Norwegian Cruise Line 株価情報 (NYSE: NCLH)

最新ニュース Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) 株価情報

Norwegian Cruise Line

Norwegian Cruise Line is the world's third-largest publicly traded cruise company by berths (around 70,000). It operates 33 ships across three brands—Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas—offering both freestyle and luxury cruising. The company redeployed its entire fleet as of May 2022. With 12 passenger vessels on order among its brands through 2036, representing 37,500 incremental berths, Norwegian is increasing capacity faster than its peers, expanding its brand globally. Norwegian sails to around 700 global destinations.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

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NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:NCLH)は、2024会計年度第2四半期の売上が前年同期比7.6％増の4％増加で、238億3000万ドル（約2兆600万円）のコンセンサスを下回る237億2000万ドル（約2兆6000億円）を計上、強い決算を発表しました。

EBIDIA 決算発表を受け株価が上昇

General

運輸長官ピート・バティジェヂ氏は、ハリケーン「ベリル」の交通機関への影響について懸念を表明し、特に活発なハリケーン季節の開始に伴う飛行機の運行について懸念を示した。このハリケーンは、現在、大きな破壊をもたらしており、カリブ海への旅行にも影響を及ぼすと予想されている。

ドミニカ共和国周辺のハリケーン　運輸と飛行機に影響

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd

In a turbulent first half of 2025 for the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/travel">global travel sector</a>, Goldman Sachs sees an edge for investors: &#8220;premiumization.&#8221;
From lie-flat airline seats to luxury cruise cabins and high-end hotel brands, premium travel products have shown striking resilience to macroeconomic pressures—and companies leaning into this segment are emerging <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/travel-stocks">as the strongest performers.</a>
Premium travel is "increasingly driven by higher-income consumers less impacted by short-term macro volatility," said Goldman Sachs analyst Catherine O'Brien.
According to O'Brien, stocks most exposed to "premiumization" include Buy-rated Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALK#NYSE">ALK</a>), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Airlines: Premium Demand Leads</h3>
In a note shared Thursday, O'Brien highlighted that premium cabins outperformed economy in the first quarter across all major U.S. airlines.
Delta Air Lines posted a 6.8% year-over-year increase in premium revenue in the first quarter, while its main cabin revenue declined 1.2%. United Airlines reported international Polaris cabin revenue up 8% and Premium Plus up 5%.
Alaska Air said premium accounted for 34% of total revenue, with Hawaiian routes contributing a 17% jump in high-end bookings.
Airlines like JetBlue Airways Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBLU#NASDAQ">JBLU</a>) and American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) echoed similar trends, with premium class outperforming main cabin across both domestic and international routes.
This shift isn't just cyclical. Airlines have introduced more segmented products—from extra legroom economy to exclusive suites—making premium more accessible while preserving upsell potential. Delta's domestic first-class load factor jumped to 75%, from just 12% fifteen years ago.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Hotels: Luxury RevPAR Resilience</h3>
In lodging, luxury continues to drive performance.
Marriott International Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAR#NASDAQ">MAR</a>) said its luxury tier had the strongest occupancy and average daily rate (ADR) growth globally in the first quarter, while Hyatt Hotels Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/H#NYSE">H</a>) saw luxury RevPAR (revenue per available room) rise over 8%.
By contrast, Choice Hotels International Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHH#NYSE">CHH</a>) and Wyndham Hotels &amp; Resorts Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WH#NYSE">WH</a>), both focused on economy and midscale properties, slashed their 2025 outlooks by up to 300 basis points.
Premium hotel supply remains constrained due to higher construction costs and longer breakeven timelines, which support pricing power and margin sustainability. Growth in luxury RevPAR has led all chain scales for four straight quarters, with the first quarter of 2025 showing 7.5% year-over-year growth.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Cruise Lines: Premium Pricing Power</h3>
The cruise sector is also sailing toward premium. Goldman notes that Norwegian Cruise Line and Royal Caribbean Cruises have priced their newest ships at up to 60% premiums over older vessels.
For instance, Royal&#8217;s Icon of the Seas commands a 43% price premium, while NCLH's Norwegian Aqua leads with a 59% markup.
Premium cruise offerings such as "The Haven" suites on Norwegian ships continue to sell out early and achieve top customer satisfaction scores. RCL also noted that ships built after the Oasis class generate 2x the EBITDA of older ships.
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Photo: oneinchpunch/Shutterstock

Travel

JBLU

Premium Travel Demand Gives Airlines, Hotels And Cruises An Edge in 2025: Goldman Sachs

WIIM

Shares of cruise stocks are trading higher, possibly amid overall market strength after President Trump delayed 50% EU tariffs to July. The industry may also be experiencing a rise due to a surge in travel during Memorial Day weekend.

Bank of America Securities offered a cross-sector analysis of the leisure consumer space on Thursday, outlining recent performance <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">trends across several key segments.</a>
The firm notes that while trends vary by category, segments like cruises and premium travel continue to show steady performance, whereas more value-focused areas are facing weakness.
In the lodging sector, BofA notes that aggregated credit and debit card data for April spending showed a 3% year-over-year decline, in line with March figures.
The firm also sees weakness in its Las Vegas room rate survey, with forward rates down 11%.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45540545/jim-cramer-recommends-not-buying-mosaic-doesnt-like-this-industrial-stock" rel="noreferrer noopener">Jim Cramer Recommends Not Buying Mosaic, Doesn't Like This Industrial Stock</a>
Analysts suggest that BofA's card data skews toward leisure spending and aligns with commentary from Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HLT#NYSE">HLT</a>), Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/H#NYSE">H</a>), and Marriott International (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAR#NASDAQ">MAR</a>), all of which noted softer low-end RevPAR trends.
In the timeshare segment, performance remains steady despite broader uncertainty.
On the ski front, Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTN#NYSE">MTN</a>) reported a 3% drop in ski visits this season, underperforming the overall industry, which was up 2%. The lag may be linked to softer non-pass lift ticket sales, which are typically booked during the season and carry a higher price.
Looking ahead to next season, while the number of passes sold is down, total dollars collected are up through April 20. BofA adds that Memorial Day is typically a key trigger for pass sales, but an uptick in web traffic has yet to materialize.
For cruise, BofA notes that based on aggregated monthly debit and credit card data, spending has slowed from the strong double-digit growth seen late last year to flat year-over-year in April.
While some of this decline may be attributed to the timing of Easter, economic uncertainty over the past few months has also likely played a role.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) specifically flagged a slowdown in booking activity, especially for longer European sailings. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) kept its full-year 2025 net yield guidance unchanged, breaking from the usual pattern of upward revisions.
Overall, cruise operators remain well booked for 2025 and still have time to secure additional bookings for 2026 as the year progresses, BofA notes.
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</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Markets

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Trading Ideas

Bank Of America Sees Mixed Signals In Leisure Sector, Highlights Strength In Premium Travel And Cruise Stability

