Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ)

最新ニュース Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ)

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

Technology

Consumer Cyclical

Communication Services

Consumer Defensive

Healthcare

Industrials

Basic Materials

Financial Services

Energy

Utilities

Real Estate

The Trust holds the Portfolio and cash and is not actively managed by traditional methods, which typically involve effecting changes in the Portfolio on the basis of judgments made relating to economic, financial and market considerations. To maintain the correspondence between the composition and weights of the securities in the Trust and the stocks in the Nasdaq-100 Index, the Trustee adjusts the Securities from time to time to conform to periodic changes in the identity and/or relative weights of Index Securities. The composition and weighting of the securities portion of a Portfolio Deposit are also adjusted to conform to changes in the Index. Changes to the Index are made after the close of the market

Apple Inc

Microsoft Corp

Nvidia Corp

Amazon.Com Inc

Broadcom Ltd

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Tesla Motors, Inc.

Alphabet Inc Cap Stk Cl A

Alphabet Inc

Costco Whsle Corp

Netflix.Com Inc

Fed May Have to Step In

Government

News

Economics

Federal Reserve

Markets

連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）が本日始まり、市場コンセンサスでは、政策金利を4.25％から4.50％の範囲で維持すると見られている。それにもかかわらず、アナリストたちは、ホワイトハウスがその政策を堅持していることから、パウエル議長が慎重な姿勢をとる可能性があると予想している。

FRBは様子見、トランプ大統領の動きは終了？パウエル議長が不安定な経済に慎重な姿勢をとるとアナリストは予想

Why Warren Buffett Turns To Kipling’s 1895 Poem “If—” When Markets Crash

RDFN

ウォーレン・バフェットが率いるバークシャー・ハサウェイ（NYSE:BRK）が、ニューヨークを拠点とするコンパス・リアルエステイトに不動産業事業の売却を交渉中との報道があった。

ウォーレン・バフェットは不動産事業の売却予定、アナリストは「米国の住宅価格の賭けではない」とコメント

Earnings

Equities

Futures

Previews

Pre-Market Outlook

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Trading Ideas

$BTC

CSCO

GOOGL

HNHPF

LITE

NVDA

PFGC

PTON

８月３日（水）午前８時３０分（米国東部時間）に公表される消費者物価指数（CPI）速報に先駆け、主要指数先物は神経質な値動きを示している。債券利回りは消費者物価指数発表前に低下している。今回の報告が価格圧力の緩和が続いていることを確認した場合、米連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）は利上げを余儀なくされる可能性がある。経済学者やストラテジストは、FRB総裁のジェローム・パウエル氏が今月末に予定されている＜ジャクソンホール・シンポジウム＞で、利上げ見通しについてさらに明確な見解を示すと予想している。

ウォール・ストリート　主要先物指数が反応

Poseidon Network

ProShares Nasdaq-100 Dorsey Wright Momentum ETF

Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares

Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares

QUIZAM MEDIA CORP by Quizam Media Corporation

Quizam Media Corp

Pacer Nasdaq 100 Top 50 Cash Cows Growth Leaders ETF

NEOS Nasdaq-100 Hedged Equity Income ETF

NEOS Nasdaq 100 High Income ETF

Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF

Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF

Victory Portfolios II VictoryShares Nasdaq Next 50 ETF

Tradr 2X Long Triple Q Quarterly ETF

Invesco NASDAQ Future Gen 200 ETF

Defiance Nasdaq 100 Income Target ETF

Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares

Investment Managers Series Trust II TRADR 2X LONG TRIPLE Q WEEKLY ETF

Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite Fund - Closed End Fund

Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite Fund

Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options & 0DTE Income ETF

Per The Kobeissi Letter
Per The Kobeissi Letter

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

ETFs

General

ACWI

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

Short Interest On US Stocks Has Spiked To The Highest Levels Since The 2020 Pandemic.

The S&P 500 12-Month Forward Price-To-Earnings Ratio Is Now Trading Near Its 5-Year Average

Wall Street&#8217;s recovery from its recent technical correction paused for a breather on Tuesday, as investors awaited more clarity on tariff developments and digested a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44475192/consumer-confidence-falls-to-lowest-since-2022-as-inflation-tariff-worries-grow">downbeat consumer confidence report.</a>
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 92.9 in March, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44475192/consumer-confidence-falls-to-lowest-since-2022-as-inflation-tariff-worries-grow">its lowest reading since late 2022</a>. The Expectations Index plunged to 65.2 — a level not seen since 2013 — reflecting growing pessimism. The report cited rising prices, especially for eggs and tariff-affected goods, as key concerns. Inflation expectations also climbed, from 5.8% in February to 6.2% in March.
The S&amp;P 500 and Dow were flat on the day, while the Nasdaq 100 edged slightly higher, supported by gains in cybersecurity stocks.
Copper took center stage, jumping over 2% to hit new record highs. Demand is surging in both China and the U.S., fueled by<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44476803/copper-breaks-records-on-china-stimulus-tariff-hype-these-stocks-are-riding-the-wave"> policy stimulus and tariff-related shifts.</a>
Shares of Freeport McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), the largest U.S. copper miner, rose 3.3%, extending gains in 10 of the last 11 sessions. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) climbed 2% to a three-month high.
Elsewhere, market moves were subdued. Gold gained 0.5%, silver advanced 1.8% and oil dipped 0.4% after Monday's 1.2% jump driven by Venezuelan sanctions.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) posted a modest 0.4% gain.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,256.36</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,619.75</td>
<td>0.1 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,770.02</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,101.68</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 1:00 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched 0.1% higher to $575.17.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) flattened at $425.79.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.4% to $492.89.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) eased 0.2% to $208.51</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Communication Services&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) outperformed, up 1.2%; the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)&nbsp;lagged, down 1.7%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) climbed 4% after BTIG analyst Gray Powell upgraded the stock to Buy, setting a price target of $431. The analyst cited expectations of robust revenue growth heading into fiscal 2027. Cybersecurity peer Zscaler Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZS#NASDAQ">ZS</a>) also rose 2.5%.</li>
<li>Cloudflare Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NET#NYSE">NET</a>) rose 2.2% after receiving a double upgrade to Buy from Bank of America Securities, with a price target raised to $160.</li>
<li>United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NYSE">UPS</a>) tumbled 4.6%, hitting early-February lows despite a lack of headlines.</li>
<li>AT&amp;T Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>) rose 2.1% after Goldman Sachs raised the stock price target from $29 to $31. </li>
<li>Gamestop Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>) is slated to<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/gaming/25/03/44466706/gamestop-q4-earnings-preview-will-video-game-retailer-unveil-bitcoin-purchase"> report earnings after the close</a>.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44473410/trumps-tariff-rates-could-be-double-what-market-participants-expect-goldman-sachs-warns">Trump&#8217;s Tariff Rates Could Be &#8216;Double What Market Participants Expect,&#8217; Goldman Sachs Warns</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Mer_Studio via Shutterstock

Large Cap

Macro Economic Events

Sector ETFs

Commodities

Econ #s

Tech

COPX

CRWD

Wall Street Pauses For A Breather, Miners Rally As Copper Notches All-Time Highs: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

While President Donald Trump's rhetoric on tariffs has taken a noticeably softer tone in recent days, Goldman Sachs remains unmoved and says investors should brace for potentially <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">unwelcome surprises on April 2.</a>
In a note shared Tuesday, Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips said markets may be caught off guard by Trump's approach, which appears designed to front-load tariff rates as a negotiation tactic. This echoes the administration's previous strategy on Mexico and Canada, where aggressive initial tariffs were later rolled back.
According to Phillips, the headline tariff rates could land far above investor expectations, potentially causing a shock for markets. 
Could The &#8216;Reciprocal Tariff&#8217; Be A Market Shock?
Despite recent media hints suggesting a narrower, more targeted approach, Goldman Sachs warns the risks lean toward a &#8220;negative surprise&#8221; for investors. According to a recent survey conducted by the bank, participants who expect a reciprocal tariff see an average rate of 9 percentage points. 
"We expect the initially proposed rate to be higher than the survey result, potentially closer to double what market participants expect," Phillips said in the report.
Goldman Sachs indicated Trump's team could propose a rate within the 15%–20% range—before moderating later.
This aggressive opening salvo could mirror past behavior. In 2018, the Trump administration initially imposed steep steel and aluminum tariffs before easing them for allies after a brief period. 
That tactic may return, especially given that the White House has openly stated that new tariffs are intended as a starting point for talks.
According to Phillips, the administration could propose higher rates at the outset, reinforcing the idea that the initial figures may not reflect the endgame—but could still jolt investors in the short term.
On Monday, Trump struck <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44464382/trump-hints-at-tariff-breaks-cheers-hyundai-21b-bet-with-louisiana-steel-plant-deal">a more conciliatory tone on tariffs,</a> saying, "I may give a lot of countries breaks on tariffs," though he also hinted at the magnitude of the potential measures: "They've charged us so much that I'm embarrassed to charge them what they've charged us. But it'll be substantial."
The remarks revived investor risk appetite, prompting a shift away from safe havens like bonds and gold toward riskier assets. The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.8%, while the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) jumped 2% as tech stocks led the rally.
What Goes Into The Reciprocal Tariff Math?
According to the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, 19 countries are currently under review for the reciprocal tariff framework. These nations account for 91% of U.S. imports, and 15 of them run trade surpluses with the U.S., representing 87% of imports.
Goldman Sachs indicates the new reciprocal tariff formula could be built on four components: import tariff differentials, non-tariff barriers, currency misalignments and foreign tax structures.
The investment bank estimates that tariff differentials between the U.S. and other countries stand at 1.3 percentage points, while non-tariff measures—such as regulatory hurdles or intellectual property restrictions—could add another 6 points on average, based on external studies.
On top of that, the administration might include controversial inputs such as value-added taxes and currency undervaluation. Trump has repeatedly cited VATs as unfair, despite them being standard fiscal tools across most economies. Currency misalignments, meanwhile, are tricky to quantify, but the administration could use thresholds to justify further rate hikes.
If all these components are included, Goldman Sachs expects the total increase in effective U.S. tariffs could reach 10 percentage points, up from just over 3 points. In a worst-case scenario, tariffs could rise by as much as 15 points.
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44460897/oil-prices-rally-exxon-hits-16-week-highs-as-trump-vows-25-tariffs-on-any-country-buying-venezuelan-crude">Oil Prices Rally, Exxon Hits 16-Week Highs As Trump Vows 25% Tariffs On Any Country Buying Venezuelan Crude</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using photos from Shutterstock.

