最新ニュース Vale (NYSE:VALE) 株価情報

Vale

Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.

VALE S.A. American Depositary Shares Each Representing one common share

Vale SA

VALEREUM PLC by VALEREUM PLC

Valencia CF Fan Token

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. Warrants, each warrant to purchase one-half of one Ordinary Share

VALENTINE BEAUTY INC by Valentine Beauty, Inc.

Valentine Beauty Inc

VALENTINE MARK CORP by Valentine Mark Corporation

Valentine Mark Corp

Valeo Pharma Inc

Valeo SA

Valero Energy Corp

Valeura Energy Inc

VALEURA ENERGY INC by Valeura Energy Inc.

The global iron ore market could increase production over the next five years, with output surging as high as 2.92 billion tons by 2029. This trend could put additional pressure on leading <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/australia" rel="noreferrer noopener">exporters like Australia</a>, whose currency has declined by around 20% against the U.S. dollar since 2015.
Per Mining Weekly, BMI's latest <a target="_blank" href="https://www.miningweekly.com/article/iron-ore-production-to-accelerate-over-next-five-years-bmi-2025-03-11" rel="noreferrer noopener">report</a> expects iron output to grow at an annual rate of 2.5% until 2029—more than double the 1.2% growth it saw over the previous five years. Expansion of existing mines and new projects, like Guinea's Simandou, which BMI highlights as a long-term milestone, should drive this growth.
However, the report also warns that geopolitical instability and resource nationalism could cause delays, and after 2029, a lower price environment could push production into stagnation.
Global iron ore exports increased by 2% in 2024, reaching approximately 1.6 billion tons. Australia maintained its position as the world's top exporter, shipping 866 million tons—an increase of 1.4% year-over-year.
Brazil followed with 390 million tons, marking a 2.6% rise, while South Africa shipped 61 million tons, up 3.4%. China, the world's largest importer, brought in a record 1.24 billion tons in 2024, a 4.9% increase driven by stable steel production and lower prices for Australian fines.
Major mining companies also saw production increases in 2024. BHP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>) boosted output by 3% to 290 million tons, Fortescue Metals Group (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSUMF#OTC">FSUMF</a>) increased supply by 2% to 194 million tons, and Vale (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) achieved a 2% rise to 328 million tons, its highest level since 2018.
Meanwhile, India's exports declined as domestic demand surged by 4% to 242 million tons, driven by growth in steel, pellet, and sponge iron production.
BMI has set an optimistic forecast for Brazil, expecting its ore production to rebound following a contraction around 2020. The firm forecasts a 3.1% average annual growth from 2025 to 2029, with output increasing from 463 million tons to 528.7 million tons.
This growth is expected to continue beyond 2030 as planned projects contribute to further expansion.
Still, China is expected to lag in market growth, boosting its output by 1% this year. Despite its effort to reduce reliance on ore imports, it faces a cost problem owing to lower-grade ore. India's iron ore production is projected to grow by 2% in 2024, reaching 284 million tons, but growth is expected to slow after 2025, with output forecasted to hit 306.5 million tons by 2034.
Australia, the global leader in iron ore, is set to increase output by 2.5% in 2025, with expansion projects such as Mineral Resources' Onslow Iron and Fortescue's Iron Bridge contributing to growth.
Yet, Rio Tinto has faced challenges due to resource depletion at Paraburdoo and adverse weather, with cyclones expected to impact shipments by 13 million tons in Q1 2025.
While cornerstone projects like Simandou offer a supply boost, declining prices and competitive pressures could reshape the industry – particularly if decarbonization efforts gain stronger momentum.
Price Watch: VanEck Steel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLX#NYSE">SLX</a>) is up 4.33% year-to-date.
Read Next:&nbsp;&nbsp;
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</ul>
Photo: BJP7Images via Shutterstock

News

Guidance

Commodities

Global

Markets

FSUMF

VALE

Iron Ore Production To Accelerate Until 2030, Study Says

WIIM

ASPI

CENX

MEOH

MERC

PACK

SCCO

STLD

TECK

Shares of companies within the broader materials sector are trading lower amid economic worries driven by tariffs and trade policies. Investors may be expecting a decline in investment, which may also be weighing on the industry.

