DIA - DIA

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFの空売り状況は、投資家がSPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFの株価下落に賭けている度合いを知ることができます。空売りデータは2週間ごとに更新されます。

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (ARCA:DIA), 空売り情報

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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The Trust seeks to achieve this investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the DJIA (the Portfolio), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the DJIA.

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ダウ工業株30種平均は0.7％低下し、19,076.80ポイント、S&amp;P 500 は5,348.59ドル（0.2％減）となり、ナスダック総合株価指数は38,578.53ドル（0.7％減）で推移しています。

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Benzinga Market Summary: Indexes Rise Ahead Of Trump Inauguration, Supreme Court Upholds TikTok Law, China Meets 2024 GDP Growth Target

Risk appetite surged on Wall Street at the end of the week, with investors ramping up stock purchases ahead of Monday's market closure for Martin Luther King Day, which is also when Donald Trump will be sworn in as <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">the 47th U.S. president.</a>
All major indices posted robust gains in midday trading, setting up for their strongest weekly performance since early November. Broad-based buying lifted every sector into the green, underscoring the strength of the rally.
Adding to the positive mood, the Israeli Security Cabinet approved a ceasefire deal with Hamas <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/01/43055426/oil-dips-as-israeli-security-cabinet-approves-gaza-ceasefire-yet-experts-warn-red-sea-risks-persist">in Gaza</a>, leaving final government approval as the last step before the agreement takes effect on Sunday.
Chipmaker Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTC#NASDAQ">INTC</a>) soared 8.9%, marking its biggest single-day jump since August 2024. The rally was fueled by rumors that the company could be a takeover target. 
Treasury yields edged higher but remained on track for steep weekly declines, following a softer-than-expected December inflation report that eased concerns over aggressive Federal Reserve policy.
The U.S. dollar rose 0.3% on Friday but is still slightly lower for the week, potentially snapping a six-week winning streak.
Gold prices steadied after Thursday's strong rally, while oil prices extended their decline as ceasefire efforts gained traction.
Cryptocurrency sentiment surged, driven by speculation that the incoming Trump administration could announce the creation of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/01/43062518/2025-to-see-dogecoin-etf-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-microstrategy-of-ethereum-predicts-crypto-hedge-fund">a Bitcoin Reserve Fund.</a> Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was up 5% to over $105,000. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,483.46</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,013.18</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,641.72</td>
<td>1.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,279.34</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent011525&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.2% to $598.98.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 1.1% to $436.12.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rallied 1.8% to $522.24.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 0.7% to $226.01.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) outperformed, up 1.8%; the&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) lagged, down 0.1%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Truist Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>) rallied nearly 5% in reaction to stronger-than-expected quarterly results. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>), up 7.9%; Fastenal Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FAST#NASDAQ">FAST</a>), up 0.64%; State Street Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>), down 3%; Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>), up 0.39%; Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>), down 0.86% and Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>), up 1.8%.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43062563/imf-lifts-us-growth-outlook-betting-markets-raise-odds-on-trump-led-economic-boom">IMF Lifts US Growth Outlook, Betting Markets Raise Odds On Trump-Led Economic Boom</a></li>
</ul>
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Wall Street Roars Ahead Of Trump's Inauguration, Intel Rallies, Bitcoin Tops $105,000: What's Driving Markets Friday?

WIIM

Major indexes are higher ahead of the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Trump.

A bull market has lasted for 7.9 years on average over the last <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42430296/carson-researchs-50-year-study-suggests-that-the-26-months-old-bull-market-is-far-from-over">50 years</a>, according to data highlighted by Carson Research in their investment research's outlook for 2025.
What Happened: Carson Research&#8217;s report analyzing bull markets over the past 50 years shows that the 1987 and 2002 bull markets spanned five years each, while the 1974 bull market extended for 6.2 years.
Notably, the 2009 bull market lasted for 11 years, the longest in recent times. Additionally, the 1988 bull market held a record at 12.3 years.
On average, these five bull markets over the last 50 years were 7.9 years long.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Bull Markets Over The Last 50 Years</td>
<td>Total Duration (In Years)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>August 1982-1987</td>
<td>5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>October 2002-2007 </td>
<td>5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>September 1974 to November 1980</td>
<td>6.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>February 2009-2020</td>
<td>11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>January 1988 to March 2000</td>
<td>12.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Average</td>
<td>7.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
&#8220;Looking at the previous 11 bull markets, we found the average bull lasted more than five years, suggesting even though this bull market is mighty, it could have plenty of room left to run,&#8221; the note stated.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43027048/blackrock-generates-industry-leading-etf-inflows-of-390-billion-in-2024-here-are-five-ishares-etfs-that-investors-should-look-out-for">Bond Rally Drives Stock Market, Taiwan Semi Results Show AI Demand, Manipulators Having A Heyday With Quantum Computing</a>
Why It Matters: However, despite highlighting these statistics, the note added, &#8220;Bullishness is more pervasive now and we could see more volatility in 2025.&#8221;
According to Carson Research, two red flags for the stock market arise historically, the first is that 2025 is the third year of a bull market, and the second is that the valuations are stretched.
An analysis of the eight bull markets since 1950 that reached their third year revealed an average gain of only 2.1%.
On a concluding note the &#8216;Animal Spirits&#8217; report added, &#8220;While we remain overweight equities, we are looking to potentially add excess returns by investing in factors like low volatility and momentum within equities, and actively managed strategies on the fixed income side.&#8221;
Price Action: The exchange-traded fund tracking the S&amp;P 500 index, SPY, advanced 25.27% over a year, whereas, QQQ, tracking the Nasdaq 100 rose 26% in the same period. 
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index/ETF</td>
<td>Six Months</td>
<td>One Year</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)</td>
<td>6.23%</td>
<td>25.27%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)</td>
<td>6.50%</td>
<td>26.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)</td>
<td>4.77%</td>
<td>15.79%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>)</td>
<td>1.01%</td>
<td>18.48%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/43012824/billionaire-investor-who-predicted-the-dot-com-crash-25-years-ago-warns-of-another-market-storm-brew">Billionaire Investor Who Predicted The Dot-Com Crash 25 Years Ago Warns Of Another Market Storm Brewing In The US</a></li>
</ul>
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Markets

Bull Markets Last For 7.9 Years On Average But Third-Year Returns Can Be Weak, Says This Research Firm

