iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT)

最新ニュース iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT)

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

The Fund seeks to track the investment results of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (the Underlying Index), which measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years. As of February 29, 2024, there were 40 issues in the Underlying Index. The Underlying Index consists of publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years and have dollar 300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve System (the Fed). In addition, the securities in the Underlying Index must be fixed rate and denominated in U.S. dollars. Excluded from the Underlying Index are inflation-linked securities, Treasury bills, cash management bills, any government agency debt issued with or without a government guarantee and zero-coupon issues that have been stripped from coupon-paying bonds. The Underlying Index is market value weighted, and the securities in the Underlying Index are updated on the last business day of each month.

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Wall Street extends gains on Wednesday, as investors remain resilient in their risk appetite despite the looming announcement of sweeping trade tariffs <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">by President Donald Trump.</a>
The president is <a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/wgmKYg-zK9o">scheduled to speak at 4 p.m. ET</a> on what he dubbed "Liberation Day," with expectations pointing to the imposition of tariffs around 20% on a broad range of goods.
The S&amp;P 500 is up 0.8%, aiming for what could become its third consecutive positive session. The Nasdaq 100 is also rebounding strongly, rising 1.1%, while small-cap stocks outperform large caps, with the Russell 2000 climbing 1.5%.
Nearly all sectors are in the green, except defensive consumer staples. Consumer discretionary and tech lead the way in performance.
Treasury yields are on the rise, with the 30-year yield hitting 4.57%, up 5 basis points, dragging the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) down by 0.7%.
The latest ADP Employment Report showed a stronger-than-expected pace of private payroll growth in March, reinforcing the resilience of the U.S. labor market despite the tariff-related uncertainties.
In corporate news, The New York Times reported that Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) submitted a last-ditch bid to acquire TikTok, the popular video app, as it nears an April deadline to separate from its Chinese owner or face a potential U.S. ban. Shares of the e-commerce giant rallied 2.4%.
The U.S. dollar index fell 0.3%, while gold and oil prices both gained 0.6%. Crypto sentiment remained positive, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) surging 2.5% to trade above $87,000.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices </td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,042.86</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,650.79</td>
<td>1.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,321.94</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,675.71</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:00 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.9% to $566.04.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) rose 0.8% to $422.89.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rallied 1.2% to $478.34.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1.6% to 202.75.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, up 2.2%; the&nbsp;Consumer Staples&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) lagged, down 0.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) rallied over 4% despite reporting <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/04/44607859/teslas-deliveries-slide-in-q1-amid-production-setbacks-political-backlash">the worst quarterly deliveries in over two years</a> and missing analyst estimates. Investors appear to be betting on the EV giant as a potential beneficiary of trade tariffs, given its entirely U.S.-based production.</li>
<li>GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEV#NYSE">GEV</a>) rose 5.9% after Susquehanna initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and $411 price target.</li>
<li>Shares of Rocket Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RKT#NYSE">RKT</a>) surged 12% after receiving upgrades from both Keefe Bruyette &amp; Woods and Deutsche Bank.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/04/44603859/bitcoin-braces-for-trump-tariff-announcement-short-term-optimism-has-the-upper-hand-experts-say">Bitcoin Braces For Trump Tariff Announcement: &#8216;Short-Term Optimism&#8217; Has The Upper Hand, Experts Say</a></li>
</ul>
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Wall Street Rebounds Ahead Of Tariff Announcement, Small Caps Rally, Bitcoin Hits $87,000: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

For most of the past five years, bonds have been in a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds">brutal bear market</a>. 
Since peaking on March 9, 2020, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) — the world&#8217;s largest fixed-income ETF — has lost nearly 50%, battered by tight monetary policy, strong economic <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">growth and persistent inflation.</a>
Yet, fresh reversal signals have started emerging as the first quarter of 2025 draws close.
The gauge tracking longer-dated Treasury securities jumped 4.2% in the first quarter. In contrast, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), a benchmark for U.S. stocks, fell 5% over the same period. 
That 9% performance gap favoring bonds over stocks is the largest in a single quarter since April 2020.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">TLT Notched Strongest Outperformance Over S&amp;P 500 Since Q1 2020</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="529" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb-1024x529.png" alt="" class="wp-image-849965" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb-1024x529.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb-300x155.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb-768x396.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb-1536x793.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/31162615/TLT_SPY_2025-03-31_21-25-44_b61eb.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Why Are Bonds Suddenly Back?</h3>
Kent Thune, a CFP and investment advisor for ETF.com, believes the answer may lie in the shifting consumer confidence. 
"Weren't bond prices supposed to fall amid the inflationary potential of tariffs, tax cuts and deportations? What explains TLT's unexpected performance? The short answer is consumer confidence," Thune said.
Indeed, consumer sentiment is deteriorating rapidly. This signals that households may begin to reduce spending. That&#8217;s a troubling sign for a U.S. economy where consumption accounts for 70% of gross domestic product.
The University of Michigan&#8217;s final consumer sentiment index for March dropped sharply to 57.0, down from 64.7 in February. This is the lowest reading since November 2022. 
"Consumer sentiment confirmed its early month reading and fell for the third straight month, plummeting 12% from February," said Joanne Hsu, director of the university's Surveys of Consumers.
This souring sentiment comes as longer-term inflation expectations—shaping behaviors like wage negotiations and mortgage demand—jumped to 4.1%, the highest since 1993.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in a 75% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by at least 25 basis points at its June meeting.
The Atlanta&#8217;s Fed GDPNow model estimates a 2.8% economic contraction for the year&#8217;s first quarter.
These signs of economic strain have driven investors toward bonds in a flight to safety, even as inflation concerns continue to cloud the outlook.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Not Everyone Is Buying The Recession Narrative</h3>
What if the U.S. economy avoids a recession altogether and remains resilient? After all, on Wall Street, not everyone seems rattled by soft consumer sentiment data or slowing GDP estimates.
Even Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dismissed the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44344560/horrific-report-economists-warn-consumer-confidence-collapse-signals-economic-trouble">University of Michigan's sentiment survey</a> as an "outlier." 
Veteran strategist Ed Yardeni remains skeptical the Fed will cut rates anytime soon. 
"We've been predicting none-and-done for Fed rate-cutting this year because of better-than-expected GDP growth," Yardeni said. "Now we are predicting that the Fed won't be able to ease even if the economy stagnates because higher inflation will force the Fed to stay put. The Fed Put will remain on hold."
Yardeni expects the 10-year Treasury yield to stay anchored in the 4.25%-4.75% range. That would likely cap further upside for long-duration bonds. If yields remain flat—or rise—bond performance could turn negative again.
Bravos Research highlighted in an email that Treasury yields are back to where they were in late 2022, suggesting relative stability rather than turmoil. 
"Over the last few months, bond yields have been essentially flat, not reflecting major recession concerns from bond investors," the firm said.
That's a stark contrast from past recessions like 2008 and 2001, when yields plunged sharply in anticipation of economic pain. Today, the bond market is projecting calm, not crisis.
Labor market data supports that outlook. Total U.S. employment continues to grow steadily—an unusual pattern for a pre-recession environment. "The stock market's performance is generally tied to the strength of the job market," Bravos said. "A deterioration in employment would make us more worried about a significant correction in the S&amp;P 500, similar to 2001 and 2008. But we're not seeing evidence of that right now."
With no clear signs of labor weakness or financial stress, Bravos Research views the recent stock pullback not as a warning shot but as a tactical buying opportunity.
"Given we don't believe a recession will happen in 2025, we think by year-end this will have proven to be a buying opportunity," the firm said.
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44563303/gold-beats-sp-500-by-widest-margin-since-2011-as-tariff-fears-trigger-rush-to-havens">Gold Beats S&amp;P 500 By Widest Margin Since 2011 As Tariff Fears Trigger Rush To Havens</a></li>
</ul>
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Treasury Bonds Have Lost 50% In 5 Years, Yet Reversal Signals Emerge In Q1: Could Tariffs Actually Push TLT Higher?

