Brinker Internationalの空売り状況は、投資家がBrinker Internationalの株価下落に賭けている度合いを知ることができます。空売りデータは2週間ごとに更新されます。

Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) 株価情報, 空売り情報

Brinker International

Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.

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８月３日（水）午前８時３０分（米国東部時間）に公表される消費者物価指数（CPI）速報に先駆け、主要指数先物は神経質な値動きを示している。債券利回りは消費者物価指数発表前に低下している。今回の報告が価格圧力の緩和が続いていることを確認した場合、米連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）は利上げを余儀なくされる可能性がある。経済学者やストラテジストは、FRB総裁のジェローム・パウエル氏が今月末に予定されている＜ジャクソンホール・シンポジウム＞で、利上げ見通しについてさらに明確な見解を示すと予想している。

ウォール・ストリート　主要先物指数が反応

Brinker International Inc

Eat & Beyond Global Holdings Inc Ordinary Shares

EAT & BEYOND GLOBAL HLD by EAT & BEYOND GLOBAL HLDGS INC.

Eat & Beyond Global Holdings Inc

EASTERN ASTERIA INC by Eastern Asteria, Inc.

Eastern Asteria Inc

VegTech Food Innovation & Climate ETF

AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF

Goldman Sachs analyst Christine Cho on Wednesday provided a preview of the first quarter for U.S. restaurants.
What Happened: U.S. restaurant companies faced a tough start to 2025, with weaker consumer sentiment, weather impacts and tariff uncertainties affecting performance, except for a few like Brinker International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>).
Although first-quarter softness was expected, risks remain on the downside due to macroeconomic and policy uncertainties, as reflected in Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44996394/chipotle-battles-slumping-sales-but-honey-chicken-boosts-hope-say-analysts">same-store sales growth miss and lowered guidance</a>.
These factors are likely to dominate investor attention during the earnings season, noted the analyst.
Despite no major changes in consumer intent for restaurant spending, recent adjustments to estimates reflect lower macroeconomic forecasts from GS economists, including slower GDP growth and a higher recession probability.
Restaurant sales trends are closely tied to consumer spending, and weaker macro conditions suggest lower comparable store-sales growth in the second half of 2025 and into 2026.
Inflation&#8217;s impact on margins is limited, and there&#8217;s a higher risk to global restaurant development plans, particularly in international markets, which could reduce long-term unit growth, the analyst said.
Economists predict a slowdown in U.S. GDP growth to 0.5% in 2025, down from 2.5% in 2024, with a 45% recession risk, up from 20% earlier in the year due to tightening financial conditions, foreign boycotts, and policy uncertainty.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/44977669/pepsico-ceo-warns-of-tariffs-led-increase-in-supply-chain-costs-cuts-annual-profit-outlook">PepsiCo CEO Warns Of Tariffs Led &#8216;Increase In Supply Chain Costs,&#8217; Cuts Annual Profit Outlook</a>
The deceleration in consumer spending and macro headwinds are putting pressure on restaurant top-line growth, with varying impacts across different restaurant types.
Fast food restaurants show the lowest sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, with higher resiliency compared to fast casual and full-service restaurants, which are more correlated with GDP and consumer discretionary spending.
Recent surveys show no significant shifts in consumer purchase intent for restaurants, with full-service restaurants seeing improvement compared to grocery stores, while limited-service restaurants have contracted in recent months.
What&#8217;s Next: Companies like Wendy&#8217;s Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WEN#NASDAQ">WEN</a>), Bloomin&#8217; Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLMN#NASDAQ">BLMN</a>), Domino&#8217;s Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPZ#NASDAQ">DPZ</a>), Wingstop Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WING#NASDAQ">WING</a>), Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>), and Jack In The Box Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JACK#NASDAQ">JACK</a>) have higher lease-adjusted net leverage, with Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) and Domino&#8217;s facing notable near-term debt maturities.
Slower same-store sales growth and higher build costs are expected to hurt franchisee profitability and reduce demand for new stores.
Many fast food chains anticipate slower unit expansion in 2025, with Jack in The Box planning major cutbacks and closures, while fast casual/casual dining brands remain mostly on track.
Potential U.S. tariffs may raise domestic build costs, while international growth faces challenges from weaker global demand and rising anti-U.S. brand sentiment.
U.S. tariff actions and foreign policy stances have damaged international perceptions of the U.S., raising concerns about reduced demand for American brands.
While it&#8217;s too soon to measure definitive consumer pullback, monitoring sentiment is increasingly important for U.S. brands abroad.
Morning Consult data shows a YTD decline in U.S. favorability across most tracked countries, particularly Canada, Western Europe and Mexico.
Despite rising anti-U.S. sentiment globally, current data indicates no strong link between U.S. tariffs and Chinese consumer attitudes toward U.S. brands.
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/45011035/meta-booz-allen-launch-space-llama-ai-system-for-space-station-operations">Meta, Booz Allen Launch &#8216;Space Llama&#8217; AI System For Space Station Operations</a>
Photo: Rawpixel.com via Shutterstock

