitcoin's appeal as a globally accessible, non-sovereign asset.
Currently trading just below a key technical level, Kendrick said a breakout above $85,000 is likely following the latest payroll data, potentially setting the stage for a return to the $88,500 range seen before this week's tariff-driven volatility. 
"A break back above the critical $85,000 level looks likely today, post payrolls," he noted.
The comments come as Bitcoin continues to outperform other asset classes in 2025, driven by growing institutional participation, macro uncertainty, and a shifting regulatory climate in the U.S.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/04/44644270/bitcoin-will-benefit-from-tariff-chaos-arthur-hayes-says">Bitcoin Will Benefit From Tariff Chaos, Arthur Hayes Says</a></li>
</ul>
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In this article, we explore the development of a systematic trading strategy for coffee futures (@KC), which are traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) in New York. Our goal is to diversify a trading portfolio by incorporating lesser-known assets compared to more commonly traded futures.
Coffee futures belong to a category known as "soft commodities," which also includes futures contracts for sugar, cocoa, cotton, and orange juice. This market offers several appealing characteristics, including significant intraday volatility, a low correlation with equity futures, and decent trading volumes.
To analyze this market, we employ a Trend-Following approach, a strategy that has historically performed well across various commodity markets. Our objective is to determine whether this approach is equally effective for trading coffee futures.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Logic and Code Behind a Trend-Following Strategy for Coffee Futures</h2>
The strategy we aim to develop follows a Trend-Following approach, based on the breakout of significant highs and lows.
Specifically, the system enters a long position when the price surpasses the highest high recorded over a given number of sessions, defined as Highest(High, n_sessions). Conversely, it enters a short position when the price breaks below the lowest low over a set number of sessions, denoted as Lowest(Low, n_sessions).
The system remains active throughout the entire trading session of Coffee futures, which runs from 4:15 AM to 1:30 PM (exchange time), Monday through Friday. Entries and exits occur within the same trading day, meaning that all positions are closed by the end of the session unless the stop loss is triggered earlier. For this initial analysis, we set the Stop Loss at $1,500.
We evaluate the performance of our trading system in a 15-minute timeframe (data1) for trade execution and a daily timeframe (data2) for calculating entry levels, with historical data spanning from early 2010 to the end of 2023.
This concept translates into a few concise lines of code:
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><div class="wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained">
input:n_sessioni(5),mystop(1000),myprofit(0);
if EntriesToday(d)=0 then Buy next&nbsp; bar at Highest(High,n_sessioni)data2 stop;
if EntriesToday(d)=0 then Sellshort next bar at Lowest(Low,n_sessioni)data2 stop;
if mystop&gt;0 then setstoploss(mystop);
if myprofit&gt;0 then setprofittarget(myprofit);
setstopcontract;
setexitonclose;
</div>
</blockquote>
The first step in refining the strategy involves optimizing the number of sessions ("n_sessions") used to calculate breakout levels. To do this, we test values from 1 to 10 in increments of 1 and evaluate the impact on performance.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="154" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9723" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-300x66.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 1 – Optimization of the "n_sessions" input to identify the optimal number of sessions for calculating highs and lows.
The optimization reveals that as the number of sessions increases, net profit and overall performance metrics tend to deteriorate, except for maximum drawdown, which remains relatively stable. Based on this analysis, we select n_sessions = 2, meaning that our entry levels are calculated based on the past two sessions&#8217; highs and lows. A breakout of these levels triggers a position entry.
Examining the results from our first test, we observe a profitable and steadily growing equity curve, confirming that Coffee futures respond well to Trend-Following logic. While further refinements will be necessary, the initial results are promising, with an average trade of $62 and a net profit of $151,000. Not bad for an early-stage system without any additional filtering or optimizations!
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="143" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9725" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3-300x62.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 2 – Detailed equity curve of the Trend Following strategy on Coffee futures.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="630" height="432" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9724" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg 630w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1-300x127.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px" /></figure>
Figure 3 – Strategy Performance Summary and Total Trade Analysis of the Trend Following strategy on Coffee futures.
To refine our Trend-Following trading system, the first step is to analyze whether adjusting the operational time window—rather than running the system for the full trading session—can lead to improved performance.
We modify the code by introducing a custom function and incorporating two new input parameters: "MyStartTrade" and "MyEndTrade", which specify the time window in which trades are allowed. We then proceed to optimize these parameters.
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><div class="wp-block-group is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained">
var:istartofsession(false);
istartofsession=_OHLCMulti5(0415,1330,ohlcvalues);
array:ohlcValues[23](0);
input: stoploss(1500), takeprofit(0);
input: MyStartTrade(415),MyEndTrade(1330);
input: n_sessioni(2);
//ingressi
if tw(MyStartTrade,MyEndTrade)
and EntriesToday(d)=0
then begin
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy next&nbsp; bar at Highest(High,n_sessioni)data2 stop;
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sellshort next bar at lowest(Low,n_sessioni)data2 stop;
end;
if stoploss&gt;0 then setstoploss(stoploss);
if takeprofit&gt;0 then setprofittarget(takeprofit);
setstopcontract;
setexitonclose;
</div>
</blockquote>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="141" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9726" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2-300x61.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 4 – Optimization of the "MyStartTrade" input to determine the best time to start trading.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="143" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9728" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-3-300x62.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 5 – Optimization of the "MyEndTrade" input to determine the best time to stop trading.
The optimization results indicate that shortening the trading window improves overall system performance. Specifically, adjusting the start time to 5:00 AM and the end time to 12:00 PM leads to a clear reduction in maximum drawdown from over $25,000 to less than $20,000.
This improvement likely occurs because early trading movements (immediately after the market opens) tend to be erratic and lack clear direction, while opening new trades after a certain time of the day makes little sense since all positions are closed by the end of the day.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Enhancing Performance: Implementing a Price Pattern Filter</h2>