I got into the investment business on a steady diet of Graham and Whitman. But that was the 1980s and early 1990s – the golden age of dealmakers and junk bonds, leveraged buyouts and greenmail. 
Long before the players became gentlemanly private equity titans and activist investors, they were raiders, vultures, and even, in one famous book about the RJR deal, barbarians.
Legendary fortunes were made, reputations created and shattered.
All of these high-return, high-flying strategies shared a common thread. Leveraged buyouts, distressed investing and risk arb were all just variations on the value investing theme.
The private equity giants of today are still doing this. Thanks to their quarterly filings, you can copy their investment approach—a strategy that has beaten the markets 4-to-1 since 2001.
Even the creation of the junk bond market was based on Michael Milken&#8217;s studies on the returns from buying undervalued lower-rated bonds, a strategy founded on basic value investing principles.
The big winners in all these strategies took value investing and added debt.
It was like adding nitro to the tank of a stock car. If you could control the vehicle at high speed through the corners, there was no race you couldn&#8217;t win.
Although the golden age of risk arb and the smaller investors&#8217; ability to compete in distressed debt are all behind us, we can still use the combination of debt and value investing to beat the index by a wide margin.
When the 13F filings come out every quarter, most of the short-attention-spans in the market today head for the same filings at the same time.
Warren, Cathie, Stanley, Tepper and Seth still get all the attention.
I may get around to those at some point, but one of the first places I turn is to the leading private equity firms.
Firms like Apollo Global Management (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APO#NYSE">APO</a>), Blackstone (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BX#NYSE">BX</a>) and KKR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>) still use basic principles of value investing along with a healthy dose of debt to drive massive returns for themselves and their investors.
What most people do not realize is that these firms also have large public securities portfolios, and stealing their ideas has created some massive market-beating opportunities.
If you had bought shares of Mr. Cooper (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COOP#NASDAQ">COOP</a>) when it first appeared in KKR&#8217;s public portfolio in 2018, you could have made almost ten times your money.
Buying shares of AppLovin (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APP#NASDAQ">APP</a>) when KKR first revealed its position would have resulted in gains of almost seven times your initial cost.
DoorDash (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DASH#NASDAQ">DASH</a>) would have delivered gains of 3x in just a few years.
Owning the firm&#8217;s top ten holdings since 2001 would have beaten the market by a 4-to-1 margin.
I do not care what the media darling investors bought last quarter. Tell me what the profit pirates at KKR own, and I can create an opportunity to score massive gains.
The current top ten holdings for KKR are:
BrightSpring Health Services (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTSG#NASDAQ">BTSG</a>) provides home and community-based health services to complex patients, positioning itself in a niche with long-term demographic tailwinds. The company is newly public and pursuing scale through both organic growth and targeted acquisitions in behavioral and specialty pharmacy segments.
Henry Schein (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HSIC#NASDAQ">HSIC</a>) is a global distributor of dental and medical supplies primarily serving small- and mid-sized practices. The company generates stable cash flow and has a long history of disciplined capital deployment, though growth is modest and sensitive to procedure volume trends.
BrightView (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BV#NYSE">BV</a>) is the largest commercial landscaping services provider in the U.S., with recurring maintenance revenue making up the majority of its business. Under new leadership, the firm is undergoing a restructuring push to improve margins and reduce debt after years of underperformance.
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KREF#NYSE">KREF</a>) is a commercial mortgage REIT focused on senior loans backed by institutional-grade real estate, primarily in urban markets. It offers a high dividend yield but remains exposed to office market weakness and refinancing risk in a higher-rate environment.
Madison Square Garden Sports (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSGS#NYSE">MSGS</a>) owns marquee sports franchises, including the New York Knicks and Rangers, offering investors a rare asset-backed play on professional sports. Valuation is driven more by franchise appreciation than earnings power, making it a long-duration, event-driven asset.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) is a leading cruise operator with a strong focus on premium and upscale offerings across its brand portfolio. The company is rebounding from pandemic-era disruptions, though it still carries significant leverage and remains sensitive to fuel and labor costs.
Bausch Health (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHC#NYSE">BHC</a>) is a diversified specialty pharmaceutical company with exposure to eye health, dermatology, and branded generics. However, the company is still burdened by high legacy debt. While it&#8217;s pursuing a turnaround strategy and asset divestitures, legal overhangs and weak cash flow remain headwinds.
FS KKR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSK#NYSE">FSK</a>) is one of the largest business development companies, focused on senior secured lending to middle-market companies with an emphasis on downside protection. It offers a double-digit yield and strong sponsor backing, though credit quality and NAV stability require close monitoring.
Crescent Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSGY#NYSE">CSGY</a>) is a cash-generating E&amp;P company with a private equity-backed structure and a focus on acquiring and optimizing mature, low-decline assets. The firm maintains a disciplined capital return framework and hedging strategy, making it a defensive upstream play with yield upside.
BridgeBio Pharma (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBIO#NASDAQ">BBIO</a>) is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing treatments for genetic diseases and cancers with clear genetic drivers. Its lead drug, Attruby (acoramidis), approved in late 2024 for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, significantly outperformed sales expectations in its first full quarter, positioning the company as a strong competitor in the cardiomyopathy treatment market.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Turn Market Mayhem Into Profit Signals This Memorial Day</h2>
Get real-time portfolio alerts, daily stock ideas, and a suite of pro-grade tools — all in one elite membership. For a limited time, you can access Benzinga Edge at 60% off. Secure Your 60% Memorial Day Discount <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-memorial-day-special/?utm_campaign=mdw-sale&amp;utm_adType=sponsorad&amp;utm_ad=RD052025/?el=ResearchDaily&amp;he={{email}}&amp;adt_ei={{email}}&amp;utm_medium=newsletter">HERE</a>.
Editorial content from our expert contributors is intended to be information for the general public and not individualized investment advice. Editors/contributors are presenting their individual opinions and strategies, which are neither expressly nor impliedly approved or endorsed by Benzinga.
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Opinion

