最新ニュース McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) 株価情報

McDonald's

McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2024 system sales of $131 billion across more than 43,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

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Trading Ideas

20年間で平均して、市場を3.11%上回ることにより、平均年率リターン11.51%を生み出してきたマクドナルド (NYSE:MCD) だが、現在、マクドナルドの時価総額は1772.8億ドルとなっている。

マクドナルド20年間で9倍に成長

Equities

Restaurants

Global

Markets

売り上げを増やすため、マクドナルド（MCD）は大きなバーガーの試験に成功したと発表しました。

マクドナルド売り上げ低迷｜現状打破としてさらに大きなバーガーを試作

McDonald's Corp

KMA Holding Inc

McDermott International Ltd Warrants - Class B (30/06/2027)

McDermott International Ltd

McDermott International Ltd Ordinary Shares

MCDERMOTT INTL LTD by McDermott International LTD.

MACDONALD MINES EXPL LTD by MacDonald Mines Exploration Ltd.

MacDonald Mines Exploration Ltd

JPMorgan Fundamental Data Science Mid Core ETF

McDermott International Ltd Warrants - Class A (30/06/2027)

Hedge fund manager Spencer Hakimian calls out the &#8220;stupidity&#8221; of the current trade and tariff war, while pushing back against the notion that the United States is losing out in global trade.
What Happened: Hakimian, the founder of New York-based hedge fund Tolou Capital Management, posted on X Sunday night, pointing out that S&amp;P 500 companies generate nearly $1.17 trillion in annual revenue from China. 
This is six times more than the value of goods and services these companies export from the U.S. to China, at $200 billion, according to data from FactSet, Macrobond, the Census Bureau, and Apollo&#8217;s Chief Economist.
&#8220;Nobody dominates and benefits more from global trade than the United States,&#8221; Hakiaman says, while highlighting the popularity of American brands and products in China, such as Apple Inc.&#8216;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) iPhone, coffee at Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), and burgers by McDonald&#8217;s Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>), among several others.
See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/45030778/trump-running-american-economy-like-a-mafia-don-economist-craig-shapiro-draws-parallels-with-russias-president">Trump Running American Economy Like A &#8216;Mafia Don&#8217;: Economist Craig Shapiro Draws Parallels With Russia&#8217;s President</a>
&#8220;Tearing the current system down voluntarily would be the biggest unforced error in economic history,&#8221; he says, adding that there is &#8220;no precedent for this level of stupidity.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Keep in mind that S&amp;P 500 earn 6x more in China than they export from the U.S. to China. Apple selling iPhones to Chinese consumers. Starbucks selling coffee. McDonald's selling burgers. Etc. Nobody dominates and benefits more from global trade than the United States does.… <a href="https://t.co/JpCBvLmSwQ">pic.twitter.com/JpCBvLmSwQ</a>
&mdash; Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) <a href="https://twitter.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1916644436894769332?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 28, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Why It Matters: Several prominent voices have echoed similar concerns in recent weeks regarding the tariffs and the United States&#8217; widening trade deficit. 
Last week, investor Mark Cuban said that &#8220;having a trade deficit with China isn't such a bad thing for the U.S.,&#8221; citing the <a href="https://benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44897891/mark-cuban-says-its-a-game-of-chicken-with-china-as-he-questions-trumps-strategy-behind-tariffs-you-cant-be-dogmatic-in-business-or-government">surplus in services</a> that the U.S. has with China, which now stands to get hit, along with agricultural exports.
Similarly, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers <a href="https://benzinga.com/news/25/04/44776458/obama-era-treasury-secretary-larry-summers-rejects-china-cheating-at-trade-narrative-we-get-ev-batte">rejected the narrative</a> that China was cheating on trade, saying that &#8220;if China wants to sell us things at really low prices, it&#8217;s kind of a good deal for us,&#8221; when addressing questions regarding predatory pricing and dumping at the University of Austin two weeks ago.
However, others, such as Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, have come out in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44881540/cathie-wood-says-shes-trusting-trump-will-get-call-on-tariffs-right-investors-shorting-the-equity-market-now-will-be-caught-flat-footed-or-worse">support of the tariffs</a>, saying that if negotiations lead to lower tariffs and non-tariff barriers globally, &#8220;it would be a very good thing.&#8221;
Economist Arthur Laffer, while critical of the tariffs themselves, has praised President Donald Trump&#8217;s negotiation style, saying that if this leads to <a href="https://benzinga.com/25/04/44892570/fairer-trade-or-economic-trainwreck-elerian-breaks-down-the-administrations-two-futures">lower global trade barriers</a>, it would be an outcome that he would applaud.
Photo Courtesy: PalSand On Shutterstock.com
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/45029881/this-ceo-says-tariff-uncertainty-is-actually-good-for-his-business">This CEO Says Tariff Uncertainty Is Actually Good for His Business</a>

Government

AAPL

SBUX

S&P 500 Companies Earn 6x More In China Than US Exports: Hedge Fund Manager Says Trade War With Beijing Level Of Stupidity That Has 'No Precedent'

CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer is preparing investors for another action-packed week on Wall Street, packed with earnings reports from major <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">tech players and key economic updates</a>.
On Friday, Cramer emphasized that this week investors should brace for financial updates from Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), alongside critical economic indicators, CNBC <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/25/cramers-week-ahead-key-economic-data-and-big-tech-earnings.html" rel="noreferrer noopener">reports</a>.
Cramer warned that the uncertainty around tariff policy remains a major market risk.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/04/45012801/3-stocks-to-consider-in-this-outperforming-sector" rel="noreferrer noopener">3 Stocks To Consider In This Outperforming Sector</a>
Without meaningful progress on trade deals, he cautioned that Wall Street might struggle to absorb disappointing earnings, despite the recent market rally.
He described the coming days as &#8220;consequential,&#8221; noting that real trade negotiations must be sorted from political maneuvers to maintain investor confidence. CNBC quotes Cramer, &#8220;We're about to get into the weeds with tariffs.&#8221;
Among industrial names, Nucor Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NUE#NYSE">NUE</a>) will post results Monday, with Cramer noting its position at the intersection of tariff discussions and recession concerns.
General Motors Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) and United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NYSE">UPS</a>) will report Tuesday, offering potential insight into consumer demand and tariff effects on costs.
Meanwhile, consumer brands Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KO#NYSE">KO</a>), Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), and Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>) will also share quarterly updates.
Wednesday brings earnings from Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAT#NYSE">CAT</a>), a stock Cramer watches closely for infrastructure spending clues.
Tech giants Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) will release earnings midweek as well, with advertising trends and AI developments under scrutiny.
On Thursday, attention will turn to Apple and Amazon, with Cramer expecting Apple to pivot towards India and Amazon to highlight its retail and advertising strengths despite tariff pressures.
CVS Health Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVS#NYSE">CVS</a>) and Eli Lilly and Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) will post results Thursday, with optimism centered on strong drug sales and insurance performance.
McDonald's Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) is also expected to report healthy growth amid a tough consumer environment.
To close out the week, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) and Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) will report Friday, while the Labor Department&#8217;s nonfarm payrolls data could influence Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, CNBC notes.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/04/45027471/consumer-tech-news-apr-21-apr-25-microsofts-copilot-gets-a-sleek-new-look-apple-under-fire-for-influence-peddling-in-us-china-trade-more" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Consumer Tech News (Apr 21-Apr 25): Microsoft&#8217;s Copilot Gets a Sleek New Look, Apple Under Fire For &#8216;Influence-Peddling&#8217; In US-China Trade &amp; More</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock/a katz

Earnings

General

AMZN

MSFT

SPOT

Cramer's Warning: Tariff Chaos Could Derail Tech Earnings Frenzy This Week

Goldman Sachs analyst Christine Cho on Wednesday provided a preview of the first quarter for U.S. restaurants.
What Happened: U.S. restaurant companies faced a tough start to 2025, with weaker consumer sentiment, weather impacts and tariff uncertainties affecting performance, except for a few like Brinker International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>).
Although first-quarter softness was expected, risks remain on the downside due to macroeconomic and policy uncertainties, as reflected in Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44996394/chipotle-battles-slumping-sales-but-honey-chicken-boosts-hope-say-analysts">same-store sales growth miss and lowered guidance</a>.
These factors are likely to dominate investor attention during the earnings season, noted the analyst.
Despite no major changes in consumer intent for restaurant spending, recent adjustments to estimates reflect lower macroeconomic forecasts from GS economists, including slower GDP growth and a higher recession probability.
Restaurant sales trends are closely tied to consumer spending, and weaker macro conditions suggest lower comparable store-sales growth in the second half of 2025 and into 2026.
Inflation&#8217;s impact on margins is limited, and there&#8217;s a higher risk to global restaurant development plans, particularly in international markets, which could reduce long-term unit growth, the analyst said.
Economists predict a slowdown in U.S. GDP growth to 0.5% in 2025, down from 2.5% in 2024, with a 45% recession risk, up from 20% earlier in the year due to tightening financial conditions, foreign boycotts, and policy uncertainty.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/44977669/pepsico-ceo-warns-of-tariffs-led-increase-in-supply-chain-costs-cuts-annual-profit-outlook">PepsiCo CEO Warns Of Tariffs Led &#8216;Increase In Supply Chain Costs,&#8217; Cuts Annual Profit Outlook</a>
The deceleration in consumer spending and macro headwinds are putting pressure on restaurant top-line growth, with varying impacts across different restaurant types.
Fast food restaurants show the lowest sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, with higher resiliency compared to fast casual and full-service restaurants, which are more correlated with GDP and consumer discretionary spending.
Recent surveys show no significant shifts in consumer purchase intent for restaurants, with full-service restaurants seeing improvement compared to grocery stores, while limited-service restaurants have contracted in recent months.
What&#8217;s Next: Companies like Wendy&#8217;s Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WEN#NASDAQ">WEN</a>), Bloomin&#8217; Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLMN#NASDAQ">BLMN</a>), Domino&#8217;s Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPZ#NASDAQ">DPZ</a>), Wingstop Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WING#NASDAQ">WING</a>), Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>), and Jack In The Box Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JACK#NASDAQ">JACK</a>) have higher lease-adjusted net leverage, with Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) and Domino&#8217;s facing notable near-term debt maturities.
Slower same-store sales growth and higher build costs are expected to hurt franchisee profitability and reduce demand for new stores.
Many fast food chains anticipate slower unit expansion in 2025, with Jack in The Box planning major cutbacks and closures, while fast casual/casual dining brands remain mostly on track.
Potential U.S. tariffs may raise domestic build costs, while international growth faces challenges from weaker global demand and rising anti-U.S. brand sentiment.
U.S. tariff actions and foreign policy stances have damaged international perceptions of the U.S., raising concerns about reduced demand for American brands.
While it&#8217;s too soon to measure definitive consumer pullback, monitoring sentiment is increasingly important for U.S. brands abroad.
Morning Consult data shows a YTD decline in U.S. favorability across most tracked countries, particularly Canada, Western Europe and Mexico.
Despite rising anti-U.S. sentiment globally, current data indicates no strong link between U.S. tariffs and Chinese consumer attitudes toward U.S. brands.
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/45011035/meta-booz-allen-launch-space-llama-ai-system-for-space-station-operations">Meta, Booz Allen Launch &#8216;Space Llama&#8217; AI System For Space Station Operations</a>
Photo: Rawpixel.com via Shutterstock