Stock and ETF investors, take note. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/peter-schiff">Peter Schiff </a>sees trouble ahead and he's not mincing words. The renowned investor warns that the government and financial media are &#8220;making the same mistake again&#8221; as they did before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, Schiff wrote <a href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1906690596640600283">on</a> X.
The culprit this time? A toxic mix of tariffs, rising interest rates and misguided Federal Reserve policies that could unleash an economic firestorm.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tariffs: A Recipe For Inflation, Rate Hikes</h2>
Schiff argues that tariffs won't just impact trade &#8211; they'll send shockwaves through the economy. &#8220;Tariffs mean fewer goods will come into the country, and fewer dollars will go out. More money chasing fewer goods means higher domestic prices. This is an economic certainty,&#8221; he said.
For investors, that translates to higher inflation, a weaker consumer and pressure on corporate margins.
But it doesn't stop there. &#8220;Lower trade deficits will result in fewer dollars being recycled into U.S. bonds, sending long-term interest rates higher.&#8221; With higher rates, borrowing costs rise for businesses and consumers alike, slowing growth and putting pressure on stocks—especially high-flying tech names.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44309742/recession-watch-small-caps-sound-the-alarm-but-credit-markets-shrug">Recession Watch: Small Caps Sound The Alarm, But Credit Markets Shrug</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Fed To The Rescue? Not So Fast</h2>
Schiff sees the Federal Reserve making the wrong move when the economy starts showing signs of strain. &#8220;The Fed will respond to this &#8216;unexpected&#8217; economic weakness with rate cuts, ignoring the surge in consumer prices as a transitory effect of tariffs.&#8221; 
Translation? Inflation won't just persist &#8211; it could spiral. And if the Fed resorts to quantitative easing (QE) again, Schiff warns, &#8220;throwing gasoline on an already burning inflation fire&#8221; could create a crisis far worse than 1970s-style stagflation.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What It Means For Investors</h2>
If Schiff's prediction plays out, stock investors should brace for turbulence. High-growth and rate-sensitive sectors like technology, as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), could face pressure. On the other hand, inflation-resistant assets &#8211; such as:
Commodities, as tracked by the Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBC#NYSE">DBC</a>); Gold, as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), and select energy stocks &#8211; may become safe havens.
Bond investors and those invested in popular Treasury tracking ETFs such as iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>), the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BND#NASDAQ">BND</a>) and the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGG#NYSE">AGG</a>) beware: rising long-term rates could send Treasury prices tumbling.
Meanwhile, a &#8220;weaker dollar and larger budget deficits&#8221; could mean international ETFs and hard assets outperform U.S. equities.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Is This The Next 2008?</h2>
Schiff isn't predicting a simple market correction &#8211; he's warning of something much worse. &#8220;This will not be 1970s-style stagflation. It will be something much worse.&#8221; 
If history is about to repeat itself, as he suggests, investors who ignore the warning signs could be caught in the fire. The question is: Are you ready?
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44456554/trade-wars-fed-moves-and-a-40-recession-risk-is-your-portfolio-ready">Trade Wars, Fed Moves And A 40% Recession Risk &#8211; Is Your Portfolio Ready?</a></li>
</ul>
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Peter Schiff Sounds The Alarm: 'Same Mistake Again' Could Trigger Economic Firestorm

A major credit rating firm said Wednesday that the U.S. economy is on track for a marked slowdown in 2025, even as inflation stays stubbornly high <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">amid ongoing tariff effects.</a>
The good news? A full-blown recession is still not the central scenario, easing fears that have permeated in recent weeks among investors.
In its latest quarterly outlook, S&amp;P Global said it expects real gross domestic product growth to fall to 1.9% in both 2025 and 2026, a sharp decline from the post-pandemic rebound pace of 2.9% in 2023 and 2.8% in 2024. The agency anticipates growth to stabilize near 2.0% annually thereafter, marking a return to a slower long-run trajectory.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What's Driving The Slowdown?</h3>
A mix of weaker household income, receding fiscal support, higher interest rates, and a shifting trade environment marked by rising tariffs is dampening growth momentum. 
S&amp;P Global said these forces are acting in tandem to squeeze consumers and weigh on private-sector investment, while also increasing the cost of doing business across the economy.
The firm flagged that upcoming policy moves, including those from the Trump administration, could drag on growth before any stimulus effects from tax cuts or deregulation fully materialize. 
The front-loaded nature of "regressive" measures—such as tariff hikes and potential federal workforce layoffs—has already led to a soft patch earlier than initially expected.
&#8220;President Trump&#8217;s April 2 date for reciprocal tariffs will keep financial market trading choppy,&#8221; the report said. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Labor Market Set To Cool</h3>
S&amp;P expects the labor market to lose steam by mid-2025, with monthly job gains falling below 100,000, down from the current three-month average of 200,000. 
The unemployment rate, now at 4.1%, is projected to rise to 4.6% by mid-2026.
"Public sector hiring, which significantly supported payroll growth in the past two years, is likely to slow down," the report said.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Is A Recession Likely?</h3>
While the tone of the report suggests caution, S&amp;P is not predicting a recession as its base-case scenario. 
&#8220;We don&#8217;t see a recession as the most likely outcome yet,&#8221; the report said. 
The firm maintains a 25% probability of a downturn occurring within the next 12 months, citing growing uncertainty and cautious behavior from both consumers and businesses as factors that could tip the balance.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Inflation And Interest Rates: What To Expect</h3>
Inflation isn't going away soon. While the Federal Reserve continues to target a 2% inflation rate, S&amp;P now sees price pressures lingering due to tariff pass-through effects. 
Core personal consumption expenditures—the Fed's preferred inflation gauge—are expected to reach 2.8% in the fourth quarter of 2025, pushed higher by rising supply chain costs and service price adjustments that have lagged goods inflation.
That said, S&amp;P views the tariff-induced inflation bump as temporary, expecting price growth to gradually ease to 2% by 2027.
In terms of monetary policy, the firm forecasts the Fed will cut interest rates only once in 2025, by 25 basis points, ending the year with a federal funds rate between 4.00%-4.25%. 
For longer-term rates, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is projected to hover around 4.0%-4.5% in 2025, gradually falling toward 3.4%-3.6% by 2027-2028. 
Should bond yields drop as forecasted, Treasury investments such as the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) stand to deliver positive returns.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What Could Turn The Tide?</h3>
S&amp;P sees growth rebounding in 2026, albeit after a slow start. That recovery is expected to come from easing trade tensions, further Fed policy support, and a stronger external backdrop, including improved eurozone demand that could boost U.S. exports.
Still, the path forward is far from certain. 
The firm noted a "high degree of unpredictability" around how the U.S. administration will implement its economic agenda—particularly when it comes to tariffs—and what ripple effects that might create for global supply chains and credit markets.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/federal-reserve/25/03/44493432/elevated-consumer-inflation-expectations-raise-the-bar-for-possible-rate-cuts-this-year-goldman-sachs">Elevated Consumer Inflation Expectations &#8216;Raise The Bar For Possible Rate Cuts This Year&#8217;: Goldman Sachs</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: janews/Shutterstock.com

S&P Says US Growth To Slow In 2025, But Recession Not 'Most Likely Outcome Yet'

Wall Street soared Monday, kicking off the week in full risk-on mode as investors welcomed signs of easing trade tensions and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44459470/us-business-activity-rebounds-as-services-growth-outpaces-forecasts-yet-cost-pressures-intensify">stronger-than-expected economic data. </a>
President Donald Trump&#8216;s softer tone on potential tariffs ahead of the looming April 2, 2025 deadline helped calm nerves. Adding to the optimism, fresh business surveys showed a strong rebound in services activity in March, easing recession worries.
U.S. economic activity accelerated in March, with the Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising rom 51.6 in February to to 53.5. Services PMI jumped to 54.3 — well above consensus forecasts of 50.8 and sharply higher than the prior month's 51.0 reading. Yet, the report also flagged a notable uptick in cost pressures, as businesses reported growing concerns over input prices, likely linked to heightened speculation around potential tariff measures.
The S&amp;P 500 jumped 1.75% by midday in New York, on track for its best one-day performance since mid-January. The Nasdaq 100 rallied 2%, mirroring gains from March 14 — the index's strongest day since early November 2024.
Small caps outperformed their large-cap peers, underscoring the market's improving risk appetite. The Russell 2000 surged 2.8%, marking its best session since the post-election rally on Nov. 6, 2024.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) led the charge on both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100, soaring 9.8%, on track for its sharpest one-day gain since early November.
All seven mega-cap tech stocks posted solid gains, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAGS#NYSE">MAGS</a>) climbing 2.9% after Friday's 1.4% rise, setting up what could be its strongest two-day advance since early January.
Every S&amp;P 500 sector, except utilities, traded in positive territory, with consumer discretionary and technology leading the pack.
The U.S. dollar index edged higher, eyeing a fourth consecutive session of gains. Meanwhile, Treasury yields spiked across the curve as investors rotated out of safe-haven assets. The 10-year yield jumped seven basis points to 4.32%, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) dropped 0.9%.
Gold pulled back 0.3% to $3,014 per ounce, on pace for its third straight decline, as investors favored riskier assets.
Oil prices gained 1.5% after Trump threatened a 25% tariff on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44460897/oil-prices-rally-exxon-hits-16-week-highs-as-trump-vows-25-tariffs-on-any-country-buying-venezuelan-crude">countries importing Venezuelan crude.</a>
Crypto-related assets also rallied. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) climbed 2.7% to $88,400, while MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) jumped 7.4% and Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) rose 6.2%.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,104.07</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,160.42</td>
<td>2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,762.34</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,589.04</td>
<td>1.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:20 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.8% to $573.92.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) rose 1.3% to $425.30.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rallied 2% to $490.39.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) soared 2.4% to $208.59</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, up 2.7%; the&nbsp;Utilities&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) lagged, down 0.2%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle giant BYD Co. Ltd. (OTCPK: BYDDY) rallied 5.5% in over-the-counter markets amid stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings. The carmaker is now up 60% year-to-date. </li>
<li>Shares of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) soared 7.3%, eyeing their biggest one-day jump since February 2024, as Chinese conglomerate Ant Group is increasingly shifting to domestic and AMD chips amid exports controls. </li>
<li>Airline and travel-related stocks rallied substantially amid easing recession fears. United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) were up 5.7%, 4.2% and 4%, respectively. </li>
</ul>
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/03/44458099/us-economy-faces-fork-in-the-road-is-yardenis-roaring-2020s-still-possible">US Economy Faces &#8216;Fork In The Road&#8217;: Is Yardeni&#8217;s &#8216;Roaring 2020s&#8217; Still Possible?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Asia