Wall Street paused for a breather on Thursday, following Wednesday's big rally sparked by a softer-than-predicted December inflation report that fueled speculation on the Federal Reserve delivering interest rate <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/43003047/stocks-rise-on-core-inflation-slowdown-banks-rally-after-strong-q4-earnings-treasury-yields-plummet">cuts during the year. </a>
By midday, stocks were little changed as attention shifted to the next major event: Donald Trump's inauguration as 47th U.S. president on Monday.
On the data front, December retail sales rose 0.4% from the previous month, a slower pace than November's 0.8% increase and below expectations of 0.6%. Jobless claims climbed by 16,000 to 217,000, slightly higher than <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/43027744/retail-sales-slow-jobless-claims-rise-is-us-consumer-loosing-steam">the projected 210,000. </a>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43020430/cathie-wood-sounds-alarm-over-inflation-pressures-and-consumer-woes-peter-schiff-flags-oil-spike-what-economists-are-saying">Cathie Wood Says Inflation Worries Dampen Expectations, Schiff Singles Out Wall Street For Swallowing Narrative Even As Prices Soar</a>
The weaker data sent Treasury yields lower, with the 10-year yield slipping four basis points to 4.61%, extending the previous day's 14-basis-point decline.
Falling yields helped gold climb 0.9% to $2,970 per ounce, reaching a two-month high as investors moved toward safe-haven assets. 
Semiconductor stocks stood out the best-performing industry, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NASDAQ">SOXX</a>) gaining 1.8%. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>) jumped more than 5% after delivering strong quarterly earnings, lifting the broader chip industry. Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMAT#NASDAQ">AMAT</a>) and ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASML#NASDAQ">ASML</a>) advanced 7% and 6%, respectively.
Oil prices pulled back 2.6%, giving up part of Wednesday's 4% gain. Traders speculated that Trump's policies could ease sanctions on Russian energy exports as part of a broader effort to negotiate peace in Ukraine. 
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) edged down 1% to $99,000, following a slight pullback across cryptocurrency markets.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,958.43</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,255.53</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,264.04</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,239.38</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated 12:40 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent011525&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) remained unchanged at $593.10.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;flattened at $432.18.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) was unchanged at $516.54.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) inched 0.1% to $224.31.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) outperformed, up 2.1%; the&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) lagged, down 0.5%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) fell 2% following quarterly earnings. Peer Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) rose 2.7%.</li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings were UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>), down 4.7%, Infosys Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INFY#NYSE">INFY</a>), down 5.2%, PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>), down 2%, U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), down 5.3%, M&amp;T Bank Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>), down 2.8%, First Horizon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHN#NYSE">FHN</a>). </li>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) fell by 3.6% after the EV giant announced reduced selling prices on its Cybertruck, in a strategy to revive demand. </li>
<li>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) dropped 3% after the European Commission's competition chief confirmed that the investigation into the company under the Digital Markets Act will move forward as scheduled, with enforcement anticipated by March 2024.</li>
</ul>
Check Out: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel/25/01/43036258/polar-vortex-brings-winters-coldest-air-for-trumps-inauguration-day-what-it-means-for-utilities-retailers-energy-stocks">Polar Vortex Brings Winter&#8217;s Coldest Air For Trump&#8217;s Inauguration Day: What It Means For Utilities, Retailers, Energy Stocks</a></li>
</ul>
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TSX:XL

Stocks Pause, Chipmakers Rise, Gold Hits 2-Month Highs: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

Investors and analysts could turn attention to how UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>) will replace its insurance unit CEO Brian Thompson, who was fatally shot in December, and how the company will keep public trust as the sector comes under increased scrutiny when the company reports fourth-quarter financial results before <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings">market open Thursday.</a>
Earnings Estimates: Analysts expect UnitedHealth to report fourth-quarter revenue of $101.75 billion, up from $94.43 billion in last year's fourth quarter, according to data<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent011525&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"> from Benzinga Pro.</a>
The company has missed analyst revenue estimates in two straight quarters, while beating estimates in eight of the last 10 quarters.
Analysts expect the company to report fourth-quarter earnings per share of $6.73, up from $6.16 in last year's fourth quarter. The company has beaten analyst estimates for earnings per share in nine of the last 10 quarters.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/25/01/43001214/unitedhealth-the-number-one-company-on-sale-ahead-of-q4-earnings-report">UnitedHealth: The &#8216;Number One Company On Sale&#8217; Ahead Of Q4 Earnings Report</a>
Key Items to Watch: Thursday's earnings report marks the first quarterly report from UnitedHealth since the company lost Thompson.
Thompson, who was the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, was <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/24/12/42316904/unitedhealthcare-ceo-brian-thompson-fatally-shot-outside-nyc-hotel">shot and killed </a>on Dec. 4 in New York City. Luigi Mangione was arrested for the murder and is facing state and federal charges that include<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42605759/luigi-mangione-faces-death-penalty-details-show-attack-planned-for-months-the-target-is-insuranceit-checks-every-box"> first degree murder.</a> Mangione faces potential sentences of life in prison without parole and the possibility of the death penalty if found guilty.
Analysts and investors may be ready to hear if UnitedHealth will address the challenges of replacing Thompson and moving forward after his passing. Sources told <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-15/ceo-brian-thompson-s-death-looms-over-unitedhealth-earnings-call?sref=TBDibEcD">Bloomberg </a>the company is not ready to immediately replace Thompson.
UnitedHealth Group CEO Andrew Witty<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/24/12/42744629/unitedhealth-group-ceo-reportedly-says-company-will-hit-financial-records-execs-murder-public-outcry-are-backdrop-for-q4-earnings"> recently reportedly told </a>executives the company will hit financial records in the current fiscal year, which could put the company and stock back in the spotlight a month after Thompson's death.
The company's revenue through the first nine months is $299 billion, a company record, and up from $277 billion through the first nine months of 2023.
Health insurance companies like UnitedHealth have come under increased attention and pressure after Thompson's death. A notebook found on Mangione at the time of his arrest mentioned how insurance companies were focused on profits over the public's health.
An entry in the notebook dated Aug. 15 said: "The details are finally coming together." The entry said procrastination had allowed Mangione to learn more about the company he was targeting; the name of the company was redacted.
"The target is insurance…it checks every box," was also written in the notebook alleged to belong to Mangione, according to the federal complaint against him.
Despite being on trial for murder, Mangione has gained a level of public support, with Thompson's death becoming a rallying cry for critics of the health insurance industry, often accused of denying medical claims.
Along with navigating the fallout from Thompson's death and the increased attention on insurance claims, UnitedHealth has found itself a target of incoming President Donald Trump, who<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42517567/cvs-cigna-unitedhealth-shares-slide-as-trump-targets-drug-middleman"> recently spoke out</a> about pharmacy benefit managers.
Trump said he would "knock out" PBMs from the industry, referring to them as drug middlemen, a role they are commonly associated with.
"You know the middleman, right? The horrible middleman that makes more money frankly than the drug companies, and they don't do anything except they're a middleman. We're going to knock out the middleman," Trump said.
UnitedHealth is also facing bipartisan pressure from Congress to push for the breakup of health care conglomerates over PBM practices.
The insurance company also faces scrutiny from the Department of Justice, which has blocked United's $3.3 billion <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42704893/amedisys-and-unitedhealth-extend-merger-deadline-whats-going-on">deal to acquire </a>Amedisys Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMED#NASDAQ">AMED</a>).
Along with any commentary on how the new White House administration and public pressure could impact the company's future growth and operations, investors and analysts may be looking for an update on guidance.
UnitedHealth <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/24/12/42317793/unitedhealth-introduces-2025-guidance-ahead-of-now-stopped-investor-conference">shared 2025 revenue guidance </a>of $450 billion to $455 billion and earnings per share guidance of $28.15 to $28.65 ahead of Thompson's death in December.
UNH, DIA Price Action: UnitedHealth stock trades at $544.11 versus a 52-week trading range of $436.38 to $630.73. UnitedHealth stock is up 4.8% over the last year, but has fallen around 11% since Thompson's death.
The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) and other ETFs that track the Dow Jones Industrial Average will also be in the spotlight Thursday after UnitedHealth's report. United is the second largest component of the Dow Jones Index due to its price-weighted methodology.
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Photo: Shutterstock

Previews

Trading Ideas

AMED

UnitedHealth Group Q4 Earnings Preview: First Report Since Insurance CEO's Murder Comes With Questions On Company's Future