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US Restaurants Face Growth Hurdles As Macro Headwinds Mount, Says Analyst

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Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

XPOF

Shares of companies in the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading higher after President Trump indicated tariffs against China will be lowered and trade tensions may de-escalate. Tariff concerns have weighed on the sector this year due to their expected impact on consumer spending.

ALUR

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EXPE

FNKO

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MULN

STLA

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Shares of companies in the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading higher amid Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's remarks about trade de-escalation with China, which may relieve potential cost pressures for the consumer and lead to an uptick in spending.

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.
Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner.
Traders will search for circumstances when the market estimation of an option diverges heavily from its normal worth. High amounts of trading activity could push option prices to exaggerated or underestimated levels. 
Below are some instances of options activity happening in the Consumer Discretionary sector: 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>AMZN</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/25/25</td>
<td>$180.00</td>
<td>$49.3K</td>
<td>17.9K</td>
<td>29.4K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NIO</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$2.50</td>
<td>$36.1K</td>
<td>28.8K</td>
<td>16.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>TSLA</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/25/25</td>
<td>$237.50</td>
<td>$27.4K</td>
<td>1.4K</td>
<td>10.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NKE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
<td>$26.3K</td>
<td>6.0K</td>
<td>3.2K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$140.00</td>
<td>$28.2K</td>
<td>6.7K</td>
<td>2.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CPNG</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>11/21/25</td>
<td>$22.00</td>
<td>$26.4K</td>
<td>24</td>
<td>390</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RH</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>11/21/25</td>
<td>$100.00</td>
<td>$323.2K</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>97</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>HD</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>05/09/25</td>
<td>$340.00</td>
<td>$35.2K</td>
<td>51</td>
<td>21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LOW</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$230.00</td>
<td>$46.6K</td>
<td>489</td>
<td>20</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>BKNG</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>12/19/25</td>
<td>$4450.00</td>
<td>$510.4K</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>18</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h2>Explanation</h2>
These bullet-by-bullet explanations have been constructed using the accompanying table. 
• For AMZN (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 3 day(s) on April 25, 2025. This event was a transfer of 498 contract(s) at a $180.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 20 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $49.3K, with a price of $99.0 per contract. There were 17900 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 29400 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding NIO (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NIO#NYSE">NIO</a>), we observe a put option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 633 day(s) on January 15, 2027. Parties traded 623 contract(s) at a $2.50 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 7 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $36.1K, with a price of $58.0 per contract. There were 28831 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 16000 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For TSLA (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 3 day(s) on April 25, 2025. This event was a transfer of 20 contract(s) at a $237.50 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 3 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $27.4K, with a price of $1370.0 per contract. There were 1442 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 10541 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For NKE (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 59 day(s) on June 20, 2025. This event was a transfer of 100 contract(s) at a $60.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 3 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.3K, with a price of $263.0 per contract. There were 6080 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 3225 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For EAT (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 24 day(s) on May 16, 2025. This event was a transfer of 58 contract(s) at a $140.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 12 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $28.2K, with a price of $490.0 per contract. There were 6703 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 2137 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For CPNG (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPNG#NYSE">CPNG</a>), we notice a put option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 213 day(s) on November 21, 2025. This event was a transfer of 96 contract(s) at a $22.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.4K, with a price of $276.0 per contract. There were 24 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 390 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding RH (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RH#NYSE">RH</a>), we observe a call option trade with neutral sentiment. It expires in 213 day(s) on November 21, 2025. Parties traded 40 contract(s) at a $100.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $323.2K, with a price of $8080.0 per contract. There were 34 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 97 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For HD (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HD#NYSE">HD</a>), we notice a call option trade that happens to be neutral, expiring in 17 day(s) on May 9, 2025. This event was a transfer of 20 contract(s) at a $340.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $35.2K, with a price of $1760.0 per contract. There were 51 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 21 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For LOW (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>), we notice a put option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 150 day(s) on September 19, 2025. This event was a transfer of 20 contract(s) at a $230.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $46.6K, with a price of $2330.0 per contract. There were 489 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 20 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For BKNG (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKNG#NASDAQ">BKNG</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 241 day(s) on December 19, 2025. This event was a transfer of 8 contract(s) at a $4450.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 8 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $510.4K, with a price of $63890.0 per contract. There were 2 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 18 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
Options Alert Terminology 
 - Call Contracts: The right to buy shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Put Contracts: The right to sell shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Expiration Date: When the contract expires. One must act on the contract by this date if one wants to use it. 
 - Premium/Option Price: The price of the contract. 
For more information, visit our <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/how-to-understand-option-alerts/">Guide to Understanding Options Alerts</a> or read <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options">more about unusual options activity</a>. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Options

