Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1の空売り状況は、投資家がInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 1の株価下落に賭けている度合いを知ることができます。空売りデータは2週間ごとに更新されます。

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本日の注目ポイントは以下の通りです。投機的なセンチメント以下の点に注目：この記事は個別の銘柄ではなく、大局についてのものである。TSLA株のチャートはさまざまな視点について示すために使用されている。

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Major indexes are lower. Weakness in retail following Target's guidance cut may be weighing on market sentiment. Investors also await Nvidia's earnings report.

Investor sentiment remained subdued on Wednesday as escalating geopolitical tensions weighed on risk assets ahead of the week&#8217;s most anticipated event: Nvidia Corp.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) third-quarter earnings report, set to be <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/11/42093025/will-nvidia-deliver-a-blowout-beat-in-q3-poll-says-maybe-not-but-over-half-see-stock-clearing-150">released after market close.</a>
The market mood deteriorated further after multiple outlets confirmed Ukraine&#8217;s deployment of U.K.-made Storm Shadow missiles into Russian territory, a day after launching U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely regarded as a barometer of market anxiety, spiked over 9%, underscoring rising apprehension among investors. 
Major U.S. indices were in the red, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 leading losses as technology stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off.
The U.S. dollar resumed its upward trajectory, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), a proxy for the greenback&#8217;s strength, climbing 0.7%. Safe-haven demand also bolstered gold, which advanced 0.7%, reflecting investors&#8217; flight to safety.
Meanwhile, natural gas emerged as the standout performer among commodities, surging over 6% on the day.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) defied the risk-off sentiment, climbing over 2% to hit a fresh intraday all-time high of $94,989. This propelled its year-to-date gains to an astonishing 123%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices </td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,198.51</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,886.96</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,311.30</td>
<td>-0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,544.18</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CBOE VIX</td>
<td>17.94</td>
<td>9.7%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.5% to $587.21.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;fell 0.2% to $432.04.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.6% to $500.28.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.5% to $229.57.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) outperformed, falling 1%. The&nbsp;Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) lagged, down 1%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Target Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>) fell 22% in reaction to a negative earnings report. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Keysight Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEYS#NYSE">KEYS</a>), up 5.7%; XP Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XP#NASDAQ">XP</a>), down 6%; Dolby Laboratories (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLB#NYSE">DLB</a>), up 14%; TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TJX#NYSE">TJX</a>), down 0.3% and Williams-Sonoma Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WSM#NYSE">WSM</a>), up 30%.</li>
<li>Apart Nvidia, other large-cap tech companies releasing earnings results after the call are Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>) and Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNOW#NYSE">SNOW</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/11/42094649/nvidia-stock-historically-drops-in-december-after-q3-earnings">Nvidia Stock Historically Drops In December After Q3 Earnings</a></li>
</ul>
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Stocks Fall Ahead Of Nvidia Earnings, Dollar Resumes Gains, Bitcoin Reaches New Record Highs: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRVL#NASDAQ">MRVL</a>) shares are trading lower by 0.35% to $89.01 Wednesday morning. The market spotlight is on NVIDIA Corp&#8217;s earnings report on Wednesday after-hours, which could have significant repercussions for Marvell.
As a critical supplier of semiconductor solutions for data centers, AI infrastructure and networking, Marvell's fortunes are closely tied to the growth of the AI market that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42068962/nvidia-q3-earnings-preview-analysts-expect-beat-n-raise-on-continued-data-center-strength">Nvidia dominates</a>. Marvell meanwhile reports <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MRVL/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">third-quarter financial results</a> on Tuesday, December 3rd.
What To Know: As Nvidia leads the AI revolution, Marvell plays a supporting role by providing the high-speed connectivity and data processing solutions required to deploy advanced AI systems.
A strong earnings report from Nvidia, driven by sustained AI demand, would reinforce the sector's growth narrative, benefiting Marvell. Nvidia's reliance on high-performance networking chips aligns with Marvell's portfolio, particularly in custom solutions for AI workloads and cloud computing environments. Higher demand for Nvidia's GPUs could signal increased adoption of Marvell's enabling technologies.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/42085436/target-q3-earnings-supply-chain-chaos-hits-bottomline-slashes-annual-profit-outlook-stock-tanks">Target Q3 Earnings: Supply Chain Chaos Hits Bottomline, Slashes Annual Profit Outlook, Stock Tanks</a>
Marvell could face concerns about reduced product demand if Nvidia's results fall short or its guidance signals slowing AI investment. As Marvell has emphasized its pivot toward AI and 5G opportunities, any signs of stagnation in AI infrastructure spending could weigh heavily on investor sentiment.
Marvell's stock, often sensitive to sector-wide trends, could see volatility tied to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42048963/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility">Nvidia's performance</a>. Investors will watch Nvidia's commentary on supply chain trends and customer demand for clues about potential ripple effects on Marvell's business.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/11/42086154/apple-to-argue-for-dismissal-of-doj-antitrust-case-over-alleged-us-smartphone-market-domination">Apple To Argue For Dismissal Of DOJ Antitrust Case Over Alleged US Smartphone Market Domination</a>
Investors can gain exposure to&nbsp;MRVL by&nbsp;investing&nbsp;in the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMH#NASDAQ">SMH</a>).
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How To Buy MRVL Stock</h2>
Besides going to a brokerage platform to purchase a share &#8211; or fractional share &#8211; of stock, you can also gain access to shares either by buying an exchange traded fund (ETF) that holds the stock itself, or by allocating yourself to a strategy in your 401(k) that would seek to acquire shares in a mutual fund or other instrument. 
For example, in Marvell Tech&#8217;s case, it is in the Information Technology sector. An ETF will likely hold shares in many liquid and large companies that help track that sector, allowing an investor to gain exposure to the trends within that segment.
According to data from&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>, MRVL has a 52-week high of $95.09 and a 52-week low of $50.35.