To further refine our Trend-Following strategy, we now focus on one of the most crucial metrics for real-world trading: average trade value. For our system to be viable in live trading, this metric must be high enough to cover operational costs such as commissions and slippage. This is particularly relevant in the case of coffee futures, where each tick has a relatively high value of $18.75.
One possible enhancement is the addition of a filter based on the &#8220;Daily Factor&#8221; (DF)—a pattern that measures how much the prices of the prior day moved from the open to the close relative to their total daily range (high to low).
This pattern does not indicate market direction but provides information only about volatility: a low Daily Factor value suggests that prices moved very little relative to their total range, while a high Daily Factor value indicates strong price movement, signaling a clearly bullish or bearish session.
Once the Daily Factor ("DF") value is computed, we compare it against a predefined threshold ("DF_level") to determine whether or not to enter a trade. Both "DF" and "DF_level" range from 0 to 1.
To integrate this filter, we add the following lines to our script and optimize the "DF_level" parameter, testing values between 0.1 and 1 in increments of 0.05.
//Daily Factor
input:DF_level(1);
var: DF(0);
if (highs(1)-lows(1))&lt;&gt;0 then begin
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; DF=absvalue(opens(1)-closes(1))/(highs(1)-lows(1));
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; end;
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="251" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-5.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9731" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-5.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-5-300x108.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 6 – Optimization of the "DF_level" input to define the filter based on the Daily Factor pattern.
Based on the optimization, we choose a value of 0.8. In other words, we set the strategy so that it only opens a position if the previous session's body (Open-Close) is less than 80% of the range (High-Low). This approach increases our average trade by $20, pushing it above $80, while further reducing the maximum drawdown and boosting net profit.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Further Developments to Improve Performance: Weekdays</h2>
At this stage of our testing, we have a system that is significantly improved but still not ready for live trading with real funds. We need to identify effective solutions to continue refining our approach. One idea, for instance, is to exclude specific days of the week that, over the entire historical period analyzed, have consistently proven to be less profitable.
In parallel, we update our script by introducing two new inputs, "skipdaylong" and "skipdayshort," which designate the trading days to exclude from our strategy. We then optimize these inputs within a range from 1 to 6, since in the programming language of the MultiCharts platform, these values represent the days of the week, with 1 corresponding to Monday and 6 to Saturday.
input: skipdaylong(-1),skipdayshort(-1);
if dayofweek(d)&lt;&gt;skipdaylong then Buy next&nbsp; bar at Highest(High,len)data2 stop;
if dayofweek(d)&lt;&gt;skipdayshort then Sellshort next bar at Lowest(Low,len)data2 stop;
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="696" height="95" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-4.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9727" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-4.jpg 696w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-4-300x41.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px" /></figure>
Figure 7 – Results of the optimization for the "skipdaylong" and "skipdayshort" inputs, sorted by average trade.
To validate our optimization results, we use a proprietary program that enables us to analyze the bias of each instrument at various levels—from intraday hourly bias to monthly and yearly bias. Examining Figure 8, we immediately notice that on Mondays (highlighted in the figure), Coffee futures tend to move sideways without a well-defined trend. In contrast, on the other days, the trend is clearer and generally bearish for this instrument. Furthermore, a Daily Factor measured on Fridays is evidently weaker than one measured on any other day. Based on these observations, we have decided to exclude Mondays from our trading operations, which helps us move closer to a $100 average trade.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="698" height="296" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9730" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg 698w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1-300x127.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 698px) 100vw, 698px" /></figure>
Figure 8 – Results of the weekly bias analysis for Coffee futures, carried out using the proprietary Bias Finder software.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Strategy Exit Optimization and Final Performance</h2>
As the final step in our test, we perform our usual stop-loss optimization, which had previously been set to $1,500. At the same time, we introduce a profit target to assess whether it provides additional benefits. As a result of this final refinement, we choose $1,700 for both the stop-loss and the profit target.
The final metrics from our study include a net profit of $167,000, an average trade of $107, and a maximum drawdown of about $13,000.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="698" height="296" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9729" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1.jpg 698w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-1-300x127.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 698px) 100vw, 698px" /></figure>
Figure 9 – Optimization of the Stop Loss value for the Trend Following strategy on Coffee futures.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="292" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-7.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9734" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-7.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-7-300x126.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 10 – Optimization of the Profit Target value for the Trend Following strategy on Coffee futures.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="697" height="384" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-6.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9732" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-6.jpg 697w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-6-300x165.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px" /></figure>
Figure 11 – Final equity curve of the strategy on Coffee futures.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="688" height="351" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-9733" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2.jpg 688w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/04091008/image-2-300x61.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 688px) 100vw, 688px" /></figure>
Figure 12 – Final Performance Summary and Total Trade Analysis of the strategy on Coffee futures.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Conclusions on the Trend Following Trading System for Coffee Futures</h2>
In short, the Trend Following approach described in this article has shown considerable promise for trading Coffee futures. This underscores the importance of exploring less familiar markets—beyond the more widely recognized ones—to achieve greater portfolio diversification. While this analysis has provided valuable insights, further refinement is necessary before transitioning to live trading. This includes identifying the most profitable trades and improving the average trade so it's sufficiently robust for real-world conditions.
Until next time, happy trading!
Andrea Unger

