Leading cryptocurrencies held steady Thursday, even as President Donald Trump's tariff moves battered stock markets.



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Cryptocurrency</td><td>Gains +/-</td><td>Price (Recorded at 8:30 p.m. ET)</td></tr><tr><td>Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>)</td><td>+0.02%</td><td>$83,269.84</td></tr><tr><td>Ethereum (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>-0.46%</td><td>$1,816.44</td></tr><tr><td>Dogecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>-1.73%</td><td>$0.1629</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



What Happened: Bitcoin dipped below $82,000 in the early trading hours but recovered to $83,000 by evening. Ethereum followed a similar U-shaped trajectory, falling to a low of $1,750 before regaining $1,800 later in the day.



Bitcoin continued to witness capital rotation away from altcoins, with its market dominance rising to 62%. In fact, CoinMarketCap's Altsoin Season Index flashed a "Bitsoin Season" as of this writing.



Nearly $247 million was liquidated from the market in the last 24 hours, with more than $170 million in upside bets wiped out.



Bitcoin's Open Interest mirrored spot price moves, marginally gaining 0.63% in the last 24 hours.



The Long/Short Ratio fell sharply, suggesting an increase in traders betting against Bitcoin's price increase.



The market sentiment improved from "Extreme Fear" to "Fear," according to the Crypto Fear and Greed Index.



Top Gainers (24-Hours)



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Cryptocurrency</td><td>Gains +/-</td><td>Price (Recorded at 8:30 p.m. ET)</td></tr><tr><td>Cosmos (ATOM)</td><td>+8.01%</td><td>$4.64</td></tr><tr><td>Curve DAO Token (CRV)</td><td>+5.18%</td><td>$0.5256</td></tr><tr><td>Pendle (PENDLE)</td><td>+3.86%</td><td>$3.17</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at $2.67 trillion, following a decrease of 0.12% in the last 24 hours.



Stocks suffered their worst rout in more than five years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average crashed 1,679.39 points, or 3.98%, to close at 40,545.93. The S&amp;P 500 tumbled 4.84%, ending at 5,396.52. The two blue-chip averages recorded their worst single-day declines since June 2020. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plummeted 5.97% to end at 16,550.61.



Thursday's sell-off came in reaction to Trump's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44618089/trumps-tariffs-surprise-triggers-carnage-magnificent-7-set-to-wipe-out-nearly-700-billion-">worse-than-expected reciprocal tariff rollout</a>, heightening fears of a full-blown trade war and economic slowdown. Spot gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,167.57 earlier in the day.



See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-crypto-scanners">Best Cryptocurrency Scanners</a>



Analyst Notes: Popular blockchain analytics firm Santiment said Bitcoin was "relatively insulated" from tariff-fueled volatility due to its "intangible and borderless nature."



"Unlike traditional stocks, cryptocurrencies aren&#8217;t typically impacted by trade disruptions or international supply chain concerns triggered by political decisions," Santiment stated, while acknowledging some volatility owing to linkages to global economic health.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">&#x1f4c9; Following Trump&#39;s tariff announcements yesterday, the S&amp;P 500 is currently down -4.02% in Thursday trading. In the 2020&#39;s, there have only been 5 worse performing days: &#x1f5d3;&#xFE0F; March 16, 2020: -11.98%​ &#x1f5d3;&#xFE0F; March 12, 2020: -9.51%​ &#x1f5d3;&#xFE0F; March 9, 2020: -7.60%​ &#x1f5d3;&#xFE0F; June 11, 2020: -5.89%… <a href="https://t.co/TpTbYMDFZF">pic.twitter.com/TpTbYMDFZF</a>&mdash; Santiment (@santimentfeed) <a href="https://twitter.com/santimentfeed/status/1907855488014004707?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Arthur Hayes, co-founder of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, predicted that the tariffs would be good for Bitcoin.



"Global imbalances will be corrected, and the pain papered over with printed money, which is good for BTC," Hayes said, expecting higher fiat liquidity growth in the future.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Some of y&#39;all are running scurred, but I LOVE TARIFFS, some chart porn to understand why. Global imbalances will be corrected, and the pain papered over with printed money, which is good for <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$BTC</a>. <a href="https://t.co/jc5eZ2VIEa">pic.twitter.com/jc5eZ2VIEa</a>&mdash; Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a href="https://twitter.com/CryptoHayes/status/1907961898777391323?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 4, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Photo by SvetlanaParnikova on Shutterstock



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Bitcoin, Ethereum Steady, Dogecoin Falls As Trump Trade Moves Crash Stocks: Why Arthur Hayes Believes Tariffs Will Be Good For BTC

As global <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44631916/wall-street-wipes-out-2-trillion-apple-eyes-worst-day-since-covid-19-pandemic-oil-plummets-whats-driving-markets-thursday">markets shed $2 trillion in value</a> following President Donald Trump&#8216;s sweeping reciprocal tariffs, billionaire investor Bill Ackman offered pointed advice to foreign leaders.



What Happened: &#8220;My advice to foreign leaders is that if you have not already reached out to President Donald Trump, you need to do so immediately,&#8221; the Pershing Square Capital Management CEO wrote Thursday on X. &#8220;Trump is, at his core, a dealmaker who sees the world as a series of transactions.&#8221;



Ackman&#8217;s comments come as <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44631916/wall-street-wipes-out-2-trillion-apple-eyes-worst-day-since-covid-19-pandemic-oil-plummets-whats-driving-markets-thursday">financial markets experience their worst sell-off</a>, which echoes the COVID-19 pandemic-era routs. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) plunged 9.25%, while NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) tumbled 7.81% and Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) dropped 8.98%.



The investor emphasized Trump&#8217;s negotiation approach: &#8220;Based on his track record to date with foreign governments, law firms, and universities, he is a tough, but fair negotiator. He loves to make deals and he loves to get things done promptly.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">My advice to foreign leaders is that if you have not already reached out to President <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a>, you need to do so immediately. Trump is, at his core, a dealmaker who sees the world as a series of transactions. Based on his track record to date with foreign…&mdash; Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) <a href="https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1907821384048275964?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44635144/fridays-jobs-report-could-be-make-or-break-moment-after-trumps-tariff-shock">Friday&#8217;s Jobs Report Could Be Make-Or-Break Moment After Trump&#8217;s Tariff Shock</a>



Why It Matters: Ackman&#8217;s perspective aligns with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who said that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44630931/commerce-secretary-lutnick-says-us-markets-will-perform-extremely-well-long-term-despite-trump-tariff-selloff">the market reaction would be short-lived</a>. &#8220;I expect most countries to start to really examine their trade policy towards the United States of America,&#8221; Lutnick said, suggesting America&#8217;s trading partners would ultimately adjust their policies.



Meanwhile, billionaire Ray Dalio warned of &#8220;abrupt, unconventional changes&#8221; in markets as tariffs generate revenue for the imposing country while decreasing global efficiency and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44623855/ray-dalio-warns-of-abrupt-unconventional-changes-in-markets-heres-how-the-tariff-machine-affects-currency-monetary-and-fiscal-policies">creating stagflationary pressures</a>.



China has <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44620889/trumps-liberation-day-tariffs-roil-markets-as-china-slams-typical-unilateral-bullying-asian-markets-plunge">already threatened countermeasures</a>, calling Trump&#8217;s actions &#8220;typical unilateral bullying.&#8221; 



Ackman concluded his message with stark advice: &#8220;Countries that respond with additional tariffs on our goods will be severely punished. The carrot and the stick writ large, Big Boy style&#8230; Just pick up the phone. Call the President, and make a deal.&#8221;



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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

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Bill Ackman: 'Just Pick Up The Phone'—Says Trump Will Reward Early Dealmakers, Punish Foreign Tariff Retaliation

Economist Peter Schiff warned on Thursday that Nike Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>) won&#8217;t shift production to the United States despite newly imposed tariffs, predicting higher prices and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44629275/nike-stock-is-tumbling-thursday-heres-why">reduced domestic sales for the footwear giant</a>.



What Happened: &#8220;Nike won&#8217;t build factories in the U.S. to make sneakers. That would add more cost than the 40% tariffs,&#8221; Schiff wrote on X. &#8220;The result will be fewer sneakers sold in the U.S. at much higher prices.&#8221;



When questioned whether Nike might absorb tariff costs while building domestic factories, Schiff dismissed the idea, suggesting the company would instead redirect products: &#8220;They will eventually sell more sneakers to consumers in other countries instead, as they buy what Americans can no longer afford.&#8221;



The comments come as Nike shares plummeted 14.44% on Thursday after President Donald Trump announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs affecting the company&#8217;s supply chain. Vietnam, where <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44629275/nike-stock-is-tumbling-thursday-heres-why">Nike produces nearly 50% of its footwear</a>, faces a 46% tariff increase.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Nike won&#39;t build factories in the U.S. to make sneakers. That would add more cost than the 40% tariffs. Plus, they need to stay competitive selling to customers in other countries that don&#39;t impose tariffs. The result will be fewer sneakers sold in the U.S. at much higher prices.&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1907812445260800264?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Why, they will still sell sneakers at higher prices in the U.S. The sneakers they don&#39;t sell in the U.S. they will sell to consumers in other countries instead, like China. That&#39;s a much better strategy.&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1907815526027448587?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/03220426/Screenshot-2025-04-04-at-7.33.26%E2%80%AFAM-1024x657.png" alt="" class="wp-image-856620" style="width:912px;height:auto"/><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Nike&#8217;s revenue worldwide in million U.S. dollars from the fiscal years of 2017 to 2024, by region— Source: Statista</figcaption></figure>



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44635144/fridays-jobs-report-could-be-make-or-break-moment-after-trumps-tariff-shock">Friday&#8217;s Jobs Report Could Be Make-Or-Break Moment After Trump&#8217;s Tariff Shock</a>



Why It Matters: Goldman Sachs identified Nike among <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44634737/retailers-brace-for-higher-costs-as-us-tariff-rates-soar-says-goldman-sachs">several retailers with high exposure to the new tariffs</a>, which include a 34% rate for China and 32% for Indonesia, both key manufacturing locations for the company.