MRVL

What's Going On With Marvell Technology (MRVL) Shares?

After the U.S. headline and core <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41938762/october-inflation-rate-rises-to-2-6-as-expected-december-interest-rate-cut-remains-uncertain">consumer price inflation</a> rose in October, and the Federal Reserve Chairman suggested that a December rate cut may not be necessary, treasury yields have risen, and inflation concerns have gripped the economy once again.
Gordon Johnson, chief executive officer and founder at GLJ Research in a conversation with Wealthion slammed the Federal Reserve for making policies that benefit the stock market and asset owners in general.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">See here for <a href="https://twitter.com/GLJ_Research?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@GLJ_Research</a>&#39;s take on the <a href="https://twitter.com/federalreserve?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@federalreserve</a> &#x1f4b5;&amp; their #&#39;r 1 goal of pumping risk assets higher &#x1f4c8;to benefit the rich minority &#x1f911;at the expense of the poor &#x1f622;majority (w/ no consequences when they hurt the poor), what we see as a uranium bull mkt&#x1f468;&#x200d;&#x1f3ed;, &amp; $TSLA&#x26a1;&#xFE0F;&#x1f697;. <a href="https://t.co/dgIyhEoxKs">https://t.co/dgIyhEoxKs</a>
&mdash; Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) <a href="https://twitter.com/GordonJohnson19/status/1858941536852963422?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 19, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41938762/october-inflation-rate-rises-to-2-6-as-expected-december-interest-rate-cut-remains-uncertain">October Inflation Rate Rises To 2.6% As Expected: December Interest Rate Cut Remains Uncertain</a>
What Happened: Johnson said that the Fed&#8217;s $3 trillion in monetary stimulus in late 2021 after the one which was already announced in 2020, was &#8220;reckless&#8221; and it wasn&#8217;t &#8220;data dependent.&#8221; According to him, this was the Fed&#8217;s first step into taking a measure that &#8220;was going to result in an excessive inflation.&#8221;
He added that recklessness seen from the U.S. government and Congress on the fiscal front &#8220;is the byproduct of Fed allowing this.&#8221;
&#8220;Fed is the only entity that can legally create U.S. dollars, so if the Fed stopped printing and buying the Treasuries, which they are still doing, despite telling the public that they are doing quantitative tightening. The Congress won&#8217;t be able to spend so recklessly.&#8221;
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42031468/trump-victory-led-rally-in-stocks-shrugged-off-rise-in-yields-but-analyst-says-if-treasuries-dont-find-a-ceilingit-will-become-a-problem-heres-what-it-means-for-investors">Trump Victory-Led Rally In Stocks Shrugged Off Rise In Yields, But Analyst Says If Treasuries &#8216;Don&#8217;t Find A Ceiling…It Will Become A Problem&#8217;: Here&#8217;s What It Means For Investors</a>
Why It Matters: Johnson believes that there is constant intervention by the United States Secretary of the Treasury, Janet Yellen along with Federal Reserve&#8217;s Chairman, Jerome Powell, whenever there is a spike in the yield.