Analyst Color

Analyst Ratings

BLMN

CAKE

JACK

SHAK

TXRH

WING

US Restaurants Face Growth Hurdles As Macro Headwinds Mount, Says Analyst

Deep-pocketed investors have adopted a bearish approach towards McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>), and it's something market players shouldn't ignore. Our tracking of public options records at Benzinga unveiled this significant move today. The identity of these investors remains unknown, but such a substantial move in MCD usually suggests something big is about to happen.
We gleaned this information from our observations today when Benzinga's options scanner highlighted 12 extraordinary options activities for McDonald's. This level of activity is out of the ordinary.
The general mood among these heavyweight investors is divided, with 16% leaning bullish and 66% bearish. Among these notable options, 7 are puts, totaling $576,297, and 5 are calls, amounting to $254,830.
<h3>What's The Price Target?</h3>
Taking into account the Volume and Open Interest on these contracts, it appears that whales have been targeting a price range from $295.0 to $335.0 for McDonald's over the last 3 months. 
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is an insightful way to conduct due diligence on a stock.
This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for McDonald's's options for a given strike price.
Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of McDonald's's whale activity within a strike price range from $295.0 to $335.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>McDonald's Option Activity Analysis: Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745607661_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Noteworthy Options Activity:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th align="right">Open Interest</th>
<th align="right">Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$10.5</td>
<td>$10.15</td>
<td>$10.5</td>
<td>$300.00</td>
<td>$118.6K</td>
<td align="right">585</td>
<td align="right">129</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$23.1</td>
<td>$22.55</td>
<td>$22.8</td>
<td>$335.00</td>
<td>$102.6K</td>
<td align="right">193</td>
<td align="right">137</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$23.25</td>
<td>$22.75</td>
<td>$22.5</td>
<td>$335.00</td>
<td>$101.5K</td>
<td align="right">193</td>
<td align="right">92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$18.85</td>
<td>$16.95</td>
<td>$18.85</td>
<td>$330.00</td>
<td>$99.9K</td>
<td align="right">492</td>
<td align="right">167</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$19.05</td>
<td>$19.0</td>
<td>$19.0</td>
<td>$315.00</td>
<td>$95.0K</td>
<td align="right">286</td>
<td align="right">58</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About McDonald's</h3>
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2024 system sales of $131 billion across more than 43,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
After a thorough review of the options trading surrounding McDonald's, we move to examine the company in more detail. This includes an assessment of its current market status and performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of McDonald's</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 1,338,490, with MCD's price up by 0.45%, positioned at $317.65.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 11 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>What The Experts Say On McDonald's</h3>
A total of 3 professional analysts have given their take on this stock in the last 30 days, setting an average price target of $333.33.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Baird has decided to maintain their Neutral rating on McDonald's, which currently sits at a price target of $300. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Barclays persists with their Overweight rating on McDonald's, maintaining a target price of $347. 
&#x2A; Maintaining their stance, an analyst from Citigroup continues to hold a Buy rating for McDonald's, targeting a price of $353. 
Options are a riskier asset compared to just trading the stock, but they have higher profit potential. Serious options traders manage this risk by educating themselves daily, scaling in and out of trades, following more than one indicator, and following the markets closely.
If you want to stay updated on the latest options trades for McDonald's, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a> gives you real-time options trades alerts.

