最新ニュース Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) 株価情報

Meritage Homes

Meritage Homes Corp is engaged as a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. It has operations in three regions: West, Central, and East, which are comprised of ten states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Utah. The company operates with two principal business segments; homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segments are engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services and the financial services segment offer title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. The company generates key revenue from the homebuilding segment.

Meritage Homes Corp

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YUNHONG GUIXIN GROUP HLDG by YUNHONG GUIXIN GROUP HLDGS LTD.

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Shares of homebuilders and housing-linked stocks are trading higher amid a drop in yields.

Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>, "Meritage" or the "Company"))), the fifth-largest homebuilder in the U.S., today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a two-for-one stock split of Meritage's common stock in the form of a stock dividend. Each stockholder of record at the close of business on December 31, 2024 will receive one additional share of common stock for each share of common stock held, payable after the close of market on January 2, 2025. Trading will begin on a split-adjusted basis on January 3, 2025.

News

Stock Split

Meritage Homes Announces 2-For-1 Stock Split; Trading Will Begin On A Split-Adjusted Basis On January 3, 2025

Meritage also announced that its Board of Directors has approved a $250 million increase to the Company's share repurchase authorization. This increase combined with $15 million in systematic buybacks on a quarter to date basis brings the Company's total authorized share repurchase program to $334 million as of November 21, 2024.

Reported Earlier, Meritage Homes Declares $0.75 Dividend And Expands Share Buyback By $250M

Raymond James analyst Buck Horne downgrades Meritage Homes (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) from Outperform to Market Perform.

Downgrades

Analyst Ratings

Raymond James Downgrades Meritage Homes to Market Perform

Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Jade Rahmani maintains Meritage Homes (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) with a Market Perform and lowers the price target from $210 to $198.

Price Target

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Meritage Homes, Lowers Price Target to $198

Macro Economic Events

Macro Notification

Econ #s

Economics

General

MDCE

USA Pending Home Sales (MoM) For September 7.4% Vs 1.9% Est.; 0.6% Prior

Contracts

Meritage Homes Announced The Acquisition Of Over 5,500 Lots And Expects To Commence Production Operations Before The End Of 2024

Meritage Homes (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) is looking for Q4 GAAP EPS of $4.10-4.60 vs $4.97 analyst estimate..

Guidance

Meritage Homes Sees Q4 GAAP EPS $4.10-4.60 vs $4.97 Est

Meritage Homes Expects Q4 Home Closing Revenue Of $1.50B - $1.59B, EPS Of $4.10 - $4.60, Home Closing Volume Of 3,750 - 3,950 Units

Meritage Homes (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $5.34 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $4.97 by 7.44 percent. This is a 10.7 percent decrease over earnings of $5.98 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $1.588 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.58 billion by 0.56 percent. This is a 1.55 percent decrease over sales of $1.61 billion the same period last year.

Earnings

Earnings Beats

Meritage Homes Q3 2024 GAAP EPS $5.34 Beats $4.97 Estimate, Sales $1.588B Beat $1.58B Estimate

BLDR

Shares of homebuilders and housing-related stocks are trading lower in possible sympathy with D.R. Horton, which reported worse-than-expected Q4 EPS and sales.

Meritage Homes's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) short percent of float has fallen 3.31% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 964 thousand shares sold short, which is 3.8% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.87 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Meritage Homes Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1727278223_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Meritage Homes has declined since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to rise in the near-term but traders should be aware that less shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Meritage Homes's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Meritage Homes's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 5.83%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

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Looking Into Meritage Homes's Recent Short Interest