The broader market experienced significant turmoil following the tariff announcement, with Wall Street losing <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44631916/wall-street-wipes-out-2-trillion-apple-eyes-worst-day-since-covid-19-pandemic-oil-plummets-whats-driving-markets-thursday">approximately $2 trillion in market value</a>. 



Consumer discretionary <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44634737/retailers-brace-for-higher-costs-as-us-tariff-rates-soar-says-goldman-sachs">stocks were particularly hard hit</a>, with Nike&#8217;s competitors also suffering substantial losses—Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) fell 9.28%, and Adidas shares declined on its 39% Vietnamese manufacturing exposure.



Analysts warn that brands will need to adjust pricing, negotiate with vendors, and optimize costs to protect margins. Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives called the tariffs &#8220;worse than the worst case scenario,&#8221; with particular concern about the China and Taiwan tariffs&#8217; <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44629275/nike-stock-is-tumbling-thursday-heres-why">impact on supply chains and demand</a>.



Nike lags behind Lululemon, Columbia Sportswear (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COLM#NASDAQ">COLM</a>), Under Armour (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAA#NYSE">UAA</a>), Skechers (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SKX#NYSE">SKX</a>), VF Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VFC#NYSE">VFC</a>), and On Holding AG (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ONON#NYSE">ONON</a>), struggling with negative growth and momentum. Benzinga Edge Stock Ranking also indicates a bearish price trend for Nike across short- and long-term periods. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound">Sign up to learn more</a>.



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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

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Peter Schiff Says Nike 'Won't Build Factories' In US, They Will Sell To Countries Like China: A Much Better Strategy Amid Trump Tariffs

As newly announced trade tariffs rattle markets, the U.S. labor market stands as the last major pillar of strength in an economy increasingly defined by President <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">Donald Trump&#8216;s policy decisions.</a>



The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March Employment Situation at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, offering a critical read on whether hiring momentum is holding up—or if mounting government layoffs are beginning to weigh on the broader labor market.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">March Nonfarm Payrolls: What Are Economists Expecting?</h3>



Consensus forecasts tracked by TradingEconomics anticipate a slowdown in hiring, with total nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 135,000, down from the 151,000 jobs added in February.



Job gains over the past 6 and 12 months have averaged 175,000 per month, suggesting a cooling trend is underway. The latest ADP employment report—which covers a subset of more than 25 million private-sector employees—showed a gain of 155,000 jobs in March.



Government hiring remains a key risk factor. Public-sector payrolls rose by just 11,000 in February, and economists warn the figure could turn negative for the first time since April 2024. Government hiring has averaged 33,000 jobs per month over the past year, and—with the exception of April 2024—has not recorded a monthly decline since December 2022.



The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1%.



Wage growth is seen as relatively flat. Average hourly earnings are projected to increase 0.3% month-over-month, matching February's pace, and rise 3.9% year-over-year—a slight deceleration from the previous month's 4%.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What Are The Experts Saying?</h3>



"Although they may feel somewhat irrelevant in the context of the tariff announcements made on ‘Liberation Day,' March nonfarm payrolls are incredibly important," said Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist at Barclays Private Bank. 



"With recession fears mounting, a weaker-than-expected print could be a nail in the coffin for the U.S. economy."



Lafargue cautioned that even a strong report might be dismissed as outdated, given the potential impact of fresh tariffs. "It feels like a lose-lose situation for markets. Yet, that may be the silver lining—expectations are so low that a decent print could still trigger a short-term rebound."



ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson noted that despite policy uncertainty and weak consumer sentiment, "the March topline number was a good one for the economy and employers of all sizes—even if not all sectors."



Comerica forecasts a modest 110,000 increase in payrolls, with the unemployment rate ticking up to 4.2%. Bank of America is more bullish, predicting a 185,000 gain, viewing a hiring rebound in the leisure and hospitality sector after cold weather disruptions earlier this year.



Bank of America doesn't see government job cuts as a drag on the overall figure, noting that jobless claims have remained stable in recent weeks. "



Given the muted claims data in the survey week, we do not expect DOGE-driven job cuts to be a sizable drag," said economist Shruti Mishra.



Goldman Sachs' Ronnie Walker estimates a 150,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, slightly above consensus but below the recent three-month average of 200,000. Walker highlights the end of worker strikes and a rebound in weather-sensitive industries as tailwinds, while anticipating a 25,000 drag from federal job cuts and slower state and local hiring.



Yet, a cold dose of reality came from the ISM Services PMI for March, which revealed a sharp slowdown in hiring activity, with the employment subindex dropping <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44629640/us-services-sector-slows-sharply-as-hiring-drops-tariff-pressures-mount">to a 9-month low.</a>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Pessimism Reigns Supreme Ahead Of Jobs Data</h3>



Markets are in open revolt over President Trump's decision to impose country-specific trade tariffs—measures that exceeded even the bleakest forecasts from economists.



The S&amp;P 500 Index – tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – fell by 4.2% on Thursday, reaching a 7-month low.



Against this backdrop, a solid March payrolls report—showing firms are still hiring and retaining workers—could serve as an anchor, giving traders a reason to cling to hopes that the U.S. labor market remains resilient amid growing tariff headwinds.



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</ul>



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Friday's Jobs Report Could Be Make-Or-Break Moment After Trump's Tariff Shock

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick believes the Trump Administration&#8217;s reciprocal tariffs will cause some short-term pain, but ultimately result in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/25/04/44627817/retaliation-odds-spike-after-trumps-heavy-tariffs-sending-country-etfs-tumbling">medium- and longer-term gain</a>.



What To Know: President Donald Trump announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs on numerous countries across the world Wednesday in what he called &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; for America.



The tariff announcement sent markets into a tailspin with the SPDR S&amp;P 500 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) last down about 3.85%, per <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>. Economists fear the tariffs will spark a U.S. recession and global trade war.



Thursday on CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box,&#8221; Lutnick suggested that the stock market reaction will be short-lived as the tariff adjustments will spur other countries to reconsider trade policies.



&#8220;I think the long term or even the medium term, you&#8217;ve got to expect the United States of America markets are going to do extremely, extremely well,&#8221; the Commerce Secretary said.



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44627820/trumps-reciprocal-tariffs-on-india-exempt-pharma-easing-mark-cubans-price-hike-concerns">Trump&#8217;s Reciprocal Tariffs On India Exempt Pharma, Easing Mark Cuban&#8217;s Price Hike Concerns</a>



Lutnick told CNBC he expects the tariffs to result in a &#8220;reordering of fair trade.&#8221; The move from the Trump Administration is not just in response to tariffs, it&#8217;s also in response to &#8220;non-tariff trade barriers.&#8221;



&#8220;I expect most countries to start to really examine their trade policy towards the United States of America and stop picking on us,&#8221; he said.



The Trump administration believes it has leverage to push other countries to reconsider trade policies with the U.S. Global investors fear potential retaliatory tactics that could significantly impact global economies.



&#8220;We&#8217;re talking to all the major countries of the world and we&#8217;ve been talking to them for more than a month,&#8221; Lutnick said.



&#8220;Will they treat us fairly? Can they treat us fairly? And the answer is, over time, that is going to be yes.&#8221;



The Commerce Secretary said America is going to become the producer of a lot more goods it consumes, interest rates will be much lower and the American economy will be much stronger over the longer term.



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Photo: <a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/g/JoshuaSukoff">Joshua Sukoff</a>/Shutterstock.

Commerce Secretary Lutnick Says US Markets Will Perform 'Extremely Well' Long Term Despite Trump Tariff Selloff

The U.S. auto industry just took a direct hit from what Wedbush analyst Dan Ives calls <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">a "tariff torpedo."</a> 



<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">President Donald Trump</a>'s sweeping 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts threaten to send vehicle prices soaring and disrupt supply chains for years to come.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Black Swan Event For Automakers</h2>



Tariffs present a "debacle of epic proportions," Ives says. Expect demand destruction of 15% to 20% for new car purchases in 2025.



According to his estimates, the tariffs will immediately raise the price of a typical vehicle by $5,000 to $10,000, with some higher-end models seeing increases of up to $15,000.



Ferrari NV (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RACE#NYSE">RACE</a>) has already signaled price hikes after April 1. Ives warns that "every automaker in the world will have to raise prices in some form" as the industry scrambles to absorb the shock.