AMZN

CPNG

TSLA

10 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session

Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein maintains Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $190 to $165.

Price Target

Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Brinker International, Lowers Price Target to $165

Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem maintains Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $175 to $165.

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Brinker International, Lowers Price Target to $165

BofA Securities analyst Sara Senatore provides an analysis for restaurant sector performance in the first <a href="https://trello.com/c/f3PFGoRF/331021-restaurants-q1-previewbofa">quarter</a>.
Restaurant demand showed mixed results due to weather and a calendar shift, said the analyst. 
Black Box industry data revealed a deceleration in same-store sales growth (SSSG) across all segments from January to February, but March saw improvement, excluding Fine Dining. 
Restaurant spending growth improved in March, with chain spending recovering from -7.5% in February to -3.5%.
Independent restaurants saw a rise in spending, from -2.7% in February to +1.3%. The rebound was attributed to better weather and the impact of the calendar shift in February. 
In the first quarter, prices for soybeans, wheat and soybean oil continued to deflate, though at a slower rate than in the fourth quarter of FY24. 
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44897010/chipotle-to-open-first-mexico-restaurant-by-2026">Chipotle To Open First Mexico Restaurant By 2026</a>
Coffee prices surged, increasing by 96.8% year-over-year, up from 56.8% in the fourth quarter. Beef inflation rose to 5.5%, compared to 1.3% in the previous quarter.
Cheese prices decreased by 1.8%, while dairy inflation slowed to 1.3%. Futures markets predict deflation in several commodities in the second quarter of 2025, but coffee, natural gas and beef are expected to see inflation, noted the analyst.
Restaurants index in the S&amp;P 500 is trading at 1.2x forward EPS, below its 5-year, 10-year and 15-year averages of 1.4x.
Industry data indicates a demand recovery in March after weak months in January and February. While consensus expectations for restaurants remain high, first-quarter results may fall short of estimates. 
Investors are focused on April trends and the potential impact of tariffs on consumer sentiment, traffic and COGS inflation.
So, keeping the above points in mind, the analyst has lowered the price targets for Bloomin&#8217; Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLMN#NASDAQ">BLMN</a>), Dutch Bros Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BROS#NYSE">BROS</a>), Cheesecake Factory Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAKE#NASDAQ">CAKE</a>), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRL#NASDAQ">CBRL</a>), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>), Krispy Kreme Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DNUT#NASDAQ">DNUT</a>), Domino&#8217;s Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPZ#NASDAQ">DPZ</a>), Brinker International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), Jack In The Box Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JACK#NASDAQ">JACK</a>), McDonald&#8217;s Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>), Papa John&#8217;s International Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PZZA#NASDAQ">PZZA</a>), Restaurant Brands International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QSR#NYSE">QSR</a>), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), Sweetgreen Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SG#NYSE">SG</a>), Shake Shack Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHAK#NYSE">SHAK</a>), Sysco Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYY#NYSE">SYY</a>), Texas Roadhouse Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXRH#NASDAQ">TXRH</a>), Wendy&#8217;s Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WEN#NASDAQ">WEN</a>), Wingstop Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WING#NASDAQ">WING</a>), and Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>).
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44895043/target-rolls-out-standalone-flower-brand-good-little-garden">Target Rolls Out Standalone Flower Brand &#8216;Good Little Garden&#8217;</a>
Photo: <a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/g/Rawpixel">Rawpixel.com</a> via Shutterstock