Options

McDonald's Options Trading: A Deep Dive into Market Sentiment

Live On CNBC Bill Baruch Announces Bought McDonald's And Eli Lilly

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>) has long been a hot favorite in burrito bowls <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">and ETF portfolios</a>.
However, with analysts tempering their expectations and the stock losing 18.3% year to date, ETFs that were once feasting on Chipotle might now be excusing themselves from the table.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Who&#8217;s Got Chipotle on the Menu?</h2>
Several standout ETFs include Chipotle in their holdings—either for its growth story, brand power, or margins. Here&#8217;s who&#8217;s likely mulling the latest news:
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/04/44947467/voo-vs-vti-buffett-approves-this-battle-for-your-portfolio">VOO Vs. VTI: Buffett Approves This Battle For Your Portfolio</a>
<ul>
<li>Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>): A juggernaut ETF of large consumer favorites, XLY has had Chipotle as one of its growth bets, alongside Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and McDonald&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>). But CMG&#8217;s recent softness could count against its spice factor overall. Currently, the fund has cut it&#8217;s <a href="https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/the-consumer-discretionary-select-sector-spdr-fund-xly">exposure </a>to the stock to 1.9% of its overall AUM.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYC#NYSE">IYC</a>): The fund provides general <a href="https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239506/ishares-us-consumer-discretionary-etf">exposure </a>to consumer services, where Chipotle&#8217;s high-end dining experience has gotten it included. Price target cuts by analysts may prompt fund managers to reconsider their holding, which has already gone down to 1.2%.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EATZ#NYSE">EATZ</a>): Arguably the most burrito-invested fund on Wall Street, EATZ has a stake in both fast-casual and full-service restaurants. With Chipotle&#8217;s stock now plummeting, the ETF will take the burn harder, as Chipotle <a href="https://advisorshares.com/etfs/eatz/#holdings">enjoys </a>more than 3% of the fund&#8217;s AUM.</li>
</ul>
Though these funds aren&#8217;t ditching Chipotle quite yet, they&#8217;re definitely serving up the risk salsa as analysts call for more restraint ahead of earnings.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What&#8217;s Cooking?</h2>
When Chipotle announces earnings on Wednesday, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/restaurants/25/04/44952286/chipotle-international-expansion-on-the-menu-analyst-cautions-on-guidance-tariffs-in-earnings-preview">it&#8217;ll be offering up more than just revenue and EPS</a>—it&#8217;ll be serving up macro trends, international strategy, and how it&#8217;s coping with tariffs and cost pressures.
Guggenheim&#8217;s Gregory Francfort recently cut his price target from $56 to $48, citing weak traffic, weather issues, and lukewarm credit card data. While keeping his rating at Neutral, he anticipates a same-store sales downgrade to &#8220;flat to low single digits.&#8221;
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/restaurants/25/04/44823749/wall-street-sours-on-chipotle-here-are-etfs-caught-in-the-crossfire">Wall Street Sours On Chipotle: Here Are ETFs Caught In The Crossfire</a>
And Francfort&#8217;s not the only one. Other analysts are joining in. Barclays cut the price target from $60 to $56; Truist came down to $61 from $74; Wells Fargo is down to $60 from $70; UBS has gone from $70 to $65; and KeyBanc, from $64 to $60.
But some numbers provide a counterpoint. Placer.ai <a href="https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/mcdonalds-chipotle-in-the-new-year-q1-recap">tracks </a>Q1 traffic expansion of 4.5% YoY, significantly beating the fast-casual category&#8217;s 4.2% decline. Chipotle&#8217;s new Honey Chicken introduction can potentially drive comps too.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Global Game Plan</h2>
Chipotle just revealed plans to move into Mexico in 2026 through a deal with restaurant behemoth Alsea. That would be the chain&#8217;s seventh global market. With more than 3,700 restaurants today and a 7,000-store long-term target in North America, global expansion is the new frontier, but it could be a hard sell in a rough macroeconomic climate.
At the same time, management is absorbing<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs"> tariff-driven cost increases</a> (avocados, we're looking at you), which might win over avocado loyalists but could hurt margins in upcoming guidance.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Is Chipotle Still ETF-Worthy?</h2>
While Chipotle is still a high-growth competitor with strong brand power, investors, ETF managers, and analysts like Francfort are wondering if the premium multiple is still warranted. A solid earnings report might revive optimism, but anything short of that might lead ETFs to begin cutting exposure.
Ultimately, Chipotle&#8217;s next earnings plate will indicate if it&#8217;s still a market delicacy… or merely extra guac on a dwindling budget.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44934617/the-magnificent-meltdown-qqq-tanks-as-big-techs-shine-wears-off-but-theres-a-silver-lining">Magnificent Meltdown: QQQ Tanks As Big Tech&#8217;s Shine Wears Off, But There&#8217;s A Silver Lining</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Specialty ETFs

ETFs

EATZ

iShares Trust Dow Jones USnsumer Services Sector Index Fund

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Chipotle Isn't So Hot Ahead Of Earnings: Will ETFs Push The Plate Away?

Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein maintains McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $350 to $347.

Price Target

Barclays Maintains Overweight on McDonald's, Lowers Price Target to $347

BofA Securities analyst Sara Senatore provides an analysis for restaurant sector performance in the first <a href="https://trello.com/c/f3PFGoRF/331021-restaurants-q1-previewbofa">quarter</a>.
Restaurant demand showed mixed results due to weather and a calendar shift, said the analyst. 
Black Box industry data revealed a deceleration in same-store sales growth (SSSG) across all segments from January to February, but March saw improvement, excluding Fine Dining. 
Restaurant spending growth improved in March, with chain spending recovering from -7.5% in February to -3.5%.
Independent restaurants saw a rise in spending, from -2.7% in February to +1.3%. The rebound was attributed to better weather and the impact of the calendar shift in February. 
In the first quarter, prices for soybeans, wheat and soybean oil continued to deflate, though at a slower rate than in the fourth quarter of FY24. 
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44897010/chipotle-to-open-first-mexico-restaurant-by-2026">Chipotle To Open First Mexico Restaurant By 2026</a>
Coffee prices surged, increasing by 96.8% year-over-year, up from 56.8% in the fourth quarter. Beef inflation rose to 5.5%, compared to 1.3% in the previous quarter.
Cheese prices decreased by 1.8%, while dairy inflation slowed to 1.3%. Futures markets predict deflation in several commodities in the second quarter of 2025, but coffee, natural gas and beef are expected to see inflation, noted the analyst.
Restaurants index in the S&amp;P 500 is trading at 1.2x forward EPS, below its 5-year, 10-year and 15-year averages of 1.4x.
Industry data indicates a demand recovery in March after weak months in January and February. While consensus expectations for restaurants remain high, first-quarter results may fall short of estimates. 
Investors are focused on April trends and the potential impact of tariffs on consumer sentiment, traffic and COGS inflation.
So, keeping the above points in mind, the analyst has lowered the price targets for Bloomin&#8217; Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLMN#NASDAQ">BLMN</a>), Dutch Bros Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BROS#NYSE">BROS</a>), Cheesecake Factory Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAKE#NASDAQ">CAKE</a>), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRL#NASDAQ">CBRL</a>), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>), Krispy Kreme Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DNUT#NASDAQ">DNUT</a>), Domino&#8217;s Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPZ#NASDAQ">DPZ</a>), Brinker International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>), Jack In The Box Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JACK#NASDAQ">JACK</a>), McDonald&#8217;s Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>), Papa John&#8217;s International Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PZZA#NASDAQ">PZZA</a>), Restaurant Brands International Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QSR#NYSE">QSR</a>), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), Sweetgreen Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SG#NYSE">SG</a>), Shake Shack Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHAK#NYSE">SHAK</a>), Sysco Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYY#NYSE">SYY</a>), Texas Roadhouse Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXRH#NASDAQ">TXRH</a>), Wendy&#8217;s Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WEN#NASDAQ">WEN</a>), Wingstop Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WING#NASDAQ">WING</a>), and Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>).
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44895043/target-rolls-out-standalone-flower-brand-good-little-garden">Target Rolls Out Standalone Flower Brand &#8216;Good Little Garden&#8217;</a>
Photo: <a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/g/Rawpixel">Rawpixel.com</a> via Shutterstock