KB Home (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/kbh#NYSE">KBH</a>) is slated to report third-quarter fiscal 2024 results (ended Aug. 31) on Sept. 24, after the closing bell.
In the last reported quarter, KB Home&#39;s earnings and revenues beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 20.8% and 4.3%, respectively. On a year-over-year basis, earnings increased 11% on 3.4% lower revenues.
The company&#39;s earnings topped analysts&#39; expectations in 31 of the trailing 34 quarters.
<div class="chart_embed">
<h3>KB Home Price and EPS Surprise</h3>
<img alt="KB Home Price and EPS Surprise" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/charts/9d/1727092560.png" style="height:263px; width:538px" title="" />
KB Home price-eps-surprise | KB Home Quote
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<h2>How Are Estimates Placed for KBH?</h2>
For the quarter to be reported, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has remained unchanged at $2.04 per share over the past 60 days. The projected figure indicates an increase of 13.3% from the year-ago quarter&#39;s earnings of $1.80 per share.
The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $1.73 billion, implying growth of 8.8% from the prior-year quarter.
<h2>What the Zacks Model Unveils for KB Home</h2>
Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for KB Home this time around. This is because a stock needs to have the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen.
Earnings ESP: KB Home has an Earnings ESP of +0.08%.
Zacks Rank: KB Home currently has a Zacks Rank #3.
<h2>Factors to Shape KBH&#39;s Q3 Results</h2>
Revenues: KB Home&#39;s top line in third-quarter fiscal 2024 is likely to have increased, given higher Housing revenues primarily attributable to growth in deliveries and favorable pricing. The company has been benefiting from the strong buyer demand, particularly for built-to-order homes, despite the volatility in mortgage rates.
The company&#39;s focus on personalization and its ability to offer both quick move-in and personalized homes might have helped the company drive growth. KB Home has also been utilizing mortgage buydowns as a key component of its strategy to maintain strong sales amid fluctuating mortgage rates.
Although the company has not provided an explicit forecast for its third-quarter absorption pace, the positive momentum from the fiscal second quarter &mdash; driven by strong demand, shorter build times, and strategic pricing &mdash; suggests that the absorption pace is expected to remain solid in the fiscal third quarter. The company is focusing on balancing pace and pricing to optimize margins while still driving volume.
The company expects housing revenues in the range of $1.65-$1.75 billion compared with the year-ago figure of $1.57 billion. KBH anticipates the average selling price&nbsp;to be $482,000, indicating an increase from $466,300 reported a year ago.
Our model projects housing revenues to grow 9.1% year over year to $1.72 billion in the quarter. We expect ASP to increase 3.3% to $481,500. We expect total deliveries in the quartet to grow 5.6% year over year.
Margins: Although initiatives like the Returns-Focused Growth Plan and Built-to-Order approach are positives, increasing construction and labor costs are likely to put pressure on the bottom line.
The company anticipates that the housing gross margin for the third quarter of 2024 will decline between 21% and 21.4% (compared with 21.5% in the year-ago quarter). This projection accounts for the concessions provided to homebuyers in the latter half of last year, which were influenced by the challenging market conditions at that time and is expected to close in this quarter.
Selling, general &amp; administrative expenses (SG&amp;A), as a percentage of housing revenues, are likely to be 9.9%-10.3%. We expect SG&amp;A expenses to be 10.2% in the quarter, the same as the year-ago figure.
The company expects adjusted operating margin between 10.8% and 11.4%. Our model predicts the adjusted operating margin to be 10.9% in the quarter, down from 11.4% a year ago.
The company expects an effective tax rate of approximately 24% for the quarter.