Even U.S. manufacturers, who produce cars domestically, still rely on 40%-50% of parts sourced from abroad. The idea of an all-American-made car, Ives argues, is "a fairy tale fictional narrative."



Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44626421/trumps-reign-of-tariffs-unleashes-d-day-on-wall-street-analyst-warns-of-stagflation-risk">Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Reign Of Tariffs&#8217; Unleashes &#8216;D-Day On Wall Street,&#8217; Analyst Warns Of Stagflation Risk</a>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Supply Chain Nightmare</h2>



With global automakers locked into supplier contracts years in advance, the ripple effects of the tariffs could be catastrophic. 



"The rules of the U.S. tariff game are untenable," Ives says. Shifting just 10% of the supply chain to the U.S. would take at least three years and cost hundreds of billions of dollars.



The impact? &#8220;Pure chaos" across the industry, with costs expected to balloon by $100 billion annually and get passed directly onto consumers.



Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), often seen as an exception due to its U.S.-based production, isn't immune either. Despite its domestic footprint, Ives warns that even Elon Musk's EV giant "will be forced to raise prices" under the new tariff regime.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">No Winners In This Trade War</h2>



"This 25% auto tariff number is hard to digest," Ives laments, predicting continued downward pressure on General Motors Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>), Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>), and global auto suppliers unless negotiations soften the blow. "The winner in our view from this tariff is NO ONE."



As automakers and consumers brace for impact, the industry finds itself in "pure panic mode," facing a stark reality: higher prices, shrinking demand, and what Ives describes as nothing short of "Armageddon" for the global auto market.



Read Next: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44628368/trumps-tariffs-prompt-china-to-vow-countermeasures-experts-see-retaliation-likely">Trump&#8217;s Tariffs Prompt China To Vow &#8216;Countermeasures&#8217;: Experts See Retaliation Likely</a></li>
</ul>



Image: Shutterstock

Tech

RACE

TSLA

Trump Auto Tariffs Could Up Car Prices By $15K, Analyst Calls It 'Pure Chaos'

President Donald Trump's sweeping new trade tariffs sent shockwaves through global markets on Thursday, triggering a massive sell-off that echoed the COVID-19 pandemic-era routs, as investor risk <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">appetite vanished in a flash.</a>



Wall Street saw a staggering $2 trillion in market cap erased, with the U.S.&#8217;s biggest 10 companies shedding $1 trillion alone.



Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) plunged 8.7%, staring down its worst day since March 2020 and wiping out nearly $300 billion in value. NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) tumbled 6.4%, losing $171.9 billion, while Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) dropped 8%, on pace for a $166 billion hit.



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>% Daily Change</th><th>Market Cap Loss ($B)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Apple</td><td>-8.74%</td><td>-293.95</td></tr><tr><td>NVIDIA</td><td>-6.38%</td><td>-171.89</td></tr><tr><td>Amazon</td><td>-8.03%</td><td>-166.80</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>)</td><td>-6.64%</td><td>-98.24</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>)</td><td>-3.26%</td><td>-62.74</td></tr><tr><td>Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>)</td><td>-7.63%</td><td>-61.74</td></tr><tr><td>Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>)</td><td>-2.04%</td><td>-57.96</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>)</td><td>-5.80%</td><td>-52.76</td></tr><tr><td>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>)</td><td>-6.69%</td><td>-45.99</td></tr><tr><td>Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>)</td><td>-9.93%</td><td>-31.60</td></tr></tbody><tfoot><tr><td>Total</td><td></td><td>-1043.67</td></tr></tfoot></table></figure>



The S&amp;P 500 fell nearly 4%, poised for its worst session since September 2022, and sank to a seven-month low. Small caps took the brunt of the sell-off, with the Russell 2000 plunging over 5% and officially entering a bear market, now down more than 20% from its 2024 peak.



Fears of retaliatory action from key U.S. trading partners dragged every major sector into the red, except for defensive plays like consumer staples and utilities.



Consumer discretionary stocks were slammed. Apparel names posted double-digit losses: Ralph Lauren Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RL#NYSE">RL</a>), Nike Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>), Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) and Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRMN#NYSE">GRMN</a>) each dropped between 10% and 16%.



Cruise lines were also hit hard: Norwegian Cruise Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) sank 13%, Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) fell 10%, and Royal Caribbean Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) slid 9%.



Bond markets saw a mild flight to safety. Treasury yields edged lower, yet the U.S. dollar weakened 1.6%, with the DXY index heading for its worst day since November 2022.



Commodities weren't spared. Oil prices nosedived on fears of a global slowdown, worsened by OPEC+'s surprise move to raise output. West Texas Intermediate crude plunged 7.5%, slipping below $70 per barrel.



Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) showed relative resilience in the carnage, dipping just 1% and holding above $81,600.



<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Performance in Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Major Indices</td><td>Price</td><td>1-day %chg</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>40,908.76</td><td>-3.1 %</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>5,449.64</td><td>-3.9%</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq 100</td><td>18,751.99</td><td>-4.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>1,929.91</td><td>-5.6%</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:00 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>



According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:



<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 3.6% to $544.20.</li>



<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) tumbled 3% to $409.26.</li>



<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;plummeted 4.2% to $456.21.</li>



<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) nosedived 5.4% to 191.63.</li>



<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Staples&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) outperformed, up 1.2%; the&nbsp;Technology&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) tanked, down 5.6%.</li>
</ul>



<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Other Major Stock, ETFs Moves To Know</h1>



<ul>
<li>Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LW#NYSE">LW</a>) up 7.8%</li>



<li>Five Below Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FIVE#NASDAQ">FIVE</a>) down 26%,</li>



<li>Molina Healthcare Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MOH#NYSE">MOH</a>), up 7.8%</li>



<li>Kohls Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KSS#NYSE">KSS</a>) down 25%</li>



<li>VanEck Vietnam ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNM#NYSE">VNM</a>) down 10.2%</li>



<li>iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWW#NYSE">EWW</a>) up 4.7%, </li>



<li>iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWT#NYSE">EWT</a>) down 4%. </li>
</ul>



Read Now: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44629640/us-services-sector-slows-sharply-as-hiring-drops-tariff-pressures-mount">US Services Sector Slows Sharply As Hiring Drops, Tariff Pressures Mount</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

Sector ETFs

Emerging Markets

Emerging Market ETFs

Commodities

AVGO

FIVE

GOOGL

GRMN

MSFT

NCLH

Wall Street Wipes Out $2 Trillion, Apple Eyes Worst Day Since COVID-19 Pandemic, Oil Plummets: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) is taking it on the chin as President Donald Trump's surprise tariff barrage sends shockwaves <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">through the tech sector</a>. 



The stock slumped about 9.5% in early market trading Thursday, extending a brutal monthlong slide that has already shaved off more than 13%. If the trend persists, the stock could soon make <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/death-cross">a Death Cross</a> — a classic bearish signal.



With fresh levies on China, Vietnam, and India &#8211; the backbone of Apple's supply chain &#8211; investors are scrambling to assess just how deep the damage could go.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Tariff Toll: A Worst-Case Scenario?</h2>



Wedbush analyst and long time <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/44598088/trumps-liberation-day-creates-major-uncertainty-for-big-tech-analyst-dan-ives-says">Apple bull Daniel Ives</a> didn't mince words. He called Trump's 34% China tariff a "jaw-dropper" and warned that the tech sector is in for a rough ride.



And it's not just China. Apple's diversification efforts in Vietnam and India are also under siege, with Trump slapping 46% and 26% tariffs on imports from those countries.



The result? A supply chain squeeze that could force Apple to either absorb the costs or pass them on to consumers—neither of which is appealing.



Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44622677/meta-amd-apple-att-among-biggest-us-tech-multinationals-that-may-suffer-the-most-as-tariffs-spark-trade-turmoil-heres-why">Meta, AMD, Apple, AT&amp;T Among Biggest US Tech Giants That &#8216;May Suffer The Most&#8217; As Tariffs Spark Trade Turmoil: Here&#8217;s Why</a>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Apple Stock Technicals Turn Bearish</h2>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0403"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="631" height="489" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/03094739/Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-7.14.15-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-855615" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/03094739/Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-7.14.15-PM.png 631w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/03094739/Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-7.14.15-PM-300x232.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 631px) 100vw, 631px" /></a></figure>



<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0403">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>



With the sell-off, technical indicators for Apple stock have turned red. Apple&#8217;s stock price of $202.77 now trades way below its eight-day and 20-day simple moving averages (SMAs), a bearish sign for active traders.



Moreover, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs suggest further downside lying way above at $229.72 and $229.15, respectively. If the trend continues, the converging 50-day and 200-day SMAs may soon form a Death Cross &#8211; firming the bearish streak that has just set in.



The MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) indicator at a negative 4.08 is firmly in bearish territory, while the RSI (relative strength index) at 31.70 hovers around oversold territory. Any further dip in the RSI could trigger a bounce back if buying pressure exists.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Can Apple Catch A Break?</h2>



In Trump's first term, Apple managed to sidestep major tariffs thanks to strategic lobbying. 



The big question is whether history will repeat itself or if these levies will stick, putting long-term pressure on margins.



Some investors are already arguing that the market reaction is overblown, but with uncertainty gripping the tech sector, Apple stock&#8217;s fate may rest on what comes next from Washington.