&#8220;In early 2024, the Fed cut its pace of quantitative tightening by $30 billion a month, which is just the amount they were letting roll off. And recently, Janet Yellen announced that she is going to buy $4 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds per week. There is just constant intervention by these entities whenever the yields start to spike. It&#8217;s them trying to disallow any disfunction or rather I would argue functioning in the Treasury markets.&#8221;
Johnson is of the opinion that if Yellen and Powell do not constantly intervene in the Treasury markets and let the market function on their own, some of this excess spending by the government would not be allowed.
&#8220;Without putting any breaks in this out of control train, I am afraid that we are going to get a reacceleration in the rate on inflation if the Fed doesn&#8217;t cool quantitative easing,&#8221; he added.
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/24/11/42058235/palantir-board-member-in-a-deleted-x-post-said-nasdaq-move-will-force-billions-in-etf-buying-and-deliver-tendies-heres-what-this-meme-stock-term-means" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Palantir Board Member In A Deleted X Post Said Nasdaq Move Will ‘Force Billions In ETF Buying And Deliver Tendies': Here's What This Meme-Stock Term Means</a>
What&#8217;s The Solution: Johnson suggested that the solution to this is to go back to a simpler framework and look at the real economy and not the stock markets while formulating the monetary policy.
According to him, the current approach by the Federal Reserve&#8217;s policies is good for asset holders as stocks go up every day, but they are bad for the people living on W2 income who don&#8217;t own assets, just regular income.
He highlighted that based on the Fed&#8217;s website, the top 10% of the wealthiest persons in the U.S. hold 87% of stocks. So, when the Fed&#8217;s goal is to push stock prices up every day, all they are doing is exacerbating the already reckless wealth inequality that exists.
&#8220;Fed needs to focus on actual economy and if the economy does well, the stock market will be fine. The real economy is going to suffer if they fail to do so,&#8221; Johnson said.
President-elect Trump&#8217;s victory, combined with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42031468/trump-victory-led-rally-in-stocks-shrugged-off-rise-in-yields-but-analyst-says-if-treasuries-dont-find-a-ceilingit-will-become-a-problem-heres-what-it-means-for-investors">stronger-than-expected economic data</a>, helped drive the S&amp;P 500 Index higher. Although the index dropped 2.3% last week to 5,870.62, it remains above its pre-election level of 5,712.69 as of the close on Tuesday, Nov. 3.
Meanwhile, in premarket trading on Wednesday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, rose 0.13% to $591.05 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, gained 0.10% to $503.96, according to <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag">Benzinga Pro data.</a>
Read next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42082542/supermicro-computer-shares-soar-32-as-it-avoids-nasdaq-delisting-but-analysts-are-not-convinced-heres-whats-coming-next-for-smci">Super Micro Computer Shares Soar 32% As It Avoids Getting Booted Off Nasdaq, But Analysts Are Not Convinced: Here&#8217;s What&#8217;s Coming Next For SMCI</a>
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Gordon Johnson Slams Federal Reserve For Asset-Owner Centric Policies, Says Jerome Powell Needs To Focus On 'Real Economy': '...The Stock Market Will Be Fine'

