オプションチェーンは、Traws Pharmaの株式オプションの主要データを様々な行使価格と満期日で表示します。トレーダーはこの情報を使用して、潜在的な取引を分析し、Traws Pharmaの市場センチメントを評価します。.

Traws Pharma (NASDAQ:TRAW) 株価情報, オプションチェーン

Traws Pharma

Traws Pharma Inc is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing antivirals for influenza, COVID and other respiratory infections and narazaciclib.

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TeraWulf Option Alert: Jan 17 $8 Calls Sweep (8) Near The Ask: 3233 @ $0.295 vs 27353 OI; Ref=$6.295

After beating most assets in 2024, gold is poised to continue its bullish trajectory. While positive catalysts like central bank purchases and inflation concerns still loom, the market sees President-elect Donald Trump's second term as a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">major volatility driver</a>.
&#8220;Although gold's momentum stalled in November as Donald Trump's win at the polls drove a surge in risk assets and the U.S. dollar, we think its price still has room to run in 2025,&#8221;<a href="https://www.ssga.com/au/en_gb/institutional/insights/gold-2025-outlook-more-room-to-run"> noted</a> State Street Global Advisors, an investment management division of the world's fourth largest asset manager.
Among their gold strength catalysts are robust central bank demand, growing consumer investment in Asia, and the fiscal and monetary uncertainty stemming from Trump's anticipated policies. "Gold remains an essential hedge against rising inflation, geopolitical instability, and potential currency devaluations," the firm stated.
Trump's second term, set to begin on Jan. 20, is expected to intensify market volatility. Tariff policies could stoke cost-push inflation, particularly the threat of up to 60% tariffs on Chinese imports. These tariffs would likely pressure the U.S. dollar, making gold an attractive hedge, State Street said.
In contrast, a strong dollar—buoyed by higher interest rates or foreign asset flows—could temper gold's gains (owing to the historical inverse relationship). However, central bank purchases may offset this effect.
Since 2022, central banks have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/05/38649656/how-chinas-central-bank-gold-buying-frenzy-drove-prices-to-record-highs-attracting-gen-z-to-gold-bea">purchased 2,700 tons of gold</a>, the fastest pace in recent history, reflecting a deliberate move to diversify away from dollar-heavy reserves. Emerging markets, in particular, have accelerated de-dollarization efforts as geopolitical tensions rise. For example, India significantly expanded its gold reserves. Cultural significance, increased investment options like ETFs, and favorable tax reforms have bolstered demand.
Drawing historical parallels, State Street sees Trump's policies—marked by tax cuts, increased defense spending, and tariff strategies—as comparable to George W. Bush's tenure, during which gold rallied 221% amid growing federal debt and accommodative monetary policies.
State Street projects three scenarios for gold in 2025:
<ul>
<li>Base Case (50% Probability): $2,600-$2,900/oz. Robust central bank purchases and steady Asian demand maintain a soft price floor.</li>
<li>Bull Case (30% Probability): $2,900-$3,100/oz. Weaker dollar and Fed rate cuts spur ETF inflows and bolster Asian demand.</li>
<li>Bear Case (20% Probability): $2,200-$2,600/oz. Strong US growth and dollar strength lead to ETF outflows, though central bank buying provides support.</li>
</ul>
State Street's specialized gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), is up 26.04% year-to-date.
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Why Trump's Return To Office Could Drive Gold Demand In 2025

Raymond James analyst Stephen Boland maintains Payfare (TSX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PAY#TSX">PAY</a>) with a Market Perform and raises the price target from C$3 to C$4.