BROS

CBRL

DNUT

PZZA

Restaurant Sector Q1 Volatilty From Weather, Inflation — Analyst Lowers Price Targets

Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bullish stance on McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>).
And retail traders should know.
We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga.
Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know. But when something this big happens with MCD, it often means somebody knows something is about to happen.
So how do we know what these investors just did? 
Today, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga</a>'s options scanner spotted 29 uncommon options trades for McDonald's.
This isn't normal.
The overall sentiment of these big-money traders is split between 44% bullish and 44%, bearish.
Out of all of the special options we uncovered, 25 are puts, for a total amount of $1,535,684, and 4 are calls, for a total amount of $214,603.
<h3>Predicted Price Range</h3>
After evaluating the trading volumes and Open Interest, it's evident that the major market movers are focusing on a price band between $260.0 and $325.0 for McDonald's, spanning the last three months.
<h3>Insights into Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Examining the volume and open interest provides crucial insights into stock research. This information is key in gauging liquidity and interest levels for McDonald's's options at certain strike prices. Below, we present a snapshot of the trends in volume and open interest for calls and puts across McDonald's's significant trades, within a strike price range of $260.0 to $325.0, over the past month.
<h3>McDonald's 30-Day Option Volume &amp; Interest Snapshot</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745258434_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Largest Options Trades Observed:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th align="right">Open Interest</th>
<th align="right">Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$25.2</td>
<td>$24.95</td>
<td>$25.2</td>
<td>$315.00</td>
<td>$126.0K</td>
<td align="right">615</td>
<td align="right">50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$20.0</td>
<td>$19.6</td>
<td>$19.72</td>
<td>$320.00</td>
<td>$100.6K</td>
<td align="right">365</td>
<td align="right">269</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$20.0</td>
<td>$19.6</td>
<td>$19.76</td>
<td>$320.00</td>
<td>$100.6K</td>
<td align="right">365</td>
<td align="right">218</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$17.65</td>
<td>$17.2</td>
<td>$17.45</td>
<td>$320.00</td>
<td>$100.5K</td>
<td align="right">365</td>
<td align="right">57</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$21.85</td>
<td>$20.25</td>
<td>$21.85</td>
<td>$325.00</td>
<td>$100.5K</td>
<td align="right">409</td>
<td align="right">93</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About McDonald's</h3>
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2024 system sales of $131 billion across more than 43,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
Following our analysis of the options activities associated with McDonald's, we pivot to a closer look at the company's own performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of McDonald's</h3>
<ul>
<li>Currently trading with a volume of 1,015,201, the MCD's price is down by -1.67%, now at $306.1. </li>
<li>RSI readings suggest the stock is currently is currently neutral between overbought and oversold.</li>
<li>Anticipated earnings release is in 11 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on McDonald's</h3>
In the last month, 2 experts released ratings on this stock with an average target price of $326.5.
Turn $1000 into $1270 in just 20 days?
20-year pro options trader reveals his one-line chart technique that shows when to buy and sell. Copy his trades, which have had averaged a 27% profit every 20 days. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/options-moneyline-2/?t=Moop1arja3be22op14&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Citigroup persists with their Buy rating on McDonald's, maintaining a target price of $353. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Baird keeps a Neutral rating on McDonald's with a target price of $300. 
Options trading presents higher risks and potential rewards. Astute traders manage these risks by continually educating themselves, adapting their strategies, monitoring multiple indicators, and keeping a close eye on market movements. Stay informed about the latest McDonald's options trades with real-time alerts from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>.

McDonald's Unusual Options Activity For April 21

McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 2.99% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 12.35%. Currently, McDonald's has a market capitalization of $221.48 billion. 
Buying $100 In MCD: If an investor had bought $100 of MCD stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $321.67 today based on a price of $310.00 for MCD at the time of writing.
<h3>McDonald's's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745244911_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In This Stock 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