Analyst Color

Regulations

Global

Trump's Tariff Rates Could Be 'Double What Market Participants Expect,' Goldman Sachs Warns

<ul>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>WAR</li>
<li>MSTR</li>
<li>VOO</li>
<li>OKLO</li>
<li>CORN</li>
<li>LUNR</li>
<li>QQQ</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

CORN

LUNR

MSTR

OKLO

TSLA

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of March 25, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

Technology companies using a subscription-based business model are more likely to weather economic uncertainty amid the ongoing big-tech selloff, according to CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer. The charts of both Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NFLX#NASDAQ">NFLX</a>) and Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>) showcase a bullish trend based on the <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
What Happened: Chartist Bob Lang&#8216;s analysis, reviewed by Cramer, indicates positive outlooks for Spotify and Netflix, with potential for Roku Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ROKU#NASDAQ">ROKU</a>). Cramer highlights their subscription models&#8217; resilience amidst macroeconomic uncertainty.
"If I were to do this, I would buy common stock Spotify, I would buy common stock Netflix, and I would buy calls on Roku – that way I cut off my downside," said Cramer on his Mad Money <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/24/jim-cramer-chart-shows-how-netflix-spotify-can-weather-uncertainty.html">show</a> on Monday.
Why It Matters: Here&#8217;s an analysis of Netflix and Spotify&#8217;s daily charts.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Netflix</h3>
Netflix was higher by 9.62% on a year-to-date basis, outperforming many tech peers, highlighted Cramer. He says that its daily charts reveal a recent rebound with high volume and the MACD exhibits a bullish crossover, a significant positive signal.
According to the data from <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>, NFLX&#8217;s share price of $971.99 apiece as of Monday&#8217;s close was trading above its short and long-term trading averages, whereas its relative strength index of 54 was in the neutral zone.
However, the momentum indicator MACD indicates that the stock is in a bearish trend as the score of its MACD line was -2.52, showing that its 12-period exponential moving average is below the 26-period EMA.
However, the histogram has a positive number of 6.14, meaning that the MACD line is rising and getting closer to the signal line. This is a bullish sign within a bearish trend. It shows that the bearish momentum is decreasing.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart-1024x576.png" alt="" class="wp-image-840280" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart-1024x576.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart-300x169.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart-768x432.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart-1536x864.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073428/Netflix-tech-chart.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>
Benzinga&#8217;s Edge Rankings indicate robust price trends across short, medium, and long-term periods. Momentum is exceptionally strong, ranking in the 93.35th percentile, and growth, based on historical earnings and revenue, is also solid at the 70.04th percentile. Further valuation and fundamental <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/report/NFLX">details are available here</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/report/NFLX"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="805" height="133" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073511/NFLXs-Edge-Rankings.png" alt="" class="wp-image-840282" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073511/NFLXs-Edge-Rankings.png 805w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073511/NFLXs-Edge-Rankings-300x50.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073511/NFLXs-Edge-Rankings-768x127.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 805px) 100vw, 805px" /></a></figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/03/44469268/goldmans-grim-3-forecast-for-the-next-decade-clashed-with-experts-pe-warning-no-relationship-with-real-returns">Goldman Forecasts 3% Growth For S&amp;P 500 Over Next Decade: Expert Contradicts, Says It Has &#8216;No Relationship&#8217; With Real Returns </a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Spotify</h3>
Cramer said that Spotify, which has gained 32.09% in 2025 is benefiting from the growing popularity of music streaming. He also highlighted that its MACD is positive with a sticky business model.
SPOT&#8217;s share price was also above its eight-, 20-, 50- and 200-day daily moving averages, signaling a bullish trend. Its RSI stood at a neutral value of 57.19.
Similarly, its MACD indicator showcased a bullish trend as the MACD line was positive at 4.48, indicating that its 12-period EMA was above the 26-period EMA.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart-1024x576.png" alt="" class="wp-image-840278" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart-1024x576.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart-300x169.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart-768x432.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart-1536x864.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073324/spotify-tech-chart.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>
Benzinga&#8217;s Edge Rankings for Spotify also show a strong price trend in the short, medium, and long term. Its momentum ranking was sturdy at 97.23th percentile. However, its other rankings were at concerning levels, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/report/SPOT">click here to learn more about them</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/report/SPOT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="811" height="136" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073135/SPOTs-Edge-Rankings.png" alt="" class="wp-image-840274" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073135/SPOTs-Edge-Rankings.png 811w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073135/SPOTs-Edge-Rankings-300x50.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/25073135/SPOTs-Edge-Rankings-768x129.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 811px) 100vw, 811px" /></a></figure>
Price Action: NFLX was below the flatline by 0.047% in premarket trading on Tuesday, whereas SPOT was down 0.12%.
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, rose in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was up 0.10% to $574.62, while the QQQ advanced 0.043% to $490.87, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44468827/palantir-market-cap-surges-over-50-billion-in-2025-wont-be-a-seller-says-analyst-as-he-foresees-pltr-as-a-play-on-global-economy-and-ai">Palantir Market Cap Surges Over $50 Billion In 2025: Won&#8217;t Be A &#8216;Seller,&#8217; Says Analyst As He Foresees PLTR As An AI Play</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Market Summary

Technicals

NFLX

ROKU

SPOT

Netflix, Spotify Can Weather Economic Uncertainty Because Of Subscription-Based Models, Says Jim Cramer: Here's What Their Charts Indicate

The stock market rally on Monday was reportedly driven by investor optimism for a new approach to tariffs, according to CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer.
What Happened: Cramer attributed the market rebound to the potential for a more transparent future in global trade. He suggested that the crucial element was the prospect of a plan that would allow foreign nations or companies to offset tariffs, as <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/24/mondays-rally-reflects-hopes-for-a-new-path-on-tariffs-jim-cramer-says.html">per</a> a CNBC report. &#8220;It&#8217;s a path, and once you get a path, you get possible transparency and certainty. And that&#8217;s what stock markets like,&#8221; Cramer explained.
Despite caution over President Donald Trump&#8216;s tariff plans, investors were hopeful. The President&#8217;s hints at potential tariff breaks for &#8220;a lot of countries&#8221; added to the positive sentiment.
While Cramer didn&#8217;t rule out the possibility of Trump reverting to stricter tariff policies, he suggested that the President may have considered the market&#8217;s reaction when it entered a correction phase a few weeks ago. Major companies, including Stargate,&nbsp;Apple Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>), and Hyundai, are beginning to commit to manufacturing in the U.S., adding to the upbeat sentiment.
"Those are wins. Big wins," stated Cramer. "There's now a paradigm that companies can follow if they want to have access to our markets."
SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/03/44469268/goldmans-grim-3-forecast-for-the-next-decade-clashed-with-experts-pe-warning-no-relationship-with-real-returns">Goldman Forecasts 3% Growth For S&amp;P 500 Over Next Decade: Expert Contradicts, Says It Has &#8216;No Relationship&#8217; With Real Returns</a>
Why It Matters: The market rally on Monday was influenced by President Trump&#8217;s softer tone on potential tariffs ahead of the April 2, 2025 deadline, easing trade tension concerns. Additionally, strong economic data, including a significant rebound in services activity in March, helped <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44461884/sp-500-rallies-on-best-day-in-2-months-as-recession-fears-ease-tesla-rockets-bitcoin-hits-88000-whats-driving-markets-monday">alleviate recession fears</a>.
Furthermore, the tech sector, particularly the &#8220;Mag Seven&#8221; stocks, could face<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44458244/tech-sector-to-see-major-impact-from-tariffs-and-teslas-delivery-numbers-says-top-analyst-calls-april-2-as-the-vortex-day"> a </a>significant impact from the new tariffs set to take effect on April 2, as noted by Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. This date, dubbed the &#8216;Vortex Day&#8217; by Munster, is also significant as it coincides with the release of Tesla&#8217;s delivery numbers, which are expected to be weaker than anticipated.
On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1.42%, the S&amp;P 500 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.76%, and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) grew 2.27%.
<ul>
<li>READ MORE: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44469333/alibabas-tsai-sounds-alarm-on-signs-of-ai-bubble-people-are-building-data-centers-on-speculation">Alibaba&#8217;s Tsai Sounds Alarm On Signs Of AI Bubble In US: &#8216;People Are Building Data Centers On Speculation&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

AAPL

Jim Cramer Says Monday Market Rally Fueled By Hopes For A More Predictable Tariff Strategy: '...That's What Stock Markets Like'

U.S. stock futures declined on Tuesday, after advancing for two consecutive sessions on Friday and Monday.
Futures of major benchmark indices were lower in premarket trading, signaling some profit-taking after two days of advances.
President Donald Trump said Monday that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/03/44468587/trump-announces-auto-tariffs-are-imminent-but-some-countries-might-receive-exemptions">automobile tariffs are imminent</a>, though not all will take effect by April 2. During a White House briefing, he suggested some countries may be exempt but provided no details, per Reuters. 
He also introduced a 25% tariff on nations purchasing Venezuelan oil or gas, impacting global prices. A White House official stated that the timeline for industry-specific tariffs, including those on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductor chips, remains unclear.
The 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.35%, while the two-year yield was at 4.05%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is an 89.2% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rates unchanged during its May meeting. 
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Change (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>-0.31%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.18%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.15%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>-0.49%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, dropped in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.11% to $573.44, while the QQQ declined 0.24% to $489.50, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
Cues From Last Session:
Consumer discretionary, communication services, and industrials led a broad market rally on Monday, driving U.S. stocks higher.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) saw significant jumps, with Tesla up around 12%. This optimism was fueled by President Trump&#8217;s softened stance on tariffs ahead of the April 2, 2025 deadline, and strong March service sector data.
Specifically, the S&amp;P Global Services PMI climbed to 54.3, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to 0.18. However, the S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8, and utility stocks closed slightly lower, bucking the overall positive trend.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>2.27%</td>
<td>18,188.59</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>1.76%</td>
<td>5,767.57</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>1.42%</td>
<td>42,583.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2.55%</td>
<td>2,109.38</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
As the market has rebounded after Trump&#8217;s softer stance on tariffs, &#8220;Recent calm suggests advisors may have persuaded Trump to hold off the worst, but clarity is essential,&#8221; said senior economist Jeremy Siegel.
&#8220;A clear and measured tariff plan—particularly if it avoids broad retaliation—could trigger a strong relief rally,&#8221; he added.
Market watchers are keenly focused on international trade, with April 2nd emerging as a pivotal date, according to Siegel. The anticipated release of President Trump&#8217;s reciprocal tariff plans on that day holds the potential to either alleviate or exacerbate existing trade war concerns, he noted.
Siegel emphasized that the recent 10% equity downturn from December&#8217;s peaks underscores the significant investor apprehension surrounding unpredictable tariff announcements and their potential to destabilize global market sentiment.
Talking about the Federal Reserve&#8217;s commentary last week, Siegel added, &#8220;Fed Chair Powell's tone emphasized flexibility, dismissing long-term inflation fears tied to tariffs, and citing evidence from the financial markets muted long-term expectations. It's no surprise equities liked that combination from Powell, but sentiment remains jittery on tariff side.&#8221;
According to Kathy Jones, managing director and chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, the markets were stuck in a range amid policy uncertainty.
&#8220;Some of the proposed policies are expected to slow growth such as tariffs and limits on immigration, while tax cuts and deregulation could boost growth. Similarly, some policies are likely to raise inflation pressures while slower growth could reduce them. With the Fed on hold amid the policy &#8216;uncertainty,&#8217; the market is stuck in a range.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How to Trade Futures </a>
Upcoming Economic Data
Here&#8217;s what investors will keep an eye On Tuesday:
<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P Case-Shiller home price index for 20 cities is scheduled to be released at 9 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Consumer confidence and new home sales data are scheduled to be released at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Core &amp; Main Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNM#NYSE">CNM</a>) was up 2.30% in premarket on Monday ahead of its earnings before the opening bell. Analysts expect quarterly earnings of 36 cents per share on the revenue of $1.67 billion.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>GameStop Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>) was 0.27% higher as Wall Street expects it to report earnings of 8 cents per share on revenue of $1.48 billion after the closing bell.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Worthington Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WOR#NYSE">WOR</a>) slipped 0.15% ahead of its earnings after the closing bell. Analysts expect quarterly earnings of 71 cents per share on revenue of $285.54 million.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>KB Home. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBH#NYSE">KBH</a>) slumped 9.37% after reporting weaker-than-expected first-quarter results after the closing bell on Monday. KB Home said it expects full-year 2025 housing revenue to be in the range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DJT#NASDAQ">DJT</a>) surged 9.80% after it announced a partnership with cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to introduce a series of exchange-traded funds.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>WANG &amp; LEE GROUP Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLGS#NASDAQ">WLGS</a>) plunged 7.31% after the company announced the pricing of a $12.0 million registered direct offering.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>23andMe Holding Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ME#NASDAQ">ME</a>) dropped 5.77% after the company announced it had initiated voluntary Chapter 11 bankruptcy to pursue a strategic sale and secured $35M in DIP financing.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PROP#NASDAQ">PROP</a>) spiraled 19.45% after it priced a $38.5 million public offering of common stock at $4.50 per share, with net proceeds expected to be approximately $35.4 million. Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase an additional $5.8 million in shares.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Atomera Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ATOM#NASDAQ">ATOM</a>) plummeted 15.94% following the resignation of VP Shawn Thomas, effective March 28, 2025.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Gold And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 0.52% to hover around $69.48 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar gained 0.26% to hover around $3,019.99 per ounce. Its previous record high stood at $3,057.51 per ounce.
Asian markets closed on a mixed on Tuesday. China&#8217;s CSI 300, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and South Korea's Kospi index fell in trade. Whereas, India's S&amp;P BSE Sensex, Japan's Nikkei 225, and Australia's ASX 200 index advanced. European markets were mostly higher in early trade.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44468827/palantir-market-cap-surges-over-50-billion-in-2025-wont-be-a-seller-says-analyst-as-he-foresees-pltr-as-a-play-on-global-economy-and-ai">Palantir Market Cap Surges Over $50 Billion In 2025: Won&#8217;t Be A &#8216;Seller,&#8217; Says Analyst As He Foresees PLTR As An AI Play</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Analyst Ratings