ICOP

Shares of copper stocks are trading higher after US President Donald Trump reportedly suggested imports of the metal could be subject to a 25% tariff. Copper is now trading at a 9-month high.

Vale shares are trading higher following a Q4 revenue beat.

VALE S.A.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) shares are surging on Thursday. On Wednesday, the company reported net operating revenues decline of 22% year over year to $10.124 billion, beating&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/53207d1c-63b4-48f1-96b7-19869fae19fe/ef08c06a-f29a-9272-3ba5-283e7e3c6617?origin=1" rel="noreferrer noopener">the</a> consensus of $10.117 billion.
Iron ore shipments declined by 9.1 Mt Y/Y due to portfolio optimization focusing on higher-margin products. The average realized iron ore fines price declined 21% Y/Y to $93/t due to lower benchmark prices.
Copper and nickel all-in costs stood at $1,098/t and $13,881/t, respectively—the lowest since fourth-quarter 2020 for copper and since first-quarter of 2022 for nickel.&nbsp;
Proforma EBITDA declined 40% Y/Y to $4.1 billion in the quarter due to a decline in iron ore prices and sales volumes. Adjusted EPS of 20 cents missed <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the consensus of 43 cents</a>.
Capital expenditure fell 17% Y/Y to $1.77 billion in the quarter. As of December 31, cash and cash equivalent stood at $4.95 billion.
The company approved $1.984 billion in dividends and interest on capital, set for payment in March 2025, representing an annualized dividend yield of 10.4%.  Additionally, Vale renewed the share buyback program for 18 months, allowing for the repurchase of up to 120 million shares.
Gustavo Pimenta, CEO, said,&nbsp;"We are pleased to report a strong operational and financial performance in 2024, underscored by the highest iron ore production since 2018 and record copper production at Salobo. Our disciplined approach to cost and operational&nbsp;effeciency&nbsp;has driven significant improvements, with our C1 at&nbsp;US$ 18.8/t&nbsp;in Q4, the lowest level since 2022.&#8221;
&#8221;Regarding safety and dam management, we have made meaningful progress by eliminating four additional dams in 2024 and completing 57% of our dam&nbsp;decharacterization&nbsp;program. This year, we expect to remove the last dam at emergency level 3. We begin 2025 highly optimistic about our ability to meet our annual targets and advance our strategic priorities."
Outlook: Vale sees iron ore production of 325-335 Mt for FY25 and 340-360 Mt&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/53207d1c-63b4-48f1-96b7-19869fae19fe/37cb9949-5288-05dd-c822-c29e1b9fe0f4?origin=1" rel="noreferrer noopener">in</a> FY26, driven by project ramp-ups and the start-up of the Serra Sul +20 project.
For 2025, all-in costs&nbsp;are projected&nbsp;to be $53-$57/t, with a further decline to $50-$54/t in 2026. This reduction is owing to lower C1 cash costs, supported by efficiency improvements, increased production, and a shift&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">toward higher-quality products</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via&nbsp;VanEck Steel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLX#NYSE">SLX</a>) and&nbsp;IShares Latin America 40 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ILF#NYSE">ILF</a>).
Price Action: VALE sharse are up 3.75% at $10.11 at the last check Thursday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/02/43821214/trump-calls-for-more-tariffs-federal-reserve-minutes-on-deck-whats-driving-markets-wednesday" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump Calls For More Tariffs, Federal Reserve Minutes On Deck: What&#8217;s Driving Markets Wednesday?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Earnings

