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Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:CNQ) 株価情報, 空売り情報

Canadian Natural Res

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom (UK) portion of the North Sea, and Cote d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa. The Company's exploration and production activities are conducted in three geographic segments: North America, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. These activities include exploring, developing, producing, and marketing crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company has two divisions; Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, Midstream and Refining. It derives a majority of its revenue from North America.

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Shares of energy stocks are trading higher amid reports that President Donald Trump is preparing to issue a memorandum directing the U.S. Treasury to impose maximum economic pressure on Iran.

President Donald Trump's announced tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China could impact many sectors and see retailers and companies raising prices on consumers to offset<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/02/43423288/trumps-tariffs-are-here-heres-what-will-get-more-expensive-from-canada-china-and-mexico"> the higher prices.</a>
Here's a look at the sectors and stocks that could be hurt the most by Trump's tariffs and retaliatory efforts by the three countries back on the U.S.
What Happened: Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43427091/as-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-americas-3-largest-trading-partners-this-macro-strategist-call">announced 25% tariffs </a>on imports from Canada and Mexico along with a 10% tariffs on items imported from China. Trump and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced Monday the U.S. tariffs on Mexico have been paused for one month. 
Canada fought back with retaliatory measures on U.S. imports.
Trump said he spoke with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and plans to speak to the leader again at 3 p.m. ET Monday.
The tariffs were met with anger in Canada where sports fans booed the playing of &#8220;The Star-Spangled Banner,&#8221; the U.S. national anthem, at NBA and NHL sporting events over the weekend, as reported by <a href="https://deadline.com/2025/02/u-s-national-anthem-booed-nhl-nba-games-canada-tariffs-1236276207/">Deadline</a>.
NBA and NHL games involving teams from both countries typically play national anthems ahead of games.
Goods and Sectors Impacted: Here's a look at the top imports from Canada, Mexico and China that will be impacted if the tariffs stick.
Beer and Spirits: One of the companies that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42220682/trump-tariffs-on-mexico-could-affect-beer-why-your-modelo-corona-could-cost-more-next-year">could be hit hardest</a> by the tariff news is Constellation Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STZ#NYSE">STZ</a>), an alcohol company that holds the exclusive U.S. license for several of the top imported beer brands in America. Constellation imports brands like Modelo, Corona and Pacifico from Mexico, where they are brewed by Grupo Modelo, which is a unit of Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BUD#NYSE">BUD</a>).
Modelo is the top imported beer in the U.S., with Corona ranking second. Heineken and Dos Equis XX, which are imported by Heineken USA, a unit of Heineken NV (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HEINY#OTC">HEINY</a>), ranked third and fourth on the list of top imported beers. Dos Equis is manufactured in Mexico and imported to the U.S.
Constellation stock is down around 40% since it was flagged as a company to see pressure from tariffs back in November.
The U.S. is also a large importer of tequila, a sector that could be hit hard by tariffs on Mexico.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/24/12/42536470/costco-warns-that-tariffs-raise-prices-trump-team-says-trade-policies-will-make-life-affordable">Costco Warns That Tariffs Raise Prices, Trump Team Says Trade Policies Will &#8216;Make Life Affordable&#8217;</a>
Automotive: Several automotive companies like Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>), General Motors Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) and Honda Motor Co Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HMC#NYSE">HMC</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/12/42688941/are-us-vehicles-under-30000-a-thing-of-the-past-trumps-mexico-tariff-plans-could-change-auto-market">have sub-$30,000 vehicles</a> that are partially or fully built in Mexico and Canada. Tariffs on these countries could quickly make these sub-$30,000 vehicles cost more for consumers and eliminate options in the popular starting price point.