David Einhorn, founder of&nbsp;Greenlight Capital and billionaire investor, voiced his apprehensions about the elevated valuations in the stock market during CNBC&#8217;s Delivering Alpha conference last week.
What Happened:&nbsp;Einhorn pointed out that while long-term investors might not incur losses, the current high valuations indicate potentially lower returns in the future, Business Insider <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-valuations-david-einhorn-sp500-outlook-stock-picks-greenlight-2024-11">reported</a> on Wednesday.
Einhorn characterized the market as &#8220;really, really, really pricey,&#8221; but clarified that this does not make him bearish. He highlighted that asset prices can remain mispriced for long durations. The&nbsp;Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio&nbsp;is currently at 38 times earnings, marking&nbsp;one of the highest levels&nbsp;in a century, which Einhorn labeled as &#8220;the&nbsp;most expensive market of all&nbsp;time.&#8221;
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42028954/peter-thiel-says-trumps-60-china-tariff-would-be-very-very-bad-for-beijing-heres-whats-at-stake?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Peter Thiel Says Trump&#8217;s 60% China Tariff Would Be &#8216;Very, Very Bad&#8217; For Beijing, Here&#8217;s What&#8217;s At Stake</a>
According to Bank of America, these valuations suggest&nbsp;1-2% annualized returns for the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;over the next decade, excluding&nbsp;dividends. Other experts, such as&nbsp;Goldman Sachs&#8216;&nbsp;David Kostin&nbsp;and&nbsp;Research Affiliates&#8216;&nbsp;Rob Arnott, have expressed similar concerns.
Why It Matters: The victory of President-elect Donald Trump accompanied by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42031468/trump-victory-led-rally-in-stocks-shrugged-off-rise-in-yields-but-analyst-says-if-treasuries-dont-find-a-ceilingit-will-become-a-problem-heres-what-it-means-for-investors">stronger-than-expected economic data</a> drove the S&amp;P 500 Index higher. The index, which fell by 2.3% last week at 5,870.62 is still higher than its pre-election levels of 5,712.69 points as of Tuesday, Nov. 3 close.
According to Rob Arnott, the founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, the current<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42028434/legendary-investor-rob-arnott-says-stock-market-looks-and-feels-like-the-year-2000-as-wall-street-ra"> stock market environment i</a>s reminiscent of the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/07/39589689/ai-boom-spurs-nvidia-led-us-stock-market-rally-experts-draw-parallels-with-dotcom-bubble-no-one-" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> dot-com bubble peak</a>. Arnott predicts a significant pullback in the near future. "This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott said.
"Are we likely to see a bear market in the next two years for large-cap growth? Yeah." 
Meanwhile, in premarket trading on Wednesday,&nbsp;the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index,&nbsp;&nbsp;rose 0.13% to $591.05 and the&nbsp;Invesco QQQ ETF&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index,&nbsp;gained 0.10% to $503.96, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Read Next:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42025317/dogecoin-repeating-its-historical-pattern-says-analyst-meme-coin-set-to-touch-3-by-trumps-inauguration-day-2025?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Dogecoin &#8216;Repeating Its Historical Pattern,&#8217; Says Analyst: Meme Coin Set To Touch $3 By Trump&#8217;s Inauguration Day 2025</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock
This story was generated using <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a> and edited by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/Pooja-Rajkumari" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Pooja Rajkumari</a>

Billionaire Investor David Einhorn Calls It 'Most Expensive Market Of All Time' As S&P 500 Gains 4% Since Trump's Win: 'Really, Really Pricey'