Travel

BYDDY

COIN

MAGS

MSTR

S&P 500 Rallies On Best Day In 2 Months As Recession Fears Ease, Tesla Rockets, Bitcoin Hits $88,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Trade tensions, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/federal-reserve">Fed policy shifts</a> and weakening sentiment are creating a stormy outlook for the global economy.
JPMorgan's Bruce Kasman just upped the ante on recession risks, pegging the odds of a 2025 U.S./global downturn at 40%. That's not just a number—it's a warning shot for investors navigating an increasingly volatile landscape.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trade War Fears Are Back &#8211; ETFs Are Already Reacting</h2>
Kasman's outlook hinges on one major factor: trade policy. With tariffs expected to push the effective U.S. rate above 10%, he sees a 0.5% GDP drag next year. But the real risk? A domino effect. 
If business sentiment cracks, capital expenditures slow and inflation limits Fed maneuverability, markets could turn defensive fast.
Investors aren't waiting for confirmation &#8211; ETF flows are already shifting. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EEM#NYSE">EEM</a>) has seen a surge in outflows as investors brace for trade turbulence. 
Meanwhile, defensive plays like the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) are catching bids as risk appetite wanes.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/44449713">Jerome Powell&#8217;s Stagflation Fears, Mark Cuban&#8217;s Economic Queries, And Ray Dalio&#8217;s Debt Warning: This Week In Economics</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Can The Fed Hold The Line?</h2>
The Fed isn't rushing to cut rates despite rising trade war concerns. Kasman notes that while policymakers remain "asymmetric" &#8211; ready to ease in a labor market downturn but unwilling to hike on strong growth &#8211; this stance leaves little cushion if sentiment nosedives.
That's a potential headwind for growth-focused ETFs like Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which relies on a Fed-friendly backdrop.
But it's not all doom and gloom. A front-loaded boost in global trade is temporarily lifting manufacturing ETFs, with the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) seeing inflows as global industrial production spikes.
The question is: how long does that last before trade war fears fully set in?
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">ETF Playbook For Recession Risks</h2>
With uncertainty mounting, ETF investors are playing both offense and defense. Those bracing for more pain are rotating into SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) and Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDC#NYSE">VDC</a>), while bargain hunters are eyeing SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) for potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Bottom line? 
The 40% recession probability isn't just a macro call &#8211; it's already reshaping ETF positioning. If sentiment sours further, this shift is only getting started.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/44450390">Charlie Munger&#8217;s Investment Wisdom: &#8216;If People Weren&#8217;t So Often Wrong, We Wouldn&#8217;t Be So Rich&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Emerging Market ETFs

Trade Wars, Fed Moves And A 40% Recession Risk - Is Your Portfolio Ready?

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee suggested that the central bank needs to be a steady hand and avoid overreacting, as rising trade tensions, shaky business confidence and stubborn inflation complicate the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">outlook for interest rates.</a>
In an interview with CNBC Friday, Goolsbee indicated that the Federal Reserve must take a long-term approach as the U.S. economy absorbs the potential impact of new tariffs pushed by the Trump administration. 
"There is nothing more uncomfortable than a stagflationary environment," Goolsbee said. "There is no generic answer to it."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tariffs Could Be &#8216;Transitory&#8217; — Or Maybe Not</h3>
Asked how the Fed should respond to trade-driven inflation, Goolsbee said it's too early to draw firm conclusions. The key, he said, lies in understanding how long the tariffs stay in place, whether other countries retaliate, and how much of the cost hits U.S. consumers.
"We need to be careful when you say transitory," Goolsbee said. 
"The answer to what ‘transitory' means this time around is whether the tariffs apply to intermediate goods, stoke retaliation, and other factors."
His comment came just two days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking Wednesday after the Federal Open Market Committee held interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%, described tariff-driven inflation as potentially "transitory"—a word that drew scrutiny after the Fed's 2022 miscalculation, when it wrongly assumed early inflation spikes would quickly fade.
Goolsbee noted that imports make up only 11% of U.S. GDP, and that one-time tariffs, if not met with retaliation, are "more likely to be transitory." 
Still, he warned that the larger the tariffs, and the more they resemble supply shocks, "the harder it will be for the Fed to look through them."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Business Investment Is Stalling</h3>
On the ground, Goolsbee said the Fed is already seeing shifts in behavior from companies.
"There has been a decided turn towards anxiety and waiting on capital spending among business contacts," he said, describing a growing trend of hesitation as uncertainty clouds the outlook.
"Markets want information fast but that is not realistic at this moment," he added. "The Fed needs to be a steady hand and take the long view on the economy."
He also said that while current conditions may be a shock, it depends on how long they last, underscoring the need for patience. "When you have a lot of uncertainty, you have to wait for things to clear up."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Room For Cautious Optimism Persists</h3>
Goolsbee maintained a cautiously optimistic view. "There is still a lot of strength in the economy right now," he said, noting progress on both inflation and employment. 
"Unemployment and inflation do reflect progress towards the dual mandate." 
He believes that if the economy continues to cool gradually and inflation trends lower, interest rates could follow. 
"I still believe the economy is resilient, and if there is progress on inflation, rates will be lower in 12 to 18 months." 
Yet, the path forward is far from guaranteed. Goolsbee indicated that if market expectations for long-run inflation begin to rise, or if inflation pushes beyond the initial impact of tariffs, "the Fed would have to revise the outlook."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Treasury yields fell in early Friday trading, with the 10-year benchmark yield hitting 4.21%. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) was up 0.3% during the premarket trading in New York. Long-dated Treasury bonds are up 1.2% for the week. 
The dollar slightly gained, while gold prices dipped 0.3%. On Thursday, the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) closed 0.1% lower, snapping seven straight sessions of gains.
Equity futures slumped, with S&amp;P 500 contracts falling 1.2%. If the index ends the session down more than 0.5 percentage points, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) will log its fifth consecutive weekly loss—its longest losing streak since May 2022.
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44427074/economists-react-to-powell-we-are-now-seeing-the-stag-and-the-flation">Economists React To Powell: &#8216;We Are Now Seeing The Stag And The Flation&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Fed's Goolsbee Urges Patience As Trump's Tariffs Stir Fears Of Stagflation: 'We Need To Be Careful When You Say Transitory'

Mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level since last October, spurring a significant increase in mortgage<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/03/44237879/rocket-redfin-deal-aims-to-create-end-to-end-real-estate-solution-where-does-that-leave-zillow"> applications last week.</a>
The Details: The average rate on a 30-year loan fell to 6.67% and the Mortgage Bankers Association <a href="https://www.mba.org/news-and-research/newsroom/news/2025/03/12/mortgage-applications-increase-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey">reported </a>mortgage loan application volume increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week.&nbsp;
&#8220;Mortgage rates declined for the sixth consecutive week, with the 30-year fixed rate dropping to 6.67 percent, the lowest level since October 2024. As a result, applications increased over the week and were up 31% from a year ago," said Joel Kan, MBA's Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/03/44253259/uncertainty-rocks-the-trump-trade-how-maga-seven-stocks-look-now">Uncertainty Rocks The Trump Trade: How &#8216;MAGA Seven&#8217; Stocks Look Now</a>
Kan also highlighted application activity was up across all loan categories with government purchase applications rising 11% as the FHA rate fell to 6.34 percent.
The Refinance Index surged 16% from the previous week and refinance applications were up 90% from the same week last year. The total number of refinance applications remains low, leading to a large percentage increase. 
However, homebuyers who purchased within the last two years may be able to refinance at a slightly lower rate now, which contributed to the refinance share of mortgage activity increasing to 45.6% of total applications, up from 43.8% the previous week.
Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on long-term government bonds, specifically the 10-year Treasury bond. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose above 4.33% on Wednesday after softer-than-expected inflation data<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44275575/wall-street-rockets-as-february-inflation-cools-more-than-expected"> eased concerns</a> about the strength of the U.S. economy.&nbsp;
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NYSE">TLT</a>) fell 0.34% to $90.09 at 10 a.m. ET Wednesday.&nbsp;
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/02/44015237/pending-home-sales-crash-to-record-low-jobless-claims-soar-wall-street-reacts">Pending Home Sales Crash To Record Low, Jobless Claims Soar: Wall Street Reacts</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