CBRL

DNUT

PZZA

Restaurant Sector Q1 Volatilty From Weather, Inflation — Analyst Lowers Price Targets

Deep-pocketed investors have adopted a bullish approach towards Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), and it's something market players shouldn't ignore. Our tracking of public options records at Benzinga unveiled this significant move today. The identity of these investors remains unknown, but such a substantial move in EAT usually suggests something big is about to happen.
We gleaned this information from our observations today when Benzinga's options scanner highlighted 22 extraordinary options activities for Brinker International. This level of activity is out of the ordinary.
The general mood among these heavyweight investors is divided, with 45% leaning bullish and 45% bearish. Among these notable options, 4 are puts, totaling $484,699, and 18 are calls, amounting to $1,532,043.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $140.0 to $155.0 for Brinker International during the past quarter. 
<h3>Volume &amp; Open Interest Development</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is a powerful move while trading options. This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Brinker International's options for a given strike price. Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Brinker International's whale trades within a strike price range from $140.0 to $155.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>Brinker International 30-Day Option Volume &amp; Interest Snapshot</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745254841_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Significant Options Trades Detected:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$6.8</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$155.00</td>
<td>$298.5K</td>
<td>97</td>
<td>1.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$7.1</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$155.00</td>
<td>$292.0K</td>
<td>97</td>
<td>1.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$7.1</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$155.00</td>
<td>$274.4K</td>
<td>97</td>
<td>2.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$5.9</td>
<td>$5.3</td>
<td>$5.4</td>
<td>$140.00</td>
<td>$209.0K</td>
<td>5.9K</td>
<td>296</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$5.5</td>
<td>$5.4</td>
<td>$5.5</td>
<td>$140.00</td>
<td>$144.1K</td>
<td>5.9K</td>
<td>294</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Brinker International</h3>
Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.
Following our analysis of the options activities associated with Brinker International, we pivot to a closer look at the company's own performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of Brinker International</h3>
<ul>
<li>With a volume of 382,005, the price of EAT is down -1.08% at $151.79. </li>
<li>RSI indicators hint that the underlying stock is currently neutral between overbought and oversold.</li>
<li>Next earnings are expected to be released in 8 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on Brinker International</h3>
1 market experts have recently issued ratings for this stock, with a consensus target price of $170.0.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Citigroup has decided to maintain their Neutral rating on Brinker International, which currently sits at a price target of $170. 
Options trading presents higher risks and potential rewards. Astute traders manage these risks by continually educating themselves, adapting their strategies, monitoring multiple indicators, and keeping a close eye on market movements. Stay informed about the latest Brinker International options trades with real-time alerts from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>.