Orders &amp; Backlogs: We anticipate that new orders will increase to 3,357 units, up 8.4% from the previous year. With a limited supply of pre-owned homes available, homebuyers are turning their attention to builders who have increased their construction efforts to meet the rising demand. KB Home, along with other homebuilding companies, has benefited significantly from this trend despite ongoing challenges.
We expect the backlog to be 6,062 units, implying a decline from 7,008 units reported in the prior-year quarter.
Meanwhile, our model predicts Financial Services revenues to be $8.3 million for the fiscal third quarter. We expect Financial Services pretax income to be $12.2 million in the quarter compared with the year-ago quarter&#39;s figure of $9.9 million.
<h2>KB Home&#39;s Price Performance &amp; Valuation</h2>
KBH&#39;s stock has exhibited an upward movement in the past six months.&nbsp;The stock has gained 27.5%, outperforming the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry&#39;s rise of 16.4% in the same time frame.
The company has also outperformed its peer companies like Meritage Homes Corporation&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mth#NYSE">MTH</a>) (up 21.6% in the past six months) and Taylor Morrison Home Corporation&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tmhc#NYSE">TMHC</a>) (up 16%).
<h2>6-Month Price Performance of KBH Stock</h2>
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/2d/78791.jpg?v=1075297864" />
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Technical indicators suggest continued strong performance for KBH. Notably, the 50-day SMA continues to read higher than the 200-day SMA, signaling the bullish trend.
<h2>KBH Stock Trades Above 50 and 200-Day Moving Average</h2>
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/55/78793.jpg?v=505003855" />
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
KBH stock is trading at a discount compared with the industry and slightly higher than its median. Despite the company&#39;s shares&#39; outperformance compared to its industry, KBH&#39;s current valuation is still considered undervalued. This might imply that the market has not yet fully recognized or priced in the company&#39;s potential growth prospects or earnings potential. The company is also trading currently at a discount compared to the industry&#39;s big shots like PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>).
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/6c/78792.jpg?v=689735686" />
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
<h2>How to Play KB Home Stock?</h2>
Investors may want to hold KB Home stock due to its resilience in a challenging housing market, driven by strategic pricing and effective inventory management. Despite industry headwinds like expensive mortgages and slowing demand, KB Home has maintained strong financial performance through a focus on affordability and margin optimization. The company&#39;s BTO model has contributed to positive inventory dynamics, supporting confidence in their margin guidance for the second half of 2024.
While the recent Federal Reserve rate cut to 4.75%-5% may provide some market relief, its full impact on homebuilding remains uncertain, as mortgage rates may have already factored in the anticipated cut. Additionally, rising land costs, competition from the resale market, and supply chain disruptions pose challenges to the company&#39;s growth potential.
Though KB Home&#39;s stock has shown strength with a solid 50-day moving average and discounted valuation, a lack of upward estimate revisions in the past two months signals limited near-term upside. Investors might consider holding the stock while waiting for more favorable market conditions and further clarity on KB Home&#39;s long-term performance.
KB Home&#39;s operational resilience and strategic focus in a difficult environment make it a stock worth holding, although potential investors may opt for caution until clearer signals of stability emerge in both the company&#39;s performance and broader market trends.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2339964/should-you-buy-sell-or-hold-kb-home-before-q3-earnings?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_preview-2339964">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