ATOM

PROP

WLGS

US Stocks Likely To Open Lower After 2-Day Advance: Clear And Measured Tariff Plan Could 'Trigger A Strong Relief Rally,' Says Expert

Goldman Sachs has predicted a 3% annualized growth in the S&amp;P 500 index over the next 10 years in a base case scenario, however, this expert warns that such a prediction highlights &#8220;no relationship&#8221; between the valuation metric price-to-earnings ratio and real returns.
What Happened: According to Goldman Sachs&#8217;s <a href="https://www.gspublishing.com/content/research/en/reports/2024/10/18/29e68989-0d2c-4960-bd4b-010a101f711e.html">global strategy paper</a>, the annualized 10-year returns for the S&amp;P 500 stood at 13% for the period between 2014 to 2024. The distribution around this forecast ranges from -1% to +7%, with 3% being the baseline. 
However, Seth Golden, the chief market strategist at Finom Group, has said &#8220;With this forecast, caveat being there is no relationship between P/E and real returns.&#8221;
This implies that he doesn&#8217;t think that high or low P/E ratios necessarily predict future real returns. Golden is challenging a fundamental assumption of Goldman&#8217;s model, suggesting that their forecast might be based on a potentially unreliable relationship.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Goldman Sachs &quot;The days of fast and robust annual returns are over. S&amp;P 500 <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24SPX&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$SPX</a> will return 3% annualized returns over the next Decade, with a distribution around this forecast ranging from -1% to +7%.&quot; With this forecast, caveat being there is no relationship between P/E and… <a href="https://t.co/22wYvGRttM">pic.twitter.com/22wYvGRttM</a>
&mdash; Seth Golden (@SethCL) <a href="https://twitter.com/SethCL/status/1903796654903296467?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 23, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44468827/palantir-market-cap-surges-over-50-billion-in-2025-wont-be-a-seller-says-analyst-as-he-foresees-pltr-as-a-play-on">Palantir Market Cap Surges Over $50 Billion In 2025: Won&#8217;t Be A &#8216;Seller,&#8217; Says Analyst As He Foresees PLTR As An AI Play </a>
Why It Matters: According to the paper released by Goldman, their long-term equity returns are modeled as a function of five variables: starting absolute valuation, stock market concentration, economic contraction frequency, corporate profitability, and interest rates.
This implies that they believe the P/E ratio, or similar valuation metrics, has a predictive power regarding future real returns.
&#8220;Our baseline return forecast is most sensitive to changes in starting valuation. All else equal a one multiple change in starting valuations would change our baseline return forecast by 31 bp,&#8221; the paper added.
The paper also highlights that equities will face stiff competition from other assets during the next decade. There is a high probability that the S&amp;P 500 will underperform bonds and inflation.
&#8220;Our 3% annualized equity return forecast combined with a current ten-year U.S. Treasury yield of 4% and ten-year breakeven inflation of 2.2% suggests the S&amp;P 500 has roughly a 72% probability of trailing bonds and a 33% likelihood of lagging inflation through 2034,&#8221; stated the strategy paper.
However, the criticism from Golden reaffirms the debate amongst investors and analysts about the reliability of valuation metrics to predict future market performance.
Price Action: The S&amp;P 500 index has fallen by 1.72%, the Nasdaq 100 is down 3.79% and Dow Jones is up 0.45% on a year-to-date basis.
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, rose on Monday. The SPY advanced 1.79% to $574.08, and the QQQ gained 2.19% to $490.66, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
On Tuesday, the future of Dow Jones fell by 0.10%, whereas the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.05% and 0.03% respectively.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44431190/billionaire-mark-cuban-questions-motives-behind-national-turnaround-efforts-asks-who-will-be-worse-off-in-the-us-economic-shift">Mark Cuban Questions Motives Of Elon Musk-Led DOGE's ‘Turnaround' Efforts, Asks ‘Who Will Be Worse Off?' In The US Economic Shift </a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Goldman Forecasts 3% Growth For S&P 500 Over Next Decade: Expert Contradicts, Says It Has 'No Relationship' With Real Returns

President Donald Trump hinted at tariff relief for select nations in a White House appearance on Monday, while celebrating Hyundai Motor Co. (OTCPK: HYMLF) 's $21 billion investment push in Louisiana, a move that includes increased steel output and underscores growing foreign confidence <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">in America&#8217;s manufacturing sector.</a>
Trump reiterated that reciprocal tariffs are expected to be announced on Apr. 2, but suggested some flexibility: "I may give a lot of countries breaks on tariffs," he said, adding that "not all tariffs will be included on April 2."
Trump&#8217;s remarks mark a significant twist in his tariff strategy, long defined by aggressive policies aimed at reducing the country&#8217;s trade deficits. 
"They've charged us so much that I'm embarrassed to charge them what they've charged us," Trump said. "But it'll be substantial."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">New Tariffs Incoming, But Not for Everyone</h3>
Trump confirmed that new tariffs targeting foreign-made automobiles, chips and lumber will be unveiled "over the next days," though details remain limited. 
"We're going to get all those chip companies coming back," Trump said.
A separate 25% tariff on oil-importing nations trading with Venezuela, announced earlier on Monday, was also confirmed. 
The levy will be in addition to existing duties, Trump clarified. 
Trump dubbed the broader tariff push "Liberation Day," describing it as a turning point for the U.S. economy that would deliver "lower taxes and all the things that are good—and jobs, a lot of jobs."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Hyundai Commits $21B To US Manufacturing</h3>
Trump appeared alongside Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry and Hyundai executive chair Euisun Chung to unveil the South Korean automaker's ambitious expansion in the United States. 
The centerpiece is a new steel plant in Louisiana expected to produce more than 2.7 million metric tons of steel annually and create about 1,400 jobs.
Hyundai will be exempted from tariff applications, Trump indicated. 
"This is the beginning of a lot of things happening," Trump said. "Hyundai is a great company. We have other great companies coming in… We're well into the $3 and $4 trillion mark [in investments], which has never happened to our country before."
The Hyundai steel facility is just one part of the company's broader U.S. strategy. In his Monday remarks, Chung said the firm is committing $6 billion to strengthen the American steel supply chain. 
A separate $8 billion EV manufacturing plant is opening this week in Georgia. Hyundai also plans to purchase $3 billion worth of U.S. liquefied natural gas.
Altogether, the company plans to invest $21 billion in the U.S. over the next four years.
Trump also highlighted major investment commitments from other companies such as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>). 
"We're well into the $3 and $4 trillion mark [in investments], which has never happened to our country before," he said. "What it really means is jobs. We care about jobs."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Louisiana's Industrial Boom: 50 Billion In Projects</h3>
"I told them we would have a great president this year," Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry, a staunch Trump ally, said. 
"It's not just promises, it's about action. We'll have $50 billion worth of construction projects going on in Louisiana. That is a record, Mr. President."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Wall Street advanced further during afternoon trading in New York amid reassuring Trump remarks on tariffs. The S&amp;P 500 index – tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – was up 1.8%. 
Shares of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) rallied 11%, while the broader the tech sector as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) soared 2%. 
Now Read: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44461884/sp-500-rallies-on-best-day-in-2-months-as-recession-fears-ease-tesla-rockets-bitcoin-hits-88000-whats-driving-markets-monday">S&amp;P 500 Rallies On Best Day In 2 Months As Recession Fears Ease, Tesla Rockets, Bitcoin Hits $88,000: What&#8217;s Driving Markets Monday?</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Asia

HYMLF

Trump Hints At Tariff 'Breaks,' Cheers Hyundai's $21B Bet With Louisiana Steel Plant Deal