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This Strategy Shows Promise For Trading Coffee Futures

Shell PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEL#NYSE">SHEL</a>) shares are trading lower premarket on Friday. On Thursday, the company&#8217;s subsidiary, Shell Midstream Operating LLC, reached an agreement to sell its 16.125% stake in Colonial Enterprises, Inc. to Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BIP#NYSE">BIP</a>) subsidiary, Colossus AcquireCo LLC, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.shell.com/news-and-insights/newsroom/news-and-media-releases/2025/shell-to-sell-interest-in-colonial-enterprises-inc-to-brookfield-subsidiary.html" rel="noreferrer noopener">for </a>$1.45 billion.
Together with Shell, the co-owners of Colonial Enterprises have agreed to sell 100% of their Colonial shares to Brookfield.
In particular, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners and its institutional partners have agreed to acquire Colonial Enterprises, including the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/04/g44640407/brookfield-infrastructure-announces-the-acquisition-of-colonial-enterprises" rel="noreferrer noopener">Colonial Pipeline, for $9 billion (9x EBITDA)</a>.
The transaction values Shell&#8217;s stake at $1.45 billion, factoring in around $500 million in non-recourse debt, with customary closing adjustments excluded.
Spanning 5,500 miles from Texas to New York, Colonial is the largest refined products pipeline in the U.S., with a strong performance history.
BIP will contribute $500 million, or 15% of the total equity investment, funded through capital recycling initiatives. The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2025, pending regulatory approvals.
Notably, Colonial&nbsp;is jointly owned by Shell Midstream (16.125%), Koch Capital Investments Company, LLC (28.088%), KKR-Keats Pipeline Investors (23.443%), Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (16.549%), and IFM Investors (15.795%).
Last month, at Capital Markets Day 2025,&nbsp;Shell&nbsp;disclosed plans to increase shareholder distributions from 30%-40% to 40%-50% of cash flow from operations <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/03/44470278/shell-unveils-new-strategy-higher-buybacks-cost-cuts-and-10-annual-free-cash-flow-growth" rel="noreferrer noopener">(CFFO) throughout economic cycles</a>.
Shell has raised its structural cost reduction target from $2-3 billion by the end of 2025 to a cumulative $5-7 billion by 2028,&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">based on 2022 levels</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via Precidian ETFs Trust Shell plc ADRhedged (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEH#BATS">SHEH</a>) and Abacus FCF Real Assets Leaders ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABLD#BATS">ABLD</a>).
Price Action: SHEL shares are down 4.66% at $66.52 premarket at the last check Friday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/03/44435971/shell-announces-final-investment-decision-for-major-brazil-oil-field-set-for-120000-barrels-day" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Shell Announces Final Investment Decision for Major Brazil Oil Field, Set for 120,000 Barrels/Day</a></li>
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Financial analyst Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors provided his analysis on the market&#8217;s response and potential tactics behind the White House&#8217;s actions.
What Happened: On Thursday, in a conversation with StockMKTNewz, Tom Lee gave his viewpoint on the repercussions of the sudden tariff rates declared by the Trump administration. The rates, 46% on Vietnam and 34% on China, were calculated based on trade deficits, a departure from traditional tariff methodologies, and were much harsher than expected.
Lee characterized these rates as &#8220;absurd,&#8221; comparing them to a &#8220;dark comedy&#8221; due to their arbitrary nature and lack of economic rationale. The immediate market reaction was a significant 3.5% opening gap down in the S&amp;P 500, marking the seventh largest negative opening gap in 40 years.
Trump&#8217;s tariff wiped out around $2.5 trillion from the U.S. stock market. 
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio"> 
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<iframe loading="lazy" title="Tom Lee&#039;s BIG Takes After Tariff Liberation Day: Exclusive StockMKTNewz Interview" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HC6V1B7PceI?start=169&#038;feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>
</div>
</figure>
As earnings season nears, Lee expects companies with solid fundamentals and limited exposure to tariff-impacted supply chains to stand out as &#8220;superpower companies.&#8221;
Lee believes Tesla (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) remains stable because the market has already accounted for the worst-case scenario, potentially setting the stage for a V-shaped recovery. Strong performers like Palantir (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>), Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>), and Strategy (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>), previously MicroStrategy, further indicate that market leaders are stabilizing rather than declining further.
&#8220;I expect a V-shaped recovery, but the timing is now a bit harder to judge because we don't really have the band-aid completely ripped off until April 9th.&#8221;
SEE ALSO:&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44642355/trumps-25-auto-tariffs-spark-stellantis-layoffs-gm-expansion-uaws-shawn-fain-calls-job-cuts-comp" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump&#8217;s 25% Auto Tariffs Spark Stellantis Layoffs, GM Expansion: UAW&#8217;s Shawn Fain Calls Job Cuts &#8216;Completely Unnecessary&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: Despite the initial market panic, Lee maintains a cautious optimism, arguing that the economic impact may not be as catastrophic as feared. He pointed out the benefit&nbsp;of falling bond yields: for&nbsp;every 10 basis points the&nbsp;10-year Treasury yield drops, the&nbsp;U.S. saves $36 billion in&nbsp;debt service costs.
Lee sees the White House&#8217;s silence as a calculated strategy to create panic&nbsp;among trading partners, maximizing negotiating&nbsp;leverage until the April 9&nbsp;deadline. He believes this approach is primarily aimed&nbsp;at the EU and China,&nbsp;the two regions most critical&nbsp;to U.S. trade dynamics.
Tom Lee called the market sell-off <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44244329/tom-lee-predicts-market-stabilization-following-mondays-overreaction-foresees-may-rate-cut">amid recession fears</a> during mid-March an &#8220;overreaction&#8221;. Even earlier this week, Lee wrote on X, "Markets are deeply oversold," adding that "too many are only pricing in ‘worst case&#8217;" scenarios. 
Despite the market turmoil, Lee encouraged investors to remain resilient,&nbsp;predicting a sharp bounce around&nbsp;April 9 as negotiations progress&nbsp;and the VIX subsides.
<ul>
<li>READ MORE:&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.com/news/25/03/44575557/mark-cuban-says-if-they-replaced-elon-musk-with-him-hes-still-try-to-make-government-smaller-by-cutting-a-lot-of-people" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Mark Cuban Says, If They Replaced Elon Musk With Him, He&#8217;ll Still Try to Make Government Smaller By &#8216;Cutting A Lot Of People&#8217; &#8211; Benzinga</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Markets