Read Next: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44626421/trumps-reign-of-tariffs-unleashes-d-day-on-wall-street-analyst-warns-of-stagflation-risk">Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Reign Of Tariffs&#8217; Unleashes &#8216;D-Day On Wall Street,&#8217; Analyst Warns Of Stagflation Risk</a></li>
</ul>



Image: Shutterstock

Technicals

Signals

Apple Stock Slammed By Trump Tariffs: Is A Death Cross Next?

While the tariffs announced by President Donald Trump are already dragging markets deep into the red, early signs of strain are beginning to emerge in corporate health indicators, raising concerns that the services sector, the backbone of the U.S. economy, may no longer be <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">able to sustain growth.</a>



The Institute for Supply Management&#8217;s Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey revealed a marked deterioration in sentiment among service-sector businesses last month, further igniting investor concerns on the state of the economy. 



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">ISM Services PMI Falls More Than Expected</h3>



The ISM Services PMI fell sharply to 50.9% in March, down from 53.5% in February, which had been the highest reading since August 2023. The decline was steeper than expected, with forecasts pointing to a more modest drop to 53%.



This was the lowest reading since December and only marginally above the 50% threshold that separates expansion from contraction.



The Business Activity Index, a gauge of current output, actually strengthened to 55.9% in March from 54.4%, extending its expansion streak to 58 consecutive months. However, forward-looking indicators showed weakness.



The New Orders Index dropped to 50.4% from 52.2%, suggesting waning customer demand, while the Backlog of Orders Index slipped to 45.6%, down from 47.7%, marking a third straight month of contraction.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Employment Index Craters, Hiring Freezes Emerge</h3>



The most striking component of the report was the collapse in the Employment Index, which plunged to 46.2% from 53.9%—a 7.7 percentage point drop and a nine-month low, marking its first contraction in six months.



That's a red flag for a services sector that comprises nearly 80% of U.S. private-sector employment. The reading suggests that companies are either slowing down hiring, cutting jobs outright, or scaling back hours amid economic uncertainty.



In the ISM's qualitative commentary, respondents in professional, scientific and technical services reported a loosening labor market. They cited easier hiring conditions, declining staff turnover and a more abundant supply of high-quality job candidates.



One participant said, "Have been able to hire high-quality employees to fill open positions," while another described a "conservative view of the job market and economy," noting they are "not adding head count or resources."



Now, 19.2% of respondents anticipate reducing employment, up from 15% in February.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Inflation Still Hot Despite Easing Slightly</h3>



The Prices Index registered at 60.9%, down modestly from 62.6% in February, but still above the 60% mark for a fourth straight month. That signals input cost pressures remain elevated, even as demand cools.



The ISM also noted a surge in mentions of tariff-related cost pressures, citing "a significant increase this month in the number of respondents reporting cost increases due to tariff activity."



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions: Stocks Fall, Traders Eye Four Rate Cuts</h3>



The weaker-than-expected ISM Services PMI intensified the tariff-driven selloff on Wall Street, dragging major U.S. equity indexes to new session lows.



The S&amp;P 500 index – as trakced by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – fell 4.1% to 5,440 points, eyeing the worst session since September 2022. 



The Nasdaq 100 – tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) – sank 4.4%, hitting a 7-month low.



Shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) were down 8.5%, on track for their worst day since March 2020. 



Similarly, major banks like Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) fell 8.7% and 9.10%, eyeing their worst days in five years. 



Ralph Lauren (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RL#NYSE">RL</a>) was the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s worst performer for the day, down 17%, also heading for its worst session since March 2020.



In money markets, traders ramped up bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts following the downbeat economic data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of four 25-basis-point cuts by December 2025 surged to as high as 67%. 



The shift in expectations triggered a sharp selloff in the U.S. dollar, which plunged 2.1%—its steepest single-day drop since November 2022.



Read now: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/25/04/44627817/retaliation-odds-spike-after-trumps-heavy-tariffs-sending-country-etfs-tumbling">Retaliation Odds Spike After Trump&#8217;s Heavy Tariffs, Sending Country ETFs Tumbling</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

US Services Sector Slows Sharply As Hiring Drops, Tariff Pressures Mount

President Donald Trump rocked global markets on Wednesday with tougher-than-anticipated tariff announcements as part of his plan to reset U.S. trade policy. The measures include a 34% tariff on imports from China, raising the total duties on Chinese goods to 54% and prompting swift <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44623604/us-stock-likely-to-open-lower-following-trumps-tariffs-worse-than-the-worst-case-scenario-says-analyst">criticism from Beijing.</a>



The Details: Just hours after President Trump's tariff announcement, China&#8217;s Ministry of Commerce issued a statement that it &#8220;firmly opposes&#8221; the tariffs and &#8220;will resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests,&#8221;<a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Trade-war/China-blasts-Trump-s-bullying-tariffs-vows-countermeasures?utm_campaign=GL_asia_daily&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=NA_newsletter&amp;utm_content=article_link&amp;del_type=1&amp;pub_date=20250403190000&amp;seq_num=3&amp;si=79447"> per </a>Nikkei Asia.&nbsp;



Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44517885/trump-slaps-25-tariffs-on-autos-what-it-means-for-your-next-car-purchase"> Trump Slaps 25% Tariffs On Autos: What It Means For Your Next Car Purchase</a>&nbsp;



"The so-called &#8216;reciprocal tariffs,&#8217; which are based on subjective and unilateral assessments by the United States, are not in line with the rules of international trade, seriously jeopardize the legitimate rights and interests of the parties concerned, and are typical of unilateral bullying,&#8221; the ministry added.&nbsp;



The Ministry of Commerce did not provide specifics on what "countermeasures" it has planned, but experts agree retaliatory measures are likely.&nbsp;



Expert Ideas: "We think the Chinese government is likely to retaliate with some targeted tariffs on US products as well as non-tariff measures like export controls," Goldman analyst Andrew Tilton wrote, <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/beijing-slams-trumps-unilateral-bullying-tariffs-signals-retaliatory-action">per</a> ZeroHedge.&nbsp;



The analyst also noted he expects China's policymakers to resist significant currency depreciation and thinks Beijing will step up easing measures to offset the drag from higher tariffs.



"Beijing has purposefully kept more in reserve, both in terms of domestic stimulus and retaliatory measures, in case it needs to respond more forcefully,&#8221; Ruby Osman, a China expert at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, told Reuters.&nbsp;



Stocks To Watch: Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese companies were trading lower Thursday morning amid global market declines with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABA#NYSE">BABA</a>) down 3.19% and JD.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JD#NASDAQ">JD</a>) down 5.26%. 



The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXI#NYSE">FXI</a>), tracking the FTSE China 50 Index, was down 1.86% and the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>), focusing on Chinese internet companies, was down 2.63%.&nbsp;



Read Next:&nbsp;



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/03/44537429/cathie-wood-doubles-down-on-2600-tesla-stock-price-prediction">Cathie Wood Doubles Down On $2,600 Tesla Stock Price Prediction</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock/Bigc Studio

Politics

Global

BABA

KWEB

Trump's Tariffs Prompt China To Vow 'Countermeasures': Experts See Retaliation Likely

Markets are reeling after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs on Wednesday, far exceeding investor expectations and triggering fears <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44623604/us-stock-likely-to-open-lower-following-trumps-tariffs-worse-than-the-worst-case-scenario-says-analyst">of an inflation spike.</a>



Ringing alarm bells in a post-announcement note was Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research and historically one of Wall Street's most bullish voices, who now expects the U.S. economy to head to a stagflation regime.



&#8220;Trump&#8217;s Reign of Tariffs exceeds most expectations. The day after Liberation Day may be more like D-Day on Wall Street. That&#8217;s too bad,&#8221; he said.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Markets Swoon, Crude Prices Tumble</h3>



The initial market response was brutal. 



Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 dropped 3.5% in premarket trading Thursday, with similar losses hitting the Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones. The U.S. Dollar Index, tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), tumbled 2%, putting it on pace for its worst single-day performance since November 2022.



Commodities suffered heavy losses. Crude oil futures plunged 6%, the steepest decline since July 2022. Gold futures – as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) – retreated 1.5% from an all-time high of $3,192 per ounce.



Yardeni said he still expects gold prices could reach $4,000 by year-end, especially if Trump continues to push his aggressive tariff agenda.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Are We Headed Toward Stagflation?</h3>



The broader concern among investors and analysts isn't just immediate market volatility, but what comes next. Yardeni said Trump's tariff regime could be the trigger for a dangerous bout of stagflation—an economic environment where inflation remains high even as growth slows.



"We&#8217;ve recently warned that Trump&#8217;s Reign of Tariffs is very likely to boost inflation over the rest of the year, depressing overall consumer sentiment, real wages, and consumer spending," Yardeni said.



He expects the Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation rate—a key gauge watched by the Federal Reserve—to rise from its current 2%-3% range to 3%-4% in the coming months.



"If the result is a consumer-led slowdown later this year (after a short auto-buying binge), the Fed won&#8217;t be able to help by easing monetary policy if inflation remains well above its 2.0% target," Yardeni said. "The result could be 6-12 months of stagflation."



Yardeni said the 25% tariffs on auto is set to drive up the cost of new and used cars, insurance premiums, and vehicle maintenance—much like the inflationary ripple effects seen during the COVID-19 pandemic.