While President Donald Trump's economic policies — particularly related to tariffs — have clouded the broader narrative, at least some sectors could see a reprieve. According to a Bloomberg report, the Trump administration <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/futures/25/03/44454222/why-sp-500-and-nasdaq-futures-are-rising-today">might not pursue levies on critical industries</a> like automobiles and semiconductors, at least for the time being. Naturally, this development has strong implications for Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MU#NASDAQ">MU</a>).
Of course, the major tailwind is not an exclusive catalyst for MU stock. For example, one of the main tech benchmarks, Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), popped around 2% on Monday, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) wasn't too far behind. It goes without saying that the usual suspects in the semiconductor space, such as Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), benefited handsomely from the surge.
Nevertheless, investors may want to pay close attention to MU stock. For one thing, the underlying company is critically important for artificial intelligence. Generative AI is a data-hungry machine, and Micron—thanks to its memory and storage infrastructure specialty—feeds it.
Specifically, AI workloads require massive amounts of data for training and operating purposes. Advanced systems are constantly moving data in and out of memory. Micron's dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) and flash storage (NAND) products allow this process to happen quickly and reliably.
Second, Micron is coming off an upbeat second-quarter earnings report. Revenue of $8.05 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $1.56 beat the respective analysts' targets of $7.89 billion and $1.42 per share. Even better, management broadcast optimism for the third quarter due to DRAM and NAND demand growth in both data center and consumer markets.
Subsequently, MU stock slipping about 17% below parity over the past 52 weeks seems to be a discount.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Smart Money Inflows Offer the Most Important Opinion About MU Stock</h2>
As encouraging as the fundamental winds are, they won't matter much if the market doesn't respond in kind. For this response to materialize, it's not enough for individual investors to have positive vibes. Instead, institutional money needs to talk with their wallets, which appears to be happening with MU stock.
Earlier on Monday, Benzinga's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/insights/options/25/03/44458988/check-out-what-whales-are-doing-with-micron-technology">options scanner</a> identified unusual activity in Micron's derivative contracts, with big money piling in. Most conspicuously, the highest dollar-volume trade was for 3,300 contracts of the $100 call expiring next month on April 17. This trade is significant because of the relatively unambiguous nature of the transaction.
Because the sentiment is bullish, the call options represent a debit transaction; that is, the trader must pay the premium (or the ask price) to acquire the calls. By logical deduction, the breakeven price for such a transaction is the strike price plus the premium paid. In this case, the trader is signaling that before expiration, MU stock should pop above $103.30.
Bear in mind that a bought call option can only be profitable if it rises above the breakeven threshold, based on intrinsic or extrinsic value or a combination of both. While it's not guaranteed that MU stock will swing higher from here, it's reasonable to assume that the whales believe upside is approaching.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="595" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24144633/MU-stock-technical-analysis-1024x595.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-839094" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24144633/MU-stock-technical-analysis-1024x595.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24144633/MU-stock-technical-analysis-300x174.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24144633/MU-stock-technical-analysis-768x446.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24144633/MU-stock-technical-analysis.jpg 1036w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image by TradingView</figcaption></figure>
Enticingly, in the technical chart, MU stock appears to be forming a pattern reminiscent of a bullish pennant. If anything, the price action since September last year is noticeably funneling into an apex. From the above data, the whales are positioning for a big breakout.
Adding to the enthusiasm is the statistical argument. As a baseline, MU stock (using data over the past six years) enjoys an upward bias. A long position held for any given eight-week period has a 56.15% chance of rising.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24143451/MU-stock-probability-gambit-1024x576.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-839071" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24143451/MU-stock-probability-gambit-1024x576.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24143451/MU-stock-probability-gambit-300x169.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24143451/MU-stock-probability-gambit-768x432.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/24143451/MU-stock-probability-gambit.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image by author</figcaption></figure>
Under the dynamic conditions of sizable volatility — defined as a weekly loss between 5% and 10%, as occurred last week — an eight-week hold sees long odds rise to nearly 62%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Two Ways to Roll the Dice on MU Stock</h2>
With the whales targeting the April 17 $100 calls, it makes sense to duplicate this trade. However, retail traders can leverage demand for this derivative by selling it in a net bullish transaction called the bull call spread. Here's how one iteration works out.
Consider the 95/100 bull spread expiring April 17. This transaction involves buying the $95 call (at a time-of-writing ask of $530) and simultaneously selling the $100 call (at a bid of $288). The proceeds from the short call partially offset the debit paid for the long call, resulting in a net cash outlay of $242, the most that can be lost in the trade.
Should MU stock hit the $100 short strike price at expiration, the maximum reward comes out to be the difference between the strike prices (multiplied by 100 shares per contract) and the debit paid, or nominally $258. This translates to a payout of almost 107%.
Another simpler approach is to buy the MU stock call option straight up. If going this route, it might make sense to buy a longer-expiry call, such as the May 16 expiration date. This way, traders can give themselves extra time for the potential bullish pennant to break out.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44463376/tesla-showroom-targeted-in-austin-as-vandalism-escalates">Tesla Showroom Targeted In Austin As Vandalism Escalates</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings Beats

Long Ideas

Options

Options Corner: Big Money Flows Into Micron Amid Easing Tariff Pressures

Wall Street soared Monday, kicking off the week in full risk-on mode as investors welcomed signs of easing trade tensions and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44459470/us-business-activity-rebounds-as-services-growth-outpaces-forecasts-yet-cost-pressures-intensify">stronger-than-expected economic data. </a>
President Donald Trump&#8216;s softer tone on potential tariffs ahead of the looming April 2, 2025 deadline helped calm nerves. Adding to the optimism, fresh business surveys showed a strong rebound in services activity in March, easing recession worries.
U.S. economic activity accelerated in March, with the Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising rom 51.6 in February to to 53.5. Services PMI jumped to 54.3 — well above consensus forecasts of 50.8 and sharply higher than the prior month's 51.0 reading. Yet, the report also flagged a notable uptick in cost pressures, as businesses reported growing concerns over input prices, likely linked to heightened speculation around potential tariff measures.
The S&amp;P 500 jumped 1.75% by midday in New York, on track for its best one-day performance since mid-January. The Nasdaq 100 rallied 2%, mirroring gains from March 14 — the index's strongest day since early November 2024.
Small caps outperformed their large-cap peers, underscoring the market's improving risk appetite. The Russell 2000 surged 2.8%, marking its best session since the post-election rally on Nov. 6, 2024.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) led the charge on both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100, soaring 9.8%, on track for its sharpest one-day gain since early November.
All seven mega-cap tech stocks posted solid gains, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAGS#NYSE">MAGS</a>) climbing 2.9% after Friday's 1.4% rise, setting up what could be its strongest two-day advance since early January.
Every S&amp;P 500 sector, except utilities, traded in positive territory, with consumer discretionary and technology leading the pack.
The U.S. dollar index edged higher, eyeing a fourth consecutive session of gains. Meanwhile, Treasury yields spiked across the curve as investors rotated out of safe-haven assets. The 10-year yield jumped seven basis points to 4.32%, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) dropped 0.9%.
Gold pulled back 0.3% to $3,014 per ounce, on pace for its third straight decline, as investors favored riskier assets.
Oil prices gained 1.5% after Trump threatened a 25% tariff on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44460897/oil-prices-rally-exxon-hits-16-week-highs-as-trump-vows-25-tariffs-on-any-country-buying-venezuelan-crude">countries importing Venezuelan crude.</a>
Crypto-related assets also rallied. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) climbed 2.7% to $88,400, while MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) jumped 7.4% and Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) rose 6.2%.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,104.07</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,160.42</td>
<td>2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,762.34</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td> Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,589.04</td>
<td>1.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:20 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.8% to $573.92.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) rose 1.3% to $425.30.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rallied 2% to $490.39.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) soared 2.4% to $208.59</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, up 2.7%; the&nbsp;Utilities&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) lagged, down 0.2%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle giant BYD Co. Ltd. (OTCPK: BYDDY) rallied 5.5% in over-the-counter markets amid stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings. The carmaker is now up 60% year-to-date. </li>
<li>Shares of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) soared 7.3%, eyeing their biggest one-day jump since February 2024, as Chinese conglomerate Ant Group is increasingly shifting to domestic and AMD chips amid exports controls. </li>
<li>Airline and travel-related stocks rallied substantially amid easing recession fears. United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) were up 5.7%, 4.2% and 4%, respectively. </li>
</ul>
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/03/44458099/us-economy-faces-fork-in-the-road-is-yardenis-roaring-2020s-still-possible">US Economy Faces &#8216;Fork In The Road&#8217;: Is Yardeni&#8217;s &#8216;Roaring 2020s&#8217; Still Possible?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Travel

Treasuries

BYDDY

COIN

MAGS

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

S&P 500 Rallies On Best Day In 2 Months As Recession Fears Ease, Tesla Rockets, Bitcoin Hits $88,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

WIIM

Major indexes are higher amid reports suggesting tariffs could be narrower and more targeted.

The U.S. economy stands at a critical juncture. Mounting recession fears are colliding with the possibility of a technology-fueled productivity boom that could reshape the decade and power the stock <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">market to new heights.</a>
In a note shared Monday, Ed Yardeni, one of Wall Street's most enduring bulls, said the U.S. economy faces "a fork in the road." The Yardeni Research president gives a 65% probability of a so-called Roaring 2020s scenario and a 35% chance of a more stagnant, stagflationary outcome, including a recession.
"We've decided to fold our 1990s meltup/meltdown scenario into our Roaring 2020s scenario," Yardeni said. 
"The current correction in the stock market suggests that the former has played out already, as the bull market's highflyers have been hit hardest."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What's Behind The Current Market Correction?</h3>
Markets have clearly been rattled. The S&amp;P 500 index — as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) — has declined 10.1% from its Feb. 19 peak through Mar. 13, while the Nasdaq 100, tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), has slid 11.8% since its Dec. 16 high.
&#8220;The Magnificent-7 stocks led the recent rout,&#8221; Yardeni said.
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAGS#NYSE">MAGS</a>)—tracking the elite group of tech giants like Microsoft Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NYSE">MSFT</a>), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>), Amazon Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) —has dropped 18.8% from its Dec. 17 peak.
This contrasts with the Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXMAGS#NYSE">EXMAGS</a>), often referred to as the "S&amp;P 493," which is down just 6% since mid-February. The sharper decline in tech mega caps signals that the stock market correction is concentrated among prior highflyers.
These types of corrections—defined as 10%-20% pullbacks—typically reflect rising fears of an economic downturn.
Yet Yardeni stressed that forward earnings for the S&amp;P 500 continue to hit record highs, suggesting that Wall Street analysts remain more optimistic than investors. That divergence, he said, can be attributed to analysts being closely tied to corporate guidance, which often downplays macro fears.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading"> Two-Sided Outlook: Stagflation Or Productivity Boom?</h3>
Yardeni raised his recession probability to 35% earlier this month, attributing the increase to a "Trump Turmoil 2.0" characterized by tariff threats and political instability. Yet, his base case remains anchored in optimism.
In his Roaring 2020s scenario, Yardeni sees real GDP growth fueled by a 2% annual increase in productivity and labor force growth of 0.5%-1%, supporting potential economic expansion of 2.5%-3% annually. 
That would keep inflation in check, lift profit margins, boost wages and purchasing power, and ultimately push the S&amp;P 500 to 10,000 by the decade&#8217;s end.
"This includes the possibility of a rebound in the former highflyers," Yardeni said, suggesting tech stocks could still have room to run once market jitters subside.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What The Fed And Markets Are Pricing In</h3>
The Federal Reserve's March dot plot revealed that policymakers are still anticipating two rate cuts in 2024, followed by two in 2025 and one more in 2027. 
The longer-run federal funds rate remains anchored at 3%. These projections, along with the downgrade in real GDP forecasts to 1.7% for 2025, reflect the Fed's view of a soft landing. They also acknowledge the economic drags coming from tighter fiscal policy and potential trade disruptions.
Fed officials trimmed their real GDP growth expectations across the board: 
<ul>
<li>from 2.1% to 1.7% for 2025</li>
<li>from 2.0% to 1.8% for 2026, and</li>
<li>from 1.9% to 1.8% for 2027.</li>
</ul>
The Fed also raised its inflation forecast for core personal consumption expenditures, the central bank's preferred inflation gauge, to 2.8% for year-end 2024, up from 2.5% in December.
Kalshi, a prediction market regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, shows a 40% probability of a U.S. recession in 2025. That&#8217;s slightly higher than Yardeni's 35% estimate. These odds have ticked higher recently, mirroring growing concern over macro headwinds and geopolitical noise.
<iframe loading="lazy" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widgets/events/RECSSNBER-25/markets/RECSSNBER-25?color_scheme=light&#038;widget_size=large&#038;utm_campaign=benzinga_widget" width="552px" height="400px" style="border:0"></iframe>
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/03/44449088/buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-outpaces-s-p-500-with-best-2-month-run-since-2010">Buffett&#8217;s Berkshire Hathaway Outpaces S&amp;P 500 With Best 2-Month Run Since 2010</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

AMZN

EXMAGS

GOOG

MSFT

US Economy Faces 'Fork In The Road': Is Yardeni's 'Roaring 2020s' Still Possible?