TSX:PAY

Raymond James Maintains Market Perform on Payfare, Raises Price Target to C$4

AVGR

Avinger Shares Halted On Circuit Breaker To The Upside, Stock Now Up 197.3%

Avinger Shares Resume Trading

<a href="https://ppubs.uspto.gov/dirsearch-public/print/downloadBasicPdf/12171407?requestToken=eyJzdWIiOiI5ZDUzYjAzYi03YmNjLTRhZDQtOTI2Zi00MjUzYzIwY2ZkNDYiLCJ2ZXIiOiI2MDMxNmVkZi00ZWIzLTRlMzQtOWRlMS1jNGNlYjhiNmM3ZDEiLCJleHAiOjB9" title="https://ppubs.uspto.gov/dirsearch-public/print/downloadBasicPdf/12171407?requestToken=eyJzdWIiOiI5ZDUzYjAzYi03YmNjLTRhZDQtOTI2Zi00MjUzYzIwY2ZkNDYiLCJ2ZXIiOiI2MDMxNmVkZi00ZWIzLTRlMzQtOWRlMS1jNGNlYjhiNmM3ZDEiLCJleHAiOjB9">https://ppubs.uspto.gov/dirsearch-public/print/downloadBasicPdf/12171407?requestToken=eyJzdWIiOiI5ZDUzYjAzYi03YmNjLTRhZDQtOTI2Zi00MjUzYzIwY2ZkNDYiLCJ2ZXIiOiI2MDMxNmVkZi00ZWIzLTRlMzQtOWRlMS1jNGNlYjhiNmM3ZDEiLCJleHAiOjB9</a>

Avinger Awarded U.S. Patent 'US 12171407 B2' For 'ATHERECTOMY CATHETER DRIVE ASSEMBLIES'

<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/09/40985018/mark-cubans-black-amex-card-was-declined-trying-to-buy-a-140-000-bottle-of-champagne-after-his-n">Billionaire Mark Cuban</a> shared some candid insights about parenting on The Steam Room Podcast in November, hosted by Charles Barkley and Ernie Johnson. When Barkley asked Cuban how he avoids spoiling his kids despite his massive fortune, Cuban responded with a phrase that's as sharp as it is simple: "It's my money, not yours."
It's a sentiment echoed by other wealthy parents, like Shaquille O'Neal, who famously said, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/09/40943843/we-aint-rich-im-rich-nba-legend-shaq-says-his-daughters-and-sons-dont-get-equal-treatment-my-boy">"We ain't rich, I'm rich"</a> and Bill and Melinda Gates, who emphasized a "<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/07/40015377/bill-gates-children-will-only-inherit-10-million-0-0077-of-his-net-worth-leaving-kids-massive-am">middle-class upbringing</a>" for their kids. But Cuban's take feels especially personal when you hear how he talks about his three kids.
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"You know what it's like," Cuban told Barkley. "Your kids – no, you think they're going to be like you and your wife, but they end up being their own little humans." He described his children&#8217;s unique personalities: "One takes advantage, the other two don't. The middle one rebels against it … and my son, the youngest, takes advantage a little bit of tech because he knows I'll give in."
Even so, Cuban insists on keeping things grounded at home. "They still have to wash dishes, they still have to clean up after themselves – most of the time," he said. While he acknowledges that it's not easy – "They're getting on a private plane most of the time and it's not like we can hide it from them" – he's determined to avoid the trap of throwing material things at them as a solution. "You're mad at me? Let me buy you something. You're sad? Let me buy you something. That's just not how it works."
See Also: ‘Scrolling To UBI' — Deloitte's #1 fastest-growing software company allows users to earn money on their phones. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 minimum.</a>
The conversation feels refreshingly human, especially coming from someone whose life seems anything but ordinary. It's one thing to talk about discipline when your kids are flying coach, but Cuban's perspective shows that the challenges of raising "grateful and great human beings," as Barkley put it, exist at every level.
It's a mindset shared by other high-profile figures like Shaq, who requires his kids to earn two degrees before they can access his wealth. The underlying principle? Wealth shouldn't define your kids but challenge them to find their paths.
Trending: Many are using retirement income calculators to check if they&#8217;re on pace —<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-do-i-calculate-my-retirement-income-adv"> here&#8217;s a breakdown on what&#8217;s behind this formula.</a>
Back in 2014, Mark Cuban <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/10/41433888/dave-ramsey-tells-mark-cuban-regardless-of-socio-economic-status-you-have-to-teach-kids-to-work">appeared on The Dave Ramsey Show</a> and opened up about teaching kids the value of hard work. He also shared some of his biggest concerns as a parent. "Their health is number one, my number one fear and then just not being jerks is number two," Cuban said.
Mark Cuban's honesty about his parenting style – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/are-you-rich">balancing privilege with responsibility – </a>might not be a one-size-fits-all solution, but it's clear he's trying to do more than just raise rich kids. He's raising adults.
Read Next:
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<li>Can you guess how many retire with a $5,000,000 nest egg? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/5mil-nest-egg-adv">The percentage may shock you</a>.</li>
<li>The average American couple has saved this much money for retirement —<a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/smartasset"> How do you compare</a>?</li>
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Personal Finance