BBIO

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COOP

CSGY

DASH

HSIC

KREF

MSGS

The Smart Money Is Buying These 10 Stocks

Analysts' ratings for Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) over the last quarter vary from bullish to bearish, as provided by 19 analysts.
The following table summarizes their recent ratings, shedding light on the changing sentiments within the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Analysts have set 12-month price targets for Norwegian Cruise Line, revealing an average target of $25.95, a high estimate of $36.00, and a low estimate of $18.00. Experiencing a 11.94% decline, the current average is now lower than the previous average price target of $29.47. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1747677683_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Investigating Analyst Ratings: An Elaborate Study</h2>
An in-depth analysis of recent analyst actions unveils how financial experts perceive Norwegian Cruise Line. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Patrick Scholes</td>
<td>Truist Securities</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$27.00</td>
<td>$35.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paul Golding</td>
<td>Macquarie</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$27.00</td>
<td>$31.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stephen Grambling</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$20.00</td>
<td>$21.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laura Champine</td>
<td>Loop Capital</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$24.00</td>
<td>$25.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Steven Wieczynski</td>
<td>Stifel</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$26.00</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Christopher Stathoulopoulos</td>
<td>Susquehanna</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$18.00</td>
<td>$27.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lizzie Dove</td>
<td>Goldman Sachs</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$20.00</td>
<td>$31.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brandt Montour</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$23.00</td>
<td>$32.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laura Champine</td>
<td>Loop Capital</td>
<td>Announces</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$25.00</td>
<td>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Steven Wieczynski</td>
<td>Stifel</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
<td>$36.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stephen Grambling</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$21.00</td>
<td>$22.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>David Katz</td>
<td>Jefferies</td>
<td>Announces</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$25.00</td>
<td>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stephen Grambling</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$22.00</td>
<td>$27.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Boss</td>
<td>JP Morgan</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ivan Feinseth</td>
<td>Tigress Financial</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Strong Buy</td>
<td>$36.00</td>
<td>$36.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andrew Didora</td>
<td>B of A Securities</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$26.00</td>
<td>$29.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paul Golding</td>
<td>Macquarie</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$31.00</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>James Hardiman</td>
<td>Citigroup</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$34.00</td>
<td>$32.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Daniel Politzer</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$28.00</td>
<td>$27.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts adapt their recommendations to changing market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their response to recent developments related to Norwegian Cruise Line. This information provides a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Gaining insights, analysts provide qualitative assessments, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings reflect expectations for the relative performance of Norwegian Cruise Line compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Analysts set price targets as an estimate of a stock's future value. Comparing the current and prior price targets provides insight into how analysts' expectations have changed over time. This information can be valuable for investors seeking to understand consensus views on the stock's potential future performance.</li>
</ul>
Understanding these analyst evaluations alongside key financial indicators can offer valuable insights into Norwegian Cruise Line's market standing. Stay informed and make well-considered decisions with our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/NCLH/analyst-ratings?adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=analyst-ratings&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Stay up to date on Norwegian Cruise Line analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>About Norwegian Cruise Line</h2>
Norwegian Cruise Line is the world's third-largest publicly traded cruise company by berths (around 70,000). It operates 33 ships across three brands—Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas—offering both freestyle and luxury cruising. The company redeployed its entire fleet as of May 2022. With 12 passenger vessels on order among its brands through 2036, representing 37,500 incremental berths, Norwegian is increasing capacity faster than its peers, expanding its brand globally. Norwegian sails to around 700 global destinations.
<h3>Breaking Down Norwegian Cruise Line's Financial Performance</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: The company exhibits a lower market capitalization profile, positioning itself below industry averages. This suggests a smaller scale relative to peers.
Revenue Challenges: Norwegian Cruise Line's revenue growth over 3M faced difficulties. As of 31 March, 2025, the company experienced a decline of approximately -2.91%. This indicates a decrease in top-line earnings. As compared to its peers, the revenue growth lags behind its industry peers. The company achieved a growth rate lower than the average among peers in Consumer Discretionary sector.
Net Margin: Norwegian Cruise Line's net margin is below industry averages, indicating potential challenges in maintaining strong profitability. With a net margin of -1.89%, the company may face hurdles in effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): Norwegian Cruise Line's ROE lags behind industry averages, suggesting challenges in maximizing returns on equity capital. With an ROE of -2.84%, the company may face hurdles in achieving optimal financial performance.
Return on Assets (ROA): Norwegian Cruise Line's ROA lags behind industry averages, suggesting challenges in maximizing returns from its assets. With an ROA of -0.19%, the company may face hurdles in achieving optimal financial performance.
Debt Management: Norwegian Cruise Line's debt-to-equity ratio surpasses industry norms, standing at 9.88. This suggests the company carries a substantial amount of debt, posing potential financial challenges.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: Simplified</h2>
Analysts work in banking and financial systems and typically specialize in reporting for stocks or defined sectors. Analysts may attend company conference calls and meetings, research company financial statements, and communicate with insiders to publish "analyst ratings" for stocks. Analysts typically rate each stock once per quarter.
Beyond their standard evaluations, some analysts contribute predictions for metrics like growth estimates, earnings, and revenue, furnishing investors with additional guidance. Users of analyst ratings should be mindful that this specialized advice is shaped by human perspectives and may be subject to variability.
Which Stocks Are Analysts Recommending Now?
Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. Sort by accuracy, upside potential, and more. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=be8be9arja3be22bz21&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=analyst-ratings&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here to stay ahead of the market</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Forecasting The Future: 19 Analyst Projections For Norwegian Cruise Line

Truist Securities analyst Patrick Scholes maintains Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $35 to $27.

Price Target

Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Norwegian Cruise Line, Lowers Price Target to $27

Cruise line stocks are historically among the strongest seasonal performers in the S&amp;P 500 heading into the second half of May, with Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) and Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) averaging double-digit returns over a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/seasonality">three-week window.</a>
Historical data from Seasonax platforms shows that from May 14 to early June, these three stocks have consistently outperformed over the past decade, with average gains north of 10%. 
Among all S&amp;P 500 constituents, they rank at the very top for late-spring seasonality. Seasonal strength is typically fueled by ramping summer demand, strong forward bookings, and an uptick in consumer travel spending ahead of peak vacation months.
Here are the top five S&amp;P 500 stocks by average return in a three-week period starting from May 14:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table class="has-fixed-layout">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Stock</th>
<th>Avg. Return (Last 10 years)</th>
<th>Max Profit</th>
<th>Max Loss</th>
<th>Win Rate</th>
<th>Pattern Dates</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Norwegian Cruise Line</td>
<td>+13.75%</td>
<td>+149.63%</td>
<td>-6.59%</td>
<td>5/10</td>
<td>May 14 – Jun 7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Caesars Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CZR#NASDAQ">CZR</a>)</td>
<td>+11.98%</td>
<td>+102.49%</td>
<td>-0.11%</td>
<td>9/10</td>
<td>May 14 – Jun 6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Royal Caribbean</td>
<td>+11.52%</td>
<td>+113.71%</td>
<td>-7.48%</td>
<td>6/10</td>
<td>May 14 – Jun 6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carnival Corp.</td>
<td>+11.28%</td>
<td>+103.02%</td>
<td>-5.19%</td>
<td>5/10</td>
<td>May 14 – Jun 6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>)</td>
<td>+10.69%</td>
<td>+88.13%</td>
<td>-4.95%</td>
<td>8/10</td>
<td>May 14 – Jun 7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Seasonax</figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">RCL Sees Strong Summer Bookings</h3>
In a note from late April, Goldman Sachs analyst Lizzie Dove pointed to a strong reversal in booking momentum despite broader macro uncertainty and uneven travel data across the sector.
April bookings at RCL exceeded the same month last year, while close-in bookings remained firm. 
The company also reported stronger-than-usual onboard spending and pre-cruise purchases. Forward bookings for 2026 were tracking in line with 2024 levels but at higher prices—a sign of pricing power in an inflation-sensitive market.
With approximately 86% of the 2025 cruise calendar already booked, Dove's team raised their estimates and lifted the stock's price target from $245 to $260. However, they retained a slightly more cautious tone in 2026, pending more clarity on consumer resilience.
Since hitting tariff-driven lows on April 9, shares of RCL have surged 50% through mid-May —more than twice the gain of the S&amp;P 500. CCL shares matched the performance during the same period. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">NCLH Flags Demand Softness Amid Macro Pressures</h3>
In contrast, Norwegian Cruise Line is facing a different set of conditions. 
In early May, Bank of America analyst Andrew Didora highlighted NCLH as the first in the group to show softness in its 12-month forward-booked position.
While this wasn't viewed as unexpected—given the macro backdrop, consumer sentiment, and fare discounts introduced under the Oceania brand—it raised questions about forward pricing discipline across the cruise industry. Didora added that weakening demand isn't isolated to NCLH, and other operators may be seeing similar dynamics. 
BofA cut its 2025 and 2026 EPS forecasts for NCLH by 3% and 2%, now expecting $2.07 and $2.53, respectively. It revised the price objective down from $23 to $20 while maintaining a Neutral rating on concerns around leverage and top-line pressures.
Shares of NCLH have rallied 36% since April lows, underperforming versus peers. 
Read now: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/05/45298562/chipmakers-enter-bullish-seasonal-window-5-stocks-that-could-outperform">Chipmakers Enter Bullish Seasonal Window: 5 Stocks That Could Outperform </a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

ENPH

Cruises Set Sail Ahead Of Summer Boom: These 3 S&P 500 Stocks Show Strongest Late-May Seasonality

Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Grambling maintains Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $21 to $20.

Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Norwegian Cruise Line, Lowers Price Target to $20

Benzinga examined the prospects for <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">many investors' favorite stocks</a> over the last week — here's a look at some of our top stories.
U.S. markets rebounded this week, fully recovering losses incurred since President Donald Trump's April 2 tariff escalation. The S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq each rose by more than 1.3%, with Friday marking the S&amp;P 500's ninth consecutive daily gain — the longest streak since 2004.
The rally was fueled by a stronger-than-expected April jobs report, with 177,000 jobs added, surpassing forecasts of 135,000. Unemployment remained at 4.2%, and sectors like healthcare and transportation led job growth. However, Q1 GDP contracted by 0.3%, the largest drop since 2022, largely due to a surge in imports ahead of tariff implementations.
Corporate earnings contributed to market optimism. Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) exceeded Wall Street estimates, with Microsoft posting its best weekly performance in years. Despite these gains, concerns linger about the long-term economic impact of tariffs, as businesses face uncertainty and potential cost increases.
Benzinga provides daily reports on the stocks most popular with investors. Here are a few of this past week's most bullish and bearish posts that are worth another look.
The Bulls
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/25/05/45136276/mounjaro-maker-eli-lilly-clocks-45-jump-in-q1-revenue-cuts-2025-profit-outlook-but-not-due-to-tariffs">"Mounjaro maker Eli Lilly clocks 45% jump in Q1 revenue, cuts 2025 profit outlook but not due to tariffs"</a>, by Vandana Singh, reports that Eli Lilly and Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) posted a 45% year-over-year revenue increase to $12.73 billion in Q1 2025, driven by strong sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound, but lowered its 2025 EPS forecast to $20.78-$22.28 due to a $1.57 billion charge related to acquired in-process R&amp;D, clarifying that the guidance does not account for potential future tariff changes.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/05/45137383/microsoft-rallies-after-crushing-q3-earnings-goldman-sachs-lifts-target-to-480">"Microsoft rallies after crushing Q3 earnings, Goldman Sachs lifts target to $480"</a>, by Piero Cingari, reports that Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) beat Q3 estimates with $70.07 billion in revenue and $3.46 EPS, driven by a 35% surge in Azure revenue — 16 points of which came from AI services — prompting Goldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan to raise the price target to $480.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45038400/plug-power-rallies-as-new-financing-cost-cuts-boost-confidence-in-turnaround-plan">"Plug Power rallies as new financing, cost cuts boost confidence in turnaround plan"</a>, by Anusuya Lahiri, reports that Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLUG#NASDAQ">PLUG</a>) shares rose after the company secured a $525 million debt facility and implemented cost-cutting measures expected to yield over $200 million in annual savings, signaling progress toward profitability.
For additional bullish calls of the past week, check out the following:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/04/45120603/amazon-stock-is-rising-after-the-bell-whats-driving-the-action">Amazon Stock Is Rising After The Bell: What's Driving The Action?</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45120458/bloom-energy-reports-better-than-expected-q1-results-details">Bloom Energy Reports Better-Than-Expected Q1 Results: Details</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/45066479/rare-bullish-signal-just-flashed-on-wall-street-will-it-power-sp-500-to-6000">Rare Bullish Signal Just Flashed On Wall Street: Will It Power S&amp;P 500 To 6,000?</a>
The Bears
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/05/45175831/apple-stock-faces-tariff-related-headwinds-4-analysts-break-down-q2-results-whats-next">"Apple stock faces tariff-related headwinds: 4 analysts break down Q2 results, what's next"</a>, by Chris Katje, reports that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) exceeded Q2 expectations with $95.4 billion in revenue and $1.65 EPS, but analysts from Needham, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America warn that escalating U.S.-China tariffs — projected to cost Apple $900 million in the June quarter — pose ongoing risks to product margins and earnings.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45084597/starbucks-misses-q2-earnings-estimates-ceo-says-optimism-has-turned-into-confidence-i-see-more-opportunity-than-i-imagined">"Starbucks Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates, CEO Says Optimism Has Turned Into Confidence: ‘I See More Opportunity Than I Imagined'"</a>, by Adam Eckert, reports that Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) posted Q2 revenue of $8.76 billion and adjusted EPS of 41 cents — both below analyst expectations — while CEO Brian Niccol expressed confidence in the company's "Back to Starbucks" turnaround plan, highlighting operational improvements and customer experience enhancements.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45106948/norwegian-cruise-line-tumbles-after-earnings-miss-still-confident-in-2025-guidance">"Norwegian Cruise Line Tumbles After Earnings Miss, Still Confident In 2025 Guidance"</a>, by Akanksha Bakshi, reports that Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) shares fell after the company missed Q1 2025 revenue and earnings estimates, citing a 2.9% revenue decline to $2.13 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.07, but reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $2.05 EPS and $2.72 billion in adjusted EBITDA, despite softening forward bookings amid macroeconomic headwinds.
For more bearish takes, be sure to see these posts:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/05/45152870/bigbear-ai-shares-slide-after-worse-than-expected-q1-report">BigBear.ai Shares Slide After Worse-Than-Expected Q1 Report</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/25/04/45072193/stock-of-the-day-abbvies-rally-looks-stretched-could-a-reversal-be-next">Stock Of The Day: AbbVie's Rally Looks Stretched — Could A Reversal Be Next?</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/45086922/whats-going-on-with-restaurant-chain-owner-brinkers-stock-today">Why Did Chili's Restaurant Parent Brinker International Stock Tumble On Tuesday?</a>
Keep up with all the latest breaking news and trading ideas by following <a href="https://twitter.com/Benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga</a><a href="http://twitter.com/Benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> on X</a>.
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Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Lilly, Microsoft, Starbucks — And Markets Fully Recover Tariff Chaos Losses

Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine maintains Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $25 to $24.

Loop Capital Maintains Buy on Norwegian Cruise Line, Lowers Price Target to $24

BofA Securities analyst Andrew G. Didora on Wednesday <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/NCLH/analyst-ratings">reiterated a Neutral </a>rating on the shares of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) and lowered the price forecast from $23.00 to $20.00.
NCLH posted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45106948/norwegian-cruise-line-tumbles-after-earnings-miss-still-confident-in-2025-guidance">first-quarter FY25</a> earnings per share of 7 cents, falling short of its 8 cents forecast and the 9 cents expected by both BofA and the broader consensus. The analyst noted that this is a rare miss for the company.
Underlying performance was slightly stronger, with net yields and unit costs outperforming estimates by 20 and 70 basis points, respectively. 
The shortfall largely stemmed from a $23 million foreign exchange loss recorded late in the quarter due to currency volatility.
NCLH was the first among its peers to point out a decline in its 12-month advance booking levels, even as others like Viking previously noted booking fluctuations. 
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45135213/mcdonalds-q1-revenue-decline-34-as-war-in-the-middle-east-bites-stock-dips">Middle-East Tensions And Consumer Uncertainty Bites McDonald&#8217;s Q1 Revenue, Stock Slides</a>
This development isn&#8217;t unexpected given broader economic pressures, declining consumer sentiment, recent discounting in NCLH&#8217;s Oceania line, and softening demand across the travel sector. 
Although similar trends likely affect other cruise operators, the industry benefits from extended booking windows, allowing time for adjustments. 
As a result, the analyst has revised NCLH's 2025 and 2026 earnings projections down to $2.07 and $2.53, respectively.
Norwegian Cruise experienced the weakest performance in its European routes with the sharpest drop seen in April. Europe accounts for 44% of its third-quarter capacity.
Caribbean bookings makes up 40% of capacity. As a result, the company slightly trimmed its constant currency net yield forecast to 2–3% from 3%.
Norwegian Cruise aims to reduce its high net leverage primarily through EBITDA growth. It expects net leverage to reach 5.3x by the end of 2025 and 4.8x by 2026. Net debt is expected to rise by nearly $2 billion.
Price Action: NCLH shares traded higher by 1.65% at $16.30 at last check Thursday.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/04/45113606/li-autos-next-evs-to-feature-cleaner-cabin-materials">Li Auto&#8217;s Next EVs To Feature Cleaner Cabin Materials</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Reiteration

Norwegian Cruise Line Faces Declining Bookings, Currency Loss: Analyst

Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $30 to $26.