The analyst also flagged the impact on government finances. With a 10% tariff floor in place and additional duties targeting major trade partners like China, Yardeni estimates the U.S. could generate between $300 billion and $600 billion in annual tariff revenues.



Even at the high end of that range, however, the revenue won't be enough to offset rising debt costs. Net interest payments on U.S. government debt are projected to surpass $1 trillion this year, further pressuring the federal budget deficit.



Read Next: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44622346/trumps-reciprocal-tariff-math-a-masterclass-in-economic-absurdity">Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Reciprocal Tariff&#8217; Math: A Masterclass In Economic Absurdity</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

Trump's 'Reign Of Tariffs' Unleashes 'D-Day On Wall Street,' Analyst Warns Of Stagflation Risk

As global markets reel from Donald Trump&#8216;s sweeping tariff announcement, speculators who wagered on a chain reaction of trade retaliation may soon cash <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44626421/trumps-reign-of-tariffs-unleashes-d-day-on-wall-street-analyst-warns-of-stagflation-risk">in the big prize.</a>



On Thursday, trading on CFTC-regulated prediction platform Kalshi lit up with activity as speculators priced in a sharp rise in retaliatory tariffs from major U.S. trading partners. 



The market titled "Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?" saw odds spike across several jurisdictions in the wake of Trump's announcement.



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44624245/tariffs-to-plug-the-hole-for-income-tax-cuts-to-come-economists-predict-what-more-could-be-expected">Trump Tariffs To &#8216;Plug The Hole&#8217; For Income Tax Cuts To Come: Economists Predict What More Could Be Expected</a>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Global Trade War Now Becomes The Base Case</h3>



<ul>
<li>The odds of South Korea enacting retaliatory measures soared to 79%, up 29 percentage points in a single day. </li>



<li>Japan followed with a 33-point jump to 73%</li>



<li>South Africa climbed to 74%, up 16 points.</li>



<li>India saw a more cautious move, with odds now at 35%</li>



<li>Kalshi traders assigned a 96% probability that Brussels will strike back with its own tariffs in the coming months.</li>
</ul>



Only Mexico moved in the opposite direction. Following Trump&#8217;s exemption of North American partners from the new tariff structure, the odds of retaliation from the southern neighbor collapsed to 45%, down 31 percentage points.



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><thead><tr><th>Country</th><th>Odds of Tariff Retaliation</th><th>Change vs. Day Before</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>&#x1f1ea;&#x1f1fa; European Union</td><td>96%</td><td>+12%</td></tr><tr><td>&#x1f1f0;&#x1f1f7; South Korea</td><td>79%</td><td>+29%</td></tr><tr><td>&#x1f1ef;&#x1f1f5; Japan</td><td>73%</td><td>+33%</td></tr><tr><td>&#x1f1ff;&#x1f1e6; South Africa</td><td>74%</td><td>+16%</td></tr><tr><td>&#x1f1ee;&#x1f1f3; India</td><td>35%</td><td>+9%</td></tr><tr><td>&#x1f1f2;&#x1f1fd; Mexico</td><td>45%</td><td>-31%</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Kalshi</figcaption></figure>



Speaking on Bloomberg TV, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick attempted to downplay the likelihood of backlash, saying the tariffs will be applied broadly and uniformly, and adding that "it will not be effective for countries to retaliate against Trump tariffs."



<iframe loading="lazy" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widget/events-categorical/KXFOREIGNTARIFF-25JUL01?color_scheme=light&#038;widget_size=large&#038;utm_campaign=benzinga_widget" width="488px" height="242px" style="border:0"></iframe>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Country ETFs Witness Deep Declines</h2>



Amid the turmoil on Wall Street, U.S.-listed country ETFs took a beating Thursday as investors dumped risk ahead of possible tit-for-tat tariffs,



The VanEck Vietnam ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNM#NYSE">VNM</a>) plunged more than 8% in premarket trading, on track for its worst session since March 2020. The U.S. will apply a 46% tariff rate on Vietnam.



Japan's iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWJ#NYSE">EWJ</a>) dropped 3%, while the iShares China Large Cap ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXI#NYSE">FXI</a>) fell 1.8%. The two biggest Asian economies will see their respective tariff rate rising to 24% and 34%, respectively. 



India's iShares MSCI India ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#NYSE">INDA</a>) and South Korea's iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWY#NYSE">EWY</a>) declined 1.1% and 1.5% respectively. India and South Korea are poised to face a 25% and 26% increase, respectively, in the cost of exporting goods to the U.S.



The SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FEZ#NYSE">FEZ</a>) dipped 0.9%, while the iShares South Africa Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EZA#NYSE">EZA</a>) fell 4.5%. 



Read Now: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44624245/tariffs-to-plug-the-hole-for-income-tax-cuts-to-come-economists-predict-what-more-could-be-expected">Trump Tariffs To &#8216;Plug The Hole&#8217; For Income Tax Cuts To Come: Economists Predict What More Could Be Expected</a></li>
</ul>



Image: Shutterstock

INDA

Retaliation Odds Spike After Trump's Heavy Tariffs, Sending Country ETFs Tumbling

Top U.S. technology multinationals, which have been the biggest beneficiaries of globalization, come to the fore as tariffs could heavily impact the cost of the goods sold by these firms.



What Happened: The data shared by Gina Martin Adams, the chief equity strategist and global director of equity strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, shows the top tech companies in the U.S. that are likely to be impacted by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">tariffs announced</a> by President Donald Trump on Wednesday.



These firms &#8220;may suffer the most as tariffs spark trade turmoil and threaten the long-expanding margin domination of American companies,&#8221; explains Adams.



The graphic shared by her shows that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/04/44620411/mark-zuckerberg-led-meta-set-to-face-truth-at-senate-hearing-over-china-operations-and-communist-party-censorship-efforts">Mark Zuckerberg</a>&#8216;s Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) spends less than 10% of the total amount required for them to produce their products and services in the U.S., making it the most vulnerable to tariffs.



The top 10 firms also include Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), and AT&amp;T Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>).



Adams says that these firms could face more challenges in the wake of retaliation by other countries, further influencing the global supply chain. &#8220;White House tariffs may only be the start, as retaliations further strain global supply chains,&#8221; she adds.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">US multinationals, arguably the biggest driver and beneficiary of globalization, may suffer most as tariffs spark trade turmoil and threaten margin domination of American companies. White House tariffs may only be the start, as retaliations further strain global supply chains. <a href="https://t.co/kbopS2fsT8">pic.twitter.com/kbopS2fsT8</a>&mdash; Gina Martin Adams (@GinaMartinAdams) <a href="https://twitter.com/GinaMartinAdams/status/1907580802222690759?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 2, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44602836/tesla-short-interest-soars-to-2116-making-it-the-4th-largest-shorted-stock-heres-what-its-charts-are-indicating">Tesla Short Interest Soars To 21.16%, Making It 4th Most Shorted Stock Currently: Here&#8217;s What Its Charts Indicate</a>



Why It Matters: According to Adams, &#8220;Contrary to popular belief, mega-cap U.S. tech may be at considerable risk, with extremely high valuations and assumptions that margin moats will remain intact.



Companies with high facilities exposure and elevated cost of goods sold outside the U.S. face the greatest direct threats in the short run, while those with elevated revenue exposure are not immune.&#8221;



However, she adds, &#8220;Non-domestic stocks and defensive U.S. sectors may provide some haven as U.S. companies adjust to the new regime.&#8221;



Wedbush&#8217;s Daniel Ives adds that &#8220;Negotiations the only option at this point for White House.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">We would characterize this slate of tariffs as &quot;worse than the worst case scenario&quot; the Street was fearing. The biggest focus will be the China 34% tariff and Taiwan 32% and how this impacts supply chain and demand. Negotiations the only option at this point for White House.&mdash; Dan Ives (@DivesTech) <a href="https://twitter.com/DivesTech/status/1907611902047338791?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Whereas, Craig Shapiro of Bear Trap Reports contends by saying that Trump isn&#8217;t looking for concessions from trading partners, but &#8220;wants/needs the tariff revenues to help plug the fiscal deficit budget hole.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">What the market fails to realize is that Trump doesn&#39;t want concessions from trading partners. He wants/needs the tariff revenues to help plug the fiscal deficit budget hole <a href="https://t.co/nQf82Q2Zan">https://t.co/nQf82Q2Zan</a>&mdash; Craig Shapiro (@ces921) <a href="https://twitter.com/ces921/status/1905609335599698141?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 28, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Price Action: Here&#8217;s how these top 10 firms listed by Adams have performed.