Billionaire Mark Cuban Says He Doesn't Spoil His Kids And Tells Them 'It's My Money, Not Yours'

Illumina (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ILMN#NASDAQ">ILMN</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 20 years by 10.11% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 18.44%. Currently, Illumina has a market capitalization of $21.57 billion. 
Buying $100 In ILMN: If an investor had bought $100 of ILMN stock 20 years ago, it would be worth $2,976.69 today based on a price of $135.99 for ILMN at the time of writing.
<h3>Illumina's Performance Over Last 20 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1735056016_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

ILMN

Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Illumina Stock In The Last 20 Years

In the current session, the stock is trading at $113.82, after a 0.65% spike. Over the past month, Arista Networks Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANET#NYSE">ANET</a>) stock increased by 11.50%, and in the past year, by 91.51%. With performance like this, long-term shareholders are optimistic but others are more likely to look into the price-to-earnings ratio to see if the stock might be overvalued.

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1735056007_0.png" alt="Past Year Chart" />

<h3>Comparing Arista Networks P/E Against Its Peers</h3>
The P/E ratio measures the current share price to the company's EPS. It is used by long-term investors to analyze the company's current performance against it's past earnings, historical data and aggregate market data for the industry or the indices, such as S&amp;P 500. A higher P/E indicates that investors expect the company to perform better in the future, and the stock is probably overvalued, but not necessarily. It also could indicate that investors are willing to pay a higher share price currently, because they expect the company to perform better in the upcoming quarters. This leads investors to also remain optimistic about rising dividends in the future. 
Arista Networks has a better P/E ratio of 54.3 than the aggregate P/E ratio of 49.32 of the Communications Equipment industry. Ideally, one might believe that Arista Networks Inc. might perform better in the future than it's industry group, but it's probable that the stock is overvalued. 

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1735056007_1.png" alt="Guage" />

In summary, while the price-to-earnings ratio is a valuable tool for investors to evaluate a company's market performance, it should be used with caution. A low P/E ratio can be an indication of undervaluation, but it can also suggest weak growth prospects or financial instability. Moreover, the P/E ratio is just one of many metrics that investors should consider when making investment decisions, and it should be evaluated alongside other financial ratios, industry trends, and qualitative factors. By taking a comprehensive approach to analyzing a company's financial health, investors can make well-informed decisions that are more likely to lead to successful outcomes.

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P/E Ratio Insights for Arista Networks