Avocados: American imports over 80% of its avocados from Mexico, which could lead to higher prices ahead of Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 9, as <a href="https://nypost.com/2025/02/02/us-news/whats-going-to-get-hit-by-trumps-tariffs-avocados-modelo-and-iphones/">reported </a>by the New York Post. Stocks that could be impacted by higher avocado costs are Mission Produce Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVO#NASDAQ">AVO</a>), Calavo Growers, Inc. (NASDDAQ: CVGW) and Limoneira Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMNR#NASDAQ">LMNR</a>).
Fruits and Vegetables: Canada is the largest supplier of cherry tomatoes for the U.S., which could see higher produce costs for consumers and restaurants.
Smartphones: China is one of the largest exporters of smartphones to the U.S., accounting for an estimated 87% of production according to the report. The iPhone from Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) has 95% of production assembled in China as of 2023.
Toys: The Toy Association industry group estimates that 75% of all imported toys come from China, making the sector one area that could be significantly hit by higher tariffs. Hasbro Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAS#NASDAQ">HAS</a>) and Mattel Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) are two stocks that could see pressure with the tariffs impacting one of their key sectors. &nbsp;
Clothing: Imported clothes from e-commerce companies including Shein and PDD Holdings &#8211; ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PDD#NASDAQ">PDD</a>) brand Temu will see higher prices with the tariff on China. Canadian clothing companies Aritzia and Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) will also be impacted by the tariff news. 
The footwear portion of the clothing sector could see the biggest impact with the Footwear Distributors &amp; Retailers of America estimating that 99% of shoes sold in the U.S. are imported. Nike Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>) could be among the companies hit hardest by the tariff news.
Construction: The American Iron and Steel Institute estimates that 25% of American steel comes from Canada and 12% comes from Mexico, which means steel prices could go up. Canadian lumber is also a large export to the U.S., which makes up around 30% of all lumber the country uses. Other construction items like drywall, lime and gypsum come from Mexico, which will put more pressure on homebuilders. The tariffs could lead to home prices going up and putting further pressure on the sector.
Oil: The U.S. is a large importer<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42300450/trump-told-trudeau-canada-could-avoid-tariffs-by-becoming-51st-state-a-look-at-sectors-trade-war-could-impact"> of Canadian oil.</a> While oil will only see a 10% tariff compared to the 25% on other Canadian goods, the sector could likely see a large impact. Companies like Suncor Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>), Enbridge (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENB#NYSE">ENB</a>), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) and TC Pipelines (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRP#NYSE">TRP</a>)&nbsp;could face significant impacts from the tariffs and a potential blow to the sector.
Transportation: Railway company Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CP#NYSE">CP</a>) and trucking companies Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ODFL#NASDAQ">ODFL</a>) and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KNX#NYSE">KNX</a>) could be impacted by the tariffs and negative impact on trade between the United States and Canada.
Retailers: Dollar stores and discount retailers like Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLTR#NASDAQ">DLTR</a>) could be<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42402629/trump-to-change-dollar-stores-for-good-dollar-tree-exec-says-prepared-to-act"> impacted by the tariffs.</a> Executives warned of the potential impact in late 2024 with the goal of offsetting the higher prices with new product sizes and negotiating lower costs with suppliers. The company also said it would consider stopping the sale of several items due to the planned tariffs.
Price Actions on Monday at publication: The iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWC#NYSE">EWC</a>) is down 1.46% to $40.62.
The iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWW#NYSE">EWW</a>) is up 2.12% to $50.02.
The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHI#NASDAQ">MCHI</a>) is down 0.29% to $48.27.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43430259/miners-plead-for-collaboration-as-trade-wars-threaten-critical-mineral-supply-chains">Miners Plead For Collaboration As Trade Wars Threaten Critical Mineral Supply Chains</a></li>
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Photo: Visuals6x via Shutterstock