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Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold KB Home Before Q3 Earnings?

Lennar Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/len#NYSE">LEN</a>) reported third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, wherein its earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
On a year-over-year basis, revenues increased, given the company&#39;s emphasis on maintaining a steady production rate to drive sales momentum. Lennar strategically utilized pricing, incentives, marketing expenditure and dynamic pricing insights to ensure steady sales volume despite fluctuations in interest rates.
However, earnings fell by a cent from the year-ago period. LEN&#39;s stock plunged 2.4% in the after-hours trading session on Sept. 19. Investors&#39; sentiments might have been hurt by lower earnings and gross margin in the fiscal third quarter, as well as tepid fiscal fourth-quarter guidance.
<h2>Quarterly Numbers</h2>
LEN reported adjusted earnings per share (excluding mark-to-market gains on technology investments and one-time items in its Multifamily segment) of $3.90, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.62 by 7.7%. The metric, however, slipped 0.3% year over year from $3.91 per share.
<div class="chart_embed">
<h3>Lennar Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise</h3>
<img alt="Lennar Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/charts/fa/1726841318.png" style="height:265px; width:589px" title="" />
Lennar Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Lennar Corporation Quote
Revenues of $9.42 billion topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.29 billion by 1.4% and rose 7.9% year over year from $8.73 billion.
</div>
<h2>Segment Details</h2>
Homebuilding: Revenues of the segment totaled $9.05 billion, up 8.7% from the prior-year quarter. Under the Homebuilding umbrella, home sales contributed $9.02 billion to total revenues, up 8.8% from a year ago.
Land sales accounted for $19.5 million, down from $20.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The Other homebuilding unit contributed $8.6 million to homebuilding revenues, down from $12.3 million a year ago.
Home deliveries for the reported quarter improved 16% from the year-ago level to 21,516 units. The reported figure was better than our projection of 20,598 units for the quarter. The average sales price&nbsp;of homes delivered was $422,000, down 5.8% from the year-ago figure due to pricing to market through an increased use of incentives and product mix. Our model had predicted ASP to be $432,910 for the fiscal third quarter.
New orders rose 5% from the year-ago quarter to 20,587 homes. However, the potential value of net orders fell 0.9% year over year to $8.56 billion.
Backlog at the fiscal third-quarter end declined 20.5% from the year-ago quarter to 16,944 homes. Potential housing revenues from backlog decreased 21.4% year over year to $7.75 billion.
The gross margin on home sales was 22.5% for the quarter, down 190 basis points (bps). Notably, the reported figure came below our projection of 23% for the quarter. The decline was mainly due to decreased revenues per square foot and increased land costs year over year.
SG&amp;A expenses &mdash; as a percentage of home sales &mdash; decreased 30 bps to 6.7% due to a decrease in broker commissions and benefits of LEN&#39;s technology efforts.
Financial Services: The segment&#39;s revenues increased year over year to $273.3 million from $266.2 million for the reported quarter. Operating earnings for the quarter increased to $144.4 million from $149 million a year ago.
Lennar Multi-Family: Revenues of $93.4 million in the segment were down from $137.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The segment registered operating earnings of $78.9 million for the quarter against a loss of $8.7 million a year ago.
Lennar Other: The segment&#39;s revenues totaled $3.6 million, significantly down from $7.4 million a year ago. Its operating earnings were $20.1 million for the quarter against a loss of $26.2 million a year ago.
<h2>Financials</h2>
At the fiscal third-quarter end, Lennar had homebuilding cash and cash equivalents of $4.04 billion, down from $6.27 billion at the end of fiscal 2023. LEN has no outstanding borrowings under the $2.2 billion revolving credit facility, thereby providing $6.2 billion of liquidity.
The total homebuilding debt was $2.26 billion as of the fiscal third-quarter end, down from $2.82 billion at the fiscal 2023-end. Homebuilding debt to capital at the fiscal third-quarter end was 7.6%, down from 9.6% at the fiscal 2023-end.
LEN repurchased 3.4 million shares for $519 million in the fiscal third quarter.
<h2>Guidance</h2>
For fourth-quarter fiscal 2024, the company expects deliveries within 22,500-23,000 homes, depicting a fall from 23,795 homes delivered in the year-ago period. The company expects the ASP of the delivered units to be nearly $425,000, down from an ASP of $441,000 reported a year ago.
The gross margin on home sales is expected to be flat year over year. SG&amp;A expenses, as a percentage of home sales, are likely to be in the range of 6.7-6.8% for the quarter. In the prior year, gross margin was 24.2%, and SG&amp;A was 6.6%.
New orders are likely to be within 19,000-19,300 units, up from 17,366 homes reported a year ago.
Financial Services operating earnings are expected to be around $140 million, down from $168 million a year ago.
<h2>LEN&#39;s Zacks Rank &amp; Stocks to Consider</h2>
Lennar currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Some better-ranked stocks in the same space are M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mho#NYSE">MHO</a>), Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mth#NYSE">MTH</a>)&nbsp;and PulteGroup, Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>). Each stock presently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
M/I Homes is a Columbus, OH-based homebuilder that engages in the construction and sale of single-family residential homes.
MHO&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $19.76 from $19.58 over the past 30 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average being 4.8%. MHO&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 21.9% year over year in 2024.
Meritage Homes is a Scottsdale, AZ-based company that designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes.
MTH&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $21.09 from $20.33 over the past 60 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, the average being 21.5%. MTH&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 5.8% year over year in 2024.
PulteGroup is an Atlanta, GA-based homebuilder engaged in homebuilding and financial services businesses.
PHM&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $13.36 from $12.85 over the past 60 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, the average being 10%. PHM&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 14% year over year in 2024.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2339343/lennar-q3-earnings-revenues-beat-stock-down-on-tepid-q4-view?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_article-2339343">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Lennar Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat, Stock Down on Tepid Q4 View

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Shares of housing-related stocks are trading higher after the Fed policy decision to cut rates by 50 basis points, which could help curb housing unaffordability and increase demand.

CVCO

Shares of household durable companies are trading higher following strong New Home Sales economic data for July. Also, the sector may be moving in sympathy with the market after Fed Chair Powell offered an optimistic U.S. economic outlook and indicated future rate cuts.

Shares of homebuilders are trading higher in sympathy with Toll Brothers, which reported better-than-expected Q3 financial results and issued guidance above estimates.