News

Real Estate

Mortgage Applications Soar As Rates Hit Lowest Level Since October

Stocks extended last week's losses on Monday as concerns over the U.S. economy continue to weigh on the market. The Nasdaq 100 saw the steepest declines, with Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) and Palantir Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) leading tech companies lower. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones were also firmly r<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44222440/financial-crime-weekly">ed in midday trading.&nbsp;</a>
President Donald Trump seemed to acknowledge the possibility of a U.S. recession in an interview with Fox News on Sunday when he referred to the current economic situation as a "period of transition"&nbsp;further fueling economic concerns. 
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/03/44143666/us-services-sector-unexpectedly-expands-in-february-despite-slowing-job-growth">US Services Sector Unexpectedly Expands In February Despite Slowing Job Growth</a>
Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the current economic uncertainty and investors look to this week's Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data, ahead of next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. February's jobs report released last week signaled a softening labor market and the ISM Manufacturing PMI showed firms are already experiencing disruptions from the Trump administration's tariff policies.
The yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.23% on Monday amid economic uncertainty and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 1.33%.&nbsp;
U.S. natural gas futures rose as high as $4.60 MMBtu driven by extremely cold weather across North America and Europe, supply constraints and record LNG exports. The United States Natural Gas Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNG#NYSE">UNG</a>) was up 3.21% midday.&nbsp;
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) traded below the $80,000 level, down nearly 17% for the month.&nbsp;
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>17,571.14</td>
<td>-3.34%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,649.85</td>
<td>-2.09%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,321.75</td>
<td>-1.12%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,042.10</td>
<td>-1.60%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 2.22% to $563.13.</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 1.24% at $422.96.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) dropped 3.33% to $475.43.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) slipped 1.56% to $202.74.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) fell 2.62% to $200.28.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.77% to $88.08.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday's Stock Movers&nbsp;</h1>
Shares of Redfin, Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDFN#NASDAQ">RDFN</a>) soared after Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RKT#NYSE">RKT</a>) announced it would acquire <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44218758/rocket-wants-1-75-billion-redfin-deal-to-change-how-america-buys-homes">the company</a> in a $1.75 billion all-stock transaction. &nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/avgo" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Aligos Therapeutics, Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALGS#NASDAQ">ALGS</a>)</li>
<li>Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FENC#NASDAQ">FENC</a>)</li>
<li>BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Telos Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLS#NASDAQ">TLS</a>)</li>
<li>Rand Capital Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RAND#NASDAQ">RAND</a>)</li>
<li>NET Power Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NPWR#NYSE">NPWR</a>)</li>
</ul>
Companies reporting on after the bell include:
<ul>
<li>Oracle Corp.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NYSE">ORCL</a>)</li>
<li>Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTN#NYSE">MTN</a>)</li>
<li>Asana, Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASAN#NYSE">ASAN</a>)</li>
<li>LifeMD, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LFMD#NASDAQ">LFMD</a>)</li>
<li>Grupo Supervielle S.A.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SUPV#NYSE">SUPV</a>)</li>
<li>Hesai Group&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HSAI#NASDAQ">HSAI</a>)</li>
<li>Redwire Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDW#NYSE">RDW</a>)</li>
</ul>
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;</a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Markets Tank After Trump Confirms More Tariffs: Here&#8217;s What Wall Street Is Saying</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

Market Summary

Movers

General

ALGS

ASAN

BNTX

FENC

HSAI

LFMD

NPWR

ORCL

PLTR

RAND

RDFN

SUPV

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Hit 6-Month Lows As Recession Fears Grow: What's Driving Markets Monday?

All three major indices were red in Friday&#8217;s midday trading, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 down 1% and 1.24%, respectively, and on track for their worst weeks since September 2024. The Nasdaq fell into correction territory on Friday after dropping more than 10% below<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44196560/bessent-describes-economic-detox-period-as-us-shifts-to-trump-policies"> its peak in February. </a>
Tariff announcements and uncertainty roiled markets throughout the week. President Donald Trump on Thursday suspended <a href="http://Namrata Sen Canadian PM Justin Trudeau Retaliates With 25% Tariffs On US Goods Amid Escalating Trade War (CORRECTED) Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced a 25% tariff on $155 billion worth of U.S. goods. This decision comes as a direct response to the 25% tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canadian goods, as reported by BNN Bloomberg. 3/7/2025, 4:05 AM">all tariffs</a> on products covered by the North American trade agreement until April 2, though it had little effect on market volatility.
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/03/44194357/markets-breathe-sigh-of-relief-as-february-jobs-data-shows-economy-not-falling-off-a-cliff-economist-says">Markets Breathe &#8216;Sigh Of Relief&#8217; As February Jobs Data Shows Economy &#8216;Not Falling Off A Cliff,&#8217; Economist Says</a>
"The stock market is moving in lockstep with tariff headlines, and that is likely to keep volatility very elevated for the foreseeable future, as the market does not like uncertainty," said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management, per CNBC. 
"While we expect the market to find its footing and recover from the tariff-driven selloff, investors should brace for continued choppiness until these uncertainties clear," Smith added. 
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dipped to the 4.23% mark on Friday after a softer-than-expected February <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44189725/unemployment-rate-ticks-higher-in-february-us-economy-adds-fewer-jobs-than-expected">jobs report</a> added to concerns of a slowing U.S. economy. The BLS nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. added 151,000 jobs in February, below market expectations of 160,000, as tracked by Trading Economics. The unemployment rate ticked unexpectedly higher to 4.1%, above the 4.0% expected. 
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 0.6% to $90.94. 
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) fell back below $90,000 after President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve on Thursday. The President&#8217;s crypto summit will be held at the White House later on Friday with the potential for additional catalysts for cryptocurrencies.
Wall Street now looks ahead to next week&#8217;s inflation data, JOLTS job openings report and preliminary figures for the Michigan consumer sentiment index. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday's Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>17,822.68</td>
<td>-1.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,680.26</td>
<td>-1.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,261.60</td>
<td>-0.74%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,036.80</td>
<td>-1.44%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) dropped 0.84% to $567.87. </li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 0.61% at $423.31. </li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) slid 1.17% to $482.49. </li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) was down 1.35% to $202.50.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) fell 2.28% to $201.35.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) rose 1.28% to $87.06.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers&nbsp;</h1>
Broadcom, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>) shares moved higher Friday after the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/AVGO#:~:text=Broadcom%20Shares%20Jump,intelligence%20chip%20selloff.">company reported</a> better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and strong forward guidance.
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Costco Wholesale Corp.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COST#NASDAQ">COST</a>) </li>
<li>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HPE#NYSE">HPE</a>) </li>
<li>Funko, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FNKO#NASDAQ">FNKO</a>) &nbsp;</li>
<li>Broadcom Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>) </li>
<li>Reliance Global Group, Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RELI#NASDAQ">RELI</a>) </li>
<li>Serve Robotics Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SERV#NASDAQ">SERV</a>) </li>
<li>Algonquin Power &amp; Utilities Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AQN#NYSE">AQN</a>) </li>
<li>Genesco Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GCO#NYSE">GCO</a>) </li>
</ul>
Companies reporting on Monday include: 
<ul>
<li>Oracle Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NYSE">ORCL</a>) </li>
<li>Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTN#NYSE">MTN</a>) </li>
<li>Asana, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASAN#NYSE">ASAN</a>) </li>
<li>BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>) </li>
<li>Grupo Supervielle S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SUPV#NYSE">SUPV</a>) </li>
<li>Hesai Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HSAI#NASDAQ">HSAI</a>) </li>
<li>Redwire Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDW#NYSE">RDW</a>) </li>
</ul>
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;</a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Markets Tank After Trump Confirms More Tariffs: Here's What Wall Street Is Saying</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Global

AVGO

COST

FNKO

RELI

SERV

Nasdaq Falls Into Correction As Tariffs Roil Wall Street: What's Moving Markets Friday?

The February jobs report from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, released Friday, showed a moderate increase in employment and also a slight increase in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">the unemployment rate. </a>
The U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February, up from a downwardly revised 125,000 in January, but below expectations of 160,000, as tracked by Trading Economics. The unemployment rate ticked unexpectedly higher to 4.1%, above the 4.0% expected. 
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/03/44143666/us-services-sector-unexpectedly-expands-in-february-despite-slowing-job-growth">US Services Sector Unexpectedly Expands In February Despite Slowing Job Growth</a>&nbsp;
Unemployed individuals increased by 203,000 to 7.05 million, while employment declined by 588,000 to 163.31 million. The labor force participation rate fell to 62.4%, while the employment-population ratio dipped to 59.9%. 
Employment trended up in health care, financial activities, transportation and warehousing and social assistance. Federal government employment declined, possibly reflecting initial DOGE cuts.&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Employment increased in health care (+52,000), financial activities (+21,000), transportation and warehousing (+18,000), and social assistance (+11,000).</li>
<li>Federal government employment declined by 10,000.</li>
<li>Average hourly earnings for all employees increased by 0.3% to $35.93, representing a 4.0% increase over the past 12 months.</li>
<li>The average workweek remained unchanged at 34.1 hours</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Futures on major U.S. indices rose following the release of the jobs report.&nbsp;
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), tracking the S&amp;P 500, was up 0.11% at $573.35 and the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), tracking the Nasdaq 100 index, was up 0.29% at $489.60 in premarket trading.&nbsp;
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) was 0.5% higher in premarket trading.
Gold, which is tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), climbed above $2,920 per ounce, approaching record highs.&nbsp;
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/02/44015237/pending-home-sales-crash-to-record-low-jobless-claims-soar-wall-street-reacts">Pending Home Sales Crash To Record Low, Jobless Claims Soar: Wall Street Reacts</a></li>
</ul>
Image generated using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.