Avinger Shares Halted On Circuit Breaker To The Upside, Stock Now Up 164.6%

SoundHound AI Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOUN#NASDAQ">SOUN</a>) shares are trading lower on Tuesday, pulling back from recent strength. The rally accelerated in November when the company reported strong earnings. Here&#8217;s what you <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/12/42628373/exclusive-soundhound-ai-ceo-on-882-growth-were-just-getting-started">need to know</a>.
What To Know: SoundHound shares are up more than 875% since the start of the year, buoyed by the company&#8217;s positioning in the AI space. The stock has nearly tripled since mid-November when the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results, marking its &#8220;largest quarter on record.&#8221;
SoundHound reported a third-quarter loss of 6 cents per share, beating estimates of a loss of 7 cents per share. The company reported revenue of $25.1 million, beating estimates of $23.02 million, according to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>. SoundHound said demand was driven by &#8220;incredible market enthusiasm&#8221; for conversational AI tools.
SoundHound shares continued to move higher following earnings after Nvidia reported investments in multiple companies, including SoundHound, in a 13-F filing with the SEC. Nvidia&#8217;s 13F <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581024000305/xslForm13F_X02/information_table.xml">latest filing</a> showed that it increased its stake in SoundHound by about 18% in the third quarter.
Analysts lifted price targets as the stock has continued to trend higher. Last Week, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintained SoundHound with an <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings">Outperform</a> rating and raised its price target from $10 to $22. On Monday, HC Wainwright &amp; Co. analyst Scott Buck maintained a Buy rating on the stock and raised its price target from $8 to $26.
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It&#8217;s worth noting that SoundHound has high short interest with 24.4% of the float currently sold short, according to data from <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>. SoundHound has also been showing up on Benzinga&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/24/12/42628286/benzingas-stock-whisper-index-5-stocks-investors-secretly-monitor-but-dont-talk-about-yet-including-qubt-qbts">Stock Whisper Index</a> in recent weeks. 
In an exclusive interview on Friday, SoundHound CEO Keyvan Mohajer told Benzinga that AI has moved from the exploratory phase to the mandatory phase for budgets.
&#8220;In that context, SoundHound is in a prime position. Our ability to combine proprietary voice AI technology with sophisticated large language models has allowed us to deliver immense value,&#8221; Mohajer said. 
The SoundHound CEO told Benzinga that the company is powering hundreds of global enterprise brands, thousands of restaurant and retail locations and millions of vehicles and devices.
&#8220;And we&#8217;re just getting started,&#8221; Mohajer said.
SOUN Price Action: <a href="http://benzinga.com/quote/soun">SoundHound shares</a> were flat at 0.34% at $20.45 at the time of publication, according to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>.
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SOUN

What's Going On With SoundHound AI Stock?

Avinger Shares Resume Trade

HIVE Digital Technologies (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIVE#NASDAQ">HIVE</a>) announced on Tuesday its acquisition and deployment of advanced Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) H100 and H200 GPU clusters <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/12/42665811/hive-expands-nvidia-chip-suite-to-power-ai-boom-with-30-million-h100-and-h200-gpu-clusters-to-be-de" rel="noreferrer noopener">in Quebec, Canada</a>.
This strategic $30 million investment aims to strengthen HIVE&#8217;s position in artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) and enhance its role in the digital transformation landscape.
The new GPU clusters are part of HIVE&#8217;s broader strategy to drive growth in AI and HPC markets.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/24/12/42613368/broadcom-expects-decade-long-ai-chip-boom-as-big-tech-invest-billions" rel="noreferrer noopener">Broadcom Expects Decade-Long AI Chip Boom as Big Tech Invest Billions</a>
HIVE expects the latest technology to significantly boost its annualized run-rate revenue and margin growth in the coming quarters.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="750" height="650" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24062648/newplot-14.png" alt="" class="wp-image-705809" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24062648/newplot-14.png 750w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24062648/newplot-14-300x260.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px" /></figure>
The Nvidia H100 cluster, consisting of 248 GPUs across 32 nodes, is fully configured and set to be operational by the end of 2024. Once deployed, this cluster will likely generate ~$15 million in annualized run-rate revenue.
The Nvidia H200 cluster, featuring 508 GPUs in 64 nodes, is scheduled to arrive in early January 2025 and be deployed in the first quarter of 2025.
HIVE projects over $20 million in annualized run-rate revenue from the H200 cluster by the second quarter of 2025.
Aligned with its commitment to sustainability, HIVE powers its operations in Quebec entirely with renewable energy.
In October, Cantor Fitzgerald&#8217;s Brett Knoblauch <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41603920/hive-pushes-hash-rate-higher-sharpens-focus-on-ai" rel="noreferrer noopener">highlighted HIVE&#8217;s measured</a> approach to growth, contrasting it with peers focusing on aggressive expansion.
He noted that the company prioritizes maximizing returns from fleet investments over rapid scaling, which has led to underperformance relative to competitors.
The analyst expects HIVE to double its hash rate in the coming year while maintaining its top-tier mining efficiency. He also pointed out HIVE&#8217;s advancements in AI and high-performance computing (HPC), emphasizing the potential of its GPU cloud platform, HIVE Cloud.
HIVE&nbsp;stock plunged over 32% year-to-date.
Price Actions:&nbsp;HIVE stock is up 2.69% at $3.05 at the last check on Tuesday.
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HIVE