The housing market is in flux, with home prices at record highs amid a demand and supply imbalance. Elevated mortgage rates – seen as a function of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/08/40365730/july-inflation-rate-falls-more-than-expected-supports-hopes-for-large-fed-rate-cu">interest rates at a 22-year high</a> and inflation, which is eating away into disposable income – are constraining purchases. In the wake of all this, NextEra Energy, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEE#NYSE">NEE</a>) CEO John Ketchum recently lauded Florida as a thriving market for housing as well as commercial and industrial construction.
The Florida Housing Market: The Sunshine State has the distinction of being the biggest housing market in the country. Despite California having the twice as many residents, Florida has nearly double the number of home listings, <a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/florida-housing-market-condos-home-prices-coast-inland/">said</a> Realtor.com in a recent report. It is a bellwether state &#8220;consistently attracting people from around the globe due to its significant tax advantages, perfect weather, and booming economy,&#8221;  Jenny Lenz, the managing director of Dolly Lenz Real Estate, told the website.
The report characterized the housing market in the state as split, with condominium prices on the coasts falling due to high insurance costs and assessment fees, while single-family home cost remained steady inland.
Recent data from Redfin showed that the median sale price of a home in Florida rose 2.3% year-over-year to $419,200, lower than the nationwide median price of $426,900. Although marking a decline from the April 2024 peak, home prices are still near the record levels, the real-estate company said. That said, the number of homes sold fell 14.1%, while inventory rose 16%.
While all roads led to Florida following the pandemic due to the state&#8217;s pulling points, things are changing now, a U.S. News report <a href="https://realestate.usnews.com/real-estate/articles/is-floridas-housing-market-in-trouble">said</a>. The deterrents are the expensive homeowner&#8217;s insurance due to hurricane threat in the state, higher home prices and the increase in property taxes.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-real-estate-stocks-right-now">Best Real Estate Stocks Right Now</a>
Commercial Real Estate &#8211; Risks &amp; Opportunities: After a tough year in 2023, the commercial real estate market nationwide is expected to bounce back this year as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates this year.
A report from the National Association of Realtors <a href="http://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/2024-03-commercial-real-estate-market-insights-03-26-2024.pdf">noted</a> a troubled office sector, with falling lending activity and rising office availability and delinquencies. The office vacancy rate nationwide rose to a new record of 13.8% in February, it said. Leasing activity, a proxy for demand and interest, has dropped about 50 percentage points below pre-pandemic levels. Among other commercial real estate segments, multi-family was recovering from lows, retail spaces continued to slowdown and the industrial segment is showing signs of a slowdown.
NAR&#8217;s report flagged a sharp increase in rent for industrial spaces in Florida cities such as Orlando, Jacksonville and Tampa, with the spike attributed to strong demand for warehouse properties. The increases are in the magnitude of 10% from last year, it said.
That said, there is a looming risk. The low financing costs buyers are availing now could soon become a thing of the past, <a href="https://www.godfreylegal.com/what-2024-will-bring-for-commercial-real-estate-in-florida/#:~:text=2024%20will%20not%20be%20all,soon%20come%20to%20an%20end.">said</a> Godfrey Legal. It reasoned that many loans on commercial properties will mature later this year and in the upcoming year, with about $1.5 trillion in commercial real estate debt maturing. The terms of fresh loans or refinancing will likely be tougher, 
Corporates Make Beeline To Florida: Companies, especially big techs, which typically are based out of either the Silicon Valley or New York, are looking toward Florida, with many already having made the move. Ken Griffin's Citadel and Citadel Securities have permanently moved their headquarters to Miami. Amazon founder Jeff Bezos has shifted base out of Seattle to Florida, citing the need to be near his space venture Blue Origin.
Defense contractor Lockheed Martin has relocated its Space division headquarters to Titusville, Florida. JPMorgan has doubled down its presence in the state. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39457393/what-going-on-with-jp-morgan-shares-today">The big bank said in June that its downtown Miami office will double in size</a> from 80,000 square feet to 160,000 square feet in part to accommodate 400 additional employees. &#8220;Miami and South Florida are home to an increasing number of our clients, customers, community partners and employees, and a strategic location for our operations in Latin America as well,&#8221; said Jonathan Bello, head of Chase for Business Miami.
Florida is the fourth biggest state in terms of GDP, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis. The state also boasts of the highest population growth and it attracts remote workers due to the low cost of living, especially in northeast Florida, <a href="https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbesbusinesscouncil/2022/06/22/three-reasons-why-my-company-is-moving-to-florida/">said </a>Forbes contributor Gilda D&#8217;Incerti.
Potential Beneficiaries: With industry players and watchers betting on Florida&#8217;s housing and commercial real estate markets, real estate and utility companies operating in the state stand to gain big. Commercial real estate services and investment&nbsp;company, CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRE#NYSE">CBRE</a>), Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JLL#NYSE">JLL</a>) and Cushman &amp; Wakefield plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CWK#NYSE">CWK</a>), homebuilder Lennar Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) and M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MHO#NYSE">MHO</a>), LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LGIH#NASDAQ">LGIH</a>) and Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) have big presence in the state.
Among utility companies operating in Florida are NextEra and Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DUK#NYSE">DUK</a>).
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/08/40431571/florida-and-texas-could-reap-huge-benefits-if-harris-wins-according-to-grant-cardone-they-protect-th">Florida And Texas Could Reap Huge Benefits If Harris Wins, According To Grant Cardone. &#8216;They Protect The Property Owner&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