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Why Beer, Tequila, Avocados, Cars, iPhone Prices Could Rise: Trump's Tariffs On Canada, Mexico, China To Hurt Several Sectors

Effectively, Canadian Natural will swap 10% of its working interest in the Scotford Upgrader and Quest Carbon Capture and Storage facilities for Shell's remaining 10% working interest in the AOSP mines, associated reserves and additional various working interests in a number of other non-producing oil sands leases.&nbsp;
As a result, and at close of the transaction, Canadian Natural will increase its working interest in the AOSP mines to 100%, subsequently increasing the Company's production by approximately 31,000 bbl/d and will own an 80% working interest in the Scotford Upgrader and Quest.&nbsp;
The transaction does not include any exchange of cash, except for regular closing adjustments and is targeted to close by the end of Q1/25, subject to regulatory approvals.

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Canadian Natural Resources Says Transacting An Asset Swap With Shell Related To Athabasca Oil Sands Project

Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 2.81% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 15.51%. Currently, Canadian Natural Res has a market capitalization of $65.87 billion. 
Buying $100 In CNQ: If an investor had bought $100 of CNQ stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $201.69 today based on a price of $31.17 for CNQ at the time of writing.
<h3>Canadian Natural Res's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1737390608_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In Canadian Natural Res 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

President-elect Donald Trump has made tariffs one of the most talked about items ahead of his inauguration on Jan. 20. So far, he has not backed down from plans to place or increase tariffs on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">various trade partners</a>, including Canada, Mexico and China.
What Happened: On Tuesday, Trump took things a step further by naming a new agency tasked with overseeing tariffs.
"For far too long, we have relied on taxing our Great People using the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). Though soft and pathetically weak Trade agreements, the American Economy has delivered growth and prosperity to the World, while taxing ourselves," Trump <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113827650534234057">said </a>in a post on Truth Social. "I am today announcing that I will create the EXTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE to collect our Tariffs, Duties and all Revenue that come from Foreign sources."
Trump intends for Jan. 20 — inauguration day — to be the birthdate for the so-called &#8220;External Revenue Service.&#8221; Normally, a new law would need to be passed first to create a new bureau or statutory body.
"We will begin charging those that make money off of us with Trade, and they will start paying, FINALLY, their fair share,&#8221; Trump added. 
It&#8217;s worth noting that the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), under the Department of Homeland Security, already oversees tariffs and revenue from foreign countries. Its key functions include collecting customs duties and tariffs. The CBP also enforces trade laws and ensures revenue accountability as one of the federal government's largest revenue collectors.
Meanwhile, Democratic lawmakers are already scrutinizing Trump&#8217;s External Revenue Service plan. "No amount of silly rebranding will hide the fact that Trump is planning a multi-trillion-dollar tax hike on American families and small businesses to pay for another round of tax handouts to the rich," Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, <a href="https://www.finance.senate.gov/chairmans-news/wyden-statement-on-trumps-so-called-external-revenue-service">said</a> in a statement.
Did You Know?
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<li>Congress Is Making Huge Investments. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/gov-trades/?utm_source=BZprocontent011425">Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool</a></li>
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Why It's Important: Trump's plans to place tariffs on three of the country's largest trade partners have led to many question marks on how the other countries will respond and if items will get more expensive for American consumers as a trade off.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/24/12/42536470/costco-warns-that-tariffs-raise-prices-trump-team-says-trade-policies-will-make-life-affordable">Retail executives</a> Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COST#NASDAQ">COST</a>) and Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLTR#NASDAQ">DLTR</a>) have already warned about tariffs on earnings calls. Tariffs <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42402629/trump-to-change-dollar-stores-for-good-dollar-tree-exec-says-prepared-to-act">could mean higher prices</a> for consumers, less product assortment or a change to product sizes, they say.
Trump joked that Canada <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42300450/trump-told-trudeau-canada-could-avoid-tariffs-by-becoming-51st-state-a-look-at-sectors-trade-war-could-impact">could become the</a> 51st state of America to avoid tariffs. While the country <a href="https://apnews.com/article/canada-trump-chretien-51st-state-ad9749047d0b627eed56be22f43ea7cd">isn't ready</a> to do that, a new report signals the country could be working on avoiding the tariffs.
Canadian ambassador Kirsten Hillman said Canada is prepared to buy more items from the U.S., as <a href="https://apnews.com/article/canada-ambassador-us-trump-hillman-9ced5ba12cd6526a2bbb4a810fa9af18">reported </a>by the Associated Press. The move would ensure that there is not a deficit for America in its trade with Canada.
Hillman warned that a plan to put tariffs on all Canadian products will lead to prices going up for Americans.
"And at a time when the cost of living is challenging, when food prices are high, it seems like the wrong direction to go in," Hillman said.
Top items exported from Canada to the U.S. include oil, gas and automotive parts. These industries could see higher-priced goods under Trump's tariff plan.
Large Canadian oil companies Suncor Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>), Enbridge (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENB#NYSE">ENB</a>), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) and TC Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRP#NYSE">TRP</a>) could face significant impacts from the tariffs and a potential blow to the sector.
Railway company Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CP#NYSE">CP</a>) and trucking companies Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ODFL#NASDAQ">ODFL</a>) and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KNX#NYSE">KNX</a>) could also be impacted by the tariffs and the negative impact on trade between the United States and Canada.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has recently shown a serious focus on migration and security, two of Trump's vocal demands to keep the U.S. from placing tariffs on the country, as reported by Reuters.
Sheinbaum has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/25/01/42895985/trump-and-mexican-president-sheinbaum-spirited-clash-over-territorial-renaming-tariffs-and-cartels">publicly sparred with Trump</a>, but it remains to be seen if she will be able to avoid tariffs for Mexico.
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>), General Motors Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) and Honda Motor Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HMC#NYSE">HMC</a>) are among the automotive companies that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/12/42688941/are-us-vehicles-under-30000-a-thing-of-the-past-trumps-mexico-tariff-plans-could-change-auto-market">have sub-$30,000 vehicles </a>that are partially or fully built in Mexico and Canada.
Higher tariffs on China could rattle the American economy as the country remains a major source of many exported goods. To get ahead of potential tariff increases, China saw its exports up 10.7% in the month of December, NPR <a href="https://www.npr.org/2025/01/13/nx-s1-5258024/china-exports-us-tariffs">reported</a>.
The growth was higher than estimates of 7% and could show that companies and China are taking proactive approaches to get ahead of higher-costing goods.
ETF Price Action: The iShares MSCI Canada ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWC#NYSE">EWC</a>) is up 0.3% to $39.94 on Tuesday. The ETF is up 11% over the last year and down 4.5% over the last month.
The iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWW#NYSE">EWW</a>) is up 1.5% to $48.15 on Tuesday. The ETF is down 25.3% over the last year and down 6.4% over the last month.
The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHI#NASDAQ">MCHI</a>) is up 2.3% to $44.89 on Tuesday. The ETF is up 19.2% over the last year and down 5.5% over the last month.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42220682/trump-tariffs-on-mexico-could-affect-beer-why-your-modelo-corona-could-cost-more-next-year">Trump Tariffs On Mexico Could Affect Beer: Why Your Modelo, Corona Could Cost More Next Year</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