NVDA

HIVE Digital Boosts AI Ambitions With $30 Million Nvidia GPU Deployment

Avinger Shares Halted On Circuit Breaker To The Upside, Stock Now Up 128.8%

Strategic location offers unique opportunity to ensure reliability for the New England region and advance Massachusetts&#39; clean energy transition by interconnecting multiple renewable energy sources
With a focus on helping to enable Massachusetts&#39; unprecedented clean energy transition while ensuring safe, reliable service for customers across New England, Eversource has acquired a 26-acre portion of the Mystic property from Constellation Energy. Eversource has not developed specific plans for the site at this time, but its strategic location, historic use, and existing infrastructure uniquely position it as a potential multi-use energy interconnection hub for large-scale renewable energy sources &ndash; including onshore or offshore wind, hydro, battery storage and nuclear among others &ndash; with the capacity to support electrification and meet the reliability needs for major energy users in the region. Over the coming year, Eversource will collaborate closely with Massachusetts and Everett officials and other stakeholders to develop a plan for the property, which is adjacent to the site of the proposed soccer stadium in Everett, to improve electric reliability in New England while also helping to advance Massachusetts&#39; electrification and decarbonization goals.

Eversource Acquires Mystic Property From Constellation Energy; No Financial Terms Disclosed

IAG, the parent of British Airways,&nbsp;is weighing options with multiple providers, including&nbsp;Amazon.com Inc&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) Project Kuiper and Elon Musk&#8217;s Starlink to equip its fleet with Wi-Fi service, Bloomberg <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-24/spacex-amazon-in-talks-with-british-airways-owner-on-wi-fi-deal?sref=TBDibEcD" rel="noreferrer noopener">cites</a> from an interview with IAG&#8217;s head of innovation,&nbsp;Annalisa Gigante.
According to the report, Gigante acknowledged working with Starlink and Amazon&#8217;s Kuiper towards something likely for 2025.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42536024/taiwan-eyes-amazons-kuiper-as-starlink-faces-hurdles" rel="noreferrer noopener">Amazon&#8217;s Project Kuiper In Talks With Taiwan For Satellite Partnership</a>
According to the Bloomberg report, while U.S. airlines can easily switch to Starlink because the&nbsp;Federal Aviation Administration has already authenticated it, European carriers have to undergo a certification process. British Airways would need a separate certification from Iberia, she said.
Amazon plans to launch the first operational Kuiper satellites&nbsp;by 2025.
The talks reflect airlines forging deals with Starlink and rivals for faster, affordable, unlimited in-flight Wi-Fi. Starlink boasts of ~4 million customers.
In March, Icelandair selected ViaSat Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSAT#NASDAQ">VSAT</a>) <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/03/37485751/viasat-secures-icelandair-deal-for-inflight-wi-fi-on-new-airbus-fleet" rel="noreferrer noopener">for Wi-Fi on</a> the new Airbus fleet to ensure an online experience with streaming entertainment.
In May, Qatar Airways collaborated with&nbsp;Starlink&nbsp;to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/05/39081646/elon-musks-starlink-joins-hands-with-qatar-airways-for-menas-first-complimentary-wi-fi-service-on-se" rel="noreferrer noopener">offer complimentary Wi-Fi</a> on three of its Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) 777-300 aircraft.
In September, United Airlines Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) announced <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40853157/united-airlines-inks-deal-with-elon-musks-spacex-to-provide-free-inflight-wi-fi-via-starlink" rel="noreferrer noopener">plans to offer</a> free inflight Wi-Fi to its passengers, leveraging Starlink service.
Also in September, Hawaiian Airlines Airbus-operated flights announced <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/41023552/hawaiin-airlines-airbus-planes-take-flight-with-starlink-internet-service-at-no-additional-cost-to-c" rel="noreferrer noopener">the availability of</a> Starlink satellite internet service.
Price Action: AMZN stock is up 1.73% at $228.91 at the last check on Tuesday.
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</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock

Tech

Media

AMZN

VSAT

British Airways Parent Targets Advanced Wi-Fi Options with Musk's Starlink and Amazon's Kuiper