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Tom Lee Slams Trump's 'Absurd' Tariff Hike — Expects A 'Recovery' But Says Timing Is Uncertain As Market Sheds $2.5 Trillion In A Day

Barclays analyst Manav Patnaik upgrades ADT (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADT#NYSE">ADT</a>) from Underweight to Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $7 to $9.

Upgrades

Barclays Upgrades ADT to Equal-Weight, Raises Price Target to $9

TREMFYA&#xAE; demonstrated clinically meaningful and statistically significant efficacy in patients with active psoriatic arthritis at risk for structural damage in Phase 3b study
Topline results demonstrate efficacy across multiple domains at Week 24, reinforcing TREMFYA&#xAE; as a first-line treatment option for patients with active psoriatic arthritis
SPRING HOUSE, Pa., April 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Johnson &amp; Johnson (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JNJ#NYSE">JNJ</a>) today announced that the TREMFYA&#xAE; (guselkumab) Phase 3b APEX study achieved both its primary endpoint (ACR20a) of reducing signs and symptoms and its major secondary endpoint of reducing progression of structural damage as measured by radiographic progression at 24 weeks, in adults living with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA), compared to placebo.1

Biotech

General

Johnson & Johnson Announces TREMFYA Is The First And Only IL-23 Inhibitor To Reduce Both The Signs And Symptoms And The Progression Of Structural Damage In Adults Living With Active Psoriatic Arthritis