Spotlight on Brinker International: Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity

Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 44.25% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 57.16%. Currently, Brinker International has a market capitalization of $6.76 billion. 
Buying $100 In EAT: If an investor had bought $100 of EAT stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $970.41 today based on a price of $152.16 for EAT at the time of writing.
<h3>Brinker International's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745244015_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much $100 Invested In Brinker International 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 20 years by 1.94% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 9.83%. Currently, Brinker International has a market capitalization of $6.90 billion. 
Buying $100 In EAT: If an investor had bought $100 of EAT stock 20 years ago, it would be worth $648.56 today based on a price of $155.31 for EAT at the time of writing.
<h3>Brinker International's Performance Over Last 20 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744989322_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much $100 Invested In Brinker International 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

Financial giants have made a conspicuous bullish move on Brinker International. Our analysis of options history for Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) revealed 25 unusual trades.
Delving into the details, we found 72% of traders were bullish, while 20% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 2 were puts, with a value of $140,629, and 23 were calls, valued at $2,108,182.
<h3>What's The Price Target?</h3>
Based on the trading activity, it appears that the significant investors are aiming for a price territory stretching from $130.0 to $150.0 for Brinker International over the recent three months. 
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Assessing the volume and open interest is a strategic step in options trading. These metrics shed light on the liquidity and investor interest in Brinker International's options at specified strike prices. The forthcoming data visualizes the fluctuation in volume and open interest for both calls and puts, linked to Brinker International's substantial trades, within a strike price spectrum from $130.0 to $150.0 over the preceding 30 days.
<h3>Brinker International Option Activity Analysis: Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744650031_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Noteworthy Options Activity:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th align="right">Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$17.7</td>
<td>$15.2</td>
<td>$15.2</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$241.6K</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td>463</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$15.5</td>
<td>$13.9</td>
<td>$15.5</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$206.1K</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td>1.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$15.3</td>
<td>$13.9</td>
<td>$15.3</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$203.5K</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td>1.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$15.3</td>
<td>$15.2</td>
<td>$15.2</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$199.1K</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td>453</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$15.8</td>
<td>$15.2</td>
<td>$15.8</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$115.3K</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td>1.3K</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Brinker International</h3>
Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.
After a thorough review of the options trading surrounding Brinker International, we move to examine the company in more detail. This includes an assessment of its current market status and performance.
<h3>Where Is Brinker International Standing Right Now?</h3>
<ul>
<li>With a volume of 543,026, the price of EAT is up 2.08% at $146.75. </li>
<li>RSI indicators hint that the underlying stock may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Next earnings are expected to be released in 15 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Professional Analyst Ratings for Brinker International</h3>
In the last month, 1 experts released ratings on this stock with an average target price of $170.0.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; Maintaining their stance, an analyst from Citigroup continues to hold a Neutral rating for Brinker International, targeting a price of $170. 
Options trading presents higher risks and potential rewards. Astute traders manage these risks by continually educating themselves, adapting their strategies, monitoring multiple indicators, and keeping a close eye on market movements. Stay informed about the latest Brinker International options trades with real-time alerts from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>.

What the Options Market Tells Us About Brinker International

COLM

New Oriental Education & Technology Group

TSCAF

Shares of companies in the braoder consumer discretionary sector are trading lower as stocks pull back after surging Wednesday following President Trump's tariff pause announcement.

Citigroup analyst Jon Tower maintains Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $185 to $170.

Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Brinker International, Lowers Price Target to $170

Shares of consumer discretionary stocks are trading higher after President Trump issued a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which may reduce risks towards the consumer economy.

Shares of the companies in the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading lower amid US-China trade announcements and overall market weakness, which is clouding certainty around consumer spending and the state of the economy.