Stock market expert Jon Erlichman recently shared a review of stock returns during the last six U.S. recessions, highlighting those that have performed well in difficult times.
In a video <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27Lm9FH-c70">post</a> and also on X, Erlichman shared his analysis of stock returns during the past six recessions in the U.S.
&#8220;The Great Recession, which was longer from 2007 to 2009. We added in the dot-com recession, the recession in the early 90s, and the recessions in the early 80s. So you look at that, you start to get a better sample size,&#8221; he said. 
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">We reviewed stock returns in the past 6 U.S. recessions. Here's a list of stocks that have navigated well during tough times. <a href="https://t.co/vPPsxp9UUE">https://t.co/vPPsxp9UUE</a>
&mdash; Jon Erlichman (@JonErlichman) <a href="https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status/1913326228255232100?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 18, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
In alphabetical order, he mentioned about stock number one, AutoZone (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AZO#NYSE">AZO</a>). He said that AutoZone is a great example of a stock that has done well during past recessions. Stock number two was Clorox (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLX#NYSE">CLX</a>). He said that Clorox is a great example of a stock that did well during the last recession.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/03/44550770/study-investor-fears-of-crash-could-actually-fuel-stock-market-performance">Study: Investor Fears of Crash Could Actually Fuel Stock Market Performance</a>
The other recession proof stocks he suggested were, General Mills (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GIS#NYSE">GIS</a>), IBM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>), Johnson &amp; Johnson (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JNJ#NYSE">JNJ</a>), J.M. Smucker (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SJM#NYSE">SJM</a>), McDonald&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>), Newmont (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>), Netflix (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NFLX#NASDAQ">NFLX</a>), O&#8217;Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORLY#NASDAQ">ORLY</a>), Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHW#NYSE">SHW</a>), and Walmart (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>). 
&#8220;And if you go back through all these six recessions, this is the stock that really stands out as a recession-proof stock. Now, of course, we&#8217;ve got the tariff uncertainty right now. That&#8217;s not great for retailers, but Walmart executives have already come out,&#8221; he said in the post. 
The analysis shared by Erlichman is particularly relevant in the current economic climate. With ongoing market volatility and uncertainty, investors are constantly on the lookout for stocks that can weather economic downturns. 
Erlichman&#8217;s review offers a historical perspective on stocks that have demonstrated resilience in the face of recessions, potentially guiding investors towards more stable investment options during turbulent times.
Read Next
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Image: Shutterstock/iQoncept

NFLX

ORLY

Stocks That Weathered Past Recessions: Expert Shares Picks That Withstood Every Downturn

McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 20 years by 4.52% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 12.41%. Currently, McDonald's has a market capitalization of $222.41 billion. 
Buying $1000 In MCD: If an investor had bought $1000 of MCD stock 20 years ago, it would be worth $10,280.71 today based on a price of $311.30 for MCD at the time of writing.
<h3>McDonald's's Performance Over Last 20 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744932614_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much $1000 Invested In McDonald's 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

<ul>
<li>CNN reports that casual dining chains are in crisis, as evidenced by a 0.9% drop in sales over 2024</li>
<li>One contributing factor to the decline is rising prices, which have gone up by 34% over the last five years</li>
<li>Meanwhile, fast-casual restaurants have seen a 0.6% increase in sales, and fast food restaurants have seen a 1% increase in sales</li>
</ul>
Casual dining chains, a staple of the American restaurant industry, are facing a crisis, according to <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/04/business/hooters-red-lobster-tgi-fridays/index.html">CNN</a>. Four well-known establishments—TGI Fridays, Red Lobster, Hooters and Buca di Beppo— have iled for bankruptcy in the last few months. And several others, like Applebee's, Denny's (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DENN#NASDAQ">DENN</a>), Outback Steakhouse, Bonefish Grill, Red Robin Gourmet Burger.(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RRGB#NASDAQ">RRGB</a>), and Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRL#NASDAQ">CBRL</a>), have seen a sharp drop in sales.&nbsp;
This downturn, CNN reports, is due to a number of factors, including hiking prices, shrinking incomes, and general mismanagement.
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Chains like Red Robin and TGI Fridays have long been favorites among lower and middle-income families who want a sit-down dinner without a several-hundred-dollar price tag. But as disposable incomes shrink and the threat of a recession increases, CNN says, these diners find themselves less willing to spring for a full meal out. Instead, they're opting to cook at home or visit fast food and fast casual chains like McDonald&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>).&nbsp;
Data from the <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SEFV">US Bureau of Labor Statistics</a> also shows that restaurant prices have increased 34% since 2019, outpacing the overall growth of inflation. This has undoubtedly played a role in the 0.9% drop in sales at casual dining chains in 2024, that CNN reports, as well as the 0.6% and 1% increases at fast casual and fast food chains, respectively, where prices are already more affordable.
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But shrinking incomes and rising prices aren't the only reasons these dining institutions are struggling. Strategy mistakes and a reluctance to invest in location and service updates have also marred the chains' once-bright futures. For example, Hooters' racy atmosphere and reputation have become less appealing to diners over the few years, contributing to decreased sales. One of its prospective buyers recently told <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-03-27/hooters-bankruptcy-founders-to-welcome-families-end-bikini-nights?embedded-checkout=true">Bloomberg</a> it intends to give the establishment a family-friendly makeover. Only time will tell if the revamp will be enough or too little, too late.&nbsp;
Clarence Otis Jr., a former CEO of Darden Restaurants (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRI#NYSE">DRI</a>), told CNN the struggling chains "got dated in terms of their menu offering, the look and feel of the restaurants, and how they reach consumers."&nbsp;
See Also: It&#8217;s no wonder Jeff Bezos holds over $250 million in art — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/masterworks">this alternative asset has outpaced the S&amp;P 500 since 1995, delivering an average annual return of 11.4%. Here&#8217;s how everyday investors are getting started.</a>
While many chain restaurants are struggling, a few have managed to find the right recipe. Chili's, Olive Garden, and Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXRH#NASDAQ">TXRH</a>) are all seeing rising profits, thanks to their investments in labor and facilities and their dedication to keeping prices low, according to CNN.&nbsp;
Chili's, CNN says, has invested $400 million into their restaurants, simplifying the menu, adding more staff, and renovating existing locations. As a result, it's gone viral on social media apps like TikTok and has increased sales by 31% over the last quarter, its third consecutive quarter of double-digit sales growth.&nbsp;
"There's a widening gap between winners and losers in the casual dining category," and "brands that are investing in labor and the quality of guest experience are winning," Raymond James analyst Brian Voccaro told CNN.&nbsp;
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Personal Finance