U.S. stocks could open on a tentative note on Wednesday amid <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42064198/putin-revises-nuclear-doctrine-for-broader-strikes-after-us-backed-ukrainian-attack-markets-drop-bonds-gain">simmering geopolitical tensions</a>. Futures of all three major indices were marginally up as investors weighed escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and earnings from AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
U.S. equity markets have had a mixed week so far, with the Dow Jones facing pressure even as the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq witnessed sideway movements.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Change (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>0.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.12%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>0.19%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K</td>
<td>-0.09%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In premarket trading on Wednesday,&nbsp;the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.13% to $591.05 and the&nbsp;Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) gained 0.10% to $503.96, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Cues From Last Session:
Markets had a second consecutive mixed session, with the Dow Jones closing lower by 0.3% while the S&amp;P 500 edged up. The Nasdaq gained over 1% in the run-up to Nvidia's earnings.
Crude oil prices continued to gain as Russia-Ukraine tensions escalated.
This geopolitical anxiety rubbed off on treasury yields as well, which edged up.
On the economic data front, housing starts in the U.S. declined by 3.1% to 1.311 million in October versus a revised 1.353 million in the previous month. U.S. building permits declined by 0.6% to an annual rate of 1.416 million in October.
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a positive note, with energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks recording the biggest gains on Monday.
However, industrial stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>1.04%</td>
<td>18,987.47</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.40%</td>
<td>5,916.98</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.28%</td>
<td>43,268.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>0.80%</td>
<td>2,324.83</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
Wedbush's Dan Ives expressed upbeat sentiment about Nvidia's earnings, saying that the AI giant could deliver earnings beat and raise guidance as well.
"We expect a drop the mic performance from Nvidia tomorrow night as Godfather of AI Jensen &amp; Co. are the only game in town with $1 trillion of AI Cap-Ex on the way with Nvidia&#8217;s GPUs the new oil and gold in this world."
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">We expect a drop the mic performance from Nvidia tomorrow night as Godfather of AI Jensen &amp; Co. are the only game in town with $1 trillion of AI Cap-Ex on the way with Nvidia&#39;s GPUs the new oil and gold in this world. We believe $2 billion beat/$2 billion guide higher&#x1f525;&#x1f3c6;&#x1f402;&#x1f37f;
&mdash; Dan Ives (@DivesTech) <a href="https://twitter.com/DivesTech/status/1858854901801009208?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 19, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
While there is optimism among analysts about Nvidia and other AI stocks, the European Central Bank expressed caution about the possibility of an "AI bubble."
&#8220;This concentration among a few large firms raises concerns over the possibility of an AI-related asset price bubble,&#8221; the ECB said in its latest Financial Stability Review, underscoring the increasing dependence of the equity markets on select companies.
This could also be a cause of concern for equity markets beyond the U.S., noted the ECB.
"Also, in a context of deeply integrated global equity markets, it points to the risk of adverse global spillovers, should earnings expectations for these firms be disappointed."
Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, on the other hand, remained optimistic about equity markets.
"Stocks historically do better in years 1 and 2 of a President who was re-elected vs a new President in office."
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Stocks historically do better in years 1 and 2 of a President who was re-elected vs a new President in office. <a href="https://t.co/ndj0ZbE4jp">pic.twitter.com/ndj0ZbE4jp</a>
&mdash; Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) <a href="https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/status/1858973644086772112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 19, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
"We are in the third year of this bull market and it is worth noting these years can be on the weaker side of things. Good news is if the bull continues (as we expect) years 4-6 are all quite strong," he added.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">We are in the third year of this bull market and it is worth noting these years can be on the weaker side of things. Good news is if the bull continues (as we expect) years 4-6 are all quite strong. <a href="https://t.co/HW2PqVo9QU">pic.twitter.com/HW2PqVo9QU</a>
&mdash; Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) <a href="https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/status/1858966050886611130?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 19, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How To Trade Futures</a>
Upcoming Economic Data
Wednesday's economic calendar is fairly light.
<ul>
<li>Fed Gov. Lisa Cooks will speak at 11 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman will speak at 12:15 p.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) stock edged up 0.3% in premarket trading on Monday after gaining 4.9% on Tuesday.</li>
<li>MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) stock surged nearly 12% on Tuesday and gained another 2.7% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued to chalk gains.</li>
<li>Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMCSA#NASDAQ">CMCSA</a>) is expected to spin off its TV cable channels into separate publicly traded companies. Its stock rose 2.4% in premarket trading.</li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) stock fell over 4% in premarket trading after surging more than 31% on Tuesday after appointing a new auditor and submitting a plan to comply with the Nasdaq's listing requirements.</li>
<li>Nio Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NIO#NYSE">NIO</a>) was down by 1.5% in premarket trading after the Chinese EV player reported widening losses due to intense competition.</li>
<li>Target Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>) fell over 18% in premarket trading after the company posted $1.85 earnings per share in the third quarter, well below Street expectations of $2.30.</li>
<li>Investors are awaiting earnings results from Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) today. Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>), Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNOW#NYSE">SNOW</a>), and The TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TJX#NYSE">TJX</a>) today.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures surged in the early New York session, rising by 0.53% to hover around $69.61 per barrel.
The 10-year Treasury note yield increased to 4.426%.
Major Asian markets ended mixed on Wednesday, while European markets witnessed sideways movement in early trading.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42083607/as-spirit-airlines-files-for-bankruptcy-experts-weigh-potential-impact-on-flight-prices-this-is-not-a-black-and-white-situation">As Spirit Airlines Files For Bankruptcy Experts Weigh Potential Impact On Flight Prices</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Wikimedia