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Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) has set its 2025 budget, expecting an operating<a target="_blank" href="https://benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/01/42892935/canadian-natural-resources-limited-announces-2025-budget" rel="noreferrer noopener"> capital budget of about C$6 billion (~$4.2 billion)</a>.
This includes funding for several acquisitions slated for closure in the first quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals.
This budget aims to support both production growth in 2025 and long-term capacity expansion.
Additionally, the company has approved C$135 million in capital, including C$90 million for carbon capture projects and C$45 million for a one-time office relocation.
The company targets annual production of 1,510 MBOE/d and 1,555 MBOE/d, representing <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">a 12% growth over 2024 levels</a>.
This strong corporate growth comprises the previously disclosed strategic acquisition of the AOSP and Duvernay assets completed in 2024.
Canadian Naturals projects its production mix for 2025 to be about 47% light crude oil, NGLs, and Synthetic Crude Oil, 26% heavy crude oil, and 27% natural gas, based on the mid-point of its corporate production guidance.
Canadian Natural Resources expects growth to deliver production per share growth of 12% to 16%, based upon recent strip pricing.
Canadian Natural Resources sees natural gas production of 2,425 MMcf/d to 2,480 MMcf/d in 2025, reflecting growth of 14% compared to 2024 levels, based on the mid-point of the forecasted range.
Last month, Canadian Natural Resources finalized the acquisition of Chevron Canada&#8216;s Alberta assets, which include a 20% interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP) and a 70% operated interest in Duvernay&#8217;s light crude oil and liquids-rich assets.
The acquisition is expected to add approximately 122,500 BOE/d to production in 2025, with 62,500 bbl/d of Synthetic Crude Oil from AOSP and 60,000 BOE/d from Duvernay, which includes natural gas and liquids.
Price Action: CNQ shares closed lower by 0.21% at $32.63 on Wednesday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42823979/canadas-pm-justin-trudeau-steps-down-amid-internal-conflict-and-tension-over-trump-tariffs" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Justin Trudeau Will Step Down As Canada Faces Tension Over Trump Tariffs</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock.