Stifel Maintains Buy on Norwegian Cruise Line, Lowers Price Target to $26

Susquehanna analyst Christopher Stathoulopoulos maintains Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $27 to $18.

Susquehanna Maintains Neutral on Norwegian Cruise Line, Lowers Price Target to $18

Wall Street traded lower on the final session of the month, heading for its third consecutive monthly loss as economic data began reflecting the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">impact of Trump tariffs.</a>
U.S. GDP shrank by 0.3% in the last quarter, marking the first economic contraction since 2022 and missing forecasts for a 0.4% expansion. The decline was driven by a surge in imports and reduced government spending.
Labor market data also disappointed. The ADP National Employment Report showed private employers added just 62,000 jobs in April—the weakest gain in nine months and well below the expected 108,000.
By midday in New York, the S&amp;P 500 was down 1% to 5,500, on pace to end a six-day winning streak. Tech stocks in the Nasdaq 100 lagged ahead of earnings from industry titans Microsoft Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NYSE">MSFT</a>) and Meta Platforms Inc.
Nine of the S&amp;P 500's eleven sectors were in the red, with only consumer staples and health care posting modest gains. Energy and consumer discretionary led the losses, falling 3.3% and 2.7%, respectively.
Commodities were broadly lower. Oil tumbled 3.7% to $58 a barrel, approaching its lowest close since March 2021. Copper—often seen as a gauge of global growth—plunged 5.2% to $4.60 per pound. Natural gas declined 2.5% to $3.17 per million British thermal units.
Bond markets were steady, with the 10-year Treasury yield hovering at 4.17%. Gold dipped 0.3% to $3,330 per ounce, while the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened by the same margin.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) showed resilience, holding steady at around $93,000 despite broader market weakness.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>40,325.88</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,515.27</td>
<td>-0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,330.85</td>
<td>-1.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>1,953.01</td>
<td>-1.2%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 1:20 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.9% to $549.56.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) eased 0.5% to $403.24.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;eased 1% to $470.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 1.1% to $193.82.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
Stocks reacting to earnings reports included:
<ul>
<li>Visa Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/V#NYSE">V</a>): down 0.0%</li>
<li>Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKNG#NASDAQ">BKNG</a>): down 0.1%</li>
<li>Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAT#NYSE">CAT</a>): down 1.5%</li>
<li>Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITW#NYSE">ITW</a>): down 2.4%</li>
<li>Automatic Data Processing Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADP#NASDAQ">ADP</a>): up 1.2%</li>
<li>Humana Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HUM#NYSE">HUM</a>): down 1.3%</li>
<li>Trane Technologies plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TT#NYSE">TT</a>): up 7.6%</li>
<li>Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLM#NYSE">MLM</a>): up 2.9%</li>
<li>Vulcan Materials Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VMC#NYSE">VMC</a>): up 6.3%</li>
<li>Mondelez International Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MDLZ#NASDAQ">MDLZ</a>): up 4.4%</li>
<li>PPG Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PPG#NYSE">PPG</a>): up 4.0%</li>
<li>GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEHC#NASDAQ">GEHC</a>): up 3.8%</li>
<li>Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACGL#NASDAQ">ACGL</a>): down 3.1%</li>
<li>Fair Isaac Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FICO#NYSE">FICO</a>): down 0.6%</li>
<li>Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>): down 7.0%</li>
<li>Yum! Brands Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>): up 0.7%</li>
<li>Costar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSGP#NASDAQ">CSGP</a>): down 9.7%</li>
<li>Veralto Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLTO#NYSE">VLTO</a>): up 2.1%</li>
<li>Seagate Technology Holdings Plc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>): up 8.8%</li>
<li>Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDC#NASDAQ">WDC</a>): up 6.4%</li>
<li>Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRMN#NYSE">GRMN</a>): down 9.2%</li>
<li>Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>): up 0.0%</li>
<li>First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>): down 9.5%</li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>): down 15.7%</li>
<li>Edison International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EIX#NYSE">EIX</a>): down 9.1%</li>
<li>American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AEP#NASDAQ">AEP</a>): down 0.9%</li>
<li>Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PEG#NYSE">PEG</a>): down 2.3%</li>
<li>PPL Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PPL#NYSE">PPL</a>): down 0.1%</li>
<li>Oneok Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKE#NYSE">OKE</a>): down 7.5%</li>
<li>Hess Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HES#NYSE">HES</a>): down 3.2%</li>
<li>International Paper Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IP#NYSE">IP</a>): down 5.3%</li>
<li>Stanley Black &amp; Decker Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SWK#NYSE">SWK</a>): down 4.2%</li>
<li>Essex Property Trust, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ESS#NYSE">ESS</a>): up 0.1%</li>
<li>Equity Residential Properties Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQR#NYSE">EQR</a>): up 0.2%</li>
<li>Regency Centers Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REG#NASDAQ">REG</a>): down 0.8%</li>
<li>Extra Space Storage Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXR#NYSE">EXR</a>): up 3.1%</li>
<li>BXP Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BXP#NYSE">BXP</a>): down 3.7%</li>
<li>Caesars Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CZR#NASDAQ">CZR</a>): down 3.9%</li>
<li>Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>): down 8.9%</li>
<li>Amcor Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMCR#NYSE">AMCR</a>): down 1.2%</li>
<li>Expand Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXE#NYSE">EXE</a>): down 3.5%</li>
</ul>
Stocks slated to report earnings after the bell include The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>), Host Hotels &amp; Resorts Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HST#NASDAQ">HST</a>), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MGM#NYSE">MGM</a>), Everest Group Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EG#NYSE">EG</a>), Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QCOM#NASDAQ">QCOM</a>), eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EBAY#NASDAQ">EBAY</a>), ANSYS Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANSS#NASDAQ">ANSS</a>), Public Storage (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSA#NYSE">PSA</a>), Globe Life Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GL#NYSE">GL</a>), PTC Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PTC#NASDAQ">PTC</a>), Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CTSH#NASDAQ">CTSH</a>), Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), UDR Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UDR#NYSE">UDR</a>), American Water Works Company Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AWK#NYSE">AWK</a>), Invitation Homes Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INVH#NYSE">INVH</a>), VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VICI#NYSE">VICI</a>), AvalonBay Communities Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVB#NYSE">AVB</a>), Prudential Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRU#NYSE">PRU</a>), Crown Castle Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCI#NYSE">CCI</a>), Align Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALGN#NASDAQ">ALGN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Equinix Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQIX#NASDAQ">EQIX</a>), Aflac Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFL#NYSE">AFL</a>), Ventas Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTR#NYSE">VTR</a>), Albemarle Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALB#NYSE">ALB</a>), Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAA#NYSE">MAA</a>), MetLife Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MET#NYSE">MET</a>), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHRW#NASDAQ">CHRW</a>), and KLA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KLAC#NASDAQ">KLAC</a>).
Read now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/04/45108426/as-growth-falters-sentiment-slips-economist-says-risks-to-the-economic-outlook-are-increasing">As Growth Falters, Sentiment Slips, Economist Says &#8216;Risks To The Economic Outlook Are Increasing&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

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Wall Street Falls On Weak Economic Data As Oil Slumps To $58: What's Driving Markets Wednesday