Wall Street staged a strong rebound on Wednesday, as mixed inflation data bolstered investor confidence in the Federal Reserve's continuation of easing cycle in 2025, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/43001512/inflation-rises-to-29-in-december-core-slows-yet-rising-energy-costs-put-feds-target-at-risk">easing recent market anxieties.</a>
The headline Consumer Price Index rose 2.9% year-over-year in December, up from November&#8217;s 2.7% and aligning with economist forecasts. On a monthly basis, headline inflation increased by 0.4%, up from November&#8217;s 0.3%, marking the sharpest monthly rise since March 2024.
The inflation report strengthened market expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025. The probability of a rate cut by June climbed to 63%, up from 55% the previous day, with December futures now pricing in a 50% chance of two rate cuts.
The S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.5% by midday trading in New York, and the Dow Jones followed suit with a similar gain, both supported by strength in financial stocks. The Nasdaq 100 outperformed, rising 1.9%, while small-cap stocks posted a 1.7% gain.
Key financial giants, including JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>), and BlackRock Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>), exceeded Wall Street's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/01/43007354/big-banks-crush-q4-earnings-forecasts-financial-stocks-set-for-biggest-1-day-rally-since-trumps-election">fourth-quarter 2024 earnings expectations.</a>
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) surged nearly 2.2%, leading all S&amp;P 500 sectors and recording its strongest one-day gain in over two months.
In the bond market, yields on the 2-year Treasury note, which is highly sensitive to interest rate expectations, fell 9 basis points to 4.28%, while 30-year yields dropped 8 basis points to 4.89%. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) gained 1.3% as bond prices rose.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), remained flat, with dollar strength against the euro offset by weakness versus the yen.
West Texas Intermediate — as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) — rallied 2%, hitting $80 a barrel during the day amid a stronger-than-expected drop in commercial crude stocks last week.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) jumped 2.6%, nearing $99,000, buoyed by optimism surrounding potential Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, gold, tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), gained 0.5%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,142.06</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,257.59</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,932.76</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,153.53</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:15 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent011525&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.5% to $590.96.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 1.5% to $431.31.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rallied 1.9% to $514.49.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) increased 1.8% to $223.77.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund outperformed, up 1.2%; the&nbsp;Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) lagged, down 0.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Citigroup Inc. rallied over 7%, in reaction to stronger-than-expected earnings, marking the strongest performance within the S&amp;P 500 index.</li>
<li>Intuitive Surgical Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ISRG#NASDAQ">ISRG</a>) rose 6.9% after RBC raised its 12-month price target to $641. </li>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) shares climbed more than 5% after RBC increased its price target for the stock from $313 to $440, while reaffirming its outperform rating.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/01/43006771/bitcoin-up-to-99000-is-loving-inflation-data-release-xrp-dogecoin-follow-higher">Bitcoin Up To $99,000 &#8216;Is Loving&#8217; Inflation Data Release, XRP, Dogecoin Follow Higher</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

ISRG

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

Wall Street Rallies As Treasury Yields Fall, Banks Smash Q4 Earnings, Oil Hits $80: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

Major indexes are higher following December CPI data. CPI was in line with estimates, while core CPI rose by less than expected.

Editor&#8217;s note: This story has been updated to correct the spelling of Eli Lilly in the headline. 
A cooler-than-expected December producer inflation report failed to ignite lasting gains on Wall Street Tuesday, reflecting lingering concerns about persistently high inflation <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">among investors</a>.
Early session advances across major indices faded into modest losses by midday trading in New York, as market participants exercised caution ahead of Wednesday's pivotal Consumer Price Index report and key fourth-quarter earnings from top Wall Street banks.
The Producer Price Index rose 3.3% year-over-year in December, accelerating from November's 3% increase but missing the 3.4% forecast. On a monthly basis, producer prices climbed 0.2%, slowing from November's 0.4% rise and falling short of the 0.3% <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42974739/wall-street-rebounds-as-producer-inflation-misses-estimates-tesla-gains-chinese-stocks-rally">consensus estimate</a>.
Core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 3.5% annually, matching November's pace but undershooting expectations of 3.8%. On a month-to-month basis, core inflation stagnated, showing zero growth compared to November's 0.2% increase, and coming in below forecasts for a 0.3% gain.
Bond yields continued to climb, underscoring persistent inflationary pressure. The 30-year Treasury yield advanced to 5%, its highest level since October 2023 and marking territory not seen since August 2007.
After a three-day rally, crude oil prices cooled. West Texas Intermediate fell 1% to $78 per barrel, as investors locked in recent gains.
Utilities and financials emerged as the session's strongest performers, while healthcare stocks were the largest drag on the market. Eli Lilly &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) plummeted 7.5% after the company issued a weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter sales forecast for its weight-loss drug Zepbound.
Peer Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>) slid 5% in sympathy.
CEO Dave Ricks revealed that Eli Lilly anticipates regulatory approval for its oral weight-loss treatment, orforglipron, by 2026, with pivotal data expected in mid-2025. 
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rose 1.5% on Tuesday, bouncing back after three days of largely flat trading.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,194.61</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,241.81</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,818.04</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,704.24</td>
<td>-0.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) eased 0.4% to $579.14.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.2% down to $422.07.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.6% to $502.89.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) inched 0.1% higher to $217.45.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) outperformed, up 0.8%; the&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) lagged, down 1.8%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Chinese stocks rallied amid regulatory reassurance on markets. Shares of JD.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JD#NASDAQ">JD</a>) rose 4.6%, followed by gains in Baidu Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BIDU#NASDAQ">BIDU</a>) and PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PDD#NASDAQ">PDD</a>), up 2.5% and 2.2%, respectively. </li>
<li>Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) fell over 3% after announcing on Tuesday that it delivered 57 commercial aircraft in the fourth quarter of 2024, a sharp decline from 116 deliveries in the previous quarter. </li>
</ul>
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42965857/oil-could-hit-90-goldman-sachs-says-trump-may-not-ease-sanctions-on-russia">Oil Could Hit $90, Goldman Sachs Says: &#8216;Trump May Not Ease Sanctions&#8217; On Russia</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock

Movers

BIDU

Citigourp Global Markets 2% Protected Notes Linked To The Djia

Stocks Fail To Rise Despite Benign Producer Inflation, 30-Year Treasury Yields Hit 5%, Eli Lilly Tumbles: What's Driving Markets Tuesday? (CORRECTED)

Major indexes are higher following better-than-expected December PPI data.

Traders adopted a cautious approach on Monday as they awaited two critical inflation reports due later this week, seeking clarity on Federal <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42953940/tuesdays-producer-inflation-report-could-stoke-market-volatility-as-fed-path-remains-unclear">Reserve interest rate policy. </a>
Additionally, the kickoff of earnings season, led by major banks on Wednesday, added to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">the market&#8217;s subdued tone.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 edged lower, continuing Friday&#8217;s downturn sparked by unexpectedly strong jobs data. The lack of &#8220;buy-the-dip&#8221; enthusiasm in the tech-heavy indices signaled lingering uncertainty among investors.
In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a gain, buoyed by a rally in energy stocks. Rising oil prices provided a key lift, as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surged over 3% to approach $78 per barrel — a level last seen in mid-August 2024. The spike followed U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports announced on Friday, which shifted market expectations around supply and demand.
Treasury yields extended their ascent, with the 10-year yield climbing to 4.79% and the 30-year yield rising to 4.97%, reflecting heightened expectations for tighter monetary policy. Bank of America Securities launched a bombshell indicating rising risks towards a rate hike as the next Fed move.
Commodity markets saw mixed action. Gold endured its sharpest daily loss in nearly a month, falling more than 1% as rising yields weighed on the precious metal. Meanwhile, copper staged a modest rebound, gaining 0.8% after a 0.5% decline last Friday.
Cryptocurrencies faced renewed volatility, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) plunging 3% to dip below $92,000, briefly touching a two-month low. The ripple effects extended to crypto-linked equities: MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) slid more than 3%, while Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) dropped nearly 4%.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day chg. %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,144.04</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,822.92</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,183.39</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,739.92</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched 0.1% lower to $579.98.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.7% to $422.03.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.6% to $504.44.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped 0.3% to $216.19.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) outperformed, up 2.3%; the&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) lagged, down 1.1%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Major oil &amp; gas giants rallying on Monday include Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>), up 5%, Baker Hughes Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) up 3.9%, and Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MPC#NYSE">MPC</a>) up 3.5%.</li>
<li>Health insurance companies surged after a government proposal suggested increased payments for Medicare Advantage plans in 2026, lifting sentiment across the sector.</li>
<li>Shares of Humana Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HUM#NYSE">HUM</a>) rose 7.8%, CVS Health Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVS#NYSE">CVS</a>) followed closely with a 6.9% jump, while UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>) saw a 4.8% increase.+</li>
<li>NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) dropped 2.7% to $132.19 as the AI chipmaker urged President-elect Donald Trump to oppose Biden administration regulations on AI technology. Meanwhile, HSBC cut its price target from $195 to $185 but reaffirmed its Buy rating.</li>
<li>Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>) plummeted 20% after projecting 2025 revenue of $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion, missing analysts&#8217; estimates of $2.92 billion. The company also announced it would fast-track its cost-cutting measures.</li>
<li>Edison International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EIX#NYSE">EIX</a>) fell 12% as authorities investigated whether equipment from its subsidiary, Southern California Edison, played a role in sparking the Hurst fire in Los Angeles.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42948649/goldman-sachs-warns-of-90-oil-risk-trump-may-not-ease-sanctions-once-he-takes-office">Oil Could Hit $90, Goldman Sachs Says: &#8216;Trump May Not Ease Sanctions&#8217; On Russia</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Ryan DeBerardinis via Shutterstock