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Canadian Natural Resources Sets $4.2 Billion Budget For 2025, Targets 12% Production Growth

Annual average production in 2025 is targeted to be between 1,510 MBOE/d and 1,555 MBOE/d, resulting in production growth of approximately 170 MBOE/‌d or 12% over 2024 levels based on the mid-point of corporate guidance.
This significant corporate growth includes the previously disclosed strategic acquisition of the AOSP and Duvernay assets completed in 2024.&nbsp;

Canadian Natural Sets 2025 Operating Capital Budget Of C$6B; Targets Annual Average Production In 2025 To Be Between 1,510 MBOE/d - 1,555 MBOE/d

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who has been in power for nearly 10 years, announced his resignation Monday.
Trudeau said he will step down after the Liberal Party selects its new leader and said the Parliament will be suspended until March 24.
"I care deeply about this country and I will always be motivated by what is in the best interests of Canadians. And the fact is, despite best efforts to work through it, Parliament has been paralyzed for months after what has been the longest session of a minority Parliament in Canadian history," he said. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Canada Stocks To Watch With Trump Tariff Threats, Trudeau Exit On Horizon </h2>
U.S.-traded stocks of major Canadian companies, particularly in the financial and energy sectors, could experience volatility due to this political upheaval. Mexico, Canada and China — the three countries U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has targeted for tariffs — are the U.S.'s top three trading partners.
Canadian banking institutions traded in the U.S. include the : Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RY#NYSE">RY</a>), Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TD#NYSE">TD</a>), Bank of Montreal (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BMO#NYSE">BMO</a>) and the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CM#NYSE">CM</a>).
Energy companies could also be affected by the political upheaval in Canada: they include e Enbridge Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENB#NYSE">ENB</a>), TC Pipelines (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRP#NYSE">TRP</a>), Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>) and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>).
In the tech sector, Ottawa-based Shopify Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHOP#NYSE">SHOP</a>) is trading up 3.7%.
Trudeau's announcement comes shortly after the resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, who <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42520833/trudeaus-government-loses-a-top-negotiator-ahead-of-trumps-second-term">stepped down</a> in mid-December due to disagreements with Trudeau&#8217;s spending proposals. Freeland, who also served as deputy prime minister, left the cabinet because she believed Trudeau was not taking adequate measures to prepare for a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42475000/if-trump-starts-a-trade-war-canada-could-impose-export-taxes-on-oil-uranium-report">potential trade war</a> with Washington.
Canadian ETFs likely to be affected by this political firestorm, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/etf-canada">Benzinga Pro</a>, include <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/BBCA" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">JPMorgan BetaBuilders Canada ETF</a> (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBCA#BATS">BBCA</a>) which is trading up 0.9%; the iShares MSCI Canada ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWC#NYSE">EWC</a>), up 0.79%; SPDR Solactive Canada ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZCAN#NYSE">ZCAN</a>), up 0.88%; and Invesco CurrencyShares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXC#NYSE">FXC</a>), up 0.59%. The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/FLCA" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Franklin FTSE Canada ETF</a> (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLCA#NYSE">FLCA</a>) is trading 0.95% higher midday Monday.
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42813324/trumps-universal-tariff-plans-take-shape-analysts-expect-stronger-for-longer-greenback#google_vignette">Trump&#8217;s Universal Tariff Plans Take Shape, Analysts Expect &#8216;Stronger For Longer&#8217; Greenback</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock.