Trade tensions, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/federal-reserve">Fed policy shifts</a> and weakening sentiment are creating a stormy outlook for the global economy.
JPMorgan's Bruce Kasman just upped the ante on recession risks, pegging the odds of a 2025 U.S./global downturn at 40%. That's not just a number—it's a warning shot for investors navigating an increasingly volatile landscape.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trade War Fears Are Back &#8211; ETFs Are Already Reacting</h2>
Kasman's outlook hinges on one major factor: trade policy. With tariffs expected to push the effective U.S. rate above 10%, he sees a 0.5% GDP drag next year. But the real risk? A domino effect. 
If business sentiment cracks, capital expenditures slow and inflation limits Fed maneuverability, markets could turn defensive fast.
Investors aren't waiting for confirmation &#8211; ETF flows are already shifting. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EEM#NYSE">EEM</a>) has seen a surge in outflows as investors brace for trade turbulence. 
Meanwhile, defensive plays like the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) are catching bids as risk appetite wanes.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/44449713">Jerome Powell&#8217;s Stagflation Fears, Mark Cuban&#8217;s Economic Queries, And Ray Dalio&#8217;s Debt Warning: This Week In Economics</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Can The Fed Hold The Line?</h2>
The Fed isn't rushing to cut rates despite rising trade war concerns. Kasman notes that while policymakers remain "asymmetric" &#8211; ready to ease in a labor market downturn but unwilling to hike on strong growth &#8211; this stance leaves little cushion if sentiment nosedives.
That's a potential headwind for growth-focused ETFs like Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which relies on a Fed-friendly backdrop.
But it's not all doom and gloom. A front-loaded boost in global trade is temporarily lifting manufacturing ETFs, with the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) seeing inflows as global industrial production spikes.
The question is: how long does that last before trade war fears fully set in?
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">ETF Playbook For Recession Risks</h2>
With uncertainty mounting, ETF investors are playing both offense and defense. Those bracing for more pain are rotating into SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) and Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDC#NYSE">VDC</a>), while bargain hunters are eyeing SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) for potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Bottom line? 
The 40% recession probability isn't just a macro call &#8211; it's already reshaping ETF positioning. If sentiment sours further, this shift is only getting started.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/44450390">Charlie Munger&#8217;s Investment Wisdom: &#8216;If People Weren&#8217;t So Often Wrong, We Wouldn&#8217;t Be So Rich&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Emerging Market ETFs

Trade Wars, Fed Moves And A 40% Recession Risk - Is Your Portfolio Ready?

Wall Street remains in the red heading into the end of the week, with major indexes posting modest midday losses in New York, though well off <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">the session&#8217;s earlier lows.</a>
At a White House event, President Donald Trump said there would be flexibility on the upcoming tariffs, easing investor concerns that their planned implementation on April 2 could trigger major disruptions.
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44439169/monster-equity-inflows-say-no-one-really-believes-trade-war-bank-of-americas-hartnett-says">&#8216;Monster Equity Inflows Say No One Really Believes Trade War,&#8217; Bank Of America&#8217;s Hartnett Says</a>
The news helped improve risk sentiment in equities, while gold is having its worst session since late February, down 1% as traders scale back positions in safe-haven assets.
The U.S. dollar reversed course to notch weekly gains after two consecutive weeks of losses. Among mega-cap stocks, Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) and Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) led the way, climbing 4.9% and 4.2%, respectively.
Boeing, up 11% for the week, is on track for its strongest weekly performance since July 2023 after securing a multibillion-dollar contract to design and build a next-generation fighter jet for the U.S. Air Force—beating out rival Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), which fell 6%.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) dipped 0.4% to below $84,000 but is still holding onto weekly gains.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>41,851.01</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,623.24</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,637.84</td>
<td>-0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,056.35</td>
<td>-0.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 4:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.7% to $561.86.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) fell 0.4% to $418.47.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;was down 0.2% to $478.28.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.6% to $203.82</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Communication&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) outperformed, up 0.4%; the&nbsp;Materials&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>) was the worst sector performer, down 1.5%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>FedEx Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FDX#NYSE">FDX</a>) tumbled 7.9% in reaction to quarterly earnings, eyeing the worst day since September. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>), up 0.3%, NIO Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NIO#NYSE">NIO</a>), down 3%, Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MU#NASDAQ">MU</a>), down 7.9%, Nike Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>), down 4.5%, Lennar Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>), down 4%. </li>
</ul>
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/03/44435609/sp-500-could-soar-12-by-year-end-but-only-if-recession-is-avoided-goldman-sachs-says">S&amp;P 500 Could Soar 12% By Year-End—But Only If Recession Is Avoided, Goldman Sachs Says</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Wall Street Trims Losses As Boeing Eyes Best Week In Nearly 2 Years: What's Driving Markets Friday?

<ul>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>WAR</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>MU</li>
<li>X</li>
<li>QQQ</li>
<li>AAPL</li>
<li>MSTR</li>
<li>NKE</li>
<li>TSLR</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

TSLR

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of March 21, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

As gold prices trend upward, World Gold Council data and experts highlight that the U.S. might be repatriating gold owing to tariff fears, securing a strong domestic reserve, possible gold audits, and ending globalization.
What Happened: Gold surpassed the $3,000 per ounce mark and it&#8217;s now headed toward $3,100 with its last record high at $3,057.51.
According to Josh Phair, the CEO of <a href="https://www.scottsdalemint.com/articles/2025/watch-banks-are-frantically-moving-gold-to-us-soil/?srsltid=AfmBOoqutL5epyFSGzKCK_iCfneYV3yljVCp88alEucm9CqW8K9fZp6j">Scottsdale Mint</a>, a U.S.-based manufacturer and distributor of precious metal products, the repatriation trend became noticeable in December as the exchange for physical premiums increased.
He added that after the new year, &#8220;I think everyone realized this is primarily driven by tariff risk and the banks are not in the business of taking risk – they do not want to pick up pennies in front of freight trains. The goal was to get all the metal stateside.&#8221;
He also said that there must be an &#8220;invisible hand&#8221; with the uncertainty around the new administration, the possibility of a gold audit after Elon Musk and Donald Trump urged <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43875557/donald-trump-airs-fort-knox-inspection-as-gold-edges-closer-to-3000-it-is-an-essential-component-of-portfolio-says-expert">Fort Knox inspection</a> in February. 
Phair emphasized the risk aversion of banks and the broader trend of countries wanting to secure their gold holdings within their own borders, citing the example of Germany.
Speaking about the geopolitical context of repatriation, with a move away from globalization and toward self-sufficiency, he added, &#8220;I think we're ending kind of the world of globalization. Now people are saying hey we need to be self-sufficient, we need to find new partnerships. For the same reason that China has been pulling their metal and buying metal out of Europe now for a couple years.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44431190/billionaire-mark-cuban-questions-motives-behind-national-turnaround-efforts-asks-who-will-be-worse-off-in-the-us-economic-shift">Mark Cuban Questions Motives Of Elon Musk-Led DOGE&#8217;s &#8216;Turnaround&#8217; Efforts, Asks &#8216;Who Will Be Worse Off?&#8217; In The US Economic Shift</a>
Why It Matters: Data from the World Gold Council showed that gold was being exported from Switzerland to the U.S.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The US is repatriating gold from Switzerland. <a href="https://t.co/Lgn5IUzwEF">pic.twitter.com/Lgn5IUzwEF</a>
&mdash; Balaji (@balajis) <a href="https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1902703245497446791?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 20, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
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Apart from the U.S., a report by Marissa Salim, the senior research lead of APAC at the World Gold Council <a href="https://www.gold.org/goldhub/gold-focus/2025/03/central-banks-stay-bullish-bullion-january">highlighted</a> that APAC central banks reported 18 tonnes of net purchases in January 2025.
&#8220;Emerging market central banks remain at the forefront of net buying, with Uzbekistan, China, and Kazakhstan the top three buyers,&#8221; she said.
According to Taylor Burnette, the research lead at the <a href="https://www.gold.org/goldhub/gold-focus/2025/03/you-asked-we-answered-gold-hits-3000-what-comes-next">World Gold Council</a>, &#8220;Gold surged from US$2,500/oz to US$3,000 in just 210 days, pushing it three standard deviations above its 200-day moving average.&#8221;
&#8220;While gold may face some consolidation due to the speed of its latest move, the combination of geopolitical and geoeconomic uncertainty, rising inflation, lower rates, and a weaker US dollar continue to provide powerful tailwinds to investment demand,&#8221; he said.
Price Action: Gold was trading at $3,031.30 per ounce, down 0.46% as of the publication of this article.
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Friday. The SPY was down 0.51% to $562.59, and the QQQ declined 0.34% to $477.65, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/03/44414169/soundhound-ai-short-interest-jumps-to-32-9-bring-it-on-says-ceo-shorts-only-make-the-price-of-winning-bigger" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">SoundHound AI Short Interest Jumps To 32.9%: ‘Bring It On,&#8217; Says CEO, Shorts ‘Only Make The Prize Of Winning Bigger&#8217;</a></li>
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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Gold Nears $3,100 Mark As US Accelerates Repatriation Amid Tariff Fears, Possibility Of An Audit

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) CEO, Jensen Huang admitted his comments about quantum computing developments in January, which led to a decline in quantum computing stocks were wrong. He discussed the developments in the field with the leaders of these companies during the GTC AI Conference on Thursday.
What Happened: Huang&#8217;s statements in January pulled the shares of quantum computing companies down, with some experiencing losses exceeding 40%.
During CES 2025, Huang stated that practical quantum computing is likely two decades away. Nvidia set a timeline of 15 to 30 years for "very useful" quantum computers, with a consensus within the company leaning towards a 20-year horizon.
During GTC on Thursday, he said, "My first reaction was, I didn't know they were public! How could a quantum computer company be public?" he said.
Huang said "They can explain why I was wrong," pointing toward the panel of speakers that he had invited from firms like PsiQuantum, D-Wave Quantum Inc., and IonQ Inc.
Despite acknowledging his previous remarks, Huang urged a reevaluation of quantum computing, suggesting it be viewed as a &#8220;quantum instrument&#8221; rather than a traditional computer.
He argued that applying conventional computer standards hinders the field&#8217;s progress, describing it as &#8220;an unfortunate expectation&#8221;. While panelists, including D-Wave&#8217;s CEO, questioned this reframing, Huang maintained his intent to advance the industry.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44431190/billionaire-mark-cuban-questions-motives-behind-national-turnaround-efforts-asks-who-will-be-worse-off-in-the-us-economic-shift">Mark Cuban Questions Motives Of Elon Musk-Led DOGE&#8217;s &#8216;Turnaround&#8217; Efforts, Asks &#8216;Who Will Be Worse Off?&#8217; In The US Economic Shift</a>
Why It Matters: Thursday&#8217;s clarifications and conversations around quantum computing stocks failed to lift them. The stocks fell on Thursday and were trading lower in the premarket on Friday.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Stocks</td>
<td>Thursday&#8217;s Performance</td>
<td>Wednesday&#8217;s Pre-Market Performance</td>
<td>YTD Performance</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RGTI#NASDAQ">RGTI</a>)</td>
<td>-9.24%</td>
<td>-1.56%</td>
<td>-55.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Quantum Computing Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QUBT#NASDAQ">QUBT</a>)</td>
<td>-11.71%</td>
<td>-9.07%</td>
<td>-60.61%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>D-Wave Quantum Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QBTS#NYSE">QBTS</a>)</td>
<td>-18.02%</td>
<td>-2.19%</td>
<td>-9.57%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>IonQ Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IONQ#NYSE">IONQ</a>)</td>
<td>-9.27%</td>
<td>-0.76%</td>
<td>-50.95%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Defiance Quantum ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QTUM#NASDAQ">QTUM</a>)</td>
<td>-1.99%</td>
<td>0.78%</td>
<td>-4.88%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
However, despite his reservations, Huang envisioned quantum technology enhancing traditional computers by establishing foundational truths in science, driving advancements in drug discovery and materials.
He expressed satisfaction with the industry&#8217;s progress, even if his previous skepticism proved incorrect. "I think the progress of the industry is incredible," he said.
Price Action: The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Friday. The SPY was down 0.51% to $562.59, and the QQQ declined 0.34% to $477.65, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/03/44414169/soundhound-ai-short-interest-jumps-to-32-9-bring-it-on-says-ceo-shorts-only-make-the-price-of-winning-bigger" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">SoundHound AI Short Interest Jumps To 32.9%: ‘Bring It On,&#8217; Says CEO, Shorts ‘Only Make The Prize Of Winning Bigger&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