Unemployment Rate Ticks Higher In February, US Economy Adds Fewer Jobs Than Expected

Japanese and German government bond yields climbed sharply on Thursday, with Japan&#8217;s 10-year yield reaching its highest level since 2009 amid a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44101132/tech-sector-hammered-as-trumps-tariff-plans-spark-market-selloff-nvidia-arm-super-micro-lead-tech-bloodbath">broader market sell-off early this week</a>.
What Happened: Germany&#8217;s 10-year Bund yield jumped approximately 28 basis points to 2.76%, reaching its highest level since October 2023. This marks the largest sell-off in German government bonds since the months following the Berlin Wall&#8217;s fall, driven by expectations of increased spending, according <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/government-bond-yield">to</a> Trading Economics.
The yield on Japan&#8217;s 10-year government bond surged above 1.5% Thursday, tracking a rally in European bond yields after Germany announced plans for a €500 billion ($540.18 billion) infrastructure fund and proposals to overhaul borrowing rules.
In February, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank would consider <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/25/02/43425523/bank-of-japan-signals-further-rate-hikes-possible-amid-inflation-economic-overheating-worries">further interest rate hikes if economic forecasts are met</a>. Uchida emphasized that Japan&#8217;s exit from extensive monetary easing is just beginning, despite already raising rates to a 17-year high of 0.5% in January.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44068159/nba-legend-shaq-says-his-net-worth-quadrupled-once-he-took-note-from-jeff-bezos-and-started-investing-in-things-that-change-peoples-lives" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">NBA Legend Shaq Says His Net Worth ‘Quadrupled&#8217; Once He Took Note From Jeff Bezos And Started Investing In Things That ‘Change People&#8217;s Lives&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: Economist Peter Schiff wrote on X, &#8220;With German Bund yields moving up too and the dollar falling, Treasuries will have a lot of competition. Rising bond yields will drive the U.S. economy deeper into recession.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The yield on the 10-year JGB just hit 1.5%. No one is paying attention to this slow-moving train wreck. With German Bund yields moving up too and the dollar falling, Treasuries will have a lot of competition. Rising bond yields will drive the U.S. economy deeper into recession.
&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1897508968114659682?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 6, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The movements carry significant implications for U.S. investors as Japan shifts away from ultra-loose monetary policy. Since ending its 17-year negative interest rate policy in March 2024, Japan has seen stronger yen and rising yields, prompting Japanese investors to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/25/02/43772167/japan-bond-yields-hit-15-year-high-as-gdp-growth-surpasses-expectations-peter-schiff-warns-of-train-wreck">repatriate capital from foreign markets</a>.
U.S. Treasury yields remained near four-month lows on Wednesday, with the 10-year note at 4.23%. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) fell 0.24% amid mixed economic data showing strong services sector growth but weakening employment figures.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44065932/mark-cuban-was-asked-how-hed-invest-100k-his-answer-buy-bulk-toothpaste-and-soup-for-the-best-guaranteed-return-on-investment" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Mark Cuban Was Asked How He&#8217;d Invest $100K — His Answer? Buy Bulk Toothpaste And Soup For The ‘Best Guaranteed Return On Investment&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image Via Shutterstock
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Peter Schiff Warns Of US 'Recession' Risk As Japanese Bond Yields Hit 15-Year High And German Bond Sell-Off Triggers Market Shock

The three major indices were mostly flat in midday trading Wednesday with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq slightly under the flatline and the Dow Jones<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/03/44143660/howard-lutnick-says-president-definitely-thinks-theres-a-bitcoin-strategic-reserve"> up 39 points.&nbsp;</a>
Wall Street digested mixed economic data after the ISM Services PMI<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/03/44143666/us-services-sector-unexpectedly-expands-in-february-despite-slowing-job-growth"> price index indicated</a> strong growth in the services sector, but the ADP employment report came in well below forecasts and added the fewest jobs in seven months. 
Traders awaited further <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44143647/trump-considering-tariff-relief-for-mexico-canada-commerce-secretary-lutnick-says">developments on trade policy</a> after Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick appeared on Bloomberg Television on Wednesday. Lutnick said President Donald Trump would likely make a decision on possible tariff relief for Mexico and Canada Wednesday afternoon.
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/03/44110273/trump-tariffs-will-raise-prices-within-days-target-ceo-says">Trump Tariffs Will Raise Prices &#8216;Within Days,&#8217; Target CEO Says</a>
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note was at 4.23% on Wednesday, trimming declines from the morning after expansion in the services sector, reflected by the ISM PMI easing concerns on lower growth. However, yields remained near four-month lows touched earlier in the week.  The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) fell 0.24%.  
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was up 1% on Wednesday, and up nearly 5% on the week, as investors look forward to President Trump's White House crypto summit on Friday.&nbsp;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday's Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>18,207.74</td>
<td>-0.43%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,756.29</td>
<td>-0.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,470.06</td>
<td>-0.12%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,075.09</td>
<td>-0.21%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was down 0.43% at $574.36. </li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 0.14% at $424.98. </li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;fell 0.58% to $492.67. </li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>)&nbsp;slid 0.59% to $205.22. </li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>)&nbsp;was down 0.19% to $207.85. </li>
<li>The&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)&nbsp;was down 3.31% to $84.09. </li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers:&nbsp;</h2>
Abercrombie &amp; Fitch Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANF#NYSE">ANF</a>) shares plunged Wednesday after the company&#8217;s weak outlook overshadowed its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/03/44142510/abercrombie-q4-earnings-beat-overshadowed-by-cautious-q1-outlook-stock-plunges">better-than-expected</a> fourth-quarter results. The company said it expects first-quarter EPS in the range of $1.25 to $1.45 versus the $2.01 estimate.
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHPT#NYSE">CHPT</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/chpt" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/chpt" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a></li>
<li>Ross Stores, Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ROST#NASDAQ">ROST</a>) </li>
<li>Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIGL#NASDAQ">RIGL</a>) </li>
<li>CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) &nbsp;</li>
<li>Box, Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BOX#NYSE">BOX</a>) </li>
<li>Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SQM#NYSE">SQM</a>) </li>
<li>AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVAV#NASDAQ">AVAV</a>)</li>
<li>Stem, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STEM#NYSE">STEM</a>) </li>
<li>Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FL#NYSE">FL</a>)</li>
<li>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANF#NYSE">ANF</a>) </li>
<li>Arbe Robotics Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARBE#NASDAQ">ARBE</a>) </li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Wednesday&#8217;s closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Grindr Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRND#NYSE">GRND</a>) </li>
<li>LendingTree, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TREE#NASDAQ">TREE</a>) </li>
<li>MongoDB, Inc. (NAS+DAQ:MDB) </li>
<li>Rigetti Computing, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RGTI#NASDAQ">RGTI</a>) </li>
<li>Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRVL#NASDAQ">MRVL</a>) </li>
<li>Zscaler, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZS#NASDAQ">ZS</a>) </li>
<li>Victorias Secret &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSCO#NYSE">VSCO</a>) </li>
<li>Fortuna Mining Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSM#NYSE">FSM</a>) </li>
</ul>
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;</a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Markets Tank After Trump Confirms More Tariffs: Here's What Wall Street Is Saying</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Politics

ARBE

AVAV

CHPT

CRWD

GRND

MRVL

RGTI

RIGL

ROST

STEM

TREE

VSCO

Wall Street Awaits Trump's Tariff Decision, Digests Mixed Economic Data: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

U.S. stocks plunged Tuesday as President Donald Trump&#8216;s tariffs on key trade partners came into effect, prompting retaliatory measures and intensifying <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44110685/markets-see-hardly-a-flesh-wound-so-far-but-centurys-biggest-trade-war-looms-says-bob-elliott">global trade tensions.</a>
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.8%, extending Monday&#8217;s sharp decline of nearly 650 points and heading towards its worst performance of 2025. The S&amp;P 500 decreased by 1.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.9%, putting it<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44108913/tariffs-trump-tumult-how-to-trade-this-volatility-vix-surge"> on course</a> to enter correction territory, defined as a 10% drop from its recent peak.&nbsp;
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/03/44110273/trump-tariffs-will-raise-prices-within-days-target-ceo-says">Trump Tariffs Will Raise Prices &#8216;Within Days,&#8217; Target CEO Says</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44102599/canadian-pm-justin-trudeau-retaliates-with-25-tariffs-on-us-goods-amid-escalating-trade-war">Affected countries</a> announced retaliatory measures, further dampening investor sentiment.
China announced retaliatory tariffs of up to 15% on certain U.S. products, including chicken, wheat, corn, and cotton. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau declared that Canada would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. goods. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stated that Mexico would respond with tariffs and other measures, to be announced on Sunday.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.13% on Tuesday, its lowest level since October 2024. Markets are now pricing in three quarter-point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025, according to data from CME FedWatch. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) slipped 0.58%. 
Natural gas futures rose more than 8% on Tuesday, above $4.45/MMBtu, the highest since December 2022. Stockpiles remain below the five-year average due to earlier extreme cold in the U.S. while LNG export flows have reached record levels. The United States Natural Gas Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNG#NYSE">UNG</a>) ETF climbed 8.5%.&nbsp;
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued Monday's decline to trade below the $84,000 mark, leading crypto markets lower. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>18,175.89</td>
<td>-0.99%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,772.73</td>
<td>-1.32%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,535.92</td>
<td>-1.52%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,064.42</td>
<td>-1.81%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was down 1.24% to $576.36. </li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 1.45% at $425.81.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.8% to $493.08.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) slid 1.1% to $205.00.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) was down 2.17% to $207.38.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) was down 1.06% to $86.87.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday's Stock Movers:&nbsp;</h2>
Shares of Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKTA#NASDAQ">OKTA</a>), bucked the market trend, surging 18% after the company reported&nbsp;better-than-expected <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/upgrades/25/03/44108947/okta-stock-is-surging-tuesday-heres-why">financial results</a> on Monday. 
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Target Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBY#NYSE">BBY</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>B. Riley Financial, Inc.(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RILY#NASDAQ">RILY</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKTA#NASDAQ">OKTA</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>NuScale Power Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMR#NYSE">SMR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>GitLab Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GTLB#NASDAQ">GTLB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Curaleaf Hldgs Inc. (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CURLF#OTC">CURLF</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Dave Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAVE#NASDAQ">DAVE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Emergent BioSolutions Inc.&nbsp; (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EBS#NYSE">EBS</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASTS#NASDAQ">ASTS</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CON#NYSE">CON</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Tuesday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHPT#NYSE">CHPT</a>)</li>
<li>Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ROST#NASDAQ">ROST</a>) </li>
<li>Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIGL#NASDAQ">RIGL</a>) </li>
<li>CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) </li>
<li>Box, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BOX#NYSE">BOX</a>) </li>
<li>Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SQM#NYSE">SQM</a>) </li>
<li>AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVAV#NASDAQ">AVAV</a>) </li>
<li>Stem, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STEM#NYSE">STEM</a>) </li>
</ul>
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying">&nbsp;</a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/03/44098232/markets-tank-after-trump-confirms-more-tariffs-heres-what-wall-street-is-saying">Markets Tank After Trump Confirms More Tariffs: Here&#8217;s What Wall Street Is Saying</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