COIN

MRNA

MSTR

NVDA

Stocks Edge Down Ahead Of Key Inflation Reports, Crude Hits 5-Month High, Bitcoin Sinks: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Wall Street faced heavy selling pressure in its first trading session after former President Jimmy Carter's funeral, as a series of economic developments rattled interest rate and energy markets, sparking heightened <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">risk aversion among investors.</a>
The U.S. economy added 256,000 jobs in December, far exceeding expectations of a slowdown to 160,000. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%, defying forecasts that had anticipated it to remain at 4.2%.
This red-hot labor market data spurred traders to recalibrate their interest-rate projections. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, expectations for a rate cut have been postponed even further, with markets now fully pricing in a reduction only by September 2025.
Adding to market turmoil, oil prices — as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) — surged more than 3% to $76 per barrel after the Biden administration imposed stricter sanctions on Russian oil exports. These measures targeted major Russian oil companies, shadow fleet tankers and opaque trading networks, intensifying pressure on Moscow&#8217;s energy revenues.
Rising interest rate concerns and inflation uncertainty weighed heavily on equities. The latest University of Michigan consumer survey showed five-year inflation expectations rise to 3.3%, the highest since June 2008.
The S&amp;P 500 dropped nearly 2%, hovering around the 5,800-point level, fully erasing gains made since the election. 
Technology and small-cap stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, with sharper declines across both sectors.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to 109.70, marking its highest level since November 2022. The greenback is on track to notch its sixth consecutive weekly gain and has risen in 14 of the past 15 weeks, underscoring its dominance as a safe haven amid market turbulence.
Treasury yields climbed further as fixed-income investors braced for the possibility of persistent inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield rose seven basis points to 4.76%, nearing its late October 2023 highs.
The 30-year Treasury yield briefly touched the 5% mark, a level last seen in October 2023 and previously in August 2007.
Gold prices offered a haven for risk-averse investors, climbing 0.9% as geopolitical uncertainties mounted.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) saw some dip-buying activity, up by 1.2%, snapping a three-day losing streak during which it shed 10% of its value. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,812.53</td>
<td>-1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>41,837.77</td>
<td>-1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,744.86</td>
<td>-2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,173.84</td>
<td>-2.9%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) flattened at $588.43.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;was unchanged at $425.08.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) eased 0.1% to $514.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped 1% to $220.91.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) outperformed, up 0.4%; the&nbsp;Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) lagged, down 0.9%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) tumbled 5% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral.</li>
<li>Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) soared over 10%, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42912208/delta-stock-jumps-after-record-q4-earnings-and-strong-2025-outlook">following the release of stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results</a>. Industry peers American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) and United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) rose 4% and 5%, respectively.</li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>), down 12%; Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STZ#NYSE">STZ</a>), down 16%; TD Synnex Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNX#NYSE">SNX</a>), up 6.2% and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBA#NASDAQ">WBA</a>), up 26%,</li>
<li>Insurance-linked stocks faced losses as damage from California&#8217;s wildfires continues to mount. Shares of American International Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>) fell nearly 2%. Meanwhile, Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and Chubb Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>) plummeted by 7.4% and 4.8%, respectively.</li>
<li>Energy stocks rose in response to soaring oil prices. Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) soared 2%, buoyed by a bullish note from Bank of America Securities. </li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42916780/donald-trump-receives-unconditional-discharge-in-new-york-hush-money-case-will-enter-white-house-as-convicted-felon">Donald Trump Receives Unconditional Discharge In New York Hush Money Case, Will Enter White House As Convicted Felon</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

Forex

EBAY

IONQ

QBTS

QUBT

RGTI

Wall Street Tumbles On Blowout Payrolls, Oil Rallies To $76, US Dollar Hits 26-Month Highs: What's Driving Markets Friday?

Major indexes are lower amid a rise in yields following December jobs data.

Major indexes are lower following better-than-expected US employment data.

The start of 2025 has brought a sharp uptick in equity drawdown risks, with Goldman Sachs estimating a near 30% probability of market corrections, fueled by surging policy uncertainty <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">and shifting inflation dynamics.</a>
In a note published Wednesday, analysts Andrea Ferrario and Christian Mueller-Glissmann highlighted heightened risks stemming from rising inflation pressures, trade tensions and political uncertainty ahead of Donald Trump's second presidential term, set to start on Jan. 20, 2025.
The analysts indicated that these factors could lead to deeper market volatility and weaker forward returns for equities.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">What Is Driving The Increased Risk?</h1>
Goldman's framework shows the probability of an equity drawdown has jumped to nearly 30%, a significant rise from levels seen in 2024. Historically, when drawdown risk crosses this threshold, markets have experienced lower returns and, in some cases, severe corrections. 
Goldman indicates that extreme outcomes are more likely if the probability exceeds 35%.
One of the primary drivers of this heightened risk is the resurgence of inflation, which has shifted from negative to positive. This trend is particularly concerning for investors, as inflation could erode profit margins and limit central bank interventions in the event of market turmoil.
Policy uncertainty has also climbed sharply. &#8220;Global trade and the risk of U.S. tariffs have been at the epicenter of this surge in uncertainty, with measures of trade policy uncertainty spiking above their 2018-2019 highs,&#8221; the analysts wrote.
Although the macroeconomic environment remains broadly supportive of equities, Goldman cautioned that market sentiment could deteriorate rapidly under adverse scenarios. 
A combination of geopolitical risks, inflation surprises and corporate earnings misses could create a perfect storm for investors, leading to sharper corrections.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Hedging Strategies For Uncertain Times</h1>
Goldman recommended hedging strategies to protect portfolios in this uncertain environment.
 &#8220;We like shorter-dated S&amp;P 500 put spreads to hedge near-term correction risk due to negative growth surprises, policy uncertainty into the U.S. presidential inauguration, or misses in the January earnings season,&#8221; the note said.
For investors worried about more severe economic downturns, longer-dated S&amp;P 500 puts may offer better protection. &#8220;After the recent hawkish repricing, longer-dated S&amp;P 500 puts would likely also benefit from falling front-end rates in the event of severe growth shocks,&#8221; the analysts added.
The note also highlighted hybrid instruments, which combine equity and currency exposures, as tools to hedge against rising rates and trade-related risks. 
Goldman specifically recommended &#8220;S&amp;P 500 down/EURUSD down hybrids&#8221; and &#8220;S&amp;P 500 down/US 10y up double digitals&#8221; as effective hedges. 
The former derivative is ideal for scenarios where both the equity market and the euro decline simultaneously, potentially in reaction to tariffs policies, while the latter works well in environments where equity markets are under pressure and bond yields rise as a result of inflation concerns or expectations of higher interest rates.
Since Trump&#8217;s election victory in November, the U.S. dollar index — as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) — has risen by over 5%. During the same period, blue-chip stocks, tracked by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) have shown a flat performance.
Yields on 30-year Treasury bonds are hovering near 4.95%, climbing over 100 basis points since mid-September 2024.
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/01/42884303/fed-minutes-reveal-inflation-jitters-policymakers-signal-slower-interest-rate-easing-path-ahead">Fed Minutes Reveal Inflation Jitters, Policymakers Signal Slower Interest Rate Easing Path Ahead</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Currency ETFs