IONQ

QBTS

QTUM

QUBT

RGTI

Jensen Huang Admits Mistake, Says 'I Was Wrong' About Quantum Computing: Apology Fails To Lift RGTI, IONQ, QBTS, QUBT

U.S. stock futures declined on Friday after tumbling in trade on Thursday. Futures of all four benchmark indices were lower in premarket trading.
While Jerome Powell&#8216;s comments on tariff-induced &#8220;transitory&#8221; inflation buoyed the market on Wednesday, the concerns about the projections of higher inflation and lower economic growth dampened the markets on Thursday.
However, the &#8220;dot plot&#8221; still projected two rate cuts in 2025, maintaining the Fed&#8217;s initial forecast.
The 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.22%, while the two-year yield was at 3.94%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.htm">tool</a>, there is an 83.8% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rates unchanged during its May meeting.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Change (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>-0.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.39%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>-0.64%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Friday. The SPY was down 0.57% to $562.24, and the QQQ declined 0.40% to $477.34, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
Cues From The Last Session
Only energy, utilities, financials, and healthcare sectors advanced on Thursday, whereas materials, consumer staples, and information technology sectors led the decline.
Darden Restaurants Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRI#NYSE">DRI</a>) shares rose 6% on strong earnings, while Accenture Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACN#NYSE">ACN</a>) fell 7% due to lower-than-expected guidance.
U.S. jobless claims rose slightly, indicating a stable March labor market, but rising trade tensions and government spending cuts cloud the outlook. Longer unemployment durations were also noted. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing, while still expanding, slowed in March, falling to 12.5, though exceeding forecasts.
February U.S. home sales rose to 4.26 million units, exceeding forecasts, as supply increased, though economic uncertainty poses a risk. Meanwhile, the U.S. Leading Economic Index fell 0.3% in February, continuing a decline, but the six-month pace of decline slowed significantly.
As of Thursday, the Nasdaq 100 remains in correction territory, having fallen 11.45% from its prior peak. Similarly, the Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 have dropped 6.92% and 7.88%, respectively, from their 52-week highs.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>-0.33%</td>
<td>17,691.63</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.22%</td>
<td>5,662.89</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.027%</td>
<td>41,953.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>-0.65%</td>
<td>2,068.63</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts
Analysts at BlackRock said that markets were doubting U.S. growth and equity strength. &#8220;Yet economic conditions don't signal a downturn. Resilient earnings keep us overweight U.S. stocks.&#8221;
The note added that the recent volatility was exacerbated by policy uncertainty and investors moving out of crowded positions.
According to them, &#8220;Over time, deleveraging will have run its course, and uncertainty will likely ease as we get more policy implementation details, such as the White House's full tariff plan due in April.&#8221;
&#8220;We think the biggest risk to U.S. growth is prolonged policy uncertainty. U.S. stocks could face more near-term pressure, but we stay overweight on our tactical horizon. We stay underweight long-term Treasuries as we see yields rising,&#8221; the note stated.
Louis Navellier of Navellier &amp; Associates reiterated that he expects four rate cuts in 2025. &#8220;I am anticipating global interest rates to crash due to the fact that economic growth in Asia is weak, while Britain, Canada, France, Germany, and Mexico are all in the midst of economic contractions. As a result, I am expecting that the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and other central banks to continue to slash key interest rates, which in turn, will cause Treasury yields to decline. And since the Fed does not fight market rates, four key interest rate cuts are still on the table,&#8221; he said.
Meanwhile, Ryan Detrick of Carson Research highlighted that all bear markets start with a correction, but not all corrections turn into a bear market.
He highlighted historical data where 13 of the previous 39 corrections turned into bear markets. &#8216;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">13 of the previous 39 corrections turned into bear markets. All bears start with a correction, but not all corrections turn into a bear market. <a href="https://t.co/jyQYQTM9F5">pic.twitter.com/jyQYQTM9F5</a>
&mdash; Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) <a href="https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/status/1902753838618071157?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 20, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How to Trade Futures</a>
Upcoming Economic Data
-No data is scheduled to be released on Friday this week.
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Nio Inc. ADR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NIO#NYSE">NIO</a>) was down 2.55% in premarket on Friday ahead of its earnings before the opening bell. Analysts expect quarterly loss at 42 cents per share on revenue of $2.85 billion.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) declined 2.41% as Wall Street expects it to report earnings of 2 cents per share on revenue of $5.75 billion before the opening bell.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>MINISO Group Holding Ltd. ADR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MNSO#NYSE">MNSO</a>) fell 1.39% ahead of its earnings before the opening bell. Analysts expect earnings of 38 cents per share on revenue of $698.66 million.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>FedEx Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FDX#NYSE">FDX</a>) dropped 7.08% after it posted weaker-than-expected earnings for its third quarter, while sales topped estimates.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Nike Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>) was 5.09% lower despite better-than-expected third-quarter earnings as its fourth-quarter outlook disappointed.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>CFSB Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFSB#NASDAQ">CFSB</a>) tumbled 19.39% as its short interest surged 42.1% in February to 10,800 shares, representing 1.6 days of trading volume and 0.4% of shares shorted.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>FrontView REIT Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FVR#NYSE">FVR</a>) surged 17.99% as it added 29 properties, completed a successful IPO, and declared a dividend, despite a net loss, generating $9.1 million, issuing positive 2025 guidance.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Luminar Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LAZR#NASDAQ">LAZR</a>) jumped 10.67% after crushing fourth-quarter expectations. Revenue rose slightly to $22.5 million from $22.1 million a year earlier and was well above a FactSet estimate of $17.7 million.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Allurion Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALUR#NYSE">ALUR</a>) climbed 40.79% after its combined obesity treatment drug showed a significant 20.3% weight loss in initial trials.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Patriot National Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNBK#NASDAQ">PNBK</a>) gained 51.89% after it raised over $50 million in a private placement to strengthen its capital, despite a &#8216;Fair&#8217; financial health rating.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Gold, And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.03% to hover around $68.05 per barrel.
The gold spot index was down by 0.35% to $3,033.93 per ounce. Its last record high was at $3,057.51 per ounce. The Dollar Index was up by 0.13% at the 103.991 level.
Asian markets closed mixed on Friday with China&#8217;s CSI 300, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Japan's Nikkei 225 index falling in trade. Whereas, India's S&amp;P BSE Sensex, South Korea's Kospi, and Australia's ASX 200 index advanced. European markets were lower in trade.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44431882/jim-cramer-says-micron-looks-good-as-ceo-sanjay-mehrotra-notes-record-hbm-revenue-stock-slides-in-pre-market-trading">Jim Cramer Says &#8216;Micron Looks Good&#8217; As CEO Sanjay Mehrotra Notes Record HBM Revenue, Stock Slides In Pre-Market Trading</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

ALUR

CFSB

LAZR

MNSO

PNBK

US Stocks Likely To Open Lower, But 'Economic Conditions Don't Signal A Downturn,' Say Analysts As They Expect 'Resilient Earnings' To Lift Equities

Press Releases

Annual Changes to the Nasdaq-100 Index®

2 Growth ETFs to Buy Now with $200 and Hold for Long-Term Profits

AXON

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NASDAQ

連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）が本日始まり、市場コンセンサスでは、政策金利を4.25％から4.50％の範囲で維持すると見られている。それにもかかわらず、アナリストたちは、ホワイトハウスが政策を堅持していることから、パウエル議長が慎重な姿勢をとる可能性があると予想している。
出来事： CMEのフェッドウォッチ(FedWatch) <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">ツール</a>によると、3月の会合での金利据え置きの確率は99％。しかし、6月になると利下げの可能性が65％を超え、9月では90％を超える。
ヤルデニ・リサーチ(Yardeni Research) のエドワード・ヤルデニ代表によると、FRBは様子見の姿勢でインフレ率が2.0％の目標に近づき、またトランプ大統領の政策がアメリカを景気後退に導く可能性がある場合に動きがあると予想される。
ヤルデニ代表は、「トランププット（The Trump Put）が終わりを告げるかもしれないが、フェッドプット（The Fed Put）は引き続き待機中だ」と述べた。
市場が急落して経済に打撃をもたらす場合、連邦準備制度理事会が利下げをすることを「Fedプット」、一方でトランプ政権が市場の恐怖が高まることを避けるために政策を調整することを「トランププット」という。
ナヴェリエ・アソシエイツの会長兼CIOであるルイ・ナヴェリエ氏は、「FRBが間もなく利下げに踏み切る可能性を示唆するハト派的なFOMC声明を予想している。ドットプロットが、今年さらに2回の利下げを示すと見込んでいる」と述べ、今後世界経済が縮小に転じた際、2025年には4回の利下げが見込まれるとも述べた。
また、B2PRIMEグループの創設者でエグゼクティブディレクターのユージニア・ミクリアク氏は、「パウエル議長が経済の不確実性、特に関税の不確実性を理由に、より慎重な態度に変化させることがあり得ると考えている」とコメントした。
関連記事： <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44353578/safe-haven-amidst-volatility-gold-tops-3000-as-market-corrects-but-it-tends-to-see-painful-drawdowns-after-periods-of-sharp-gains-says-expert">不安定な中での安全な避難先？市場調整の中でゴールドが3000ドルを上回るが、急騰後に痛手を見る傾向があると専門家</a>
今回の出来事の意味： アナリストたちは、トランプ大統領が最近の発言で株式市場の重要性を否定したと考えており、そのため経済政策に関しても堅持すると予想している。トランプ大統領は「相場を本当に注視できない」という発言をしており、「相場は上下する」とも述べている。
さらに、日曜日のNBCに対して発言したスコット・ベッセント財務長官は、株式市場の下落が懸念される中での「健全な調整」と呼びながらも、米国が景気後退を回避できる「保証はない」と警告した。
一方でパウエル議長は3月7日、シカゴ大学で講演した際、FRBの二重使命について言及し、雇用と物価安定の両立に注力していくと強調した。物価の上昇が制御できるようになれば、金利を維持し、雇用が弱含めば金利を引き下げる意向を示した。金利調整については「急いでいない」とも語った。
株式相場の動向： 月曜日、S&amp;P 500指数をトラッキングする2つのETF、つまりSPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) とInvesco QQQ トラストETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) は上昇した。SPYは0.77％上昇し567.15ドル、QQQも0.65％上昇し482.77ドル（<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>のデータによる）。
火曜日、4大株価指数先物は全て下落した。ダウ・ジョーンズは0.25％下落、S&amp;P 500指数は0.33％下落、ナスダック100指数は0.44％下落。小型株中心のラッセル2000は0.51％下落。
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44354638/mark-cuban-advises-genz-to-spend-every-waking-minute-learning-about-ai-amid-disruption-heres-a-list-of-ai-investment-opportunities-for-long-term">マーク・キューバン、「AIについて1日中学びを惜しまないで」</a></li>
</ul>