Equities

Large Cap

Dividends

Buybacks

Movers

iShares Trust S&P Latin America 40 Index Fund

VALE Q4: Lower Iron Ore Prices Weigh on Earnings, Stock Buyback Renewal And More

Stocks tumbled Thursday, with all major indices in the red, one day after the S&amp;P 500 notched another all-time high in Wednesday&#8217;s trading session. Investors are weighing uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and disappointing guidance from Walmart while digesting new<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/forex/25/02/43843332/global-markets-mixed-dollar-dips-as-traders-react-to-trumps-tariff-plans-global-markets-today-while-us-slept"> initial jobless claims data.</a>
Mega-retailer Walmart, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>)&#8217;s shares dropped after the company issued fiscal 2026 guidance below analyst expectations, despite fourth-quarter results beating expectations.
Retail investor darling Palantir Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) added to Wednesday&#8217;s declines <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43849289/whats-going-on-with-palantir-stock-thursday">following a report </a>that the Trump administration told the Pentagon to prepare for sweeping budget cuts and CEO Alex Karp filed a new trading plan to sell up to $1.2 billion shares.
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43836832/trump-administration-orders-sweeping-pentagon-cuts-defense-sector-stocks-on-watch"> Trump Administration Orders Sweeping Pentagon Cuts: Palantir, Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics Among Stocks On Watch</a>
Initial jobless claims rose by 5,000 to 219,000, above expectations of 215,000, while continuing claims rose to 186,900 in the first week of February.
WTI crude oil futures rose above $72 per barrel on Thursday, extending its streak of gains to four days as supply concerns outweighed a rise in U.S. stockpiles, according to TradingEconomics. 
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rose 1.09% to $97,695. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note pulled back slightly to 4.5%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday's Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,911.27</td>
<td>-0.72%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,101.27 </td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,036.44</td>
<td>-1.32%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,252.49</td>
<td>-1.31%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.67% to $608.82. </li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 1.26% at $441.02</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) slipped 0.7% to $535.72. </li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) was down 1.17% to $223.79. </li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) fell 1.39% to $223.10.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.6% to $92.57. </li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday's Stock Movers:&nbsp;</h2>
Cruise stocks Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>), Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCHL#NYSE">NCHL</a>) tumbled, leading consumer discretionary stocks lower. The SPDR Select Sector Fund &#8211; Consumer Discretionary (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) fell 1.44%. 
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Carvana Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVNA#NYSE">CVNA</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Vale S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>B2Gold Corp. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTG#AMEX">BTG</a>)</li>
<li>Exact Sciences Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXAS#NASDAQ">EXAS</a>)</li>
<li>Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGI#NYSE">AGI</a>)</li>
<li>Walmart, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>) </li>
<li>Taseko Mines, Ltd. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGB#AMEX">TGB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Shake Shack, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHAK#NYSE">SHAK</a>) </li>
<li>Materialise NV (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTLS#NASDAQ">MTLS</a>) </li>
<li>Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAS#NASDAQ">HAS</a>) </li>
<li>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABA#NYSE">BABA</a>) </li>
<li>Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JMIA#NYSE">JMIA</a>) </li>
<li>Birkenstock Holding Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BIRK#NYSE">BIRK</a>) </li>
<li>Sabre Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SABR#NASDAQ">SABR</a>) </li>
<li>Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARDX#NASDAQ">ARDX</a>) </li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Thursday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CELH#NASDAQ">CELH</a>) </li>
<li>Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBX#NASDAQ">DBX</a>) </li>
<li>Iamgold Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAG#NYSE">IAG</a>) </li>
<li>The RealReal, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REAL#NASDAQ">REAL</a>) </li>
<li>Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NU#NYSE">NU</a>) </li>
<li>Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ED#NYSE">ED</a>) </li>
<li>Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIVN#NASDAQ">RIVN</a>) </li>
<li>Block, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XYZ#NYSE">XYZ</a>) </li>
<li>Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKNG#NASDAQ">BKNG</a>) </li>
<li>MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MELI#NASDAQ">MELI</a>) </li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43703014/robert-f-kennedy-confirmed-as-trump-secretary-of-health">Robert F. Kennedy, Vaccine Skeptic, Confirmed As Trump&#8217;s Secretary Of Health: Health Care Stocks To Watch</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock.

Market Summary

Sector ETFs

Bonds

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Econ #s

ETFs

General

$BTC

ARDX

BABA

BIRK

BKNG

CELH

CVNA

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

EXAS

JMIA

MELI

MTLS

NCHL

NCLH

PLTR

REAL

RIVN

SABR

SHAK

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Palantir Rally Loses Steam, Walmart Outlook Disappoints: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

Vale CEO Say He Sees Limited Impacts of Possible Tariffs From The U.S. Since It Does Not Sell Much Iron Ore To The Country; Vale Could Be Affected if Tariff War Leads To Lower Global Growth, but We're Not There Yet;  Vale Sees Oversupply Of Nickel From Indonesia Lowering Prices And Is Carrying Out Optimization Of Assets To Improve Profitability Of Nickel Sales

Vale (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.20 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.43 by 53.49 percent. The company reported quarterly sales of $10.124 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $10.117 billion by 0.07 percent. This is a 22.45 percent decrease over sales of $13.054 billion the same period last year.