EFSH

1847 Holdings Receives Delisting Notice From The NYSE American

<a href="https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=u9xu6hKY5TP0fcobkUsOApjld7AeQABrgPmRSTxeZLcFwjg1p2BS8Cg6p0_8a92jiN6B2ybQiFVNDVmTSmzxajba4lfFmJdr9whmecoocaY=">Genius Group Limited</a> (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNS#NYSE">GNS</a>) ("Genius Group" or the "Company"), a leading AI-powered, Bitcoin-first education group,&nbsp;today announced that it has filed a lawsuit against Peter Ritz and Michael Moe as the controlling officers and directors of LZGI International, Inc ("LZG") under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO), in the United States District Court, Southern District of Florida on March 31, 2025, seeking over $450 million in damages caused by the defendants to Genius Group.
On April 4, 2025, the Company is filing the complaint as part of a Current Report on Form 6-K with the SEC, and as part of a police report to the Commercial Affairs Department of the Singapore Police Force for organized criminal activity against a Singapore public company. The Company has also notified: The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); The Criminal Division, Fraud Section, Department of Justice (DOJ); and the Corporate Fraud Division, Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) on the contents of the RICO complaint with a request for them to pursue their own actions.
The RICO Complaint includes the following:
<ul>
<li>A scheme by the Defendants to defraud LZGI and Genius Group shareholders through a pattern of mail fraud, wire fraud, and extortion, to acquire control of different microcap entities, enrich themselves through the diversion of funds and thereby render LZGI and its subsidiaries insolvent. &nbsp;</li>
<li>A scheme by the Defendants to use LZGI as a vehicle to coerce and extort the insiders of microcap companies for the purpose of taking over the business and looting the assets of the entities, with Genius Group being their latest victim. &nbsp;</li>
<li>The Defendant's attempts to defraud Genius Group through various acts of mail fraud, wire fraud and extortion, including the fraudulent inducement to enter an asset purchase agreement based on false representations and warranties in order to extract funds from Genius Group for a purported asset that was never in their ownership control, and when that failed, an attempt to take control of the Company through an illegally executed Boardroom coup. &nbsp;</li>
<li>A recently recorded meeting between Ritz and Genius executives, during which Ritz detailed his latest scheme of weaponizing the US legal process to obtain a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction preventing Genius Group from issuing shares and raising funds to continue operations. Having obtained a court ordered ban through false and misleading statements, Ritz has threatened that if the Company does not give him millions more to fund his next scheme to defraud LZGI and Genius Group shareholders, he could bankrupt LZGI to ensure Genius Group receives nothing from the arbitration, while it remains tied up in restrictions. By this scheme, Ritz gave Genius Group the choice of aiding their fraud or face the threat of forced closure. &nbsp;</li>
<li>Genius Group has demanded a trial by jury and seeks a verdict and judgement awarding the Company no less than $150 million in monetary damages, which based on treble damages pursuant to 772.104(1), Fla. Stat. (2024) is minimum of $450 million in damages. &nbsp;</li>
</ul>
The Company is represented in the RICO complaint by the Basile Law Firm P.C., a specialist in securities violations and RICO claims. The case number is 1:25-cv-21496.
The RICO complaint is one of a series of legal measures that the Company is currently taking against fraud and market manipulation. It is separate from the lawsuit led by Christian Attar related to alleged naked short selling and spoofing of Genius Group's shares, with alleged damages previously calculated at between $251 million and $263 million. Wes Christian of Christian Attar anticipates calculations on updated damages will be completed and the complaint will be filed within the next thirty days.

Genius Group Sues LZGI International's Peter Ritz And Michael Moe Under RICO Act In Southern District Of Florida, Seeking Over $450M In Damages For Alleged Wrongdoing

Barclays analyst Manav Patnaik downgrades UniFirst (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNF#NYSE">UNF</a>) from Equal-Weight to Underweight and lowers the price target from $180 to $152.