Goldman Sachs Flags Market Correction Risk As Inflation, Trump Policies Stir Uncertainty

Wall Street began Wednesday with muted trading, as investors braced for the release of the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes. During that meeting, policymakers delivered their third consecutive interest rate cut but struck a hawkish tone on inflation and the monetary<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/12/42563299/feds-powell-shocks-markets-its-a-new-phase-were-significantly-closer-to-neutral"> policy outlook for 2025.</a>
By midday in New York, major indices were little moved, with sectors showing tight variations. Traders appear to be holding their breath as they await insight into the Fed's future policy direction.
President-elect Donald Trump emerged in the spotlight as CNN reported his team is considering an &#8220;economic emergency plan&#8221; that would bypass Congress to expedite the use of broad-based tariffs.
The dollar, meanwhile, surged further, continuing its relentless rally. The greenback is now targeting its sixth consecutive week of gains, having risen in 14 out of the last 15 weeks. U.S. Treasury yields ticked higher early in the session before easing slightly as traders adjusted positions ahead of the FOMC minutes.
On the economic front, the latest ADP private employment data showed weaker-than-expected job creation in December, potentially signaling a cooling labor market heading into the new year.
In commodities, gold rose 0.8%, buoyed by increasing geopolitical and trade uncertainties. On Tuesday, Trump floated a series of controversial proposals, including <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/01/42860583/trump-floats-canada-as-51st-us-state-says-hes-ready-to-use-economic-force-to-achieve-it">the annexation of Canada</a>, the purchase of Greenland from Denmark, threats to NATO allies to increase defense spending and imposing higher tariffs on Mexico.
The cryptocurrency market extended its decline, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) falling more than 2% to trade below $95,000. Over the past two sessions, the leading cryptocurrency has shed over 7% of its value, erasing most of its year-to-date gains.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices </td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,148.10</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,901.28</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,374.01</td>
<td>-0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,225.91</td>
<td>-1.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:15 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) flattened at $588.43.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;was unchanged at $425.08.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) eased 0.1% to $514.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped 1% to $220.91.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) outperformed, up 0.4%; the&nbsp;Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) lagged, down 0.9%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) dropped 4.1% after HSBC downgraded the stock from &#8220;Buy&#8221; to &#8220;Reduce.&#8221;</li>
<li>Quantum-computing stocks took a significant hit after NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) CEO Jensen Huang stated &#8220;very useful&#8221; quantum computers are unlikely to be commercially viable for another 15 to 30 years. Key decliners included D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QBTS#NYSE">QBTS</a>), down by 44%; Quantum Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QUBT#NASDAQ">QUBT</a>), down 48%; Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RGTI#NASDAQ">RGTI</a>), down 48% and IonQ Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IONQ#NYSE">IONQ</a>), down 45%.</li>
<li>eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EBAY#NASDAQ">EBAY</a>) rallied 11% after Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) announced it would allow some users to browse eBay listings on its Facebook Marketplace platform. </li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42878295/quantum-stocks-tumble-why-rigetti-ionq-and-d-wave-are-falling">Quantum Stocks Tumble: Why Rigetti, IonQ and D-Wave Are Falling</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Wall Street Mixed Ahead Of Fed Minutes, Dollar Bolsters Strength, Bitcoin Falls Below $95,000: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

Major indexes are lower amid weakness in chip stocks.

Tuesday began as a calm day on Wall Street, but markets swiftly turned negative after the Institute for Supply Management released data highlighting an unexpected surge in price pressures within the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42850914/us-services-sector-growth-tops-forecasts-but-price-pressures-tariff-concerns-cloud-outlook">service sector for December.</a> 
The report reignited fears over persistent inflation and mounting concerns over the economic fallout from tariffs.
The ISM&#8217;s Services PMI rose to 54.1% in December, surpassing expectations and marking the third-highest reading of 2024. This figure signals continued expansion in the services industry. 
Yet the Prices Index, which reflects input costs for service providers, jumped sharply to 64.4%, up from 58.2% in November, significantly outpacing consensus estimates of 57.5%. This was the highest print since February 2023 and a clear sign that inflationary pressures are not easing as anticipated.
By midday, all major stock indices were trading lower. The Nasdaq 100 was hit particularly hard as rising Treasury yields soured risk sentiment, putting pressure on growth-oriented technology stocks. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond surged by 6 basis points to 4.91%, its highest level since November 2023, reflecting growing unease in the bond market. 
The sell-off extended to bond ETFs, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) falling by 1% on the day.
Amid this broader market weakness, only a handful of sectors managed to resist the selling pressure. Energy, materials and financials emerged as the outperformers.
In the commodities market, oil prices rebounded after earlier losses this week. West Texas Intermediate light crude climbed 1% to settle at $73.70 per barrel, recovering from Monday&#8217;s decline, while natural gas prices plunged 5%.
Precious metals saw modest gains, with gold up 0.6% and copper rising 1.1%, reflecting a cautious shift toward safer assets.
The rally in cryptocurrencies came to a sudden halt. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) dropped 5% to $97,000, poised to snap a six-session winning streak.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,615.09</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,938.52</td>
<td>-0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,251.46</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,279.82</td>
<td>-1.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.7% to $591.56.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;eased 0.1% to $426.93.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 1.3% to $517.59.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped 0.6% to $223.03.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) outperformed, up 1.6%; the&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) lagged, down 1.4%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) tumbled more than 5%, reversing from fresh record highs reached at the market open and heading for its worst trading session since early September 2024. The sharp drop came despite upbeat commentary from Wall Street analysts following the chipmaker&#8217;s key announcements at CES 2025.</li>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) fell over 4%, after Bank of America Securities lowered the stock rating from Buy to Neutral.</li>
<li>Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>) shares jumped 10.6% to $47.10 on Tuesday following the first reported bird flu death in the U.S. as the company works on developing a vaccine for the H5N1 virus.</li>
<li>Microstrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) tumbled by over 8% amid Bitcoin weakness. </li>
<li>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) fell by over 6%, following Monday&#8217;s 5% drop ignited by a bearish Morgan Stanley research note.</li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/42854849/are-regional-banks-the-next-big-opportunity-wall-street-analysts-bet-big-on-multiyear-rally">Are Regional Banks The Next Big Opportunity? Wall Street Analysts Bet Big On Multiyear Rally</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

PLTR

Stocks Sink As Bond Yields Soar, Nvidia Eyes Worst Day In 4 Months, Bitcoin Tumbles To $97,000: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

Major indexes are lower following job openings and ISM data figures. Weakness in Nvidia may also be weighing on indexes.