Earnings Beats

Earnings Misses

Reported Earlier, Vale Q4 2024 Adj. EPS $0.20 Misses $0.43 Estimate, Sales $10.124B Beat $10.117B Estimate

Vale CEO Sees Balanced Global Iron Ore Market In 2025

Vale CEO Expects China Market To Remain Strong, World's Growth Is Accelerating, Which Is Good For The Firm

Financial giants have made a conspicuous bearish move on Vale. Our analysis of options history for Vale (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) revealed 11 unusual trades.
Delving into the details, we found 27% of traders were bullish, while 63% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 5 were puts, with a value of $326,968, and 6 were calls, valued at $334,189.
<h3>What's The Price Target?</h3>
Taking into account the Volume and Open Interest on these contracts, it appears that whales have been targeting a price range from $9.5 to $15.0 for Vale over the last 3 months. 
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Examining the volume and open interest provides crucial insights into stock research. This information is key in gauging liquidity and interest levels for Vale's options at certain strike prices. Below, we present a snapshot of the trends in volume and open interest for calls and puts across Vale's significant trades, within a strike price range of $9.5 to $15.0, over the past month.
<h3>Vale Option Activity Analysis: Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1740066341_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Biggest Options Spotted:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>VALE</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$0.66</td>
<td>$0.65</td>
<td>$0.66</td>
<td>$10.00</td>
<td>$117.0K</td>
<td>20.5K</td>
<td>491</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>VALE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/21/25</td>
<td>$0.42</td>
<td>$0.4</td>
<td>$0.4</td>
<td>$10.00</td>
<td>$116.6K</td>
<td>110.8K</td>
<td>9.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>VALE</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$2.14</td>
<td>$1.28</td>
<td>$2.14</td>
<td>$12.00</td>
<td>$107.2K</td>
<td>18.4K</td>
<td>220</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>VALE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/21/25</td>
<td>$0.33</td>
<td>$0.32</td>
<td>$0.32</td>
<td>$10.00</td>
<td>$52.9K</td>
<td>110.8K</td>
<td>2.9K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>VALE</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$7.5</td>
<td>$5.0</td>
<td>$5.0</td>
<td>$15.00</td>
<td>$50.0K</td>
<td>30.4K</td>
<td>0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Vale</h3>
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.
Following our analysis of the options activities associated with Vale, we pivot to a closer look at the company's own performance.
<h3>Where Is Vale Standing Right Now?</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 24,401,563, with VALE's price up by 4.16%, positioned at $10.14.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be may be overbought.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 62 days.</li>
</ul>
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Options