Shares of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) fell during Wednesday&#8217;s session following weaker-than-expected <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/45106948/norwegian-cruise-line-tumbles-after-earnings-miss-still-confident-in-2025-guidance">earnings</a> from rival Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>), raising fresh concerns over demand trends and pricing power across the cruise industry.
Despite no material changes in Royal Caribbean's own financial outlook, investor sentiment turned risk-averse amid signs of softening <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/45100047/recession-odds-spike-wall-street-tumbles-as-q1-gdp-surprisingly-contracts-be-patient-trump-responds">macroeconomic conditions</a> and slowing growth in the sector.
What To Know: Norwegian&#8217;s first-quarter 2025 earnings miss — a 22% shortfall in EPS estimates and a nearly 3% year-over-year revenue decline — fueled fears that the post-pandemic cruise recovery may be plateauing.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/45107241/whats-going-on-with-carnival-stock-following-norwegian-cruise-line-earnings">What&#8217;s Going On With Carnival Stock Following Norwegian Cruise Line Earnings?</a>
Royal Caribbean, the world's second-largest cruise operator, is particularly exposed to such sentiment shifts given its aggressive capacity expansion, including new flagship vessels Icon of the Seas and Utopia of the Seas, both recently launched.
While Royal Caribbean recently raised its 2025 EPS guidance to $10.25–$10.50, investors are now questioning whether forward bookings and pricing strength can hold amid a weakening U.S. economy, rising recession odds, and signs of a flattening yield curve in the cruise space. 
With Norwegian also citing cost pressures, foreign exchange headwinds and a dip in net yield guidance, Royal Caribbean stock dropped 2.3% to $211.52 Wednesday afternoon.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/45104301/reddit-rddt-stock-slumps-after-snap-earnings-whats-going-on">Reddit Stock Slumps After Snap Earnings: What&#8217;s Going On?</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How To Buy RCL Stock</h2>
By now you're likely curious about how to participate in the market for Royal Caribbean &#8211; be it to purchase shares, or even attempt to bet against the company.
Buying shares is typically done through a brokerage account. You can find a list of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-stock-trading-platforms">possible trading platforms here.</a> Many will allow you to buy &#8220;fractional shares,&#8221; which allows you to own portions of stock without buying an entire share.
In the case of Royal Caribbean, which is trading at $211.09 as of publishing time, $100 would buy you 0.47 shares of stock.
If you're looking to bet against a company, the process is more complex. You'll need access to an options trading platform, or a broker who will allow you to &#8220;go short&#8221; a share of stock by lending you the shares to sell. The process of shorting a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock">stock can be found at this resource.</a> Otherwise, if your broker allows you to trade options, you can either buy a put option, or sell a call option at a strike price above where shares are currently trading &#8211; either way it allows you to profit off of the share price decline.
According to data from <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>, RCL has a 52-week high of $277.08 and a 52-week low of $130.08.

Royal Caribbean (RCL) Shares Fall Amid Sector-Wide Concerns: What's Going On?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) shares plummeted Thursday after the company reported worse-than-expected <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/04/g45094877/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings-reports-first-quarter-2025-financial-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">first-quarter 2025 results</a>.
The company reported a first-quarter revenue decline of 2.9% year over year to $2.127 billion, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $2.14 billion.
This reflects a 2% drop in Capacity Days due to more berths for larger ships in dry dock and a strategic reduction in passenger air participation rates.
Passenger ticket revenues fell 2.8% YoY to $1.418 billion, and Onboard revenue declined 3.1% to $708.87 million. Total cruise operating expenses decreased 6% to $1.303 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $453.07 million, down 2.3% YoY, and the margin gained 12 bps to 21.3%. Adjusted EPS of 7 cents below the consensus estimate of 9 cents.
Operating income fell 8% to $200.9 million, and the operating margin of 9.4% contracted 52 basis points.
The company's 12-month forward bookings softened but remained within the optimal range. Q1 2025 occupancy was 101.5%, down year-over-year due to dry-dock capacity. Advance ticket sales rose 2.6% to $3.9 billion.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44793931/norwegian-cruise-line-plans-major-upgrade-to-bahamian-island-retreat" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Norwegian Cruise Line Plans Major Upgrade To Bahamian Island Retreat</a>
As of March 31, 2025, the company had a total debt of $14.0 billion and a Net Debt of $13.8 billion. Liquidity at quarter-end was $1.4 billion, including $184.4 million in cash and $1.0 billion available under the Revolving Loan Facility.
Operating cash flow for the quarter totaled $679.221 million, down 15.8% YoY.
Gross margin per Capacity Day rose 5% as reported and 7% in Constant Currency. Net Yield grew 0.6%, as reported, and 1.2% in Constant Currency, exceeding guidance.
Gross Cruise Costs per Capacity Day were $297, down from $300, while Adjusted Net Cruise Cost excluding Fuel increased 2.9%, better than the 3.9% guidance.
"Looking ahead, our proven track record of long-term Net Yield growth, strong cost control, continued record guest satisfaction scores and guest repeat rates give us confidence about our future. Thus, as we remain mindful of the evolving macroeconomic environment and despite recent volatility, we are maintaining our full year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS guidance," said Harry Sommer, president and chief executive officer of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
&#8220;While we recognize there may be potential pressures on the top line, we believe these can be effectively offset by the continued execution of our cost savings initiatives. Our focus remains on managing the business for the long term &#8211; balancing disciplined pricing and cost control with guest experience and strategic investments for the future,&#8221; Sommer added.
2025 Outlook: Norwegian Cruise Line expects FY25 net yield on a constant currency basis to increase 2.0%-3.0% and occupancy of 102.5%.
Reaffirmed Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.72 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.05, with a consensus of $2.07.
Q2 Outlook: Norwegian Cruise Line sees net Yield of 2.5%. Adjusted EPS of ~$0.51 versus an estimate of $0.51.
NCLH for the second quarter Occupancy is expected to be ~103.2%. Sees Adj. EBITDA of ~$670 million.
Price Action: NCLH shares are trading lower by 8.4% at $15.92 at last check Wednesday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/45104438/starbucks-stock-tumbles-on-q2-earnings-ceo-says-progress-is-happening-below-the-surface">Starbucks Stock Tumbles On Q2 Earnings, CEO Says Progress Is Happening &#8216;Below The Surface&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Norwegian Cruise Line Tumbles After Earnings Miss, Still Confident In 2025 Guidance

A closely watched inflation gauge used by U.S. policymakers cooled in March, signaling easing price pressures ahead of the April 2 tariff announcement, as consumers and businesses assessed <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">the potential economic impact.</a>
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.3% year-over-year, slowing from February's upwardly revised 2.7% and just slightly above expectations of 2.2%. On a monthly basis, headline PCE was unchanged, a sharp deceleration from the 0.4% increase seen in February, and matching expectations.
Stripping out food and energy, core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, came in at 2.6% year-over-year, matching forecasts but down from February's revised 3%. 
On a monthly basis, core prices were flat, defying consensus for a 0.1% rise and cooling from the prior 0.4% surge.
Before the PCE report, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that first-quarter GDP contracted by 0.3% on an annualized basis, a sharp reversal from the 2.4% growth in the previous quarter and well below expectations for a 0.4% expansion.
Money markets are currently pricing in a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve&#8217;s June meeting.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Automobile Spending Soars As Consumers Front-Run Tariffs</h3>
Personal income rose 0.5% month-over-month, slightly beating expectations of 0.4%, though slowing from February's revised 0.7% increase. 
Meanwhile, personal spending increased by 0.7% as consumers rushed to get ahead of the tariff impact. The outcome marks an increase from February's 0.5% and well above the 0.4% forecast.
Of the $134.5 billion monthly increase in spending, $56.6 billion was allocated to motor vehicles and parts, indicating precautionary buying behavior ahead of potential price increases. 
Spending on gasoline and other energy goods fell by $29.8 billion. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions: Stocks Slide As Traders Digest Mixed Macro Signals</h3>
The inflation cooldown failed to calm markets, as strong spending and tariff-related distortions sparked fears of policy uncertainty and stagflation.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Day</td>
<td>Day (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5448.76</td>
<td>-112 pts</td>
<td>-2.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>39,831</td>
<td>-696 pts</td>
<td>-1.72%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,061</td>
<td>-484 pts</td>
<td>-2.48%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>1,924.95</td>
<td>-54 pts</td>
<td>-2.75%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 10:10 a.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
S&amp;P 500 Top Gainers
<ul>
<li>Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>) up 7.7% to $87.85</li>
<li>Trane Technologies plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TT#NYSE">TT</a>) up 5.5% to $372.88</li>
<li>Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDC#NASDAQ">WDC</a>) up 4.7% to $42.52</li>
<li>GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEHC#NASDAQ">GEHC</a>) up 4.0% to $70.83</li>
<li>PPG Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PPG#NYSE">PPG</a>) up 3.7% to $107.67</li>
</ul>
S&amp;P 500 Top Losers
<ul>
<li>Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) down 15.6% to $30.37</li>
<li>Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) down 10.5% to $15.55</li>
<li>First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) down 9.4% to $124.28</li>
<li>Edison International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EIX#NYSE">EIX</a>) down 8.1% to $53.96</li>
<li>Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) down 7.5% to $78.45</li>
</ul>
Read now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/45100047/recession-odds-spike-wall-street-tumbles-as-q1-gdp-surprisingly-contracts-be-patient-trump-responds">Recession Odds Spike, Wall Street Tumbles As Q1 GDP Surprisingly Contracts: &#8216;Be Patient,&#8217; Trump Responds</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: RozenskiP / Shutterstock.com