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Companies</td><td>Wednesday After-Hours</td><td>YTD</td><td>One Year</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>)</td><td>-4.83%</td><td>-2.55%</td><td>15.23%</td></tr><tr><td>Deckers Outdoor Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DECK#NYSE">DECK</a>)</td><td>-11.85%</td><td>-42.32%</td><td>-21.41%</td></tr><tr><td>Incyte Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INCY#NASDAQ">INCY</a>)</td><td>-3.74%</td><td>-10.36%</td><td>12.69%</td></tr><tr><td>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>)</td><td>-5.79%</td><td>-14.65%</td><td>-43.04%</td></tr><tr><td>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>)</td><td>-7.14%</td><td>-8.19%</td><td>31.97%</td></tr><tr><td>AT&amp;T Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>)</td><td>-0.64%</td><td>23.26%</td><td>59.80%</td></tr><tr><td>Albemarle Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALB#NYSE">ALB</a>)</td><td>-3.32%</td><td>-15.23%</td><td>-43.94%</td></tr><tr><td>Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VZ#NYSE">VZ</a>)</td><td>0.02%</td><td>11.27%</td><td>4.44%</td></tr><tr><td>T-Mobile Us Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMUS#NASDAQ">TMUS</a>)</td><td>-2.68%</td><td>20.51%</td><td>62.05%</td></tr><tr><td>Best Buy Co Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBY#NYSE">BBY</a>)</td><td>-8.99%</td><td>-12.12%</td><td>4.51%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



Ahead of the tariff announcements on Wednesday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, rose in trade. The SPY was up 0.63% to $564.52, while the QQQ advanced 0.73% to $476.15, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.



On Thursday, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620686/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-plunge-over-3-as-trumps-reciprocal-tariff-plan-hits-market-confidence">futures</a> of the Dow Jones index dropped 2.25%, whereas the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices also slumped by 3.02% and 3.52%, respectively.



Read Next:



<ul>
<li><a style="font-weight: bold;" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44600269/mark-cuban-argues-ais-new-sht-will-drive-growth-not-deflation">Mark Cuban Dismisses Concerns of AI Causing Deflation, Calls It The &#8220;Greatest Growth And Productivity Engine Ever&#8221;</a></li>
</ul>



Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Market Summary

Futures

DECK

INCY

TMUS

Meta, AMD, Apple, AT&T Among Biggest US Tech Giants That 'May Suffer The Most' As Tariffs Spark Trade Turmoil: Here's Why

After President Donald Trump unveiled the tariffs on all its trading partners on Wednesday, this economist recalled his analysis of tariffs being used to fund tax cuts. Meanwhile, another senior economist highlighted other possible implications of the tariff announcements.



What Happened: Craig Shapiro, a macro strategist at the Bear Traps Report, reaffirmed his analysis by referring to Trump as the "Tariff man," and explained how sweeping tariffs on the U.S. trading partners were announced as he had "predicted," back in February.



"Tariffs plug the hole in the deficit to allow income tax cuts to come," he said in an X post.



Shapiro, in his <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43587245/tariffs-are-the-only-way-to-fund-tax-cuts-without-deficit-expansion-argues-expert-as-it-takes-center-stage-in-don">old analysis</a>, had argued that Trump&#8217;s deficit reduction goal, from 6-7% to 3% of GDP, necessitates tariffs. With entitlement and defense cuts off the table, he contended that tariffs are the only way to fund tax cuts without increasing the deficit.



While many believed that Trump could have backed down on tariffs, Shapiro reiterated that the underlying "math suggests he has no other choice but to use them."



Shapiro also said that tariffs seek to bring back manufacturing and secure domestic production of critical defense and healthcare items, a policy Trump has advocated for 40 years.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Tariff man doing tariff man things. As predicted. Tariffs plug the hole in the deficit to allow income tax cuts to come. Tariffs help bring back manufacturing jobs to America Tariffs help America be able to produce critical items for defense and healthcare again. Trump… <a href="https://t.co/BI2HIPE27l">https://t.co/BI2HIPE27l</a>&mdash; Craig Shapiro (@ces921) <a href="https://twitter.com/ces921/status/1907709171627086308?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44623855/billionaire-investor-ray-dalio-warns-of-abrupt-unconventional-changes-in-markets-heres-how-the-tariff-machine-aff">Ray Dalio Warns Of &#8216;Abrupt, Unconventional Changes&#8217; In Markets: Here&#8217;s How The &#8216;Tariff Machine&#8217; Affects Currency, Monetary And Fiscal Policies</a>



Why It Matters: Apart from the long-term effect that tariffs could have on the economy and how they could align with Trump's further economic plans, senior economist Mohamed El-Erian highlighted things to look for after Wednesday&#8217;s tariff announcements.



He expects a wide range of reactions from the tariffed countries, which could include retaliation, escalation, or a state of paralysis. El-Erian also expects notable revisions in the U.S. and other countries' growth and inflation projections.



Finally, El-Erian expects business leaders to navigate the tariff barriers to reduce the impact on their businesses.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Among the things to look for after yesterday's US tariff announcements: A wide range of country reactions: some retaliating, some eager to de-escalate, and some paralyzed for now; A major round of revisions for the US growth and inflation projections maintained by mainstream…&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1907718459158409674?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Claiming a need to address the U.S.&#8217;s trade deficit, President Trump invoked a 1977 law to declare a trade emergency and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">implement new tariffs </a>on Wednesday. Notably, China, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Sri Lanka face the harshest tariffs, while Canada and Mexico were spared. The move spurred a record-breaking gold price rally and a flight to safe-haven investments. 



Price Action: The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was down 3.36% to $545.54, while the QQQ declined 3.80% to $458.07, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.



Gold prices were lower by 0.85% at $3,126.02 after scaling a fresh record of $3,167.71 per ounce.



Read Next:



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44622754/tariffs-are-most-expensive-and-masochistic-could-cost-30-trillion-to-the-economy-erasing-300k-per-family-explains" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump Tariffs Could Cost $30 Trillion Or About $300,000 Per Family, Says Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers: ‘Most Expensive And Masochistic'</a></li>
</ul>



Image via Shutterstock

Macro Notification

General

Trump Tariffs To 'Plug The Hole' For Income Tax Cuts To Come: Economists Predict What More Could Be Expected

U.S. stock futures plummeted on Thursday after advancing on Wednesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were down over 2-3% in premarket trading.



Invoking a 1977 law, President Donald Trump declared a trade emergency Wednesday, arguing it was necessary to address the U.S.&#8217;s "large and persistent trade deficit." The White House <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">released a fact sheet</a> outlining the new reciprocal tariffs, which Trump justified with the principle, "Treat us like we treat you." 



While Canada and Mexico were notably excluded from the tariff program, China, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Sri Lanka face the steepest increases under the new system. Gold prices soared to a fresh record of $3,167.71 per ounce, and investors fled toward safe-haven assets.



The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.06% and the two-year bond was at 3.78%. The CME Group's FedWatch <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool </a>shows markets pricing in a 76.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates through its May meeting. 



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Futures</td><td>Change (+/-)</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>-2.54%</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>-3.04%</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq 100</td><td>-3.29%</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>-4.29%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, slumped in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was down 3.08% to $547.11, while the QQQ declined 3.36% to $460.17, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.



Cues From Last Session:



Consumer discretionary, industrials, and financials led a broad S&amp;P 500 rally Wednesday, pushing the Dow Jones over 200 points, despite President Trump&#8217;s later announcement of trade tariffs.



Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) surged 5%, even after reporting weak delivery numbers. Contrary to the market&#8217;s upward trend, consumer staples closed lower.



Positive economic data, showing stronger-than-expected job growth and rising manufacturing orders, contributed to the day&#8217;s gains, though Trump&#8217;s trade actions sparked fears of a potential economic downturn.



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;"><tbody><tr><td>Index</td><td>Performance (+/-)</td><td>Value</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq Composite</td><td>0.87%</td><td>17,601.05</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>0.67%</td><td>5,670.97</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>0.56%</td><td>42,225.32</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>1.65%</td><td>2,045.36</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



Insights From Analysts:



Senior economist Jeremy Siegel, in his weekly commentary, explained that the public is more willing to endure the near-term friction and economic headwinds from the cuts to inefficient government spending rather than "facing higher prices via tariffs, which bring near-term pain with very uncertain long-term benefit."



He said, "Dividend-paying value stocks look increasingly attractive, and I expect the market rotation from growth to dividend stocks to continue."



"Equity weakness has been widespread. The rotation out of growth continues, and the AI-led rally that defined the market over the last three years has decisively broken trend. Growth stocks have taken a larger hit than value stocks," he added.