This Is What Whales Are Betting On Vale

All three major U.S. indices are red in Wednesday's midday trading as investors weighed President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on auto imports, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. An official announcement is<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43807804/us-stocks-likely-to-open-lower-following-fresh-records-from-previous-session-expert-says-dont-be-scared-of-new-highs"> expected as soon as April 2.&nbsp;</a>
Markets are anticipating the release of the most recent FOMC minutes later in the trading day which will give further insight into the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. The Fed held interest rates steady at its last meeting and has signaled it is in no hurry to lower rates.&nbsp;
Natural gas futures were up 5%, closing in on a two-year high, as extreme <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel/25/02/43814828/life-threatening-cold-air-snow-brings-travel-delays-higher-heating-costs">cold temperatures</a> across the U.S. drove higher heating demand and froze oil and gas wells, disrupting production. Adding to the pressure on prices are record-level gas flows to LNG export plants. The United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNG#NYSE">UNG</a>) ETF was up more than 5% midday Wednesday.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel/25/02/43814828/life-threatening-cold-air-snow-brings-travel-delays-higher-heating-costs">&#8216;Life-Threatening&#8217; Cold Air, Snow Brings Travel Delays, Higher Heating Costs</a>
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note held above 4.5% on Wednesday after Trump issued new tariff threats which fueled inflation concerns. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) rose 0.03% to $88.13.&nbsp;
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rose to above the $96,000 level as crypto markets recovered some of Tuesday's losses.&nbsp;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1 day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,037.70</td>
<td>-0.02%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,132.74</td>
<td>0.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,465.91</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,284.05</td>
<td>0.28%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Benzinga Pro data:
<ul>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched up 0.05% to $611.78</li>
<li>The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) was down 0.17% at $445.16. </li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) was flat at $539.41. </li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.4% to $226.31.</li>
<li>The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) dipped 0.38% to $225.52. </li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) rose 1.36% to $92.54. </li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday's Stock Movers:&nbsp;</h2>
Shares of EV truck maker Nikola Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKLA#NASDAQ">NKLA</a>) plummeted after the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/asset-sales/25/02/43811409/nikola-files-for-bankruptcy-seeks-auction-for-sale-of-its-assets">company filed</a> for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, seeking to auction its assets while continuing limited operations through March 2025. Another small EV company, Mullen Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MULN#NASDAQ">MULN</a>), shares are down after the company reported significant losses in its fourth-quarter earnings release before the opening bell.&nbsp;
Stocks reacting to company earnings reports included:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Bumble, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BMBL#NASDAQ">BMBL</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOUR#NYSE">FOUR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CDNS#NASDAQ">CDNS</a>)</li>
<li>Medifast, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MED#NYSE">MED</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Appian Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APPN#NASDAQ">APPN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Arista Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANET#NASDAQ">ANET</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SEDG#NASDAQ">SEDG</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Global-E Online Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLBE#NASDAQ">GLBE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRMN#NYSE">GRMN</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Companies reporting after Wednesday's closing bell include:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Carvana Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVNA#NYSE">CVNA</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Toast, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TOST#NYSE">TOST</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Cheesecake Factory Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAKE#NASDAQ">CAKE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Alamos Gold Inc. &nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGI#NYSE">AGI</a>)</li>
<li>Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BORR#NYSE">BORR</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Taseko Mines, Ltd. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGB#AMEX">TGB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Equinox Gold Corp.&nbsp; (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQX#AMEX">EQX</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>B2Gold Corp. (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTG#AMEX">BTG</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Vale S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Exact Sciences Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXAS#NASDAQ">EXAS</a>)&nbsp;</li>
<li>Grab Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRAB#NASDAQ">GRAB</a>)&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
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Photo: gary yim/Shutterstock.com

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Earnings Scheduled For February 19, 2025

Two of the world's largest miners, Rio Tinto PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIO#NYSE">RIO</a>) and Vale SA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>), are set to report their fourth-quarter <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings">earnings on Wednesday</a>.
While both stocks have shown bullish technical signals, investors will be watching closely to see which one has the stronger post-earnings trajectory.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">RIO: Bullish But Facing Resistance</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent021825&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="629" height="470" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130942/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.24-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-787480" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130942/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.24-PM.png 629w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130942/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.24-PM-300x224.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent021825&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
RIO stock has climbed 9% YTD, with its stock trading above its eight, 20, and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) &#8211; a strong technical indicator. 
However, it remains below its 200-day SMA of $64.55, suggesting a potential ceiling for further upside. With an RSI (relative strength index) of 66.54, RIO stock is approaching overbought territory, and selling pressure could lead to some post-earnings weakness.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43432736/copper-stocks-on-shaky-ground-jpmorgan-analysts-say-tariffs-deepseek-cloud-outlook">Copper Stocks On Shaky Ground, JPMorgan Analysts Say: Tariffs, DeepSeek Cloud Outlook</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">VALE: A Stronger Rebound?</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent021825&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="629" height="470" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130951/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.13-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-787483" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130951/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.13-PM.png 629w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/18130951/Screenshot-2025-02-18-at-11.39.13-PM-300x224.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent021825&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
Vale, after a brutal 26.3% over the past year, has outpaced RIO so far this year with a 10.98% YTD gain. Like Rio Tinto, Vale is trading above its short-term moving averages, signaling bullish momentum. However, its RSI of 69.71 is higher than RIO's, indicating it&#8217;s closer to overbought levels.
The 200-day SMA at $10.55 could act as resistance, and investors will be watching if earnings provide the catalyst needed to break through.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Investor Takeaway</h2>
Technically, VALE appears stronger due to its more aggressive rebound and higher RSI, but it also carries more risk of overheating. 
Meanwhile, Rio Tinto's selling pressure and resistance at its 200-day SMA suggest a potential consolidation.
Earnings will be key in determining which miner has the momentum to continue its rally. If Vale's results impress, it could break through its 200-day resistance, while Rio's performance will need to offset concerns about selling pressure.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43492445/critical-metal-demand-to-triple-by-2030-but-demographics-pose-risks">Critical Metal Demand To Triple By 2030, But Demographics Pose Risks</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Technicals