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NextEra CEO Talks Up Florida Property Market: A Sunshine State Ray Of Hope?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tol#NYSE">TOL</a>) is scheduled to report third-quarter fiscal 2024&nbsp; (ended Jul 31, 2024) results on Aug 20, after the closing bell.
In the last reported quarter, the company&#39;s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.2%, but revenues beat the mark by 12.6%. Earnings and revenues increased 18.6% and 13.2% from the prior-year period, respectively.
On an encouraging note, earnings topped analysts&#39; expectations in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on another occasion, the average surprise being 12.9%.
<h3>Trend in Estimate Revision</h3>
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fiscal third-quarter earnings per share increased to $3.28 from $3.25 over the past 60 days. The said figure indicates a 12.1% decline from the year-ago EPS of $3.73.
The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $2.7 billion, indicating 0.3% year-over-year growth.
<div class="chart_embed">
<h3>Toll Brothers Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3>
<img alt="Toll Brothers Inc. Price and EPS Surprise" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/charts/6e/1723708230.png" style="height:294px; width:610px" title="" />
Toll Brothers Inc. price-eps-surprise | Toll Brothers Inc. Quote
</div>
<h3>Factors to Note</h3>
Toll Brothers&#39; fiscal third-quarter home sales are expected to have increased slightly from the year-ago reported level, given higher deliveries. Although higher mortgage rates will impact the volumes to some extent, low-existing homes for sale have been driving demand for new homes in the market. This tailwind is likely to have helped the company drive growth.
This apart, its focus on luxury move-up buyers, who already possess a residence and are looking to shift to larger and better homes, will somewhat contribute to the revenues. Toll Brothers has been enjoying greater pricing power than other homebuilding companies, as luxury homebuyers are less sensitive to price changes. The company has also been benefiting from the strategy of broadening its product lines, price points and geographies, along with spec sales.
On the fiscal second-quarter earnings call, TOL stated that it expects higher home deliveries within 2,750-2,850 units from 2,524 units delivered in the prior-year quarter (considering the midpoint) at an average price of $950,000-$960,000 (suggesting a decline from $1,059,100 a year ago).
Higher land, labor and raw material costs, along with high incentives, are expected to put pressure on the fiscal third-quarter margins. Toll Brothers expects the adjusted home sales gross margin to be 27.7%, implying a decrease from 29.3% reported in the year-ago period. SG&amp;A expenses are estimated to be 9.2% of home sales revenues, indicating a rise from 8.6% reported in the year-ago period. The company expects the effective tax rate to be 26%. 
Our Estimates 
Our model predicts home sales revenues to decline 0.7% year over year to $2.66 billion due to a lower ASP projection of $955,300 (down 9.9% year over year). We expect deliveries to grow 10.1% year over year to 2,779 units in the quarter.
We expect net signed contracts to be around 2,904 units, indicating an improvement of 29.3% from the prior-year reported figure.
Our model predicts a backlog of 7,217 units, indicating a decline of 1.1% from the year-ago period. The same for the backlog (in values) is pegged at $7.57 billion, implying a decline of 3.9% from the $7.87 million recorded at the third quarter of fiscal 2023-end.
<h3>What Our Quantitative Model Predicts</h3>
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Toll Brothers this time around. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. Unfortunately, this is not the case here, as you will see below.
Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP, which represents the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, is 0.00%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they&#39;re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3.
<h3>Peer Releases</h3>
Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mth#NYSE">MTH</a>) reported impressive second-quarter 2024 results, wherein the earnings and total closing revenues topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate and grew year over year.
MTH&#39;s quarterly results were backed by resilient housing demand and the company&#39;s progress in delivering quick-turning and affordable move-in-ready homes. Meritage Homes now expects 14,750-15,500 home closings for the year, up from the prior expected range of 14,500-15,000. The closings are now likely to generate revenues between $6.1 billion and $6.3 billion, up from the priorly expected range of $6-$6.2 billion.
NVR, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/nvr#NYSE">NVR</a>) reported mixed second-quarter 2024 results, with earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate while Homebuilding revenues surpassed the same. On the other hand, both metrics increased on a year-over-year basis.
The upside was backed by improved demand trends, which resulted in higher settlements. Although the cancelation rate increased during the second quarter, growth in new orders and increased ASP of new orders are encouraging for the company&#39;s prospects. Settlements in the quarter were up 11% year over year to 5,659 units. New orders increased 3% from the prior-year quarter&#39;s level to 6,067 units. On a unit basis, backlog at the end of Jun 30, 2024, improved 3% from the prior-year quarter&#39;s figure to 11,597 homes and 6% on a dollar basis to $5.45 billion.
PulteGroup Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>) reported stellar results in the second quarter of 2024, wherein earnings and revenues handily beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate. On a year-over-year basis, both the bottom and top lines increased.
PHM saw significant benefits from key factors that drove its success. The company&#39;s balanced operating model resulted in increases in closings, average sales price and gross margin, which collectively led to a 19.3% increase in EPS. Effective management of sales price, pace and starts on a community-by-community basis enabled the company to achieve high returns on invested capital and equity, evidenced by a 27.1% return on equity over the past 12 months.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2322401/toll-brothers-tol-to-post-q3-earnings-what-s-in-the-cards?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_preview-2322401">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Toll Brothers' to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