DENN

RRGB

The End Of Casual Dining? Chain Restaurants Shutter By The Hundreds As Prices Increase By 34%

Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bearish stance on McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>).
And retail traders should know.
We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga.
Whether this is an institution or just a wealthy individual, we don't know. But when something this big happens with MCD, it often means somebody knows something is about to happen.
Today, Benzinga's options scanner spotted 11 options trades for McDonald's.
This isn't normal.
The overall sentiment of these big-money traders is split between 27% bullish and 45%, bearish.
Out of all of the options we uncovered, 10 are puts, for a total amount of $520,310, and there was 1 call, for a total amount of $75,500.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
After evaluating the trading volumes and Open Interest, it's evident that the major market movers are focusing on a price band between $250.0 and $320.0 for McDonald's, spanning the last three months.
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
In today's trading context, the average open interest for options of McDonald's stands at 890.43, with a total volume reaching 881.00. The accompanying chart delineates the progression of both call and put option volume and open interest for high-value trades in McDonald's, situated within the strike price corridor from $250.0 to $320.0, throughout the last 30 days.
<h3>McDonald's Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744383642_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Biggest Options Spotted:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th align="right">Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$30.8</td>
<td>$28.55</td>
<td>$30.0</td>
<td>$300.00</td>
<td>$150.0K</td>
<td>796</td>
<td align="right">52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$77.1</td>
<td>$73.55</td>
<td>$75.5</td>
<td>$250.00</td>
<td>$75.5K</td>
<td>5</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/11/25</td>
<td>$4.7</td>
<td>$4.25</td>
<td>$4.7</td>
<td>$310.00</td>
<td>$51.7K</td>
<td>1.2K</td>
<td align="right">345</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$21.7</td>
<td>$19.65</td>
<td>$21.7</td>
<td>$320.00</td>
<td>$49.9K</td>
<td>135</td>
<td align="right">46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MCD</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$20.5</td>
<td>$19.3</td>
<td>$19.89</td>
<td>$320.00</td>
<td>$49.7K</td>
<td>135</td>
<td align="right">97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About McDonald's</h3>
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2024 system sales of $131 billion across more than 43,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
After a thorough review of the options trading surrounding McDonald's, we move to examine the company in more detail. This includes an assessment of its current market status and performance.
<h3>Current Position of McDonald's</h3>
<ul>
<li>With a trading volume of 775,510, the price of MCD is down by -0.18%, reaching $306.22.</li>
<li>Current RSI values indicate that the stock is may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Next earnings report is scheduled for 18 days from now.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on McDonald's</h3>
Over the past month, 3 industry analysts have shared their insights on this stock, proposing an average target price of $329.33.
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20-year pro options trader reveals his one-line chart technique that shows when to buy and sell. Copy his trades, which have had averaged a 27% profit every 20 days. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/options-moneyline-2/?t=Moop1arja3be22op14&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Citigroup has decided to maintain their Buy rating on McDonald's, which currently sits at a price target of $353. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Morgan Stanley persists with their Overweight rating on McDonald's, maintaining a target price of $335. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Baird keeps a Neutral rating on McDonald's with a target price of $300. 
Trading options involves greater risks but also offers the potential for higher profits. Savvy traders mitigate these risks through ongoing education, strategic trade adjustments, utilizing various indicators, and staying attuned to market dynamics. Keep up with the latest options trades for McDonald's with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a> for real-time alerts.

McDonald's Unusual Options Activity For April 11

The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NASDAQ">XLY</a>) pulled back Thursday, falling 3.9% to $187.90 during afternoon trading as investors took profits <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44720903/nasdaq-100-eyes-strongest-day-since-2008-as-magnificent-seven-add-15-trillion-in-historic-market-rally">following a dramatic surge</a> Wednesday.
What To Know: The ETF, which tracks leading U.S. consumer discretionary stocks, had soared over 11% on Wednesday—its strongest single-day performance since 2020—driven by President Donald Trump's announcement of a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44723376/goldman-sachs-scraps-recession-call-after-trumps-surprise-tariff-pause-as-wall-street-marks-strongest-day-since-2008">90-day pause on additional tariffs</a> for non-retaliating countries.
XLY's top holdings include Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Home Depot Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HD#NYSE">HD</a>) and McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>). These companies are highly sensitive to consumer spending trends, input costs and trade policy—all of which were front and center in this week's macroeconomic shifts.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44748635/stocks-bounce-off-session-lows-after-trump-says-china-deal-is-going-to-work-out">China Deal Is &#8216;Going To Work Out,&#8217; Trump Says As Stocks Bounce From Session Lows</a>
What Else: Despite the marked pullback, Thursday's economic data further supported the bullish backdrop. The March Consumer Price Index revealed that inflation had cooled more than expected. 
Headline inflation fell to 2.4% year-over-year—its lowest reading since September—while core inflation eased to 2.8%, also below expectations. The monthly CPI even posted a rare 0.1% decline, reinforcing optimism that consumer price pressures are subsiding.
For discretionary names, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/04/44733390/march-inflation-rate-cools-far-more-than-expected-raises-hopes-for-near-term-fed-rate-cuts">lower inflation</a> translates to stronger real spending power and potentially higher margins—particularly important for retailers and automakers navigating tight pricing environments. However, the sector's outsized rally on Wednesday potentially left it, as well as the broader market, vulnerable to short-term profit-taking.
Thursday's selling also likely reflects a natural breather after an aggressive move higher, as markets digest whether the tariff pause and inflation surprise mark a turning point—or just temporary relief—for consumer-focused stocks.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/25/04/44748831/bitcoin-back-below-80000-after-relief-rally-whats-next">Bitcoin Back Below $80,000 After Relief Rally: What&#8217;s Next?</a>
According to data from <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>, XLY has a 52-week high of $240.28 and a 52-week low of $166.60.