Wall Street is in full risk-on mode, as traders eagerly snap up technology stocks, particularly semiconductors, ahead of Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) CEO Jensen Huang&#8216;s speech later on Monday at the Consumer Electronics Show <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/42822846/nvidia-5000-series-product-updates-make-it-top-semiconductor-pick-ahead-of-jensen-huangs-ces-keynote-analyst">in Las Vegas.</a>
Tech-linked indices and sector outperformed by midday trading in New York. The Nasdaq 100 notched a 1.3% increase while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NASDAQ">SOXX</a>) soared by over 4%, eyeing the strongest session since mid-September.
Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MU#NASDAQ">MU</a>) shares led gains, flagging a 12% surge, on the back of expectations for strong AI demand. Nvidia rose 4.8%.
Among Monday&#8217;s notable headlines, The Washington Post reported Donald Trump&#8217;s economic team is exploring a more targeted version of its universal tariff plan, aiming to apply tariffs to specific sectors rather than implementing a broad <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42813324/trumps-universal-tariff-plans-take-shape-analysts-expect-stronger-for-longer-greenback">measure on all imports. </a>The dollar softened by 0.5% in reaction to the news.
The Federal Reserve announced the vice chair for supervision Michael Barr, a strong advocate for tighter banking regulations, will step down from his role in February but will retain his seat on the Board of Governors.
&#8220;The risk of a dispute over the position could be a distraction from our mission,&#8221; Barr stated, alluding to potential clashes with the incoming administration&#8217;s inclination toward looser banking regulations. Regional bank stocks reacted positively, with the S&amp;P SPDR Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) rising 1.6% on Monday.
In commodities markets, natural gas prices rocketed by another 7% on the heels of an extension of cold temperatures, while oil prices slipped 0.7%, potentially snapping a 5-day winning streak. 
Sentiment turned bullish again in cryptocurrency markets, as Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) ferociously reclaimed the $100,000 mark, sending crypto-linked stocks such as Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>), CleanSpark Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLSK#NASDAQ">CLSK</a>) and Microstrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) all higher by about 6%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,584.34</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,996.40</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,284.16</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,832.88</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:15 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.9% to $597.33.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.4% to $429.05.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rose 1.3% to $525.31.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) soared 0.9% to $226.44.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) outperformed, up 1.7%; the&nbsp;Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) lagged, down 0.7%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Shares of Paycor HCM Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PYCR#NASDAQ">PYCR</a>) surged 23% after reports surfaced that the company is nearing a potential acquisition by Paychex Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PAYX#NASDAQ">PAYX</a>). </li>
<li>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) tumbled over 4% following a cautious note from Morgan Stanley. </li>
<li>Fubotv Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FUBO#NYSE">FUBO</a>) skyrocketed by 220% after Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIS#NYSE">DIS</a>) announced to combine its Hulu + Live TV business with Fubo.</li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/01/42822625/big-techs-date-with-antitrust-alphabet-meta-amazon-brace-for-legal-showdowns-in-2025">Big Tech&#8217;s Date With Antitrust: Alphabet, Meta, Amazon Brace For Legal Showdowns In 2025</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

CLSK

FUBO

MARA

PAYX

PYCR

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Wall Street Rallies, Chipmakers Soar Ahead Of Nvidia's Huang Speech, Bitcoin Reclaims $100,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

US equity futures are higher modestly, rebounding from yesterday's just as modest loss.

S&P Futures Rise Above 6,000 With Trump Inauguration Looming

The following are the pivot points for the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA). Pivot High: $432.07, Pivot Low: $429.92. These were c...

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust: Pivot points

2024 Review Of Dividend Growth Portfolio: Real Money, Real-Time Decisions Since 2008

Can The Bull Market Sustain Itself?

Inflation came back into focus this week with the CPI and PPI reports being served up. What do they tell us about future Fed action? More importantly, what does it tell us about the path of the S&P 500 (SPY) from here. Read on for the full story... Inflation and the Fed were the main investment stories throughout 2024. However, in early January two other stories jumped to the front of the line:
<ul>
<li>Government debt concerns causing higher long term Treasury rates</li>
<li>Trump Tariff Plans (and the unknown outcome)</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
I give a pretty good accounting of these 2 vital stories in <a href="https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-stock-market-expert-predicts-3-6-months-of-pain/">my commentary from earlier this week</a>.  Today the focus returns to inflation and the Fed as CPI and PPI reports were served up. Let's dig in to find out what they tell us.
Market Outlook
Coming down the home stretch of 2024 we endured several straight months of inflation reports that did not ebb lower. The Fed was fully aware of this leading to their 12/18 announcement that indeed inflation is a bit too persistent and thus they will slow down their planned pace of rate cuts.
Traders threw a tantrum like a 3 year old who was told they won't be getting a 4th slice of cake at the birthday party. This led to a broad market pullback with many groups in full blown correction territory (namely small caps and any groups that were counting on lower rates like home builders).
The good news is that the January inflation reports are showing some improvement in the data. Most investors will want to focus on the more widely followed CPI report from 1/15. There we saw core inflation cool a notch from 3.3% to 3.2%.
The most beneficial part of that release was the modest 0.2% month over month reading for core CPI. If that held up it would get the annual pace down closer to the 2% target.
Investors don't pay as much attention to the PPI report. However, economists understand it is a leading indicator of what shows up in CPI down the road.
Here too the best news was on the month over month numbers where core PPI was flat. If this moderating trend continues, then it once again helps point to getting inflation back to the 2% Fed target.
These reports did not move the needle on expectations for the next Fed meeting on 1/29. It is widely understood from last time that no rate cut will be forthcoming. In fact, they are projecting only 2 cuts in the year ahead with investors right now thinking that is next at the May or June meeting.
Pulling back to the bigger economic picture, the good news is that most of the data is in for economists to accurately model Q4 GDP. Most are coming out in a range of +2.5% to 3%. That would be a robust reading that should also point to solid earnings growth.
The best news on the economic front to share is that the NFIB Small Business Optimism index LEAPT from 93.7 in October before the election to 105.1 now. This is the highest reading since October 2018.
The more optimistic these business owners feel about the future...the more likely they are to invest in their business including the hiring of more employees to fuel growth. So this is great news to increase the odds of more quality GDP reads in the quarters to come.
For as good as all that economic news is, I still think the unknowns about government debt and especially tariffs will weight heavily on stocks.
Just don't see a current catalyst for the S&amp;P 500 (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/SPY/">SPY</a>) to make new highs above 6,100.
On the downside is the recent lows around 5,800. And if that falters then we are talking about a rendezvous with the 200 day moving average currently at 5,589.
That downside should not scare you that much. Especially since the bear market low is 3,491. Meaning that just like Virgina Slims ads "we've come a long way baby".
This just seems like a natural juncture to consolidate under the highs + sector rotation to shake off any excess valuations.
This means to expect a fair amount of volatility. Both big drops and big bounces. The kind of action that can get an investor nauseous.
The solution is to keep your eyes on the long term horizon which is still bullish. So best to use any forthcoming dips as an opportunity to load up on the best stocks for the next higher.
Which stocks are those?
Read on in the next section for the answer... 
What To Do Next?
Check out my portfolio with hand selected picks for the current market environment:
<ul>
<li>7 stocks to buy</li>
<li>1 stock to short</li>
<li>1 ETF to buy</li>
</ul>
All the stocks have been selected using the proven outperformance that comes from our POWR Ratings stock selection model which has done 4X better than the S&amp;P 500 since 1999.
Now add in my 44 years of investing experience seeing bull markets...bear markets...and everything between. This helps me pick the right stocks for the current environment.
If you are curious to learn more, and want to see my current 9 recommendations, then please click the link below to get started now.
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Steve Reitmeister's Trading Plan &amp; Top Recommendations &gt;</a>
Wishing you a world of investment success!
<img class="size-full wp-image-14665 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Signature.jpg" alt="" width="106" height="78" /> 
Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced "Righty") 
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Editor, Reitmeister Total Return</a>

<hr />
SPY shares were trading at $597.18 per share on Friday morning, up $5.54 (+0.94%). Year-to-date, SPY has gained 1.89%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index during the same period.
<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Steve Reitmeister</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Screen-Shot-2019-07-23-at-2.05.03-PM.png' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as "Reity". Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the <a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/" title="More info about Reitmeister Total Return portfolio">Reitmeister Total Return portfolio</a>. Learn more about Reity's background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=steve-reitmeister">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-the-latest-on-inflation-the-stock-market/>The Latest on Inflation & the Stock Market</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

The Latest on Inflation & the Stock Market

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose today alongside recovering treasury yields and a strong manufacturing report.