While computer memory specialist Micron Technology (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MU#NASDAQ">MU</a>) fundamentally benefits from the surge in artificial intelligence — largely because of its high-performance memory and storage solutions — MU stock <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/micron">suffered a rude awakening recently. </a>
Last week, shares tumbled almost 15% following the company's rather <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/12/42564387/micron-q1-earnings-revenue-miss-eps-beat-soft-guidance-sinks-shares-as-consumer-markets-turn-weaker-in-near-term">disappointing earnings report</a>. Still, astute risk-takers may find upside opportunity in the carnage.
After the market closed last Wednesday, Micron released its results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025. Adjusted earnings per share landed at $1.79, beating the consensus view of $1.76. However, the market didn't take too kindly to the tech giant generating sales of $8.71 billion, thus missing the expected tally of $8.72 billion.
However, it was likely guidance that sent investors rushing for the exits. Management anticipates that in the current quarter, revenue might land at only $7.9 billion, give or take $200 million. Either way, that's short of analysts' estimate of $9 billion. Adding to the woes, Micron expects Q2 adjusted EPS to reach $1.43, plus or minus 10 cents. This figure pales in comparison to the prior estimate of $1.92.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="598" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24061822/MU-stock-12242024-1024x598.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-705803" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24061822/MU-stock-12242024-1024x598.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24061822/MU-stock-12242024-300x175.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24061822/MU-stock-12242024-768x449.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/24061822/MU-stock-12242024.jpg 1027w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
With this trade, MU stock has now fallen back into the clutches of a horizontal consolidation pattern that began in late July of this year. Because of the rarity of one-week drops exceeding 10%, investors have reason to be cautious. Nevertheless, data-driven traders may view Micron stock as a compelling comeback opportunity.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Leveraging the Power of Probabilistic Analysis</h2>
In physics, aircraft engineers <a href="https://calaero.edu/aeronautics/principles-of-flight/newtons-third-law-in-aviation/">primarily rely on Newtonian mechanics</a> to design stable airplanes. Essentially, flight dynamics of objects near the earth's surface can be reliably predicted with classical physics. However, satellites require an <a href="https://chandra.harvard.edu/blog/node/773">Einsteinian model</a> or general and special relativity, in part to account for weaker gravitational fields and other unique dynamics in space.
The financial markets work in a similar manner. Many, if not most, technical analysis indicators are derived through linear, deterministic (i.e., Newtonian) frameworks. They monitor the frequencies of a given event over a defined period of time.
For example, under a frequentist approach, it's straightforward to calculate the probability that, on any given Monday, the market will deliver a positive return by Friday's close. In this case, the trader divides the number of positive weeks in a given dataset by the total number of weeks in that dataset. The success ratio for MU stock over the past five years is 49.4%.
However, what happened last week is a rare event. Over the same five-year period, there were only nine weeks (not including last week) where MU stock lost 10% or more. Of this figure, six of the following weeks ended in positive territory (or a success ratio of 66.67%), with an average return of 6.22%. These figures can be attained via a probabilistic analysis called Bayesian inference.
At its core, the character of speculation in MU stock changes dramatically following a deep loss of weekly value. Much like Einstein's theory of relativity accounts for large objects' disruption of the space-time continuum, Bayesian inferences help capture the sentiment shift of extreme greed that occurs following a period of extreme fear.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Bull Call Spreads of MU Stock to Target</h2>
To put it simply, determining the success ratio of any given week is basically a coin toss. However, this week is special because it follows a week where MU stock lost almost 15% of value. Such events are quite rare and when they occur, they tend to shift the fear-greed continuum decisively in favor of the bulls. Of course, that doesn't guarantee success. However, a trader would be betting with the wind at their back.
Understanding this framework, there are two approaches to consider, both involving <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/bull-spread">bull call spreads</a> that expire this coming Friday (Dec. 27). One idea is to buy the 88/90 call spread or buying the $88 call and simultaneously selling the $90 call. Here, the credit received from the short call helps partially offset the debit paid for the long call.
The net debit paid comes out to $149 (as of Monday's close), which is the most that can be lost in the trade. Further, the payout is the difference between the strike prices minus the net debit paid, which is $51 or 34.23%.
However, as stated earlier, the Bayesian calculation revealed that when a positive week follows a 10% or greater loss in the prior week, the average return is 6.22%. Applying this figure to Monday's close reveals an upside target price of $95.30. By logical deduction, an aggressive bull call spread could feature a short call strike of $95.
For instance, an intrepid speculator could buy an 88/95 call spread. That puts $252 at risk for the chance to earn $448 should MU stock hit or exceed $95 by Friday, or a payout of 177.78%. Again, it's an aggressive bet and the market makers — who are likely using deterministic math — have calculated very low odds of success, hence the big payout.
In contrast, probabilistic math based on special circumstances (such as the current week) yields a completely different framework. This is the inside edge that investors should consider when assessing MU stock amid the earnings aftermath.
Read Next:
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Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