ウォーレン・バフェットが率いるバークシャー・ハサウェイ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>）が、ニューヨークを拠点とするコンパス・リアルエステイトに不動産業事業の売却を<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/ma/25/03/44317138/warren-buffetts-real-estate-brokerage-compass-discuss-deal-report">交渉中</a>との報道があった。
出来事： コンパスがバークシャー・ハサウェイの不動産事業であるホームサービス・オブ・アメリカ（リアル・リビングを含む）を非公開価格で買収提案しているとウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル（WSJ）が<a href="https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/compass-in-talks-to-buy-warren-buffetts-real-estate-brokerage-unit-5eab82e5">報じた</a>。ホームサービス・オブ・アメリカは約820のオフィスと270のフランチャイズがあり、一方でコンパスは米国第2位の不動産仲介業社である。
この報道後、億万長者投資家のチャマス・パリハピティヤ氏は、「世界一の投資家が米国の住宅価格にレバレッジを利かせた売却」とコメントした。
しかし、従来のブローカーの賭けと米国の住宅価格の賭けが同じであるという点では一致していない。DFW住宅・経済アナリストのエイミー・ニクソン氏によると、バークシャーの不動産事業がコンパスに売却される可能性が「必ずしも米国の住宅価格に対する賭けではない」とのこと。<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/ma/25/03/44317138/warren-buffetts-real-estate-brokerage-compass-discuss-deal-report">なぜなら</a> バフェット氏は、不動産業界をさらに再編する不動産テクノロジーに賭けている可能性があるからだ。
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
He dumped all his home builder stocks a year ago and that proved wise 
That said, a bet against a traditional brokerage is not necessarily a bet against US home prices 
He may be betting on REtech reshaping the industry even further
&mdash; Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) <a href="https://twitter.com/texasrunnerDFW/status/1901335669978390537?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 16, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
関連記事: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44298732/nvidia-valuation-drops-after-2025-rout-ai-chipmakers-price-declines-41-from-its-peak-when-chatgpt-was-launched">2025年の大暴落後、エヌビディアが下落：ChatGPTの登場から株価が41％下落</a>
なぜ重要なのか :　ニクソン氏が述べたように、同社事業の売却は米国の住宅価格の賭けとは無関係であるが、金利上昇は住宅市場に影響を与える。金利の上昇は、毎月の支払額が増加する住宅購入者と需要の減少と不動産価格を下げことになる売主の両方に負担となる。
連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）の金融政策決定組織である連邦公開市場委員会（FOMC）は、3月18日と19日の今週に米国の金利政策決定会合が開催される。
CMEグループのFedWatch(フェッドウォッチ）<a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">ツール</a>によると、3月のFOMC会合では金利据え置きの確率は99％だ。ただし、2025年6月以降は利下げの可能性が高まる。
また、米国の不動産セクターでは合併が増えており、ロケットカンパニーズ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RKT#NYSE">RKT</a>）は先週、レッドフィン（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDFN#NASDAQ">RDFN</a>）と175億ドルの<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/ma/25/03/44317138/warren-buffetts-real-estate-brokerage-compass-discuss-deal-report">買収契約</a>に署名した。
株価の動き: 金曜日、S&amp;P 500とナスダック100に続き、SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF （NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）と インベスコ QQQ トラスト ETF（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）が上昇。Benzinga Proのデータによると、SPYは2.07％上昇の562.81ドル、QQQは2.42％上昇の479.66ドルで取引が終了した。
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<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44299872/jack-dorseys-block-first-us-company-to-deploy-nvidias-ai-cluster-predicts-30x-performance-boost">ジャック・ドーシーの「ブロック」、NVIDIAのAIクラスターを最初に導入した米国企業、パフォーマンスが30倍に向上予測</a></li>
</ul>

８月３日（水）午前８時３０分（米国東部時間）に公表される消費者物価指数（CPI）速報に先駆け、主要指数先物は神経質な値動きを示している。債券利回りは消費者物価指数発表前に低下している。今回の報告が価格圧力の緩和が続いていることを確認した場合、米連邦準備制度理事会（FRB）は利上げを余儀なくされる可能性がある。経済学者やストラテジストは、FRB総裁のジェローム・パウエル氏が今月末に予定されている＜ジャクソンホール・シンポジウム＞で、利上げ見通しについてさらに明確な見解を示すと予想している。
ただしアトランタ連邦準備制度（FRB）総裁のラファエル・ボスティック氏は、現在の金利が過去２２年間で最も高い水準であるとして、FRBは金利を引き下げる前に証拠をもう少し見たいと述べた。
ただ、ホンハイ精密工業（Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd.）（OTC：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HNHPF#OTC">HNHPF</a>）が強いAIサーバーの需要について述べたコメントは、Nvidia Corp.（（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>）やその他のAIレバレッジ株に支援をもたらすかもしれない。
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>先物</td>
<td>騰落率（+/-）</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ナスダック100先物</td>
<td>+0.07%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P500先物</td>
<td>+0.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ダウ先物</td>
<td>+0.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K先物</td>
<td>+0.44%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">米国時間の水曜のプレマーケット取引で、 SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF トラスト（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）は0.06％上昇の542.34ドル、インベスコQQQ ETF（NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）は0.05％上昇の462.81ドルとなった。</figcaption></figure>
前場取引の動き
火曜日、予想を上回る形で生産者物価指数（PPI）速報の結果が発表され、リスク選好気配が復活。一時はVIXも18レベルを割り込んだ。全ての主要平均が高く始まり、その後トレード中も上昇し、より高い水準で取引を終えた。テクノロジー銘柄中心のナスダック総合株価指数とS&amp;P500指数は、8月1日以来の最高値で終了。この過程で、S&amp;P500は今年の4日間の中で最大の4日間の上昇を記録した。
テクニカルアナリストでCNBCの寄稿者でもあるFrank Cappelleri氏は、S&amp;P500が６回のセッションで4.8％上昇したことについて言及し、「これは、2023年10月30日から2023年11月6日までの6％上昇以来の最良の記録となった」と述べた。
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24SPX&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$SPX</a> The 6-day advance now is +4.8%.
That&#8217;s the best since the 6-day gain of +6.0% from 10/30-11/6/23.
The index is now challenging its 50-DMA and a key downtrend line…
…which ALSO is similar to early Nov&#8217;23. <a href="https://t.co/mTvo9TBu7H">pic.twitter.com/mTvo9TBu7H</a>
— Frank Cappelleri (@FrankCappelleri) <a href="https://twitter.com/FrankCappelleri/status/1823474564686627315?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 13, 2024</a></blockquote>
</div>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>指数</td>
<td>騰落率</td>
<td>終値</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ナスダック総合株価指数</td>
<td>+2.43%</td>
<td>17187.61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P500指数</td>
<td>+1.68%</td>
<td>5434.43</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ダウ平均株価指数</td>
<td>+1.04%</td>
<td>39765.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ラッセル2000</td>
<td>+1.61%</td>
<td>2095.19</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
アナリストの見解
月曜日の暴落後の市場回復についてコメントし、ファンドマネージャーのLouis Navellierは、「大きな地政学的サプライズがない限り、最近の株安の修正からの回復が続く可能性が高いように見えます。今年は強い上昇が見られたわけではなく、慎重になる傾向があるでしょう」と述べている。
彼はまた、「8月28日のNVIDIAの四半期決算は、完全な回復にとって極めて重要なものになるでしょう」とも述べた。
今日発表される主な経済指標
水曜日の最初の１つの主要なデータは７月の消費者物価指数（CPI）速報である。今回の結果が事前の予想とどのように異なるかは以下の通り。
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>コンセンサス</td>
<td>6月の結果</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>消費者物価（前月比）</td>
<td>+0.2%</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>消費者物価（前年比）</td>
<td>+3.0%</td>
<td>+3.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>中核消費者物価（前月比）</td>
<td>+0.2%</td>
<td>+0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>中核消費者物価（前年比）</td>
<td>+3.2%</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
エネルギー情報管理局（EIA）は午前10時30分（米国東部時間）に、毎週木曜日に発表される石油在庫報告を公表する。
焦点銘柄
<ul>
<li>Peloton Interactive, Inc. （NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PTON#NASDAQ">PTON</a>）は、同社がAlphabet, Inc.の（NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>）（NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>）Fitbitとのコンテンツ提携を発表した後、プレマーケット取引で約7％上昇した。</li>
<li>Kellanova（NASDAQ：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/K#NASDAQ">K</a>）は、米ウォールストリート・ジャーナルがMars, Inc.が同社を買収する取引を締結しつつあると報じた後、約6.50％上昇した。</li>
<li>Cardinal Health, Inc. （NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAH#NYSE">CAH</a>）、Brinker International, Inc. （NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAT#NYSE">EAT</a>）、Performance Food Group Company （NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFGC#NYSE">PFGC</a>）は、市場が開く前に四半期決算を発表する<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/earnings">注目の企業</a>の一つである。</li>
<li>市場が閉じた後に決算を発表する銘柄には、Cisco Systems, Inc. （NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSCO#NASDAQ">CSCO</a>）やLumentum Holdings Inc. （NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LITE#NASDAQ">LITE</a>）が含まれる。</li>
</ul>
商品先物、債券、グローバル株式市場
WTI原油先物は下落し、前のセッションで見られた2％以上の下落を拡大する可能性があることを示唆している一方で、ゴールド先物はわずかな上昇を記録している。10年債利回りは1.7ベーシスポイント下落の3.837％となった。Bitcoin（暗号通貨：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）は上昇を続け、6.1万ドルを超えて取引されている。
アジア市場では、ウォール街が好調なパフォーマンスを収めたことを受けて株式市場は上昇、FRBの利下げを織り込み始めた。ただし中国市場と香港市場は軟調な値動きとなっている。ヨーロッパ株式市場では、金融株が小幅な上昇を見せており、UBS AG（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBS#NYSE">UBS</a>）の株価が金融株を支えている。
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先週8月2日に終了した週は、<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/08/40142331/chip-stocks-staring-at-another-bloodbath-as-intel-tumbles-nvidia-dips-4-asml-crumbles-over-6-whats-a">テクノロジースペース</a>が下落し、テクノロジー選択セレクトセクターSPDRファンド（NYSE：<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>）が5%以上下げ、大型株企業の業績を測るS&amp;P500指数を下回った。今週、テック市場を駆りたてた要因と、これらの株が近期および中期に向けて向かっている方向をまとめた。
好悪入り乱れたテック企業の決算、地政学の影響 今週、トレーダーたちは大型テック企業による決算報告を待つ中、テック株は慎重ながらも好調な立ち上がりを見せた。しかし火曜日には、いくつかのテック決算の期待を下回る内容と、直前の好材料に対する慎重な姿勢によって大きく後退した。
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.（AMD）（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>）からの強い決算報告によってテック株が水曜日に反発したが、マクロ観点からの懸念が木曜日に売り圧力を再び高めた。製造業と雇用市場に関する別々の報告がテック市場の悪材料となり、Meta Platform, Inc.（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>）のかなり堅調な決算をトレーダーたちがほとんど無視した結果となった。
また、金曜日のセッションにおいても売り圧力は継続した。Intel Corp.（インテル）（INTC）の決算が期待を下回ったこと、そしてNVIDIA（NVDA）の大幅下落をもたらした連邦取引委員会（FTC）による動きによって、トレーダーたちのテック株に対するリスクを取る意欲が削がれたのである。
今週のテック株売り払いに関しコメントしたWedbushアナリストのDaniel Ives氏は、「先週のよりも弱い雇用統計が恐慌的なテック企業の売りの圧力を高めた…。これによりリセッション（景気後退）の恐れが高まり、これまでにテック株が売られた嵐（カテゴリー5の売り）において、連邦準備制度が遅すぎたという懸念が高まった」と述べた。
これが今週終了の形となった主要なテック株とETFの週間の動きである。
<ul>
<li>iShares半導体ETF（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NASDAQ">SOXX</a>）：-9.84％</li>
<li>Invesco QQQトラスト（QQQ）：-3.07％</li>
<li>Vanguard情報技術インデックスファンドETF株式（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VGT#NYSE">VGT</a>）：-4.90％</li>
<li>Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3Xシェア（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXL#NASDAQ">SOXL</a>）：-30.01％</li>
<li>T-Rex 2XロングNVIDIAデイリーターゲットETF（CBOE：NVDX）：-12.21％</li>
<li>NVIDIA：-5.12％</li>
<li>インテル：-31.48％</li>
<li>AMD：-5.35％</li>
<li>Arm Holdings plc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARM#NASDAQ">ARM</a>）：-23.86％（一部は四半期決算の影響による）</li>
<li>Apple, Inc.（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>）：+0.87％</li>
</ul>
100銘柄の非金融テック株の動きを追跡するNasdaq100指数は、今週の売り払いの結果として修正相場の地域に入った。 7月11日の最高値（18,671.07）から、Nasdaq100は10％以上の値を下げた。最近の高値から10％以上下落することを、株式市場の用語で「修正相場」と呼ぶ。
次に見るべきは
出来事 Ives氏は、このテック株の牡牛相場と史上最長のテック株相場が終わったわけではないと主張している。 「これは、テック株を握るために必要な多年にわたる牡牛相場の最中における緊張感の瞬間に過ぎない」と彼は述べた。
アナリストは、18ヵ月後にはソフトランディングが行われ、連邦準備制度によって大幅な利下げサイクルが始まると予想している。
Ives氏のテック株に対する楽観論は、人工知能技術への信頼に基づいている。
「我々は強く信じています。これは4回目の産業革命を推進する1兆ドル規模のAI Cap Exサイクルの序盤にすぎません。これにより、テックエコシステム全体での加速された成長率が長年続くことになるのです」と彼は述べた。
この6月の四半期決算シーズンにおいて、Wedbushの牡牛相場に関する論文は実証され、大規模なクラウドビルドアウトのフィールドチェックが行われた、とIvs氏は言う。
「米国の消費者が弱体化し始めている（Amazonの消費者は軟調な決算）という懸念や恐怖が明らかになりました。連邦準備制度は手遅れになってしまった。結局は強制的なリセッションが再びやってきてしまう可能性があるのです。それにも関わらず、我々はテック支出と、まだ9イニングゲームの2イニング目にある大規模なAIテクノロジービルダウトの中心になる勝者に焦点を当てています」と彼は続けた。
メガキャップ企業にとっては否定的な連邦準備制度の利下げの見通しが、SMIDキャップのテック株にとっては健康的なものとなるかもしれない。 また、大統領選挙の後の規制の話題も、今回の売り払いを後押しした。共和党勝利の見通しは、多くの人々にとってはより厳格な規制環境が訪れることを意味するからだ。
Palantir Technologies, Inc.（PLTR）は、AIによる機能を活かしており、報告書によれば<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/08/40129511/palantir-faces-critical-prove-me-moment-analyst-says-commercial-growth-will-be-star">今週の発表の中で、AIの波の強さに関する洞察を提供する可能性があります</a>。経済面では、2つのサービスセクターの活動読み、それに雇用の動向の読み取りが注目されるところです。
金曜日のセッションの終値は、<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Proのデータによると</a>448.75ドル、2.37％下げて終了した。
次を読む: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40116376/apple-q3-earnings-beat-expectations-tim-cook-highlights-breakthrough-ai-platform-installed-base-of-">AppleのQ3決算は予想を上回り、Tim Cookが「画期的な」AIプラットフォームを強調：デバイスの設置ベースが過去最高に到達、ただし中国収益は低下</a></li>
</ul>