ASTS

CURALEAF HLDGS INC by Curaleaf Hldgs Inc.

CURLF

DAVE

GTLB

OKTA

RILY

Stocks Drop As Trade War Escalates: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

For the first time since the Great Recession, banks didn't park a single dollar in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/federal-reserve">the Federal Reserve</a>'s Reverse Repo Facility overnight. That's right—zero bids. 
The mother ship of the U.S. banking system, which has been the go-to safety net for surplus cash, found no takers.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="580" height="738" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04071824/Screenshot-2025-03-04-at-5.48.00-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-807933" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04071824/Screenshot-2025-03-04-at-5.48.00-PM.png 580w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04071824/Screenshot-2025-03-04-at-5.48.00-PM-236x300.png 236w" sizes="(max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px" /></figure>
Source: <a href="https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/data-hub">NewYorkFed website</a>
This isn't just an obscure balance sheet event. It's a flashing red warning light that bank liquidity is vanishing — fast.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Where Did All The Money Go?</h2>
After COVID stimulus flooded banks with cash, the Reverse Repo Facility ballooned to over $2 trillion in 2022-23. But as inflation eroded savings and delinquency rates climbed, that cash pile has been slowly draining. Now, we may have hit a breaking point.
Banks no longer have excess cash to lend to the Fed. More concerning? 
Interbank lending has already dried up. This suggests financial institutions could soon be forced into net borrowing mode — a signal of growing stress in the system.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Market Impact: Bonds, Stocks, What's Next</h2>
The bond market is reacting. Yields on Treasuries longer than two years are dropping fast, signaling investors believe rates have peaked. 
Five-Year Treasury Yield:
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="361" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070329/fredgraph-2-1024x361.png" alt="" class="wp-image-807923" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070329/fredgraph-2-1024x361.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070329/fredgraph-2-300x106.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070329/fredgraph-2-768x271.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070329/fredgraph-2.png 1320w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
10-Year Treasury Yield:
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="361" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070402/fredgraph-3-1024x361.png" alt="" class="wp-image-807924" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070402/fredgraph-3-1024x361.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070402/fredgraph-3-300x106.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070402/fredgraph-3-768x271.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/04070402/fredgraph-3.png 1320w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
They're locking in returns now before the next recession resets the game.
This capital shift is also dragging down stocks. Liquidity is the lifeblood of markets, and if banks are running on fumes, risk assets will feel the squeeze.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Actionable Plays: Where Investors Can Look Now</h2>
For those watching from the sidelines, here are key ETFs to monitor:
<ul>
<li>For Bond Bulls: If yields keep dropping, bond prices will rise. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) and the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEF#NASDAQ">IEF</a>) are prime plays.</li>
<li>For Stock Protection: If liquidity crunch fears escalate, defensive sectors could shine. The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) could offer stability.</li>
<li>For Financial Risk: Bank stress is mounting. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>) and Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) will be key indicators of how this liquidity squeeze plays out.</li>
</ul>
This liquidity drain wasn't a surprise to those paying attention &#8211; but what happens next will be. 
Keep a close eye on the Fed's next moves, because the money spigot may be running dry.
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44107516/autozone-q2-earnings-miss-estimates-revenues-grow-24">AutoZone Q2 Earnings: Miss Estimates, 2.4% Revenue Growth, Higher Inventory And More</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

iShares Trust Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund

No Bidders, No Safety Net: Is Fed's Liquidity Lifeline Drying Up? Plus, ETFs To Watch

Stocks recovered on Friday, with all three major indexes in the green, as the tech sector bounced back from Thursday's losses with NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) up 1.37% and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/25/02/44043021/tesla-the-only-magnificent-seven-stock-in-freefall-can-it-reverse-course">rising 2.71%.&nbsp;</a>
PCE data released before<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/02/44041803/federal-reserves-preferred-inflation-gauge-marks-first-slowdown-in-4-months"> the opening bell</a> also provided some relief to investors as the price index marked its first decline in four months. Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows the data reinforced bets for approximately two quarter-point cuts to the Fed funds rate in 2025. 
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/02/44041803/federal-reserves-preferred-inflation-gauge-marks-first-slowdown-in-4-months">Federal Reserve&#8217;s Preferred Inflation Gauge Marks First Slowdown In 4 Months (UPDATED)</a>
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was down to 4.25% on Friday, after falling more than 15bps this week to its lowest level in over two months. Personal spending unexpectedly slipped in January while income soared, and tariff concerns continued to weigh against prospective future growth. 
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 0.31%.&nbsp;
Cryptocurrencies continued to sell off Friday as a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/44048486/bitcoins-24-correction-mostly-technical-say-experts">sharp decline</a> in investor sentiment gripped the market after Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) fell below $79,000 late Thursday, down 24% from its January peak of $109,590.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Cryptocurrency</td>
<td>Price&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td>
<td>Market Cap</td>
<td>24-Hour Trend</td>
<td>7-Day Trend</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XRP (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/xrp/usd">XRP</a>)</td>
<td>&nbsp;$2.14</td>
<td>$124.3 billion</td>
<td>-2.6%&nbsp;</td>
<td>-17.9%&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bitcoin&nbsp;(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>)</td>
<td>&nbsp;$83,826.89</td>
<td>$1.7 trillion</td>
<td>-2.1%&nbsp;</td>
<td>-14.1%&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethereum&nbsp;(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>)</td>
<td>&nbsp;$2,216.48</td>
<td>$267.4 billion</td>
<td>-4.7%</td>
<td>-18.2%&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>18,635.47</td>
<td>0.48%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,887.77</td>
<td>0.45%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,455.42</td>
<td>0.50%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,152.96</td>
<td>0.62%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was up 0.49% to $587.94. &nbsp;</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) climbed 0.58% to $434.87. </li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) was up 0.65% to $503.50.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 0.61% to $213.70.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) was up 0.9% to $214.35.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) rose 0.5% to $90.06.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Friday's Stock Movers:&nbsp;
Shares of vaccine-maker Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVAX#NASDAQ">NVAX</a>) climbed on heavy volume Friday after the company reported smaller fourth-quarter losses and announced a shift in corporate strategy away from its COVID-19 vaccine. 
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RKLB#NASDAQ">RKLB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>SoundHound AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOUN#NASDAQ">SOUN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DELL#NYSE">DELL</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Duolingo, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DUOL#NYSE">DUOL</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUN#NASDAQ">RUN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Archer Aviation Inc. &nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACHR#NYSE">ACHR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Talen Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLN#NASDAQ">TLN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Clover Health Investments, Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLOV#NASDAQ">CLOV</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Edison International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EIX#NYSE">EIX</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Companies reporting earnings on Monday include: 
<ul>
<li>Plug Power, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLUG#NASDAQ">PLUG</a>) </li>
<li>B. Riley Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RILY#NASDAQ">RILY</a>)</li>
<li>Hut 8 Corp.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HUT#NASDAQ">HUT</a>)</li>
<li>Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKTA#NASDAQ">OKTA</a>)</li>
<li>GitLab Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GTLB#NASDAQ">GTLB</a>)</li>
<li>NuScale Power Corp.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMR#NYSE">SMR</a>) </li>
<li>AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASTS#NASDAQ">ASTS</a>) </li>
<li>Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EBS#NYSE">EBS</a>) </li>
<li>Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOVA#NYSE">NOVA</a>)</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/02/44015237/pending-home-sales-crash-to-record-low-jobless-claims-soar-wall-street-reacts">Pending Home Sales Crash To Record Low, Jobless Claims Soar: Wall Street Reacts</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

$ETH

$XRP

ACHR

CLOV

DELL

DUOL

NOVA

NVAX

NVDA

PLUG

RKLB

SOUN

Nvidia, Tesla Lead Tech Stock Rebound: What's Driving Markets Friday?