Dow Jones Jumps Alongside Treasury Yields Recovery

2 important market developments are leading market expert Steve Reitmeister to predict 3 to 6 months of painful market conditions pushing the S&P 500 (SPY) lower. Read on for the full story... December was tough enough for stocks. Yes, hard to see that with only modest losses for the but once again it was really only Mag 7 stocks getting any love from investors.
The market hates uncertainty. 
This is not the first time you have heard that...nor the last as it's one of the truest statements in all of investing.
When the path forward is uncertain investors become more cautious. And that is the simplest explanation for what is happening now which I don't believe gets cleared up for 3 to 6 months.
In the meantime, the market will become more volatile with a modest downside bias. Perhaps down to test the 200 day average for the S&amp;P 500 (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/SPY/">SPY</a>) currently @ 5,576.
This leads me to reduce the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio to only 65% long the stock market.
Why not take more money off the table? Because still don't believe it changes the fact that it's a long term bull market. Just seems like this is a natural place to press pause for a while and wait for a clearer green light to move forward. Thus, don't want too much money out of the market when primary trend still bullish and it could start running without warning.
The specific trades to get us there are shared at the end. For now, I think it's best to stay focused on the bigger picture.
What is Uncertain? 
I could create an incredibly long list of uncertain things. Never a shortage of those given that economics itself is a soft science with uncertain outcomes. Yet we will narrow it down the 2 that are really the central conversation at this time:
<ul>
<li>Why Are Long Term Rates Rising Again??? </li>
<li>Tariffs: What Will Be the Final Outcome?</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
These are real game changers with a wide range of possible outcomes. Thus, a natural time for investors to pause in order to see how things play out.
But they never really press pause as that is far too subtle. It is more about volatility and a changing of the odds every time new information comes out. Since early in the cycle, then downside more likely than upside which is why we are applying this dose of caution in our approach.
Why Are Long Term Rates Rising Again???
At first it was easy to assume that the stickiness of inflation and thus the delays in future cuts by the Fed was the reason for the 10 year rising. That was a fine adjustment at first...but the longer it goes on, it points fingers towards a more sinister cause...that being the long run fear of having too much government debt.
I previously talk about this in my commentary back in October 2023 <a href="https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-bear-market-warning-from-the-bond-market/">in this article that you should read now</a>. (Just start 1/3rd of the way down after it says BUT WHAT IF THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT?)
The possibility of a debt crisis has been a CERTAINTY in my mind because of the basic economics discussed in the article above. It has always more a matter of WHEN it would happen. And that might not be for 20-50 years...or it may be tomorrow. Yes, it's that complicated as are most other Black Swan type events.
Because it could happen at any time is why I have a weekly calendar reminder every Tuesday to keep an eye on Global Bond Rates with a focus on other largely indebted countries that would likely fail first like Italy, Portugal or Singapore. Maybe even Japan.
Simply don't need to panic until at least 1 domino is starting to fall. To be clear, no domino is falling at this time...just a swelling of long term Treasury rates which has other possible meanings...or it could mean precisely that investors want a better rate of return for the higher risk involved with a Government with a debt AND spending problem that never seems to get better.
One more thing I should mention on this front. I recently moved 10% of my portfolio out of the stock market and bought a 7 year Fixed Annuity Index (which is the longest period they would agree to as I would have taken it to infinity if they would allow).
The reason for this is that too much of my family's net worth is in the stock market which will go in the toilet when debt crisis comes to town. So too will bond investments. So beyond cash and gold this was the best idea of how to protect against a potential catastrophic event and still have some upside if all remains well.
Why not larger allocation to annuity? Because as stated above, this debt crisis problem might be 20-50 years down the road. So 10% is enough for now and can always increase when risks increase.
Now let's shift too...
Tariffs: What Will Be the Final Outcome?
The more I read this weekend to get my head around current market conditions...the more I realized this is likely the bigger question mark for investors. Truly such a wide range of outcomes because the policies bandied about during the campaign were so outrageous as not to be believable.
The posturing since then has not really softened and thus investors are confused as to how this plays out including the risk of higher inflation (because higher tariffs = higher costs to US consumer). Or trade wars. Or ???.
Let's imagine that at best this is resolved in the Spring of 2025 with Summer being more likley. Now picture all the headline risks between now and then?
Each salvo from the US or trade partners (namely China) would have serious ripple effects to the market. Meaning it likely gets worse before it gets better.
In the end I think it will be just fine. John Mauldin shares some insights in his <a href="https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-does-trump-change-stock-market-outlook/">well reasoned piece from over the weekend.</a> You can skip to half way down to the section labeled "The T Word" talking about tariffs.
But do consider reading his entire article as he talks about other reasons the outlook is uncertain (or what Mauldin calls "partly cloudy"). In the end Mauldin is optimistic that all turns out well enough. This is really a vote of confidence in the resilience of the US economy which is often very hard to knock off its axis.
I feel the same. That is why I am still bullish in the long run. But for next 3-6 months the uncertainty discussed above needs to become more certain before the next bull run starts again.
What To Do Next?
We still have an interesting portfolio of trades to consider now:
<ul>
<li>7 stocks to buy</li>
<li>1 stock to short</li>
<li>1 ETF to buy</li>
</ul>
All the stocks have been selected using the proven outperformance that comes from our POWR Ratings stock selection model which has done 4X better than the S&amp;P 500 since 1999.
Now add in my 44 years of investing experience seeing bull markets...bear markets...and everything between. This helps me pick the right stocks for the current environment.
If you are curious to learn more, and want to see my current 9 recommendations, then please click the link below to get started now.
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Steve Reitmeister's Trading Plan &amp; Top Recommendations &gt;</a>
Wishing you a world of investment success!
<img class="size-full wp-image-9357 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Reity.jpg" alt="" width="99" height="70" /> 
Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced "Righty") 
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Editor, Reitmeister Total Return</a>

<hr />
SPY shares rose $0.71 (+0.12%) in after-hours trading Monday. Year-to-date, SPY has declined -0.80%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index during the same period.
<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Steve Reitmeister</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Screen-Shot-2019-07-23-at-2.05.03-PM.png' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as "Reity". Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the <a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/" title="More info about Reitmeister Total Return portfolio">Reitmeister Total Return portfolio</a>. Learn more about Reity's background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=steve-reitmeister">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-stock-market-expert-predicts-3-6-months-of-pain/>Stock Market Expert Predicts 3-6 Months of Pain</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