Meanwhile, other analysts opined with their views on the tariffs. Wedbush&#8217;s Daniel Ives said, &#8220;We would characterize this slate of tariffs as ‘worse than the worst case scenario&#8217; the Street was fearing.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">We would characterize this slate of tariffs as &quot;worse than the worst case scenario&quot; the Street was fearing. The biggest focus will be the China 34% tariff and Taiwan 32% and how this impacts supply chain and demand. Negotiations the only option at this point for White House.&mdash; Dan Ives (@DivesTech) <a href="https://twitter.com/DivesTech/status/1907611902047338791?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Economist Mohamed El-Erian said that the tariffs imposed by Trump point to &#8220;major worries about global economic growth.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The price action in global financial markets in the immediate aftermath of the US tariff announcement points to major worries about global economic growth.<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/economy?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#economy</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/markets?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#markets</a>&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1907687511448572001?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Justin Wolfers, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, said that the "announcement was so much worse than expected that it caused the chance of a 2025 recession to rise from 42% to 52%.&#8221;



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Prediction markets had already priced in their best guess of the Trump tariffs. Today&#39;s announcement was so much worse than expected that it caused the chance of a 2025 recession to rise from 42% to 52%. <a href="https://t.co/brDWjfNykx">pic.twitter.com/brDWjfNykx</a>&mdash; Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) <a href="https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/1907619681248108764?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 3, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How to Trade Futures</a> 



Upcoming Economic Data



Here&#8217;s what investors will keep an eye on Thursday:



<ul>
<li>The initial jobless claims data for the week ending March 29 and February&#8217;s U.S. trade deficit data will be released by 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>March&#8217;s S&amp;P final U.S. services PMI and ISM services will be announced between 9:45 and 10:00 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Fed Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson will speak at 12:30 p.m., and Fed Governor Lisa Cook will speak at 2:30 p.m. ET.</li>
</ul>



Stocks In Focus:



<ul>
<li>Acuity Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AYI#NYSE">AYI</a>) was down 0.57% in premarket on Thursday ahead of its earnings before the opening bell. Analysts expect a quarterly earnings of $3.70 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Conagra Brands Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAG#NYSE">CAG</a>) dropped 2.39% as Wall Street expects it to report a quarterly earnings of 53 cents per share on revenue of $2.90 billion before the opening bell.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) declined 2.38% ahead of its earnings after the closing bell. Analysts expect a quarterly earnings of $1.70 per share on revenue of $86.09 billion.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>RH (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RH#NYSE">RH</a>) slumped 26.31% after reporting weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results after the market closed on Wednesday. Its fourth-quarter revenue of $812.41 million, missing the consensus estimate of $829.56 million</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Penguin Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PENG#NASDAQ">PENG</a>) rose 4.60% as it posted better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Wednesday. The company said it sees FY25 net sales growth of 17% year-over-year and adjusted EPS of $1.60.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNSS#NASDAQ">GNSS</a>) surged 41.55% after receiving $2.5 million worth of LRAD orders from the U.S. Military for Army, Navy, and Air Force units. LRAD systems provide long-range communication and escalation of force capabilities up to 5,000 meters, and are used globally.</li>
</ul>



<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) dropped after Elon Musk clarified his exit from the government&#8217;s DOGE as "fake news."</li>
</ul>



Commodities, Gold, And Global Equity Markets:



Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 3.75% to hover around $69.02 per barrel.



Gold Spot US Dollar declined 0.15% to hover around $3,122.96 per ounce. Its fresh record high stood at $3,167.71 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was lower by 1.68% at the 102.060 level.



Asian markets closed on a lower note on Thursday. India's S&amp;P BSE Sensex, Japan's Nikkei 225, Australia's ASX 200, China&#8217;s CSI 300, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and South Korea's Kospi index fell. European markets were also lower in early trade.



Read Next:



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44622754/tariffs-are-most-expensive-and-masochistic-could-cost-30-trillion-to-the-economy-erasing-300k-per-family-explains">Trump Tariffs Could Cost $30 Trillion Or About $300,000 Per Family, Says Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers: &#8216;Most Expensive And Masochistic&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>



Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Forex

Treasuries

Federal Reserve

Pre-Market Outlook

GNSS

PENG

US Stocks Likely To Open Lower Following Trump's Tariffs: 'Worse Than The Worst Case Scenario,' Says Analyst

On Wednesday, April 2nd, U.S. markets closed mixed after a turbulent session as investors positioned themselves ahead of President Trump&#8217;s sweeping tariff announcement. While stocks gained during regular trading, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq futures fell sharply afterward, reacting to a proposed 10% baseline import tariff and stricter measures on key trade partners, fueling market volatility and investor unease.



In economic data, U.S. private businesses added 155,000 jobs in March, beating expectations. Meanwhile, factory orders rose 0.6% in February, down from January&#8217;s revised 1.8% increase.



Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed higher, led by industrials and financials, though consumer staples and some consumer discretionary stocks ended lower.



The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.56% to 42,225.32, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.67% to 5,670.97, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.87% to close at 17,601.05.



Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44618089/trumps-tariffs-surprise-triggers-carnage-magnificent-7-set-to-wipe-out-nearly-700-billion-in-market-value" rel="noreferrer noopener">Markets Reel As Trump&#8217;s Tariffs Hit — Magnificent 7 Set To Shed Almost $700 Billion</a>



Asia Markets Today



<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed the session lower by 2.73% at 34,751.00, led by losses in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Transport and Communication sectors.</li>



<li>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei fell to an eight-month low after Trump unveiled steep tariffs, including a 24% levy on Japanese goods. This sparked a broad market selloff and investor risk-off sentiment.</li>



<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 was down 0.94% and closed at 7,859.70, led by losses in the IT, Energy and Resources sectors.</li>



<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 was down 0.38% to 23,243.10, and Nifty 500 declined 0.13% to 21,237.80.</li>



<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.24% to 3,342.01, while the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 slid by 0.59% to 3,861.50.</li>



<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 1.77%, ending the session at 22,792.00.</li>
</ul>



Eurozone at 05:45 AM ET



<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 was down 2.12%.</li>



<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 1.52%.</li>



<li>France&#8217;s CAC 40 fell 2.09%.</li>



<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 1.16%.</li>



<li>European stocks tumbled as Trump&#8217;s sweeping tariffs on all U.S. imports sparked global trade tensions. Markets fear an economic slowdown, with oil prices sliding and the EU, China, and others planning retaliation.</li>
</ul>



Commodities at 05:45 AM ET



<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 4.00% at $68.83/bbl, and Brent was down 3.83% at $72.08/bbl.</li>



<li>Oil prices plunged Thursday as Trump&#8217;s steep new tariffs sparked fears of a global trade war, dampening growth and fuel demand.</li>



<li>Natural Gas slid 0.20% to $4.047.</li>



<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.56% at $3,148.31, Silver was down 4.75% to $33.008, and Copper fell 2.37% to $4.9215.</li>
</ul>



U.S. Futures at 05:45 AM ET



<ul>
<li>Dow futures were down 2.44%, S&amp;P 500 futures declined 3.03% and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 3.33%.</li>



<li>U.S. stock futures fell sharply after President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs, including a 10% baseline on all imports and higher duties on countries like China, the EU, and Japan. Auto tariffs also took effect, fueling global trade tensions and recession fears.</li>
</ul>



Forex at 05:45 AM ET



<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index fell 1.56% to 102.05, USD/JPY was down 1.86% to 146.50, and USD/AUD declined 0.66% to 1.5774.</li>



<li>The dollar weakened on Thursday following President Trump&#8217;s sweeping tariff announcement, as investor concerns over a potential global economic slowdown grew. Ongoing uncertainty and weaker U.S. data have continued to weigh on the dollar.</li>
</ul>



Image via Shutterstock

Asia

Eurozone

ADIV

AGOV

ASHR

BBEU

BOIL

CQQQ

EEMA

FLAX

IEMG

IEUR

KDIV

SPEM

USDU

Global Markets Rattle With Trump's Tariff, Dollar Weakens, Oil Tanks - Global Markets Today While US Slept

As President Donald Trump lights the global economy on fire in his bid to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">reduce America&#8217;s $1.2 trillion annual trade deficit</a>, a few astute observers on X have uncovered the math that went into arriving at the tariffs that other countries charge the United States, which ultimately led to the reciprocal tariffs that the US will now be imposing on them.



What Happened: A post questioned Trump&#8217;s credibility on the subject of tariffs. James Surowiecki, a writer for The Atlantic and Fast Company had a tough time making sense of some of the figures shared by the White House on Wednesday evening, especially those about tariffs imposed by other countries on American exports.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Even given that it&#39;s Trump, I cannot believe they said &quot;We&#39;ll just divide the trade deficit by imports and tell people that&#39;s the tariff rate.&quot; And then they decided to set our tariffs by just cutting that totally made-up rate in half! This is so dumb and deceptive.&mdash; James Surowiecki (@JamesSurowiecki) <a href="https://twitter.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1907560211365167246?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 2, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



He knew something wasn&#8217;t adding up, since South Korea, a country with which the US has a trade agreement was not charging 50% tariffs on US exports, as reported in the graphic released by the White House. After initially chalking it all up to made-up figures, he soon arrived at the absurd calculations that went into them.



See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44621914/trump-reportedly-imposes-tariffs-on-uninhabited-islands-and-remote-locations-world-bank-data-raises-questions">Trump Imposes Tariffs On Uninhabited Islands And Remote Locations: World Bank Data Raises Questions</a>



Surowiecki says that the tariff figures were calculated by merely dividing the US&#8217; trade deficit with a particular country by the said country&#8217;s total exports to the U.S. He even went on to illustrate it by giving the example of Indonesia, on which Trump now plans to impose 32% reciprocal tariffs.



He further adds &#8216;I cannot believe they decided to just divide the trade deficit by imports and tell people that&#8217;s the tariff rate,&#8217; and wonders how U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signed off on something like this. 



Why It Matters: Others are now waking up to these calculations, such as the <a href="https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907568233239949431">popular X finance influencer</a> Geiger Capital, and the Sri Lankan publication Economynext, which <a href="https://economynext.com/sri-lankas-88-pct-tax-on-us-arrived-at-by-dividing-trade-deficit-213077/">questioned</a> how the U.S. figures were calculated.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">This guy cracked the tariff formula:<a href="https://twitter.com/orthonormalist?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@orthonormalist</a> It's simply the nation's trade deficit with us divided by the nation's exports to us. Yes. Really. Vietnam: Exports 136.6, Imports 13.1 Deficit = 123.5 123.5/136.6 = 90% <a href="https://t.co/fDOMoQwzKt">pic.twitter.com/fDOMoQwzKt</a>&mdash; Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) <a href="https://twitter.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907568233239949431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 2, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Neither the White House nor the United States Trade Representative responded to Benzinga&#8217;s request for comments on this story at the time of writing.