All three major indices were green in midday trading Wednesday as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 looked to snap their four-day losing streaks. NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) shares led the tech sector higher as investors anticipated the tech giant's quarterly earnings release <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/25/02/43972061/nvidia-stock-stumbles-into-q4-earnings-can-it-defy-nvda-bears">after the closing bell. </a>
"Nvidia is the bellwether and market-darling stock that is of vital importance to the broader markets. Its performance provides meaningful guidance for the broader market tone. The importance for the tech sector cannot be understated," said SWBC chief investment officer Chris Brigati, per CNBC.&nbsp;
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43949800/tesla-competes-against-chinese-rivals-with-one-hand-tied-behind-its-back-analyst"> Tesla Competes Against Chinese Rivals &#8216;With One Hand Tied Behind Its Back&#8217;: Analyst</a>
Mortgage rates fell further<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/02/43977811/mortgage-rates-drop-to-lowest-levels-since-december-but-housing-market-remains-largely-stuck"> last week</a> to 6.88%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association and sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. dropped 10.5% from the previous month to 657,000 in January, below market expectations of 680,000, as tracked by Trading Economics.&nbsp;
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note held around 4.3% Wednesday after declining for five sessions in a row. Investors awaited key economic data including the second estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth on Thursday and the PCE price index report on Friday. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 0.14% to $91.55.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued to trade below the $88,000 mark after U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw record outflows of $1 billion on Tuesday, the largest daily <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43971058/bitcoin-languishes-below-88000-as-spot-etfs-see-1-billion-outflows-on-tuesday">net outflows</a> since their inception. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,277.59</td>
<td>1.33%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,005.86</td>
<td>0.85%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,759.51</td>
<td>0.32%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,192.06</td>
<td>1.01%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was up 0.71% at $598.45.  </li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) climbed 0.17% to $436.89.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rose 1.08% to $518.87.  </li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) was up 0.98% at $217.53.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) was up 0.97% at $218.53.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) slid 0.37% to $89.31.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday's Stock Movers</h1>
Shares of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) soared Wednesday after the company submitted its long-delayed financial reports just under Tuesday&#8217;s Nasdaq-imposed deadline. SMCI had been <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43973242/super-micro-stock-soars-on-nasdaq-compliance-but-can-the-rally-hold">under pressure </a>after losing its previous auditor Ernst &amp; Young and weaknesses in internal controls was discovered. The fresh audit from BDO confirmed the company&#8217;s numbers and also flagged governance issues.
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LCID#NASDAQ">LCID</a>) </li>
<li>AMC Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMC#NYSE">AMC</a>) </li>
<li>Workday, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDAY#NASDAQ">WDAY</a>) </li>
<li>Maplebear Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CART#NASDAQ">CART</a>) </li>
<li>First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) </li>
<li>Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CZR#NASDAQ">CZR</a>) </li>
<li>Coupang, Inc.&nbsp; (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPNG#NYSE">CPNG</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTU#NASDAQ">INTU</a>) </li>
<li>CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAVA#NYSE">CAVA</a>) </li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Wednesday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>)</li>
<li>IonQ, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IONQ#NYSE">IONQ</a>)</li>
<li>MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MARA#NASDAQ">MARA</a>)</li>
<li>Salesforce, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRM#NYSE">CRM</a>)</li>
<li>Snowflake, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNOW#NYSE">SNOW</a>)</li>
<li>eBay, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EBAY#NASDAQ">EBAY</a>)</li>
<li>C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AI#NYSE">AI</a>)</li>
<li>Joby Aviation, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JOBY#NYSE">JOBY</a>)</li>
<li>Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPCE#NYSE">SPCE</a>)</li>
<li>Beyond Meat, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BYND#NASDAQ">BYND</a>)</li>
</ul>
Read More: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/02/43959732/first-solar-reports-mixed-q4-results-eps-miss-revenues-beat-fy-net-bookings-of-44-gigawatts">First Solar Reports Mixed Q4 Results: EPS Miss, Revenues Beat, FY Net Bookings Of 4.4 Gigawatts</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

BYND

CART

CAVA

CPNG

EBAY

FSLR

INTU

IONQ

JOBY

LCID

MARA

SMCI

SNOW

SPCE

WDAY

Nvidia Earnings On Deck, SMCI Regains Compliance: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

Markets fell broadly Tuesday with the S&amp;P 500 trading at five-week lows and the Nasdaq extending its three-day losing streak. The Dow Jones managed to recover midday while Wall Street digested a weaker-than-anticipated consumer confidence survey from the Conference Board, adding to concerns over the health of the U.S. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43949339/consumer-confidence-plummets-in-february-sharp-decline-marks-third-consecutive-monthly-drop">consumer and job market. </a>
Escalating trade concerns are also weighing on markets after President Donald Trump announced on Monday that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico "will go forward" and Bloomberg reported the White House is preparing tighter restrictions on semiconductor exports to China.&nbsp;
NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) led the Nasdaq lower as investors anticipate the company's earnings release on Wednesday and shares of Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) fell after the EV giant saw a sharp decline in European sales. 
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43949800/tesla-competes-against-chinese-rivals-with-one-hand-tied-behind-its-back-analyst">Tesla Competes Against Chinese Rivals &#8216;With One Hand Tied Behind Its Back&#8217;: Analyst</a>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) fell below $88,000, its lowest since November 2024, as concerns over a slowing U.S. economy and Trump's trade policies<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43945957/liquidity-is-disappearing-bitcoins-downturn-spells-doom-for-altcoins-analyst-warns"> weighed on </a>crypto markets. 
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell about 9 bps to 4.32% as investors flocked toward safe-haven assets.  The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 1.49%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday's Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,072.35</td>
<td>-1.12%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,957.58</td>
<td>-0.43%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,597.47</td>
<td>0.31%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,165.29</td>
<td>-0.59%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was down 0.48% to $594.36.</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) climbed 0.28% at $435.76.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) slid 0.98% to $514.78.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) eased down 0.38% to $215.41.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) was down 0.8% to $215.84.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) fell 1.53% to $89.56.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday's Stock Movers </h1>
Hims &amp; Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIMS#NYSE">HIMS</a>) shares plunged after<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/25/02/43926641/hims-hers-health-stock-drops-after-q4-report-eps-in-line-revenues-beat"> the company reported</a> a decline gross margins in the fourth-quarter added to concern over the end of the FDA-declared shortage of semaglutide.
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DNUT#NASDAQ">DNUT</a>) </li>
<li>Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHGG#NYSE">CHGG</a>) </li>
<li>Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HD#NYSE">HD</a>) </li>
<li>Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DEA#NYSE">DEA</a>) </li>
<li>Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KDP#NASDAQ">KDP</a>) </li>
<li>Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCOM#NASDAQ">TCOM</a>) </li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Tuesday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LCID#NASDAQ">LCID</a>) </li>
<li>AMC Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMC#NYSE">AMC</a>) </li>
<li>Workday, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDAY#NASDAQ">WDAY</a>) </li>
<li>Maplebear (Instacart) Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CART#NASDAQ">CART</a>) </li>
<li>First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) </li>
<li>Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CZR#NASDAQ">CZR</a>) </li>
<li>Coupang, Inc.  (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPNG#NYSE">CPNG</a>) </li>
<li>Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTU#NASDAQ">INTU</a>) </li>
<li>CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAVA#NYSE">CAVA</a>) </li>
</ul>
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/02/43945252/lucid-q4-earnings-preview-production-deliveries-margins-on-watch"> </a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/02/43945252/lucid-q4-earnings-preview-production-deliveries-margins-on-watch">Lucid Q4 Earnings Preview: Production, Deliveries, Margins On Watch</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

CHGG

DNUT

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. Class A Common Stock

HIMS

TCOM

Bitcoin Plunges As Consumer Confidence Falls: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/george-soros">Billionaire investor George Soros</a> made some bold portfolio adjustments in the fourth quarter, signaling a shift toward growth while easing off defensive bets. 
Soros Fund Management's latest 13F filing shows fresh bets on Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) and small-cap stocks, alongside a significant reduction in its SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) put position.
Meanwhile, the fund trimmed its stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABA#NYSE">BABA</a>) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABAF#NYSE">BABAF</a>) and fully exited Oracle Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NYSE">ORCL</a>), reflecting a shifting stance on Chinese tech.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Doubling Down On Alphabet, Small Caps</h2>
Alphabet emerged as one of Soros' biggest buys, with the fund increasing its stake by 2.55%. 
The firm also ramped up its exposure to the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), a play on smaller, high-growth companies. 
This move suggests Soros is betting on a continued rebound in both mega-cap tech and smaller, more volatile stocks.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43816112/hedge-fund-shake-up-tiger-appaloosa-soros-outperform-buffett-icahn-ackman">Hedge Fund Shake-Up: Tiger, Appaloosa, Soros Outperform Buffett, Icahn, Ackman</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Cutting Market Hedges, Adding Fixed Income</h2>
Soros Fund slashed its SPY put position by nearly 15%, signaling reduced bearish sentiment on the broader market. &#8216;
The fund also trimmed holdings in The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) and iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>), while increasing exposure to Ford Motor Co&#8216;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>) debt and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) calls — moves that hint at an evolving fixed-income strategy.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">China Exposure Shrinks As BABA Gets Trimmed</h2>
Alibaba stock took a hit in the fourth quarter as Soros scaled back his position, joining other investors in reassessing Chinese tech. 
Meanwhile, Smurfit WestRock PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SW#NYSE">SW</a>) remained the fund's top holding at 5.71% of the portfolio, with Alphabet and AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AZN#NASDAQ">AZN</a>) rounding out the top three.
Soros' latest moves suggest a more optimistic take on U.S. growth stocks while pulling back on market hedges and Chinese tech bets.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43811538/5-top-tech-stocks-hedge-funds-have-been-bullish-on-in-q4-hint-its-not-nvidia">5 Top Tech Stocks Hedge Funds Have Been Bullish On In Q4 (Hint: It&#8217;s Not Nvidia)</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Hedge Funds

BABA

ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD by Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABAF

GOOGL

George Soros Makes Fresh Bets On Alphabet, Small Caps: What About SPY Puts And Alibaba?