CMCSA

MSTR

SMCI

US Stocks Poised For Tentative Start As Geopolitical Tensions, Nvidia Earnings Keep Investors Cautious: Tech Bull Expects AI Bellwether To Deliver 'Drop The Mic Performance'

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-19_07h56_39.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">New Russian Nuclear Doctrine</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-russian-nuclear-doctrine-walmart-breakout-wmt-mc-11192024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Walmart Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of WMT is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based.&nbsp; Walmart is the largest retailer in the U.S.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to Walmart's earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows WMT stock gapped up after earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows that WMT stock also gapped up on earnings in the prior two quarters.</li>
<li>Walmart reported earnings better than the whisper numbers.&nbsp; Stocks move based on the difference between reported numbers and whisper numbers.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are the number analysts privately share with their best clients.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are different from the numbers the same analysts publish for public consumption.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the following are the most important points from Walmart earnings:
<ul>
<li>Higher end consumers continue to shift to Walmart.</li>
<li>E-commerce at Walmart, especially quick delivery, is growing rapidly.</li>
<li>Margins are expanding.</li>
<li>Walmart is gaining market share.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, as good as Walmart is doing, investors need to be mindful of the very high valuation for a retailer.&nbsp; Walmart is trading at a trailing PE of 43.&nbsp; However, as Walmart's earnings are growing, forward PE is 30, which is still expensive for a retailer.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, Walmart is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio from an average price of $19.25.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Prudent investors also watch earnings from home improvement retailer Lowe&#8217;s Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>).&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are a reflection of the consumer, especially remodeling of existing homes.&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are slightly below whisper numbers. &nbsp; As full disclosure, LOW is also in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio and is long from an average of $81.85.</li>
<li>In the early trade, markets are responding to the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>Stocks are being sold.</li>
<li>Gold and silver are being bought.</li>
<li>Oil is being bought.</li>
<li>The dollar is being bought.</li>
<li>The yen is being bought.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The new Russian doctrine brings the world closer to World War III.&nbsp; The new doctrine is in response to the U.S. allowing Ukraine to fire U.S. manufactured long range missiles on targets inside Russia.</li>
<li>Prudent investors should note the following three elements of the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>An attack on Russia by any country supported by a nuclear power will be considered a joint attack on Russia.</li>
<li>A massive aerial attack could trigger a nuclear response from Russia.&nbsp;</li>
<li>In reference to NATO, an aggression by a member of the coalition will be viewed as aggression by the entire bloc.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the new Russian doctrine is squarely directed at the U.S.&nbsp; The purpose appears to be to persuade Trump to stop supporting Ukraine and force Ukraine to cede territory in Eastern Ukraine to Russia.&nbsp; Further, in The Arora Report analysis, the ultimate solution is likely going to be the U.S. forcing Ukraine to give Eastern Ukraine to Russia as per Russian wishes.&nbsp; This has been a long standing Arora call.</li>
<li>For the first time ever, Ukraine has attacked a warehouse inside Russia using long range missiles manufactured by the U.S. &nbsp; The missile attack was conducted with Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS).&nbsp; The missiles are manufactured by Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), a major U.S. defense contractor.&nbsp; The targeted warehouse housed ammunition and missiles from North Korea.&nbsp; North Korea is promising 100K troops to fight for Russia in Ukraine.</li>
<li>There is no change in the protection band at this time, but we are keeping a close eye on the situation.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Housing</h3>
New housing is beginning to weaken.&nbsp; Here is the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Housing starts came at 1.311M vs. 1.34M consensus.</li>
<li>Building permits came at 1.416M vs. 1.441M consensus.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Market Summary