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.
Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner.
Traders will search for circumstances when the market estimation of an option diverges heavily from its normal worth. High amounts of trading activity could push option prices to exaggerated or underestimated levels. 
Below are some instances of options activity happening in the Consumer Discretionary sector: 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>TSLA</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/04/25</td>
<td>$275.00</td>
<td>$68.9K</td>
<td>8.0K</td>
<td>40.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NKE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/25/25</td>
<td>$70.00</td>
<td>$26.1K</td>
<td>1.6K</td>
<td>7.6K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>TJX</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/04/25</td>
<td>$121.00</td>
<td>$238.0K</td>
<td>217</td>
<td>3.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>GME</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$75.00</td>
<td>$105.1K</td>
<td>1.2K</td>
<td>621</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PHM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$100.00</td>
<td>$200.1K</td>
<td>60</td>
<td>502</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>AMZN</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$195.00</td>
<td>$58.7K</td>
<td>3.3K</td>
<td>478</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>AAP</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/04/25</td>
<td>$39.00</td>
<td>$30.5K</td>
<td>1.4K</td>
<td>364</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CVNA</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>04/11/25</td>
<td>$255.00</td>
<td>$110.4K</td>
<td>3</td>
<td>121</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RIVN</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$10.00</td>
<td>$44.5K</td>
<td>4.6K</td>
<td>105</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EAT</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>07/18/25</td>
<td>$150.00</td>
<td>$178.2K</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h2>Explanation</h2>
These bullet-by-bullet explanations have been constructed using the accompanying table. 
• For TSLA (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on April 4, 2025. This event was a transfer of 65 contract(s) at a $275.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 6 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $68.9K, with a price of $1060.0 per contract. There were 8034 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 40578 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For NKE (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 24 day(s) on April 25, 2025. This event was a transfer of 513 contract(s) at a $70.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 18 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.1K, with a price of $51.0 per contract. There were 1634 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 7673 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For TJX (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TJX#NYSE">TJX</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 3 day(s) on April 4, 2025. This event was a transfer of 3501 contract(s) at a $121.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 48 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $238.0K, with a price of $68.0 per contract. There were 217 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 3518 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding GME (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>), we observe a put option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 290 day(s) on January 16, 2026. Parties traded 20 contract(s) at a $75.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $105.1K, with a price of $5255.0 per contract. There were 1270 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 621 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding PHM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>), we observe a put option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 45 day(s) on May 16, 2025. Parties traded 501 contract(s) at a $100.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 38 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $200.1K, with a price of $400.0 per contract. There were 60 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 502 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For AMZN (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 80 day(s) on June 20, 2025. This event was a transfer of 50 contract(s) at a $195.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 6 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $58.7K, with a price of $1175.0 per contract. There were 3340 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 478 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding AAP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAP#NYSE">AAP</a>), we observe a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 3 day(s) on April 4, 2025. Parties traded 351 contract(s) at a $39.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 26 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $30.5K, with a price of $87.0 per contract. There were 1409 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 364 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding CVNA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVNA#NYSE">CVNA</a>), we observe a put option trade with neutral sentiment. It expires in 10 day(s) on April 11, 2025. Parties traded 25 contract(s) at a $255.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $110.4K, with a price of $4418.0 per contract. There were 3 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 121 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding RIVN (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIVN#NASDAQ">RIVN</a>), we observe a call option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 171 day(s) on September 19, 2025. Parties traded 100 contract(s) at a $10.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $44.5K, with a price of $445.0 per contract. There were 4678 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 105 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For EAT (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), we notice a call option trade that happens to be bearish, expiring in 108 day(s) on July 18, 2025. This event was a transfer of 99 contract(s) at a $150.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $178.2K, with a price of $1800.0 per contract. There were 52 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 101 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
Options Alert Terminology 
 - Call Contracts: The right to buy shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Put Contracts: The right to sell shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Expiration Date: When the contract expires. One must act on the contract by this date if one wants to use it. 
 - Premium/Option Price: The price of the contract. 
For more information, visit our <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/how-to-understand-option-alerts/">Guide to Understanding Options Alerts</a> or read <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options">more about unusual options activity</a>. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