Downgrades

Barclays Downgrades UniFirst to Underweight, Lowers Price Target to $152

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>PAMT (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PAMT#NASDAQ">PAMT</a>) shares increased by 25.8% to $13.98 during Friday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $304.5 million. </li>
<li>Advent Technologies Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADN#NASDAQ">ADN</a>) shares rose 18.06% to $3.66. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $9.6 million. </li>
<li>374Water (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCWO#NASDAQ">SCWO</a>) shares moved upwards by 16.99% to $0.35. The company's market cap stands at $50.1 million. </li>
<li>Urban-gro (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UGRO#NASDAQ">UGRO</a>) stock increased by 16.27% to $0.5. The company's market cap stands at $6.3 million. </li>
<li>Jayud Global Logistics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JYD#NASDAQ">JYD</a>) shares increased by 15.25% to $0.49. The company's market cap stands at $47.2 million. </li>
<li>American Rebel Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AREB#NASDAQ">AREB</a>) stock moved upwards by 12.62% to $4.46. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.6 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Southland Holdings (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLND#AMEX">SLND</a>) shares declined by 32.3% to $2.01 during Friday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $108.4 million. </li>
<li>LanzaTech Global (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LNZA#NASDAQ">LNZA</a>) shares fell 21.61% to $0.18. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $35.6 million. As per the press release, Q4 earnings came out 4 days ago. </li>
<li>Eshallgo (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EHGO#NASDAQ">EHGO</a>) shares declined by 12.39% to $0.92. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $23.4 million. </li>
<li>ExlService Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXLS#NASDAQ">EXLS</a>) stock declined by 12.35% to $40.39. The company's market cap stands at $6.5 billion. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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10 Industrials Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Mullen Automotive (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MULN#NASDAQ">MULN</a>) shares rose 39.2% to $0.11 during Friday's pre-market session. </li>
<li>Lazydays Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GORV#NASDAQ">GORV</a>) stock increased by 11.48% to $0.3. The company's market cap stands at $32.9 million. As per the news, the Q4 earnings report came out 4 days ago. </li>
<li>TCTM Kids IT Education (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCTM#NASDAQ">TCTM</a>) shares moved upwards by 10.7% to $0.48. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $4.7 million. </li>
<li>Soho House (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHCO#NYSE">SHCO</a>) shares increased by 8.12% to $6.39. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.2 billion. As per the press release, Q4 earnings came out 4 days ago. </li>
<li>Newton Golf (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NWTG#NASDAQ">NWTG</a>) stock moved upwards by 8.1% to $1.6. </li>
<li>Six Flags Entertainment (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FUN#NYSE">FUN</a>) shares increased by 8.0% to $34.54. The company's market cap stands at $3.4 billion. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Jiuzi Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JZXN#NASDAQ">JZXN</a>) stock fell 27.5% to $2.0 during Friday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $22.0 million. </li>
<li>Youdao (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAO#NYSE">DAO</a>) shares declined by 18.33% to $6.33. The company's market cap stands at $756.5 million. </li>
<li>Twin Vee PowerCats (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VEEE#NASDAQ">VEEE</a>) shares declined by 17.57% to $0.26. The company's market cap stands at $3.9 million. </li>
<li>QuantaSing Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QSG#NASDAQ">QSG</a>) shares decreased by 17.47% to $4.3. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $219.7 million. </li>
<li>Clarus (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLAR#NASDAQ">CLAR</a>) stock decreased by 16.44% to $3.0. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $115.0 million. </li>
<li>Niu Techs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NIU#NASDAQ">NIU</a>) stock declined by 16.24% to $3.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $248.3 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Impact BioMedical (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBO#AMEX">IBO</a>) stock increased by 80.6% to $0.84 during Friday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $9.6 million. </li>
<li>Biodexa Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BDRX#NASDAQ">BDRX</a>) shares rose 25.15% to $1.84. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.2 million. </li>