Long Ideas

Options Corner: A Poor Performance By Micron May Signal An Incoming Rebound

Carbon Revolution Public Limited Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CREV#NASDAQ">CREV</a>) shares are soaring Tuesday after the company announced $25 million in financing to support the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/12/g42663136/carbon-revolution-secures-new-25-million-financing-agreement-with-oic-and-existing-lenders">ongoing liquidity of its business</a>.
What Happened: Carbon Revolution, a global manufacturer of carbon fiber wheels, said it reached an agreement with Orion Infrastructure Capital for a further $25 million in financing to be released in five $5 million tranches. Existing noteholders have also agreed to release up to $2 million of existing loan reserves in five equal tranches.
In connection with the release of each of the five tranches, Carbon Revolution will issue to Orion Infrastructure Capital and the lenders penny warrants to purchase 5% of the company&#8217;s outstanding shares.
Carbon Revolution previously drew $70 million of its $110 million funding agreement with Orion Infrastructure Capital. The new $25 million agreement will be drawn from the remaining $40 million under the agreement.
&#8220;OIC continues to be a great funding partner for Carbon Revolution, sharing our vision for our world-leading technology,&#8221; said Jake Dingle, CEO of Carbon Revolution. &#8220;This capital supports the ongoing liquidity of the business and underpins the continued delivery of our production capacity increase and the near-term launch of a number of new OEM programs.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/12/42668623/american-airlines-resolves-nationwide-flight-grounding-on-christmas-eve-shares-rebound-after-brief-selloff">American Airlines Lifts Christmas Eve Grounding, Shares Bounce Back</a>
Carbon Revolution also noted that it continues to work to file its annual report &#8220;as promptly as practical&#8221; in order to regain compliance with Nasdaq listing rules. 
It&#8217;s worth noting that Carbon Revolution is considered a low-float stock with just 1.81 million shares available for public trading, according to&nbsp;<a href="http://pro.benzinga.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>. The company also had a market cap of less than $7.5 million as of Monday's close. Low-float, micro-cap stocks can be extremely volatile, which may help explain some of Tuesday's outsized move.
CREV Price Action: <a href="http://benzinga.com/quote/crev">Carbon Revolution shares</a> were up 158.9% at $10.12 at the time of publication Tuesday, according to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Photo: Shutterstock.

Financing

CREV

Carbon Revolution Stock Is Soaring Today: What's Going On?

Reinsurance Gr's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RGA#NYSE">RGA</a>) short percent of float has risen 14.81% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 315 thousand shares sold short, which is 0.62% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 1.0 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Reinsurance Gr Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1735055121_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Reinsurance Gr has grown since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to fall in the near-term but traders should be aware that more shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Reinsurance Gr's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Reinsurance Gr's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 1.61%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

Short Sellers

Short Ideas

How Is The Market Feeling About Reinsurance Gr?

Yum Brands's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>) short percent of float has risen 13.7% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 6.95 million shares sold short, which is 2.49% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 4.44 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Yum Brands Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1735055115_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Yum Brands has grown since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to fall in the near-term but traders should be aware that more shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Yum Brands's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Yum Brands's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 9.40%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

Looking Into Yum Brands's Recent Short Interest

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