Previews

Trading Ideas

Rio Tinto Vs. Vale: Both Mining Stocks Show Bullish Technical Signals Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Brazil Presidential Palace Says Vale To Announce 70 Billion Reais Investment For 2025-2030 In Copper, Iron Ore In Brazil's Carajas; Vale's Investment Announcement To Be Made At Event On Friday With Brazil's President Lula

Shares of metals stocks are trading lower following US tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China.

Politics

Management

Brazil's President Lula Says Miner Vale Was Managed In An Irresponsible Manner For Some Time; Vale Is Now Willing To Have A Different Stance, I Had A Great Chat With New CEO; I Will Call A Meeting To Discuss Hurdles Vale Might Be Facing In Mining

Brazilian mining giant Vale (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) has reported its highest <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">annual iron ore production</a>, reaching nearly 328 million metric tons in 2024, a 2% year-over-year growth.
Despite a 4.6% decline in the fourth-quarter output, this production result is the best since 2018.
&#8220;Vale&#8217;s performance in 2024 was marked by greater operational stability and the start-up of key projects,&#8221; the company <a href="https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/53207d1c-63b4-48f1-96b7-19869fae19fe/4588c428-e2bc-d57a-9544-935f8716805c?origin=1">stated</a>. However, the decision to focus on higher-margin products led to reduced output from its Southern System, which produces lower-grade iron ore. As a result, fourth-quarter production fell to 85.3 million tons, while sales dropped by 10% year-on-year to 81.2 million tons.
The company also reduced sales of high-silica products to improve pricing premiums, which helped lift the average realized price of iron ore fines to $93 per ton, up nearly 3% from the third quarter.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/asset-sales/25/01/43250305/newmont-completes-425-million-asset-sale-focuses-on-british-columbia-growth">Newmont Completes $425 Million Asset Sale, Focuses On British Columbia Growth</a>
Vale saw growth in its base metals division as copper production rose by nearly 3% year-on-year to 101,800 tons in the fourth quarter, driven by strong performances at the Salobo and Sudbury operations, as well as the ramp-up of underground mines at Voisey's Bay.
Copper sales increased by 1.5% to 99,000 tons. Nickel production also saw a modest 1% increase to 45,500 tons, although sales fell by 2% to 47,100 tons. Despite these gains, Vale is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/asset-sales/25/01/43188890/vale-reviews-canadian-nickel-asset-as-external-factors-pressure-demand">considering the sale</a> of its Thompson nickel asset in Canada as part of its strategy to streamline operations.
The firm faces a challenging iron ore market, with prices expected to remain subdued due to weak Chinese demand and rising global supply. Analysts <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/24/11/42043138/analysts-see-iron-ore-below-100-weak-chinese-demand">predict iron ore prices</a> could average around $95 per ton in 2025, down from current levels, as China's property sector struggles.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/05/38643079/chinas-new-homes-market-is-in-a-state-of-freefall">Real estate investments</a> in China fell by 10.1% year-on-year, and new construction starts contracted by 22.2%, significantly impacting steel demand. Additionally, iron ore inventories at Chinese ports have surged 31% this year, reaching nearly 150 million tons, further pressuring prices.
Still, Vale remains optimistic about its production capabilities, guiding a 2025 output of 325 to 335 million tons of iron ore. However, with weaker prices and uncertain demand, the company may need to prioritize higher-margin products while adjusting to the long-term market perspective.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/01/43224413/bhps-ceo-sees-no-must-do-transactions-abandons-anglo-american-for-now">BHP&#8217;s CEO Sees No &#8216;Must Do&#8217; Transactions, Abandons Anglo American For Now</a></li>
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Image: Shutterstock