<li>Entero Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENTO#NASDAQ">ENTO</a>) stock moved upwards by 23.77% to $0.54. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.5 million. </li>
<li>Sangamo Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SGMO#NASDAQ">SGMO</a>) shares moved upwards by 23.73% to $0.77. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $173.0 million. </li>
<li>Kairos Pharma (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KAPA#AMEX">KAPA</a>) shares moved upwards by 14.89% to $1.08. The company's market cap stands at $14.7 million. </li>
<li>ZyVersa Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZVSA#NASDAQ">ZVSA</a>) stock moved upwards by 12.06% to $0.68. The company's market cap stands at $1.7 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>KORU Medical Systems (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRMD#NASDAQ">KRMD</a>) shares declined by 57.2% to $1.01 during Friday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $46.4 million. </li>
<li>NeuroOne Medical Tech (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NMTC#NASDAQ">NMTC</a>) stock fell 41.28% to $0.51. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $15.5 million. </li>
<li>XOMA Royalty (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOMAP#NASDAQ">XOMAP</a>) shares decreased by 35.09% to $16.71. </li>
<li>Nexalin Technology (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NXL#NASDAQ">NXL</a>) shares declined by 30.39% to $1.26. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $16.7 million. </li>
<li>Dianthus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DNTH#NASDAQ">DNTH</a>) shares decreased by 23.34% to $13.01. The company's market cap stands at $417.9 million. </li>
<li>Maze Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAZE#NASDAQ">MAZE</a>) stock fell 22.75% to $7.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $315.1 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Wellchange Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WCT#NASDAQ">WCT</a>) stock moved upwards by 40.8% to $0.27 during Friday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $12.7 million. </li>
<li>CXApp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CXAI#NASDAQ">CXAI</a>) stock rose 31.38% to $1.06. The company's market cap stands at $19.7 million. As per the news, the Q4 earnings report came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Oblong (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OBLG#NASDAQ">OBLG</a>) shares moved upwards by 30.48% to $4.35. The company's market cap stands at $5.0 million. </li>
<li>Bit Origin (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTOG#NASDAQ">BTOG</a>) stock increased by 13.9% to $0.17. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.4 million. </li>
<li>Brand Engagement Network (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNAI#NASDAQ">BNAI</a>) stock increased by 12.66% to $0.34. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $13.9 million. </li>
<li>Smith Micro Software (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMSI#NASDAQ">SMSI</a>) stock increased by 10.41% to $0.82. The company's market cap stands at $14.5 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Agora (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/API#NASDAQ">API</a>) shares decreased by 16.6% to $3.15 during Friday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $290.3 million. </li>
<li>Intchains Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICG#NASDAQ">ICG</a>) stock fell 16.44% to $1.83. The company's market cap stands at $110.4 million. </li>
<li>Arlo Technologies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARLO#NYSE">ARLO</a>) shares fell 15.87% to $7.16. The company's market cap stands at $733.4 million. </li>
<li>Data Storage (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DTST#NASDAQ">DTST</a>) shares decreased by 15.79% to $2.88. The company's market cap stands at $20.2 million. As per the news, the Q4 earnings report came out 4 days ago. </li>
<li>VNET Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNET#NASDAQ">VNET</a>) shares declined by 12.69% to $6.4. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.7 billion. </li>
<li>Soluna Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLNH#NASDAQ">SLNH</a>) shares fell 12.4% to $0.43. The company's market cap stands at $4.5 million. The company's, Q4 earnings came out 3 days ago. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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12 Information Technology Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ: OPK) today announced that its Board of Directors has authorized an increase of $100 million to the Company's existing common stock repurchase program, bringing the aggregate capacity of the program to $200 million. Approximately $41 million of OPKO's common stock has been repurchased under the existing program since its authorization in July 2024.