Wolfe Research analyst Truman Patterson upgrades Meritage Homes (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTH#NYSE">MTH</a>) from Peer Perform to Outperform and announces $230 price target.

Upgrades

Wolfe Research Upgrades Meritage Homes to Outperform, Announces $230 Price Target

Real estate stocks fail to catch fire despite Trump's election victory

Raymond James downgraded Meritage Homes (MTH) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target In the wake of Tuesday's election results, t...

Meritage Homes downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James

Meritage (MTH – Research Report) received a Hold rating and price target from Raymond James analyst Buck Horne today. The company's shares closed y...

Raymond James downgrades Meritage (MTH) to a Hold

Meritage Homes downgraded at Raymond James citing near-term pressure on earnings

SA Asks: How will REITs, homebuilder stocks be impacted by the election?

In a report released today, Kenneth Zener from Seaport Global maintained a Sell rating on Meritage (MTH – Research Report), with a price target of ...

Seaport Global Keeps Their Sell Rating on Meritage (MTH)

Meritage Homes declares $0.75 dividend;$250M increase to share repurchase authorization

Meritage Homes declares $0.75 dividend; $250M increase to share repurchase authorization

Meritage Homes to conduct two-for-one stock split

Meritage Homes (MTH) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a two-for-one stock split of Meritage's common stock in the form of a stock...

Meritage Homes announces two-for-one stock split

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Press Releases

Meritage Homes Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

Meritage Homes Releases Fourth Annual Environmental, Social, and Governance Report

Operation Homefront Selects Two Military Families to Receive Mortgage-Free Meritage Homes in Austin and Charlotte

Meritage Homes Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast Scheduled for October 30, 2024

Management

Meritage Homes Appoints Erin Lantz to its Board of Directors

Homebuilders to Expand into Hutto

Meritage Homes reports third quarter 2024 results

Meritage Homes Announces Entry into the Gulf Coast Markets with Acquisition of the Assets of Elliott Homes

Meritage Homes Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend and $250M Increase to Share Repurchase Authorization

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