All three major U.S. indices are red in Wednesday's midday trading as investors weighed President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on auto imports, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. An official announcement is<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43807804/us-stocks-likely-to-open-lower-following-fresh-records-from-previous-session-expert-says-dont-be-scared-of-new-highs"> expected as soon as April 2.&nbsp;</a>
Markets are anticipating the release of the most recent FOMC minutes later in the trading day which will give further insight into the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. The Fed held interest rates steady at its last meeting and has signaled it is in no hurry to lower rates.&nbsp;
Natural gas futures were up 5%, closing in on a two-year high, as extreme <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel/25/02/43814828/life-threatening-cold-air-snow-brings-travel-delays-higher-heating-costs">cold temperatures</a> across the U.S. drove higher heating demand and froze oil and gas wells, disrupting production. Adding to the pressure on prices are record-level gas flows to LNG export plants. The United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNG#NYSE">UNG</a>) ETF was up more than 5% midday Wednesday.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel/25/02/43814828/life-threatening-cold-air-snow-brings-travel-delays-higher-heating-costs">&#8216;Life-Threatening&#8217; Cold Air, Snow Brings Travel Delays, Higher Heating Costs</a>
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note held above 4.5% on Wednesday after Trump issued new tariff threats which fueled inflation concerns. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 0.03% to $88.13.&nbsp;
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rose to above the $96,000 level as crypto markets recovered some of Tuesday's losses.&nbsp;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,037.70</td>
<td>-0.02%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,132.74</td>
<td>0.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,465.91</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,284.05</td>
<td>0.28%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched up 0.05% to $611.78</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 0.17% at $445.16. </li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) was flat at $539.41. </li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.4% to $226.31.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) dipped 0.38% to $225.52. </li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) rose 1.36% to $92.54. </li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday's Stock Movers:&nbsp;</h2>
Shares of EV truck maker Nikola Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKLA#NASDAQ">NKLA</a>) plummeted after the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/asset-sales/25/02/43811409/nikola-files-for-bankruptcy-seeks-auction-for-sale-of-its-assets">company filed</a> for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, seeking to auction its assets while continuing limited operations through March 2025. Another small EV company, Mullen Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MULN#NASDAQ">MULN</a>), shares are down after the company reported significant losses in its fourth-quarter earnings release before the opening bell.&nbsp;
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Bumble, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BMBL#NASDAQ">BMBL</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOUR#NYSE">FOUR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CDNS#NASDAQ">CDNS</a>)</li>
<li>Medifast, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MED#NYSE">MED</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Appian Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APPN#NASDAQ">APPN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Arista Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANET#NASDAQ">ANET</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SEDG#NASDAQ">SEDG</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Global-E Online Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLBE#NASDAQ">GLBE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRMN#NYSE">GRMN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Wednesday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Carvana Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVNA#NYSE">CVNA</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Toast, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TOST#NYSE">TOST</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Cheesecake Factory Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAKE#NASDAQ">CAKE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Alamos Gold Inc. &nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGI#NYSE">AGI</a>)</li>
<li>Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BORR#NYSE">BORR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Taseko Mines, Ltd. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGB#AMEX">TGB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Equinox Gold Corp.&nbsp; (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQX#AMEX">EQX</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>B2Gold Corp. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTG#AMEX">BTG</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Vale S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Exact Sciences Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXAS#NASDAQ">EXAS</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Grab Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRAB#NASDAQ">GRAB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/02/43787369/us-russian-officials-begin-ukraine-peace-talks-defense-sector-stocks-rise"> US, Russian Officials Begin Ukraine Peace Talks: Defense Sector Stocks Rise</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: gary yim/Shutterstock.com

ANET

APPN

BMBL

BORR

CAKE

CDNS

CVNA

EXAS

FOUR

GLBE

GRAB

GRMN

MULN

NKLA

SEDG

TOST

VALE

Trump Calls For More Tariffs, Federal Reserve Minutes On Deck: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

2020年6月以来、消費者物価指数（CPI）報告が<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/fomc">連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）の会合</a>と同日に発表されるのは初めてのことだ。
このことは、金融市場にとって潜在的にボラティルな水曜日を予示している。
2024年第1四半期の3ヶ月間にわたり期待を上回るインフレ率の読書が続いたが、4月のデータは物価<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/05/38842603/us-inflation-falls-as-expected-in-april-bolsters-fed-rate-cut-bets">プレッシャーが緩和され、予測に合致した。</a>
このためCPIデータは、インフレ率が続く低下傾向を示しているのかどうかを確認する上で極めて重要だ。これがあれば、連邦準備制度理事会の2％の物価目標を達成する希望を支えることになる。
このため、水曜日午前8時30分に労働統計局から発表される5月のインフレ報告書の重要性が増している。
5月のインフレ報告書の結果は、同日のプレスカンファレンス中に行われるジェローム・パウエル（Jerome Powell）議長の声明にも大きな影響を与えるだろう。
柔らかいインフレ率の読書は、今年の後半に利上げが行われる可能性を補強する一方、予想を上回るインフレ率はより積極的なアプローチを必要とし、おそらく長期間金利を高めに維持する必要があることを繰り返す可能性がある。
市場参加者は現在、9月の利上げの可能性を50-50で見積もっており、年末までに完全に価格が大きく下落することを期待していない。
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39252500/fed-meeting-preview-economists-predict-steady-rates-in-june-fewer-cuts-ahead">Fed Meeting Preview: Economists Predict Steady Rates In June, Fewer Cuts Ahead</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">5月のインフレ報告書のプレビュー：経済学者の予想</h3>
<ul>
<li>Econodayが収集した経済学者の予想によると、全体の見出しの年間インフレ率は3.4％で横ばいになると予想されている。</li>
<li>総合的なCPIは、4月の0.3％の上昇から0.1％上昇すると予想されている。</li>
<li>食品およびエネルギー価格の変動を除いた年間のインフレ率は、0.3％の月次の上昇と、4月から変わらない3.6％で推移すると予想されている。</li>
</ul>
ゴールドマンサックスのエコノミスト マヌエル・アベカシス氏は、コンシューマーエレクトロニクスやパーソナルケアなどの分野でのインフレ率の低下が報告されると予想しており、5月のデータに反映されるという見方だ。彼はまた、自動車保険料の持続的な上昇も予測しているが、ペースは徐々に遅くなり、家賃やオーナーの同等の家賃（OER）のインフレ率は横ばいで推移すると予想している。
アベカシス氏は、「今後、2024年の終わりまでの数ヶ月間、月次コアCPIインフレ率は0.2〜0.3％の範囲内に留まると予想している。 2024年12月の年間コアCPIインフレ率は3.5％、コアPCEインフレ率は2.8％と予測している」と述べた。
著名なベテラン市場アナリストのエド・ヤーデニ氏は、5月のCPI報告書が依然としてインフレが抑制されていることを確認すると見ている。
「クリーブランド連銀のインフレ・ナウキャスティング・モデルによると、5月のヘッドラインおよびコアCPIは、前年比でそれぞれ3.36％および3.55％上昇し、これは2021年4月以来の最低の年間コアインフレ率読書となる」とYardeni氏は述べている。
ヤーデニ氏は、住居のインフレ率と中古車の価格の低下を予想しており、自動車関連の他の消費者価格が安定することを期待している。
米国銀行の経済学者マイケル・ゲープン氏は、5月の報告書が4月の好調な推移を継続すると見ている。
ゲープン氏は、「1月から3月までの月次コアCPIインフレ率が0.4％と平均した後、4月には方向性が変わった。 我々は5月のコアCPIとヘッドラインCPIがそれぞれ0.3％と0.1％の上昇となり、年間インフレ率はそれぞれ4.6％と34％で4月と同じになると予想している」とゲープン氏は語った。
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">過去のCPI報告書に対する市場の反応</h3>
2024年5月15日にCPI報告書が発表され、これは、株式、債券、金、および投機的資産を巡る株式市場の反発を引き起こした。
<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 500は、この日に SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）で1.2％上昇した。</li>
<li>テクヘビーなナスダック100は、 Invesco QQQ Trust（NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）で1.6％上昇した。</li>
<li>長期国債利回りは下がり、 iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF（NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>）は1.4％上昇した。</li>
<li>金は SPDR Gold Trust（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）で1.3％上昇した。</li>
<li>ビットコイン（CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）は7.4％上昇し、2か月間で最高の1日となり、今年の最高の3番目の読書を記録した。</li>
<li>Invesco DB USDインデックスブリッシュファンドETF（NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>）がドルの指標として下落し、0.7％下がり、2023年12月中旬以来の最悪の1日の性能を記録した。</li>
</ul>

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