Stock Market Expert Predicts 3-6 Months of Pain

As January goes...so goes the stock market. And right now that saying bodes poorly for the year ahead. Especially for the S&P 500 (SPY). That is why Steve Reitmeister shares 2 different paths the market could take in 2025 and how to get your portfolio on the right side of the action. December was tough enough for stocks. Yes, hard to see that with only modest losses for the S&amp;P 500 (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/SPY/">SPY</a>)...but once again it was really only Mag 7 stocks getting any love from investors.
Nothing is that surprising about his action given how large caps are getting pretty fully valued. And Mag 7 stocks are flirting with "irrational exuberance" levels.
This leads to 2 possible outcomes in 2025 which we will discuss in this week's Reitmeister Total Return commentary.
Market Outlook
Path 1: The Logical Choice
Sometimes the stock market is orderly and investors make fairly rational decisions. Especially if they are faced with this curious valuation quandary:
<img class="size-full wp-image-15171 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Market-Cap-PE-1-6-25.jpg" alt="" width="800" height="445" />
There is no denying what is found in this PE chart.
Mega caps (aka Mag 7) are bloated...even above 1999 tech bubble level.
Large caps are pretty much fully valued.
Small and Mid Caps are not only attractively valued versus their larger peers... but actually attractive versus their historical average at this stage of a bull market.
The rational thing would be to take profits on large and mega caps and rotate that money to more deserving small and mid cap names.
This is what I assume will happen in 2025 and why I only have a 6,300 year end target for the S&amp;P 500. And to be honest, a breakeven finish tussling with 6,000 the entire year would not surprise me at all. The early January results seem to confirm that narrative.
Gladly, we can lean into small and mid caps that should be set to outperform. In fact, it is the strength of the POWR Ratings to discover this kind of "under the radar" stocks with sparkling fundamentals.
Unfortunately we still have to contend with the real fact that things could go on the less desirable next path...
Path 2: Valuation Bubble
As famed economist John Maynard Keynes reminded us a long time ago "the market can stay illogical a lot longer than you can stay solvent".
And yes, this is coming from a guy that twice over went bankrupt in the stock market making bad bets.
Studies of Behavioral Finance have shown that the longer something has been true...the longer people assume it will stay true.
This logic created the Tech Bubble of 1999 followed by the housing bubble of 2008.
I remember early in 2008 they did a survey of residents in Los Angeles about their expected rate of returns on their homes for the next 5 years. The answer was 22% increase.
So even though going back the last 70 years the average increase of home values was only +2.7% (about the rate of inflation) people were fixated on the most recent results expecting them to continue into the future.
This leads to "irrational exuberance"...where people bet more and more on this outcome leading to a more disastrous day of reckoning down the road when it implodes.
Typically when the feature stocks get punished...they take the rest of the market with them.
However, in 2000 it was interesting that the average stock was higher that year even though tech stocks were tumbling down. (I checked my records to find that I gained a little over +16% on the year).
This last part gives me hope that the unwinding of Mega Caps can be orderly. But sometimes when everyone heads to the exists at the same time it leads to calamity.
Again, I think Path 1 is the more likely outcome...but we will sleep with 1 eye open in case Path 2 emerges. Gladly we have a proven playbook during those times that should have us stay on the right side of the action.
What To Do Next?
Discover my current portfolio of 10 stocks packed to the brim with the outperforming benefits found in our exclusive POWR Ratings model. (Nearly 4X better than the S&amp;P 500 going back to 1999).
All of these hand selected picks are all based on my 44 years of investing experience seeing bull markets...bear markets...and everything between.
And right now this portfolio is beating the stuffing out of the market. 
If you are curious to learn more, and want to see my top 10 timely stock recommendations, then please click the link below to get started now.
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Steve Reitmeister's Trading Plan &amp; Top 10 Stocks &gt;</a>
Wishing you a world of investment success!
<img class="size-full wp-image-9357 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Reity.jpg" alt="" width="99" height="70" /> 
Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced "Righty") 
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Editor, Reitmeister Total Return</a>

<hr />
SPY shares were trading at $588.63 per share on Tuesday afternoon, down $6.73 (-1.13%). Year-to-date, SPY has gained 0.44%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index during the same period.
<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Steve Reitmeister</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Screen-Shot-2019-07-23-at-2.05.03-PM.png' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as "Reity". Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the <a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/" title="More info about Reitmeister Total Return portfolio">Reitmeister Total Return portfolio</a>. Learn more about Reity's background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=steve-reitmeister">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-how-bad-will-2025-be-for-stocks/>How Bad Will 2025 Be for Stocks?</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

How Bad Will 2025 Be for Stocks?

It looks like December 2024 problems have rolled over to early 2025. That being a "rolling correction" which doesn't move the needle much on the S&P 500 (SPY) but does spell problems for the broader market. Read on below for the full story... Often the early days of a new year set the tone for how the rest of the year will turn out. That is because so many investment managers have prepared for a shift in strategy that takes place to start the year.
The result on Thursday was heavy sector rotation which continues the rolling correction we saw forming in late 2024. I shared insights on the rolling correction back a couple weeks ago <a href="https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-is-the-stock-market-in-a-rolling-correction/">in this article.</a>
Today we will expand on this notion with the recent performance results. Even more important, we will talk about how to invest in this environment to enjoy superior results.
Market Outlook
I think the fastest way to get across the notion of a rolling correction is with this 1 month sector performance chart:
<img class="size-full wp-image-15164 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Sector-1-month-1-2-25.jpg" alt="" width="975" height="332" />
You will notice that most sectors are beyond the limits of a pullback nearing in on a full blow 10% correction. And yet the S&amp;P 500 (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/SPY/">SPY</a>) is only 3% off the highs.
On the surface that math doesn't add up until you understand that most of the Magnificent 7 are inside the Communication Services sector while some are in Technology. Those larger stocks barely budging while the rest of the market is selling off mode helps put the rolling correction concept into focus.
My <a href="https://www.wallstreetzen.com/blog/stock-market-outlook-webinar-replay/">2025 Stock Market Outlook</a> still looks on track. The main change from what I said in September is that I expected stocks to sprint into the finish line in 2024 leading to a sell off to start the year.
As it turns out that sell off (rolling correction) started in December and continues to start the new year. This should set up for an interesting shift in the investment landscape the rest of the year where..."One man's trash is another man's treasure". 
Meaning that the discarded stocks from this correction will become wonderful value opportunities for some longer term investors. There was some bargain shopping today. But even more will follow in the weeks ahead.
Most importantly, I think the 4 year reign of Mega Caps (and large caps for that matter) is over. Some of these stocks have straight up nose bleed valuations that are not supported by history. And yes, fairly close to "irrational exuberance" territory.
Thus, it was nice to see TSLA cough up another 6% Thursday and now down over 20% from the December peaks. This means that some well needed order and sanity is being returned to the investing world. Let's hope that continues.
This should lead to a rotation to find greater value elsewhere in the market. Gladly that can easily be found in small and mid caps with PEs under the historical norm at 15-16. That is more than a 30% discount from the PE level of the S&amp;P 500. And about half of the Mega Caps.
On top of that, I still think economically sensitive, Risk On groups are the place to be. Like the aforementioned Industrials and Basic Materials. On top of that would be those groups that benefit from lower rates like home builders, auto, and finance.
This formula certainly paid the bills on the first session in January...and believe will be the formula to outperform the rest of the year.
What To Do Next?
Discover my current portfolio of 10 stocks packed to the brim with the outperforming benefits found in our exclusive POWR Ratings model. (Nearly 4X better than the S&amp;P 500 going back to 1999).
All of these hand selected picks are all based on my 44 years of investing experience seeing bull markets...bear markets...and everything between.
And right now this portfolio is beating the stuffing out of the market. 
If you are curious to learn more, and want to see my top 10 timely stock recommendations, then please click the link below to get started now.
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Steve Reitmeister's Trading Plan &amp; Top 10 Stocks &gt;</a>
Wishing you a world of investment success!
<img class="size-full wp-image-9357 alignnone" src="https://stocknews.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Reity.jpg" alt="" width="99" height="70" /> 
Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced "Righty") 
<a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/">Editor, Reitmeister Total Return</a>

<hr />
SPY shares fell $0.35 (-0.06%) in after-hours trading Friday. Year-to-date, SPY has gained 1.00%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index during the same period.
<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Steve Reitmeister</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Screen-Shot-2019-07-23-at-2.05.03-PM.png' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as "Reity". Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the <a href="https://report.stocknews.com/rtrsignup/" title="More info about Reitmeister Total Return portfolio">Reitmeister Total Return portfolio</a>. Learn more about Reity's background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=steve-reitmeister">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/spy-inx-dia-iwm-qqq-rolling-correction-for-stocks-in-2025/>Rolling Correction for Stocks in 2025?</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

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