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大型企業株　S&P500株をSPDRファンドが下回る

<img decoding="async" style="height: 382px; width: 700px;" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/2024-07-23_08h48_24.png" alt="" />
本日の注目ポイントは以下の通りです。
<h4>投機的なセンチメント</h4>
以下の点に注目：
<ul>
<li>この記事は個別の銘柄ではなく、大局についてのものである。TSLA株のチャートはさまざまな視点について示すために使用されている。</li>
<li>投機的なセンチメントは株式市場の主要なドライバーの一つである。
<ul>
<li>投機的なセンチメントが現在非常に高い水準にある。</li>
<li>ヒューマノイドロボットとロボタクシー vs 電気自動車の戦いが予想される。この戦いの結果は、投機的なセンチメントに大きな影響を与えるか、あるいは取り除くかに関わる。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>チャートによると、TSLA株はガンマ・スクイーズがかかり急騰している。ガンマ・スクイーズはウォール街の重要なメカニズムである。投資家はウォール街のメカニズムについて学ぶことで大きな利得を得ることができる。</li>
<li>チャートは、TSLA株の抵抗ゾーンとサポートゾーンを示している。</li>
<li>チャートのRSIによると、TSLA株は過剰買い気味になっている。これにより、TSLA株が上昇するのを容易にする。</li>
<li>テスラの決算発表後の戦いが株式の主要な決定要因となるだろう。本日の取引の終了後にテスラは決算を発表する。</li>
<li>イーロン・マスクは、テスラの株主の一部にヒューマノイドロボット、ロボタクシー、AIにフォーカスするように働きかけることに成功した。マスク氏の株主基盤の再構築に成功したにもかかわらず、テスラ株の大部分の株主は引き続き同社の電気自動車部門に焦点を当てている。</li>
<li>電気自動車事業は引き続き弱く、さらに弱くなる可能性が高い。</li>
<li>マスク氏は、テスラがヒューマノイドロボットを生産しており、これらは来年テスラで稼働すると語った。
<ul>
<li>テスラは2026年から他社にヒューマノイドロボットを販売することを目指している。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>テスラのロボタクシーイベントは8月から10月に延期された。ロボタクシーに関するさらなる煽りと目を見張るような予測を期待していい。</li>
<li>決算発表後、電気自動車に焦点を当てる人々と、ヒューマノイドロボットとロボタクシーに焦点を当てる人々との間で戦いが繰り広げられる。この戦いの結果は、TSLA株だけでなく、株式市場全体のセンチメントにも影響を及ぼすだろう。</li>
<li>重要な決算の中で、ジェネラル・モーターズ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>）、ゼネラル・エレクトリック（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>）、コカ・コーラ（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KO#NYSE">KO</a>）、ロッキード・マーティン（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>）、SAP（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAP#NYSE">SAP</a>）、Spotify Technology SA（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>）が予想を上回る決算を発表した。</li>
<li>ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NYSE">UPS</a>）とNXPセミコンダクターズ（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NXPI#NASDAQ">NXPI</a> ）は予想を下回る決算を発表した。</li>
<li>S&amp;P500の企業のうち、約25％が今週決算を発表している。</li>
<li>株式市場は、カマラ・ハリスが大統領指名を獲得するために必要な代議員を確保したというニュースに大きな反応を見せている。しかし多くの市場関係者は、この興奮は一時的なものだと考えている。</li>
</ul>
<h4>インド</h4>
インドは引き続き最も優れた長期投資機会の一つである。フルディスクロージャーとして、インドに焦点を当てたファンドであるFairfax India Holdings Corp（OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FFXDF#OTC">FFXDF</a>）は The Arora Report の ZYX Buy Model Portfolio に含まれている。インドにフォーカスした3つのETF、WisdomTree India Earnings Fund（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EPI#NYSE">EPI</a>）、iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF（BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMIN#BATS">SMIN</a>）、VanEck India Growth Leaders ETF（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLIN#NYSE">GLIN</a>）が The Arora Reportの ZYX Emerging Model Portfolio に含まれている。
インドの株式にとって、中央政府の予算は常に大きなイベントとなる。この度発表された予算は、長期的には素晴らしいものだが、短期的には、キャピタルゲイン税が増えたことによって投資家が慄いている。短期キャピタルゲインには20％の税率、長期キャピタルゲインには12.5％の税率が適用される。
<h4>投資の賢者の７つの流れ</h4>
早朝の取引では、Tesla Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>）のマネーフローはプラスに傾いている。
早朝の取引では、Apple Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>）、Amazon.com, Inc.（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>）、Alphabet Inc Class C（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>）、Meta Platforms Inc（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>）、およびMicrosoft Corp（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>）のマネーフローは中立的なものである。
早朝の取引では、NVIDIA Corp（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>）のマネーフローはマイナスに傾いている。
早朝の取引では、SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF トラスト（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>）とInvesco QQQ トラスト シリーズ1（NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>）のマネーフローはマイナスに傾いている。
<h4>株式のモモ・クラウドとスマートマネー</h4>
SPYとQQQのマネーフローを知ることで、投資家は利点を得ることができる。株式、金、および原油の買いがスマートマネーによって行われたタイミングを知ることで、投資家はさらなる利点を得ることができる。金にとって最も一般的なETFは、SPDR ゴールド トラスト（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>）である。銀にとって最も一般的なETFは、iShares Silver Trust（NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>）である。原油にとって最も一般的なETFは、アメリカン・オイル・ファンド（ASCA:USO）である。
<h4>ビットコイン</h4>
ビットコインの大口投資家は、ビットコイン（暗号通貨: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>）を月面まで駆け上がらせる野心的なトランプの噂に取り組んでいる。その噂とは、トランプが、ビットコインを国家的な戦略準備金にすることができるというものだ。なお、トランプは、これに先立ち、ビットコインを100％ハイプした2024年の会議（およびそのラウンドテーブルイベント）に投資家を招待している。トランプはこの会議に対して、1人当たり84.5万ドルの費用を支払うことが条件となっている。
<h4>保護バンドと今後の対応</h4>
投資家にとっては、前方を見ることが、後方を見ることよりも重要である。
良質な、非常に長期のポジションを維持することを検討してみるのも一つの方法である。個々のリスク選好に基づき、現金あるいは国債、あるいは短期の戦術的取引、または短期から中期のヘッジ取引を含む保護バンドを考慮することも重要だ。これは自己を保護するための良い方法であり、反対に利益を伸ばすことができる。
投資家は、ヘッジと現金を合算することで、自己の保護バンドを確定することができる。高い保護バンドは、年配者または保守的な投資家に適している。低い保護バンドは、若い投資家または積極的な投資家に適している。もしヘッジを行わない場合、現金の合計額は上記よりも多く、しかしそれ以上にヘッジを行った場合よりも現金の合計額は少ない。
保護バンドが0％の場合、その時点での市場予測は非常に楽観的であり、投資家は現金を0％保有し、100％の資産を株式に投資することを選択したことを意味する。一方で保護バンドが100％の場合、その時点での市場予測は非常に悲観的であり、投資家はヘッジまたはショートセリングの方法で自己を保護しようと決意したことを意味する。
新たな機会を活用するには、十分な現金を保有していなければならない。これは投資家にとって非常に重要なポイントである。ヘッジレベルを調整する際には、株式ポジション（ETF以外）の部分的なストップ数量を調整することを検討する。また、残りの数量に対して幅の広いストップを使用すること、およびハイベータ株に対してもっとスペースを与えることを検討することも重要だ。なお、ハイベータ株とは、市場よりも個

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