Federal Reserve

Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Eases, Yet Tariff-Driven Auto Spending Clouds Outlook

Wall Street is set for a volatile Wednesday after first-quarter GDP data showed an unexpected economic contraction, stoking fears that a recession <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/45098824/tariffs-hit-hard-as-us-economy-shrinks-for-first-time-since-2022">may already be underway. </a>
The U.S. economy shrank by 0.3% on an annualized basis last quarter, down from 2.4% growth in the previous quarter and well below the expected 0.4% growth, official advance statistics showed.
The outcome marked the first quarterly contraction since the second quarter of 2022. 
In addition, U.S. private employers added 62,000 jobs in April, according to ADP National Employment Report, the lowest since July 2024 and well below predictions of 108,000. 
Broad-based equity losses followed during premarket trading in New York as investors digested signs of weakening growth, elevated inflation, and deteriorating trade balances.
Futures on the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.28% to 5,489.61 by 9:00 a.m. ET, shedding 71 points. 
Contracts on the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 336 points, or 0.8%, to 40,191. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 underperformed, plunging 1.9% to 19,184, while the small-cap Russell 2000 index dropped 1.7% to 1,944.
Recession odds for 2025 climbed to 74%, their highest level yet, according to data from CFTC-regulated betting platform Kalshi. Under Kalshi&#8217;s terms, a $100 bet on a recession now yields $131 if the U.S. sees two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
<iframe loading="lazy" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widgets/events/RECSSNBER-25/markets/RECSSNBER-25?color_scheme=light&#038;widget_size=medium&#038;variant=a&#038;utm_campaign=benzinga_widget" width="488px" height="242px" style="border:0"></iframe>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Economists Divided On US Economic Performance</h3>
David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, noted the growing stagflation risk: "Today's data shows more stagflation, with the economy shrinking and prices rising more than expected. Trade was a huge drag as imports jumped ahead of tariffs. Combined with the weak ADP payrolls growth and yesterday's weak JOLTs data, the numbers increasingly suggest a recession may have begun."
Economist Joseph Brusuelas of RSM US LLP offered a more tempered view: "The trade shock caused a large change in behavior that resulted in that large drag due to a larger trade deficit. However, the economy did not slide into recession in Q1 2025." 
He expects a recession more likely by midyear, citing a $140 billion inventory swing that temporarily padded GDP by 2.25 percentage points.
Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, echoed concerns about the unusual nature of the trade dynamics, calling the current environment "a huge natural experiment," with ballooning imports and swelling inventories reflecting a widespread effort to front-run tariffs.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Responds: &#8216;This Is Biden&#8217;s Stock Market, Not Trump&#8217;s&#8217;</h3>
"This is Biden's Stock Market, not Trump's. I didn't take over until January 20th," Trump wrote on social media X, shortly after the GDP release.
Trump denied that his trade policies were responsible for the weak GDP figures, attributing the slowdown to the economic legacy of President Joe Biden. 
"This will take a while, has nothing to do with tariffs, only that he left us with bad numbers," Trump posted. 
"But when the boom begins, it will be like no other. Be patient!!!"
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Top Premarket Gainers In The S&amp;P 500</h3>
<ul>
<li>Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDC#NASDAQ">WDC</a>) up 7.5% to $43.7</li>
<li>Trane Technologies plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TT#NYSE">TT</a>) up 6.3% to $375.6</li>
<li>Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>) up 5.9% to $86.4</li>
<li>Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LYV#NYSE">LYV</a>) up 5.6% to $139.7</li>
<li>Humana Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HUM#NYSE">HUM</a>) up 5.5% to $273.5</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Top Premarket Decliners In The S&amp;P 500</h3>
<ul>
<li>Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) down 19.3% to $29.1</li>
<li>First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) down 12.8% to $119.6</li>
<li>Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) down 10.0% to $76.4</li>
<li>Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) down 8.4% to $15.9</li>
<li>Garmin Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRMN#NYSE">GRMN</a>) down 8.1% to $187.5</li>
</ul>
By 8:52 a.m. ET, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data, the stocks falling most over the past 30 minutes of premarket trading included:
<ul>
<li>AppLovin Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APP#NASDAQ">APP</a>) down 6.2% to $242.0</li>
<li>Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APO#NYSE">APO</a>) down 3.6% to $133.1</li>
<li>Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TEAM#NASDAQ">TEAM</a>) down 3.5% to $220.8</li>
<li>Shopify Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHOP#NYSE">SHOP</a>) down 3.3% to $95.0</li>
<li>KKR &amp; Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>) down 3.0% to $111.0</li>
<li>Eaton Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ETN#NYSE">ETN</a>) down 2.5% to $283.1</li>
<li>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NYSE">PLTR</a>) down 2.4% to $111.4</li>
<li>Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCCO#NYSE">SCCO</a>) down 2.2% to $87.5</li>
<li>Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>) down 2.1% to $34.5</li>
<li>Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAT#NYSE">CAT</a>) down 2.1% to $312.0</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/45098912/caterpillar-faces-lower-q1-results-but-projects-flat-sales-in-2025-or-slight-decline-with-tariff-headwinds">Caterpillar Warns Of $250 Million To $350 Million Tariff Hit After Q1 Profit Miss</a></li>
</ul>
Photo by Dilok Klaisataporn via Shutterstock

Analyst Color

PLTR

SCCO

SHOP

TEAM

Recession Odds Spike, Wall Street Tumbles As Q1 GDP Surprisingly Contracts: 'Be Patient,' Trump Responds

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Jeffs Brands (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JFBR#NASDAQ">JFBR</a>) stock rose 48.2% to $1.26 during Wednesday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.3 million. </li>
<li>WW International (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WW#NASDAQ">WW</a>) stock increased by 25.13% to $0.92. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $73.5 million. </li>
<li>TCTM Kids IT Education (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSA#NASDAQ">VSA</a>) shares rose 17.94% to $0.49. The company's market cap stands at $4.9 million. </li>
<li>Rocky Brands (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCKY#NASDAQ">RCKY</a>) shares moved upwards by 16.48% to $16.25. The company's market cap stands at $121.2 million. The company's, Q1 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Jakks Pacific (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JAKK#NASDAQ">JAKK</a>) shares rose 15.62% to $22.5. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $250.7 million. As per the press release, Q1 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Birks Group (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BGI#AMEX">BGI</a>) shares increased by 13.45% to $1.18. The company's market cap stands at $22.6 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Chijet Motor Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CJET#NASDAQ">CJET</a>) stock declined by 17.2% to $1.64 during Wednesday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $8.8 million. </li>
<li>Mullen Automotive (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MULN#NASDAQ">MULN</a>) shares declined by 12.35% to $0.43. </li>
<li>Starbucks (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SBUX#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>) shares decreased by 8.49% to $77.65. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $88.2 billion. The company's, Q2 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) stock fell 7.72% to $16.04. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $7.1 billion. As per the press release, Q1 earnings came out today. </li>
<li>E-Home Household Service (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EJH#NASDAQ">EJH</a>) stock fell 6.62% to $0.73. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $6.2 million. </li>
<li>Ballys (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BALY#NYSE">BALY</a>) shares fell 4.88% to $12.1. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $586.9 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Movers

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12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session

Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) affirms FY2025 Adj EPS guidance from $2.05 to $2.05 vs $2.07 analyst estimate..