GOOG

Not World War III But New Russian Nuclear Doctrine Brings Selling In Stocks, Walmart Breaks Out

NVIDIA Corp&#8217;s earnings report <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42048963/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility">Wednesday after-hours</a> could have large implications for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>), a key competitor in the semiconductor space and a rising player in AI hardware. 
Nvidia's dominance in AI chips has set the market's standard, and its performance may either validate or challenge AMD's strategic push into this lucrative area.
What To Know: AMD has been aggressively targeting the AI accelerator market, launching its MI300 series chips aimed at competing with Nvidia's market-leading GPUs. 
A strong Nvidia report, highlighting continued AI demand and robust sales, could bode well for AMD by reinforcing confidence in the sector's growth potential. This would bolster expectations for AMD's forthcoming AI products and validate the company's investments in next-generation AI technologies.
However, a disappointing Nvidia report could raise concerns about market saturation or slowing AI investments, potentially dampening enthusiasm for AMD's own growth narrative. Investors will be particularly attuned to Nvidia's guidance on demand for AI infrastructure, as it directly impacts the opportunity space AMD is trying to penetrate.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/24/11/42069387/grant-cardone-calls-himself-a-coward-investor-puts-his-money-in-real-assets">Grant Cardone Calls Himself A &#8216;Coward Investor,&#8217; Puts His Money In &#8216;Real Assets&#8217;</a>
AMD also faces the risk of unfavorable comparisons. Nvidia's dominant market share and ability to scale its AI solutions more efficiently may highlight challenges AMD could face in gaining meaningful traction against its rival. 
With Nvidia options pricing in significant volatility, AMD's stock could see sympathetic moves as investors reassess AI-related growth across the semiconductor industry.
For AMD, Nvidia's results are not just a benchmark but a critical signal for its trajectory in the competitive AI chip race.
What Else: AMD shares rose Monday <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/24/11/42045498/whats-going-on-with-advanced-micro-devices-stock-monday">following its collaboration with IBM</a> to integrate AMD Instinct MI300X accelerators into IBM Cloud, enhancing performance for generative AI and enterprise computing and supporting platforms like Watsonx AI and Red Hat Enterprise Linux.
The accelerators, set for release in 2025, aim to help enterprise clients optimize costs and scalability for AI applications.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42069891/sp-500-to-reach-6500-by-end-of-2025-analysts-predict-could-it-spark-ma-revival">S&amp;P 500 To Reach 6,500 By End Of 2025, Analysts Predict: Could It Spark M&amp;A Revival?</a>
Investors can gain exposure to AMD by investing in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMH#NASDAQ">SMH</a>) or the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Is AMD A Good Stock To Buy?</h2>
Wall Street analysts view Advanced Micro Devices on the whole as an Outperform, given the history of coverage over the past three months. Harsh Kumar from Piper Sandler in Advanced Micro Devices is the most optimistic, expecting a 14.29% rise in the stock in the coming year.
But looking at how the market as a whole thinks of the stock, you can reference historical price action for views on whether investors feel strongly about the stock one way or another. In the past 3 months, Advanced Micro Devices fell 12.95%, which indicates that opinion soured on the business and how attractive it is to own based on either its stock price, or underlying fundamentals, like revenue, which rose 17.57% over the past year.
A complete overview of how Wall Street views individual stocks is available <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings">here</a>, while real time updates on the latest analyst actions will be delivered via <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga PRO</a>. Try it for free.
AMD has a 52-week high of $227.30 and a 52-week low of $116.37.