Government

Economics

BBCA

FLCA

SHOP

ZCAN

Justin Trudeau Will Step Down As Canada Faces Tension Over Trump Tariffs

JP Morgan analyst John M Royall highlighted key trends for the North American Integrated Oils sector entering 2025, with updates on forecasts, price targets, and ratings on major companies.
Rating/Price Target Update:
<ul>
<li>The analyst maintained an Overweight rating and a price target of $125 on Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>), citing its defensive characteristics in downside scenarios and portfolio of high-value projects in both <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/xom/analyst-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">upstream and downstream operations</a>.</li>
<li>JP Morgan remains &#8216;Not Rated&#8217; on Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) due to its involvement in the HES acquisition.</li>
<li>Also, Royall reiterated the Overweight rating on Cenovus Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVE#NYSE">CVE</a>), viewing it as a unique execution story with the most <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/cve/analyst-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">attractive valuation in the coverage group</a>.</li>
<li>The analyst downgraded the rating for Imperial Oil Limited (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IMO#AMEX">IMO</a>) to Underweight from Neutral, citing its low free cash flow yield and free cash flow to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/imo/analyst-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">enterprise value ratios for 2025-2026</a>.</li>
<li>Apart from this, the analyst maintained Neutral rating on Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) and Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>).</li>
</ul>
Sector View: Brent crude is expected to average ~$70/bbl in 2025, down from ~$80/bbl+ in 2024 YTD, driven by global supply growth outpacing demand, adds the analyst.
Royall says downstream performance is likely to remain below mid-cycle, with refined product supply and demand growing in tandem.
The analyst upholds an $80/bbl long-term crude price deck and mid-cycle crack spreads for 2026+, while forecasting ~$70/bbl Brent with flat spreads in 2025.
The analyst writes that defensive positioning should dominate in 2026, favoring U.S. companies with stronger free cash flow, balance sheets, and capital returns compared to Canadian peers.
With crude price scenarios ranging +/-$10/bbl around the base case, the downside case of $70/bbl Brent aligns with current strip prices, underscoring downside risks beyond 2026. Consequently, Royall prioritizes defensive names and companies with unique re-rating opportunities for 2025.
Macro Forecasts Update: The analyst updated the macro forecasts and models since the post-earnings review. The fourth-quarter Brent price deck remains at $75/bbl, in line with quarter-to-date levels and the strip, while the 2025 price deck stays at $70/bbl, consistent with J.P. Morgan&#8217;s outlook.
Royall says that higher Western Canadian Select prices and improved downstream cracks have driven a 9% increase in his fourth-quarter EPS estimates.
For 2025, EPS estimates are raised by 8%, also supported by stronger WCS prices. Despite these adjustments, the projections are 3% below Street estimates for fourth quarter and 27% lower for 2025, reflecting the conservative crude price assumptions and refining outlook, adds the analyst.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42300450/trump-told-trudeau-canada-could-avoid-tariffs-by-becoming-51st-state-a-look-at-sectors-trade-war-could-impact" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump Told Trudeau Canada Could Dodge Tariffs As 51st State: Which Sectors Could Be Hit</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Analyst Color

Mid Cap

Upgrades

Downgrades

Price Target

Reiteration

Analyst Ratings

Defensive Oil Stocks To Watch In 2025 Amid $70 Brent Forecast: JP Morgan

AESI

AMTX

AROC

BROG

CRGY

CSAN

EZFL

GPRE

MIND

NEHC

TRGP

VIST

Shares of oil and gas companies are trading lower amid overall market weakness following the Fed's rate decision to cut rates by 25 basis points.

Canadian Natural Resources shares are trading lower after the company priced $1.5 billion in 5- and 10-year USD notes and C$500 million in 7-year CAD notes.

<figure class="table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Note</td>
<td>Coupon</td>
<td>Principal</td>
<td>Maturity</td>
<td>Price per Note</td>
<td>Yield to Maturity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5 year USD notes</td>
<td>5.00%</td>
<td>US$750,000,000</td>
<td>December 15, 2029</td>
<td>US$99.968</td>
<td>5.007%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10 year USD notes</td>
<td>5.40%</td>
<td>US$750,000,000</td>
<td>December 15, 2034</td>
<td>US$99.837</td>
<td>5.421%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7 year CAD notes</td>
<td>4.15%</td>
<td>C$500,000,000</td>
<td>December 15, 2031</td>
<td>C$99.836</td>
<td>4.177%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
&nbsp;