Amazon and McDonald's Lead XLY Pullback As Consumer Stocks Dip After Tariff-Driven Rally

McDonald's Recommends Shareholders Vote Against Shareholder Proposal On Advisory Vote To Revisit DEI In Executive Compensation At AGM

Baird analyst David Tarantino maintains McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $310 to $300.

Baird Maintains Neutral on McDonald's, Lowers Price Target to $300

WIIM

Shares of dining and leisure stocks are trading lower as concerns over tariffs and inflation cloud consumer spending outlook.

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<li>TSLA</li>
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<a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

ASIA

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MAGA

NVDA

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Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of April 3, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

Citigroup analyst Jon Tower maintains McDonald's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $360 to $353.

Citigroup Maintains Buy on McDonald's, Lowers Price Target to $353

Press Releases

SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of McDonald's Corporation - MCD

Arcos Dorados and McDonald's Renew Master Franchise Agreement for 20 Years

Contracts

Cognizant and McDonald's Renew Strategic Partnership to Transform Global Enterprise Systems, Focus on AI & Cloud Solutions

McDonald's Reveals Final Rosters for the 48th Annual All American Games

Dividends

McDONALD'S ANNOUNCES QUARTERLY CASH DIVIDEND

McDONALD'S REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2024 RESULTS

Entertainment

The World Is Yours to Build: McDonald's USA Unlocks A Minecraft Movie Meal and Happy Meal

ARCO

CTSH

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Arcos Dorados Holdings

Aramark

BJ's Restaurants

Dutch Bros

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Cheesecake Factory

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Cracker Barrel Old

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Common Stock

Chipotle Mexican Grill

DoorDash

Krispy Kreme

Domino's Pizza

Darden Restaurants

Brinker International

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. - Common Stock

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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. - American Depositary Shares

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Kura Sushi USA, Inc. - Class A Common Stock

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Papa John's International, Inc. - Common Stock

Papa John's International

Starbucks

Sweetgreen

Shake Shack

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Wendy's

Wingstop

Yum Brands

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20年間で平均して、市場を3.11%上回ることにより、平均年率リターン11.51%を生み出してきたマクドナルド (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>) だが、現在、マクドナルドの時価総額は1772.8億ドルとなっている。
MCD社の20年間の実績投資家が20年前にMCD社の株を100ドル購入した場合、執筆時点でのMCD社株245.99ドルに基づくと、その価値は880.76ドルになる。
<h3>過去20年間のマクドナルドの業績</h3>
最後に&#8211;この全てのポイントは何か？この記事に関して最も重要な見解は、複利リターンが何年もの間におけるキャッシュの成長に与える影響を考察することです。
他のトレーダーより30分早く市場を動かす独占ニュースを入手 
Benzinga Proの14日間無料トライアルでは、独占ニュースへのアクセスが可能です。<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz2&amp;utm_source=bz-jap">こちら</a>をクリックして14日間の無料トライアルを開始してください。

売り上げを増やすため、マクドナルド（<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCD#NYSE">MCD</a>）は大きなバーガーの試験に成功したと発表しました。
このファーストフード大手は、ビジネスワイヤーが<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-30/mcdonald-s-mcd-to-test-bigger-burger-to-spark-traffic-growth">報告</a>したところによると、大きなバーガーを世界中の一部のマーケットで発売する計画です。
この動きは、マクドナルドが12月に発表し、特に牛肉を中心にしたコアメニューに焦点を当てた、より大きな成長戦略の一環です。
&#8220;当社が世界中からシェフを集め、満足できる大きさのバーガーを作り上げました&#8221;、最高財務責任者のイアン・ボーデン氏は火曜日、アナリストとの会話で述べています。マクドナルドは、このバーガーを世界中の一部のマーケットに導入し、それが世界的にアピールできるかを確認する予定だと彼は語りました。
関連ニュース
同社は、特に米国で需要の減速に悩まされており、今後は国内市場において手ごろな価格に集中する考えです。
この発表は、マクドナルドが4.6%の増収（前年比）で61.7億ドルという数字を発表し、<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/04/38520891/mcdonalds-bottomline-faces-the-heat-of-consumer-spending-cut-in-q1-shares-slide">分析家のコンセンサス予想</a>である61.55億ドルを上回る結果となった後になされたものです。
一方、カリフォルニア州のレストランは、ファーストフードの最低賃金が<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/04/38497057/california-restaurants-dish-out-price-hikes-menu-costs-reportedly-surge-amid-minimum-wage-increa">規制上の増加</a>に続いてメニューの価格を引き上げています。この物価の急増は、カリフォルニア州全域でいくつかのファーストフードやファストカジュアルなチェーンで観察されており、他の地域を上回る勢いを見せています。
マクドナルドは、これまでにもバーガーの提供について実験を行っており、<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/01/36588792/mcdonalds-double-big-mac-to-make-a-triumphant-return-with-noteworthy-upgrades-like-more-sauce-better">改良型ダブルビッグマック</a>などがその一例です。この改良型ダブルビッグマックは、コアバーガーの要素に手が加えられ、生産期間も限定されました。これらの期間限定のオファーは、顧客の関心を高め、他のファストフードチェーンと競合するためのマーケティング戦略としてよく使われます。
写真提供：Shutterstock
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