Vale Targets Stable Iron Ore Output Despite Industry Concerns

Vale's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>) short percent of float has risen 21.59% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 91.49 million shares sold short, which is 2.14% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 3.43 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Vale Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1738097116_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Vale has grown since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to fall in the near-term but traders should be aware that more shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Vale's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Vale's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 5.21%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

Short Sellers

Short Ideas

Looking Into Vale's Recent Short Interest

Vale Base Metals, a Canadian subsidiary of Vale SA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VALE#NYSE">VALE</a>), has announced a strategic review of its Thompson <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/nickel" rel="noreferrer noopener">nickel asset.</a> The review indicates the potential sale of this long-standing operation as part of the company's global portfolio optimization strategy.
"Our objective is to build a leading energy transition metals business, and this strategic review is part of the process to ensure global competitiveness," <a target="_blank" href="https://vale.com/w/vale-informs-on-strategic-review-of-thompson-operations/-/categories/1968806" rel="noreferrer noopener">said</a> CEO Shaun Usmar.
The Thompson asset, a cornerstone of Vale's Canadian operations for over six decades, contributed 10,500 tons of finished nickel for the 12 months ending Q3 2024.
The site has been one of the company's main nickel assets, with two underground mines, an adjacent mill, and significant exploration potential along its 135 km stretch. However, the peculiar state of the nickel market prompted the firm to start re-evaluating its portfolio role.
Nickel prices surged to record highs in 2022, surging to nearly $34,000 per metric ton driven by fears of supply disruptions and increased demand for electric vehicle (EV) batteries, but have declined sharply.
Indonesia, now producing over 60% of the world's nickel, significantly ramped up output between 2020 and 2024, adding 1.5 million tons to global supply. This oversupply has depressed prices, with the annual average falling to $16,812 per ton in 2024, a 22% drop from the previous year.
Despite a modest rebound in early 2025, prices remain low, trading around $15,660 per ton. The situation is further reflected in surging inventories. London Metal Exchange stockpiles rose from historic lows in 2022 to over 230,000 tons by late 2024, as Reuters <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/only-indonesia-can-help-nickel-recover-price-bust-andy-home-2025-01-22/" rel="noreferrer noopener">noted</a> increased deliveries from China and Indonesia.
While global EV sales increased by 25% in 2024, nickel demand has weakened due to a shift toward lithium-iron-phosphate batteries, particularly in China. Slower EV adoption in North America and Europe (favoring nickel-rich batteries) and rising sales of hybrid vehicles with smaller batteries have tempered nickel demand.
According to Adamas Intelligence, the average amount of nickel used per EV battery fell by 16% year-over-year in 2024. Although Statista <a target="_blank" href="https://www.statista.com/outlook/mmo/electric-vehicles/europe" rel="noreferrer noopener">projects</a> European EV sales to grow at 11.5% until 2030, Donald Trump's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/01/43116755/trumps-plan-to-end-7500-ev-tax-credits-could-be-devastating-for-telsa-rivals-poll-says-could-be-bullish-for-elon-musks-company" rel="noreferrer noopener">EV Policy rollback</a>, accompanied by the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43103527/mexican-peso-canadian-dollar-slide-as-trump-threatens-25-tariffs-expert-eyes-price-hikes-on-typical-us-breakfast" rel="noreferrer noopener">possibility of Canadian tariffs</a>, threatens the North American market.
Thus, Vale's potential decision to sell the Thompson asset wouldn't be surprising, but it'd be a step back for the second-largest global nickel producer.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/43168116/goldman-sachs-sees-strong-secular-demand-for-natural-gas-raises-estimates-on-two-industry-players" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Goldman Sachs Sees Strong ‘Secular Demand' For Natural Gas, Raises Estimates On Two Industry Players</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock

Asset Sales

Media

Vale Reviews Canadian Nickel Asset As External Factors Pressure Demand

Opinion

Press Releases

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Nickel Prices Poised for Long-Term Rally, Canada Ripe to Benefit

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Small Cap

This Mystery Metal Has Skyrocketed by 200% in 2024

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Vale Base Metals complete Voisey's Bay transition to underground mining

This Little-Known Metal Overtook Gold And Silver in 2024

Vale Base Metals launches strategic review for Thompson mine as part of global optimization

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