The tariff announcements led to the U.S. futures tanking at the time of writing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were seen 2.5% lower at 41,433 while the Nasdaq dropped 3.45% at 19,076.75.



Image via Shutterstock



Read More: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620686/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-plunge-over-3-as-trumps-reciprocal-tariff-plan-hits-market-confidence">Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Reciprocal Tariff&#8217; Plan Hits Market Confidence As Dow Futures Drops Over 830 Points </a></li>
</ul>

Trump's 'Reciprocal Tariff' Math: A Masterclass In Economic Absurdity

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers said on Thursday that President Donald Trump&#8216;s tariffs will cause an &#8220;oil crisis-like shock&#8221; to the economy, simultaneously spiking prices and unemployment while shrinking productive capacity.



What Happened: Summers <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-02/summers-says-trump-tariffs-to-impose-oil-shock-type-economic-hit">told</a> Bloomberg Television that the tariffs should be seen as &#8220;a supply shock,&#8221; comparable to &#8220;an oil-price spike or earthquake or a drought,&#8221; with significant economic consequences.



Potential economic losses, according to Summers, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44622754/tariffs-are-most-expensive-and-masochistic-could-cost-30-trillion-to-the-economy-erasing-300k-per-family-explains">may amount to $30 trillion</a>, or significantly more than $300,000 for a household of four people.



The &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; duties, which <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620686/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-plunge-over-3-as-trumps-reciprocal-tariff-plan-hits-market-confidence">go into effect on Apr. 9</a>, are half of what Trump says trading partners charge for American goods. The countries with the biggest duty rises include Sri Lanka (44%), Vietnam (46%), and China (34%).



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44621297/tesla-brand-wont-suffer-from-elon-musks-antics-says-analyst-despite-delivery-miss-8-stock-drop-in-after-hours-trading">Tesla Brand Won&#8217;t Suffer From Elon Musk&#8217;s &#8216;Antics,&#8217; Says Analyst Despite Delivery Miss, 8% Stock Drop In After-Hours Trading</a>



Why It Matters: The world&#8217;s markets responded quickly to what Trump referred to as &#8220;our Declaration of Economic Independence&#8221; and &#8220;Liberation Day.&#8221; Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by around 830 points as U.S. futures fell.



The &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; tech stocks bore the brunt, facing a projected $685 billion combined market value loss. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620686/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-plunge-over-3-as-trumps-reciprocal-tariff-plan-hits-market-confidence">led declines, dropping 7.14%</a>.



Summers cited past analysis showing nearly a &#8220;dollar-for-dollar&#8221; impact on consumer prices from Trump&#8217;s first-term tariffs. &#8220;The proximate effect will be to boost prices, with effects then rippling out to include less employment and reduced investment,&#8221; he said. &#8220;This is a classic supply shock that puts the Federal Reserve in a very difficult position.&#8221;



Condemning the measure as &#8220;typical unilateral bullying,&#8221; <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44620889/trumps-liberation-day-tariffs-roil-markets-as-china-slams-typical-unilateral-bullying-asian-markets-plunge">China threatened to take retaliatory action</a>. The Nikkei 225 in Japan dropped 2.95% on Thursday as Asian markets declined.



Read Next:



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44620056/dr-doom-nouriel-roubini-trumps-liberation-day-tariff-label-is-orwellian-doublespeak-us-playing-with-fire" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">‘Dr. Doom&#8217; Nouriel Roubini: Trump&#8217;s ‘Liberation Day&#8217; Tariff Label Is Orwellian Doublespeak, US ‘Playing With Fire&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>



Image via Shutterstock

Larry Summers Warns Trump's Tariffs Will Deliver 'Oil Crisis-Like Shock,' Slash $30 Trillion From Economy As Markets Plunge

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some improvement in the overall market sentiment, while the index remained in the &#8220;Extreme Fear&#8221; zone on Wednesday.



U.S. stocks settled higher on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 200 points during the session ahead of the announcement of trade tariffs by President Donald Trump.



Trump later unveiled broad new tariffs on key trading partners, sparking fears of a global trade war that could further weaken the U.S. economy.



Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) rallied over 5% on Wednesday despite reporting the worst quarterly deliveries in over two years and missing analyst estimates.



On the economic data front, private businesses in the U.S. added 155,000 jobs in March compared to a revised 84,000 gain in February and higher than market estimates of 105,000. New orders for U.S. manufactured goods rose by 0.6% month-over-month for February compared to a revised 1.8% gain in January.



Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a positive note, with consumer discretionary, industrials, and financials stocks recording the biggest gains on Wednesday. However, consumer staples and consumer discretionary stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.



The Dow Jones closed higher by around 235 points to 42,225.32 on Wednesday. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.67% to 5,670.97, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.87% to 17,601.05 during Wednesday's session.



Investors are awaiting earnings results from Acuity Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AYI#NYSE">AYI</a>), Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAG#NYSE">CAG</a>), and Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) today.



At a current reading of 17.1, the index remained in the &#8220;Extreme Fear&#8221; zone on Wednesday, versus a prior reading of 15.6.



What is CNN Business Fear &amp; Greed Index?



The Fear &amp; Greed Index is a measure of the current market sentiment. It is based on the premise that higher fear exerts pressure on stock prices, while higher greed has the opposite effect. The index is calculated based on seven equal-weighted indicators. The index ranges from 0 to 100, where 0 represents maximum fear and 100 signals maximum greediness.



Read Next: 



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44604078/wall-streets-most-accurate-analysts-give-their-take-on-3-defensive-stocks-with-over-6-dividend-yields">Wall Street&#8217;s Most Accurate Analysts Give Their Take On 3 Defensive Stocks With Over 6% Dividend Yields</a> </li>
</ul>



Photo via Shutterstock

Earnings

Dow Jumps Over 200 Points As Tesla Surges Over 5%: Investor Sentiment Improves, But Greed Index Remains In 'Extreme Fear' Zone

U.S. stock futures plunged on Wednesday after President Donald Trump unveiled broad new tariffs on key trading partners, sparking fears of a global trade war that could further <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44618089/trumps-tariffs-surprise-triggers-carnage-magnificent-7-set-to-wipe-out-nearly-700-billion-in-market-value">weaken the U.S. economy</a>.



What Happened: Futures on the S&amp;P 500 plunged 2.7% to 5,557.75, while Nasdaq-100 futures tumbled 3.37% to 19,092.25 in after-hours trading. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 1.95% to 41,665.00, erasing nearly 830 points.



Trump unveiled a &#8220;reciprocal tariff rate&#8221; set at 50% of what trading partners charge the United States, including non-tariff barriers like currency manipulation and value-added taxes. 



&#8220;April 2nd, 2025 will forever be remembered as the day American industry was reborn,&#8221; Trump said, calling the move &#8220;our Declaration of Economic Independence.&#8221;



See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/44612478/musk-needs-to-navigate-brand-crisis-or-else-warns-analyst-tesla-delivery-number-was-a-disaster-for-the-bulls" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Musk Needs To ‘Navigate Brand Crisis Or Else,' Warns Analyst, Tesla's&nbsp;</a>‘<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/44612478/musk-needs-to-navigate-brand-crisis-or-else-warns-analyst-tesla-delivery-number-was-a-disaster-for-the-bulls" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Delivery Number Was A Disaster For The Bulls'</a>



Why It Matters: The &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; tech stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, projected to lose <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44618089/trumps-tariffs-surprise-triggers-carnage-magnificent-7-set-to-wipe-out-nearly-700-billion-in-market-value">a combined $685 billion in market value</a>. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) led declines in after-hours trading, dropping 7.14% and facing a potential $221.7 billion market cap loss. NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) fell 5.68%, while Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) declined 6.10%.



Leading economists expressed alarm, with Justin Wolfers calling the tariffs &#8220;monstrously destructive&#8221; and former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers estimating potential economic losses of up to $20 trillion, or well <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620423/trumps-sweeping-tariffs-could-cost-us-20-trillion-crash-markets-warn-economists-monstrously-destructive">over $200,000 per family of four</a>.



While Canada and Mexico were notably <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44620423/trumps-sweeping-tariffs-could-cost-us-20-trillion-crash-markets-warn-economists-monstrously-destructive">excluded from the tariff program</a>, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Sri Lanka face the steepest increases under the new system. As investors sought safety, gold futures gained 1.1%, with economist Peter Schiff predicting prices could reach $3,500 this month.



Read Next:



<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44620056/dr-doom-nouriel-roubini-trumps-liberation-day-tariff-label-is-orwellian-doublespeak-us-playing-with-fire" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">‘Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini: Trump's ‘Liberation Day' Tariff Label Is Orwellian Doublespeak, US ‘Playing With Fire'</a></li>
</ul>



Image via Shutterstock



Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Trump's 'Reciprocal Tariff' Plan Hits Market Confidence As Dow Futures Drops Over 830 Points

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