Reported Earlier, Canadian Natural Resources Prices $1.5B In 5- And 10-Year USD Notes And C$500M In 7-Year CAD Notes

President-elect Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau&#8216;s meeting last week about planned tariffs on Canada was said to be productive, but it could put several Canadian sectors <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/24/11/42212364/trumps-tariff-threat-to-canada-may-disrupt-oil-markets-inflate-prices-would-likely-raise-the-price-of-fuels-says-analyst">on high alert.</a>
What Happened: Trudeau flew to Mar-a-Lago to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/media/24/11/42252924/canadian-pm-justin-trudeau-warns-trumps-25-tariff-plan-will-hurt-americans-at-high-stakes-dinner">meet with Trump</a>, and the two political leaders ate dinner and discussed several key topics before Trump's January inauguration.
The meeting took place after Trump promised to impose 25% tariffs on Canada when he was sworn into office.
Trudeau told Trump the tariffs would hurt Canada's economy, according to sources at the dinner table, <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-suggests-canada-become-51st-state-after-trudeau-said-tariff-would-kill-economy-sources">per </a>Fox News.
The tariffs are being placed on Canada and Mexico due to illegal immigrants and illegal drugs flowing from those countries to the United States.
Sources said Trump was direct regarding his conversation with Trudeau, telling the Canadian leader that his country has failed to protect the border. Trump also wants to eliminate the trade deficit with Canada, estimated to be around $100 billion, according to the sources.
"So your country can't survive unless it's ripping off the US to the tune of $100 billion?" Trump reportedly said to Trudeau about the trade deficit.
The report said that if Canada can't survive with the requirements of protecting the border and fixing the trade deficit, Trump suggested that the neighboring country could become the 51st state instead.
Trudeau and others at the table nervously laughed at the suggestion, with Trump reportedly adding that the title of prime minister is better than governor. As the meeting concluded, talks between Trump and Trudeau were said to have been "very positive."
Did You Know?
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<li>Congress Is Making Huge Investments. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/gov-trades/?utm_source=BZprocontent120324">Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool</a></li>
</ul>
Why It's Important: The report said Trump told Trudeau he expected changes to be made ahead of his January inauguration, or the tariffs would be placed on Canada on his first day in office.
A tariff on Canada could impact several sectors, including some of the top exporters to the United States. Crude oil, petroleum gas, vehicles, car parts, machinery, turbines, plastics, pharmaceuticals, metals and agricultural products are among the top exported items from Canada to America, as <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/11/26/what-us-imports-canada-mexico-china-trump-tariffs/">reported </a>by the Washington Post.
Large Canadian oil companies Suncor Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>), Enbridge (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENB#NYSE">ENB</a>), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) and TC Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRP#NYSE">TRP</a>) could face significant impacts from the tariffs and a potential blow to the sector.
Railway company Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CP#NYSE">CP</a>) and trucking companies Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ODFL#NASDAQ">ODFL</a>) and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KNX#NYSE">KNX</a>) could also be impacted by the tariffs and the negative impact on trade between the United States and Canada.
Canadian ETFs like the iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWC#NYSE">EWC</a>), JPMorgan BetaBuilders Canada ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBCA#BATS">BBCA</a>), Franklin FTSE Canada ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLCA#NYSE">FLCA</a>) and Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXC#NYSE">FXC</a>) could also be impacted by the potential trade war.
Canada is the second-largest trade partner with the United States, with $418 billion in goods imported from Canada in 2023 and $354 billion in goods exported to the country.
Goldman Sachs economists predict that Canada's gross domestic product<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42291861/trumps-tariff-plan-risks-economic-pain-for-north-america-goldman-sachs-warns" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> could decline</a> by as much as 4% if Trump&#8217;s 25% tariff plan is enacted. The plan could also hurt the U.S. GDP, the analysis said.
"A large increase in tariffs on North American imports would entail significant economic costs, particularly for Canada and Mexico," Goldman Sachs economists said.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42220682/trump-tariffs-on-mexico-could-affect-beer-why-your-modelo-corona-could-cost-more-next-year">Trump Tariffs On Mexico Could Affect Beer: Why Your Modelo, Corona Could Cost More Next Year</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Trump Told Trudeau Canada Could Dodge Tariffs As 51st State: Which Sectors Could Be Hit

Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 6.39% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 20.03%. Currently, Canadian Natural Res has a market capitalization of $73.54 billion. 
Buying $1000 In CNQ: If an investor had bought $1000 of CNQ stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $2,491.24 today based on a price of $34.80 for CNQ at the time of writing.
<h3>Canadian Natural Res's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1732543250_0_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

If You Invested $1000 In This Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have $2,500 Today

KLXE

NCSM

NINE

PUMP

RCON

Shares of oil and gas companies are trading higher After Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election.

Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 20 years by 1.89% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 10.23%. Currently, Canadian Natural Res has a market capitalization of $71.85 billion. 
Buying $100 In CNQ: If an investor had bought $100 of CNQ stock 20 years ago, it would be worth $684.09 today based on a price of $34.00 for CNQ at the time of writing.
<h3>Canadian Natural Res's Performance Over Last 20 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1730912469_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In Canadian Natural Res 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

RBC Capital analyst Greg Pardy reiterates Canadian Natural Res (TSX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#TSX">CNQ</a>) with a Outperform and maintains C$63 price target.

TSX:CNQ

RBC Capital Reiterates Outperform on Canadian Natural Res, Maintains C$63 Price Target

RBC Capital analyst Greg Pardy maintains Canadian Natural Res (TSX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#TSX">CNQ</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from C$62 to C$63.

RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Canadian Natural Res, Raises Price Target to C$63

Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.97 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.89 by 8.99 percent.

Earnings

Earnings Beats

Canadian Natural Res Q3 2024 Adj. EPS $0.97 Beats $0.89 Estimate

Tracking Yacktman Asset Management Portfolio - Q4 2024 Update

Canadian Natural Resources: The Definition Of Shareholder Friendly Management

In a report released on January 30, Michael Barth, CFA from Raymond James maintained a Hold rating on Canadian Natural (CNQ – Research Report), wit...

Canadian Natural (CNQ) Receives a Hold from Raymond James

Canadian oil producers including giants like Enbridge ($ENB), Suncor Energy ($SU) and Cenovus Energy ($CVE) are likely to bear the brunt of tariffs...

Canadian Oil Producers to "Bear Brunt" of U.S. Energy Tariff

I'm Buying Up To 10% Yield For Recurring Income

Golden Buying Opportunity: The More It Drops, The More I Buy

The Next Big Opportunity: My Favorite Dividend Stocks For The Shift Ahead

Bearish flow noted in Canadian Natural (CNQ) with 1,391 puts trading, or 1.0x expected. Most active are Jan-26 17.5 puts and Jan-26 36.25 calls, wi...

Canadian Natural put volume heavy and directionally bearish

Tracking Ken Fisher's Fisher Asset Management Portfolio - Q4 2024 Update

Strategically Building A $50,000 Dividend Portfolio: BlackRock As Your Core Holding

ADBE

AMZN

ARCC

ASML

ASMLF

BBDC

BOIVF

CTSH

FOXA

GOOG

GOOGL

IBDRY

IBDSF

INGR

KVUE

MSFT

NFLX

NVDA

NWSA

NWSAL

SAIA

SCHD

SCHO

SCHW

SPGI

SPHD

SSNLF

TSMWF

UHAL

VICI

VNOM

WFCNP

Press Releases

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces Quarterly Dividend

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2024 Second Quarter Results

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces the Acquisition of Chevron's Alberta Assets and a 7% Dividend Increase

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces Increased Quarterly Dividend

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2024 Third Quarter Results

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Prices US$1,500 Million in 5 and 10 Year USD Notes and C$500 Million in 7 Year CAD Notes

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Completes the Acquisition on Chevron's Alberta Assets and Announces Timing of 2025 Budget Release

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2025 Budget

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Cautions Investors Regarding TRC Capital's Below Market "Mini-Tender" Offer

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