CVNA

RIVN

Brinker International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 20 years by 1.52% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 9.56%. Currently, Brinker International has a market capitalization of $6.45 billion. 
Buying $100 In EAT: If an investor had bought $100 of EAT stock 20 years ago, it would be worth $628.93 today based on a price of $145.22 for EAT at the time of writing.
<h3>Brinker International's Performance Over Last 20 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1743204639_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Last week, J.P. Morgan analyst John Ivankoe hosted Bloomin&#8217; Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLMN#NASDAQ">BLMN</a>), CAVA Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAVA#NYSE">CAVA</a>), Brinker International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), and Sweetgreen Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SG#NYSE">SG</a>) at the J.P. Morgan Las Vegas forum.
The analyst noted that the key takeaway from all four companies was the focus on doing &#8220;fewer things better&#8221; and consistently reinvesting in customer and employee experiences.
According to the analyst, stock volatility has created opportunities, with the current 10-year yield of 4.3% helping global QSR valuations, easing fears of a 5-6% yield.
The analyst recommended adding fresh investments in Dutch Bros Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BROS#NYSE">BROS</a>), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), and CAVA.
While McDonald&#8217;s Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) and Restaurant Brands International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QSR#NYSE">QSR</a>) are fairly valued, slower U.S. data and international growth may present better buying opportunities, per the analyst.
Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>) exceeded expectations, benefiting from tech-fee recapture. Domino&#8217;s Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPZ#NASDAQ">DPZ</a>) is fairly valued due to high expectations. It remains uncertain if the Middle East conflict&#8217;s impact will drive sustained sales growth or just a leveling out.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44420034/d-waves-new-blockchain-architecture-could-slash-energy-usage-by-1000x" rel="noreferrer noopener">D-Wave Unveils New Blockchain Architecture To Slash Energy Usage</a>
The analyst upgraded the shares of CAVA to Overweight. CAVA has significant potential for expansion in the U.S., with impressive free cash flow generation and a strong pipeline of operational and brand initiatives to drive sales and profits.
The analyst reiterated a Neutral rating on Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>) and EAT due to high valuations and peak comps, but remain cautiously optimistic and would consider adding on volatility.
Overweight-rated SG and Krispy Kreme Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DNUT#NASDAQ">DNUT</a>) face sales and profit challenges, with SG offering near-term potential through seasonal menus and loyalty programs.
Following YUM&#8217;s Taco Bell analyst day on March 4, which highlighted the &#8220;Byte by YUM!&#8221; platform and improving KFC international trends, the analyst conducted a full model review and a valuation reset.
Projections include Taco Bell U.S. growing to 9,000 units by 2030 and Taco Bell International expanding to 2,000 units. The analyst assumes KFC international (excluding China) will increase to 22,300 units, while KFC China will reach 19,400.
Compared to previous expectations, only BROS, DPZ, and Taco Bell (YUM) are performing ahead, while high-growth brands like CAVA, SG, Chili&#8217;s, and SBUX are on track.
Larger QSR brands like MCD, BK (QSR), KFC/PH (YUM), and fast-casual chains such as CMG and Shake Shack Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHAK#NYSE">SHAK</a>) are underperforming. Casual dining brands like Darden Restaurants Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRI#NYSE">DRI</a>) (Olive Garden), Texas Roadhouse Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXRH#NASDAQ">TXRH</a>) (Roadhouse), and BLMN (Outback) are also tracking lower.
The U.S. restaurant labor market remains stable, with open positions at 6.2% of total employment, close to the 20-year average of 4.4%. The quits rate stands at 3.8%, near the historical average of 4.0%.
Consumer confidence has declined, with a focus on the &#8220;expectations&#8221; component, as cautious consumers become more selective in discretionary spending.
Large QSR brands, like MCD and DPZ, report weaker performance among low-income consumers. In contrast, high-growth brands like CAVA are seeing strong growth in the lowest income quartiles, suggesting a shift toward QSR trade-ups and growing brand awareness.
According to the analyst, sourcing talent and retention remain key to building strong brands and scaling operations, mainly during the rapid adoption of in/out-of-store tech.
Total industry supply growth has remained surprisingly resilient, up 12% from third-quarter FY18 to third-quarter FY24 for a CAGR of ~2%, opined the analyst.
So much attention is placed on future AI driven opportunities, but the reality is 40% of the industry sales are from the top 500 chains with a very large addressable market of another 60% are considered to be independents, the analyst noted.
Tariffs are less of an issue for this sector than other industries but related inflation could impact several daily consumer staple commodities including avocados, seasonal produce/fruit and coffee, said the analyst.
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