Buybacks

OPKO Health Announces $100M Increase To Its Existing Share Repurchase Program, Bringing The Aggregate Capacity Of The Program To $200M

Small Cap Consumer Research analyst Eric Beder reiterates Guess (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GES#NYSE">GES</a>) with a Buy and maintains $23 price target.

Reiteration

Small Cap Consumer Research Reiterates Buy on Guess, Maintains $23 Price Target

Stock Split

Twin Vee PowerCats Announces 1-For-10 Reverse Stock Split, Effective April 7,2025

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (the "Company" or "CVG") announced the retirement of Robert C. Griffin, from the Board of Directors of the Company, effective May 15, 2025, without standing for re-election at the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders.
Mr. Griffin has served as a Director since 2005 and is the current Chairman of the Board. Mr. Griffin's retirement is not as a result of any disagreement with the Company, its management, the Board or any committee of the Board. It is expected that William C. Johnson will serve as the Chairman of the Board following Mr. Griffin's retirement.

Management

CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group Board Member Robert Griffin To Retire; William Johnson To Become Chairman Of The Board

Barclays analyst Manav Patnaik downgrades Equifax (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EFX#NYSE">EFX</a>) from Overweight to Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $325 to $260.

Barclays Downgrades Equifax to Equal-Weight, Lowers Price Target to $260

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Metal Sky Star Acquisition Corporation - Right

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Metal Sky Star Acquisition Corporation - Right (NASDAQ:MSSAR) 株価情報, 空売り情報

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