Norwegian Cruise Line Affirms FY2025 Adj EPS Guidance of $2.05 Vs $2.07 Est.; Sees Q2 Adj EPS $0.51 Vs $0.52 Est

Press Releases

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Yieldstreet and Upgrade Partner to Expand Access to Consumer Credit Investing

ALL-NEW NORWEGIAN AQUA DEBUTS AS THE NEWEST SHIP IN PORT CANAVERAL FOR THE SPRING/SUMMER CRUISE SEASON

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Entertainment

OCEANIA CRUISES UNVEILS REIMAGINED ENTERTAINMENT ACROSS ITS FLEET

NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE® ANNOUNCES UPGRADES TO NORWEGIAN EPIC™ AND PRIDE OF AMERICA™ TO DELIVER GUESTS MORE EXPERIENCES AND ELEVATED OFFERINGS

Management

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Appoints Former United Airlines Executive, Linda P. Jojo, to Its Board of Directors

OCEANIA CRUISES INVITES GUESTS TO EMBRACE THE HOLIDAY SPIRIT WITH EXTRAORDINARY FESTIVE VOYAGES

Panera Brands Appoints José Cil as Chairman

Oceania Cruises Announces 2026 Specialty Cruises Featuring Celebrated Culinary Figures, Exclusive Events, Hosted Shore Excursions, and Enriching Onboard Programming

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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Common Stock

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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>)は、2024会計年度第2四半期の売上が前年同期比7.6％増の4％増加で、238億3000万ドル（約2兆600万円）のコンセンサスを下回る237億2000万ドル（約2兆6000億円）を計上、強い決算を発表しました。
四半期の調整後EBITDA（利息、税金、償却費引き前利益）は前年同期比14.2％増の5億8767万ドル、マージンは144ベーシスポイント拡大して24.8％となりました。
四半期の稼働率は105.9％、1客室1日あたりの総収入は前年同期比約2％増の105.9％となりました。1日あたりのグロス利益率は前年同期比7％増の28％でした。
総債務は134億ドルで、6月までの12か月間の純債務レバレッジは5.9倍でした。総クルーズ運航費は14億5400万ドル、前年の13億8300万ドルから増加しました。
1客室1日あたりのクルーズ運航コストは約315ドル、燃料を除く調整後の純クルーズ運航コストは約163ドル（9ドルのドック入渠の影響を除く）でした。
四半期の燃料費は1億7500万ドル、燃料価格（ヘッジを除く）は2023年の715ドルから719ドルに減少しています。燃料消費量は、予測を僅かに上回る243,000メトリックトンでした。
四半期末の時点で、流動性は27億ドルで、このうち現金及び現金同等物は5億9410万ドル、旋回融資施設に基づく利用可能枠は12億ドル、未引き出しの65億ドルのバックストップコミットメントが含まれています。
マーク・A・ケンパ（Mark A. Kempa）最高財務責任者は、「我々は引き続き、堅調な需要を見ており、今年後半に向けてはさらに収益性を向上させ、コスト削減に努め、戦略的で計画的な形でマージンを回復させることにコミットしています。これまでの強い進捗と現在の需要予想を鑑みると、私たちは2024年のフルイヤーガイダンスを累計で3回目の調整に掲げ、2023年と比較して予想される利益を調整前EPS 1株当たりの成長率は120％に引き上げ、一方で今年のコストガイダンスは前年同様に据え置くことを決定しました」と述べました。
第3四半期の見通し NCLHは、調整後の1株当たり利益が約0.92ドル、調整後のEBITDAが約8億7000万ドルに対して108.2％程度の稼働率を予想しています。
2024年の見通しノルウェージャン・クルーズ・ラインは、調整後の1株当たり利益が約1.42ドルから約1.53ドル（コンセンサスは1.44ドル）に引き上げ、調整後のEBITDAが約23億5000万ドル（約2兆5000億円）（コンセンサスは約23億ドル）に増加することを期待しています。
2024年の稼働率は105.2％（先行予測は105.1％）になると予想されます。純収益は8.2％増加（先行予測は7.2％増）となります。
株価の動き水曜日の最終確認時点でNCLH株は前日比0.95％高の18.74ドルで取引をしています。
ウィキメディア・コモンズより

運輸長官ピート・バティジェヂ氏は、ハリケーン「ベリル」の交通機関への影響について懸念を表明し、特に活発なハリケーン季節の開始に伴う飛行機の運行について懸念を示した。このハリケーンは、現在、大きな破壊をもたらしており、カリブ海への旅行にも影響を及ぼすと予想されている。
出来事：バティジェヂ氏は、ハリケーン「ベリル」がカリブ海に上陸する際、X（旧Twitter）に投稿した。
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
Hurricane Beryl is proving to be a highly destructive storm at the outset of what&#8217;s expected to be a very active hurricane season.⁰⁰We&#8217;re keeping an eye on Beryl&#8217;s impact to transportation, including flights. Plan ahead if you have travel to the Caribbean coming up.
— Secretary Pete Buttigieg (@SecretaryPete) <a href="https://twitter.com/SecretaryPete/status/1807930089298178268?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">2024年7月2日</a></blockquote>
</div>
</figure>
カテゴリー4のハリケーン「ベリル」の持続的な風速は155マイルで、ドミニカ共和国のイスラ・ベアタの東南東575マイルに位置し、時速21マイルで西北西に移動しているとCNNが<a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/01/weather/hurricane-beryl-caribbean-landfall-monday/index.html">報じた</a>。
ナショナル・ハリケーン・センターは、風ワード諸島、ルード諸島、プエルトリコ、ハイチに影響を与える生命に対する脅威になるような高潮、洪水、及びうねりがくると警告しています。
ジャマイカはハリケーン警報下にあり、ドミニカ共和国とハイチには熱帯低気圧警報が発令されています。バルバドスでは400人以上が避難所に避難し、グレナダでは必要最低限のサービスを除く全ての事業が停止する非常事態が宣言されました。
バルバドス、グレナダ、セントルシアの空港は、すべて運航を停止しています。ベリルはT20クリケットワールドカップを壊滅させ、バルバドスに留まっているファンが出ました。このハリケーンはメキシコのユカタン半島にも上陸する可能性があり、この地域にさらなる脅威をもたらしそうです。
関連記事：トランプ陣営、米国が再びパリ協定からの撤退を意向
なぜ重要なのか：このハリケーンが旅行業界に与える影響は明らかで、大手クルーズ船会社の株式、具体的にはカーニバル株式会社（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>）、Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>）、Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd。（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>）などは、このハリケーンの結果として<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/07/39581491/whats-going-on-with-cruise-stocks-as-category-4-hurricane-beryl-churns-in-the-caribbean">下落している</a>。
バティジェヂ氏の発言は、特にカリブ海地域での旅行業界へのハリケーンの潜在的な影響について、業界の専門家が提起している懸念と一致しています。
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