What's Going On With AMD Stock?

Wall Street managed to recover from a red start caused by heightened geopolitical tensions stemming from the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/russia">ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.</a>
Ukraine launched its first U.S.-made missile strike on a Russian city, while Russian President Vladimir Putin adjusted the nation's nuclear doctrine to broaden scenarios for a potential response. Yet, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov sought to assuage fears of a nuclear escalation, stating that a nuclear war is not something Russia is considering.
Amid the geopolitical noise, investors remained focused on corporate earnings. Walmart Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>), often regarded as a bellwether of consumer health, surpassed expectations for the recent quarter. The retailer&#8217;s stock surged 4%, hitting fresh all-time highs and boosting market sentiment.
At midday, both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posted marginal gains, while blue-chip stocks showed a slight deceleration and small caps held steady.
In fixed income, longer-dated bond yields dipped, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) climbing 0.5%. The U.S. dollar gained 0.1%, attempting to rebound after two consecutive sessions of losses.
Geopolitical risks lifted demand for commodities, with gold and oil rebounding 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively. Natural gas prices – as closely tracked by the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNG#NYSE">UNG</a>) – extended the rally, adding 2.6% after a 5.3% jump on Monday and hitting the highest levels since June. 
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued to display extraordinary strength, with the cryptocurrency breaking to a new all-time high of $93,931, underscoring robust market interest despite broader macro uncertainties.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,610.47</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,907.68</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,309.75</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,316.79</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 13:10 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.2% to $589.41.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;fell 0.3% to $433.10.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) edged 0.4% higher to $502.08.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.3% to $229.50.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) outperformed, rising 0.5%. The&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) lagged, down 0.7%.</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h2>
<ul>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) surged 22% after appointing BDO US as its auditor and submitting a compliance plan to Nasdaq, signaling a proactive effort to address delisting concerns. The news bolstered investor confidence in the company&#8217;s governance and market stability.</li>
<li>United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) climbed 3.5%, reaching its highest level since December 2019, following a bullish call from TD Owen, which raised the stock's price target from $100 to $110.</li>
<li>Incyte Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INCY#NYSE">INCY</a>) plummeted over 14% after announcing that data from its Phase 2 clinical study failed to support further development, disappointing investors hoping for progress in its pipeline.</li>
<li>Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VVV#NYSE">VVV</a>) dropped 8% in reaction to a weaker-than-expected earnings report, as the market digested concerns over the company&#8217;s growth trajectory and profitability.</li>
<li>Vertive Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRT#NYSE">VRT</a>) rallied 11.7% in reaction to price target raises from investment banks such as Deustsce Bank and Oppenheimer.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42069891/sp-500-to-reach-6500-by-end-of-2025-analysts-predict-could-it-spark-ma-revival">S&amp;P 500 To Reach 6,500 By End Of 2025, Analysts Predict: Could It Spark M&amp;A Revival?</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

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iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Stocks Move Higher, Walmart Hits Record High, Natural Gas Reaches 5-Month Peak: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

As NVIDIA Corp prepares to unveil its earnings <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42048963/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility">Wednesday evening</a>, the results could have significant consequences for Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRVL#NASDAQ">MRVL</a>), a key player in the semiconductor space with a growing focus on AI infrastructure. 
Nvidia's earnings are a bellwether for the AI-driven technology trade, and Marvell's exposure to similar market trends makes its stock particularly sensitive to Nvidia's performance. Marvell meanwhile reports <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MRVL/earnings">third-quarter financial results</a> Tuesday, December 3rd.
What To Know: Marvell has positioned itself as a vital supplier of semiconductor solutions tailored to data centers, 5G infrastructure and AI applications. These areas overlap significantly with Nvidia&#8217;s core markets, particularly in powering the next generation of AI workloads.
A strong earnings report from Nvidia could reaffirm optimism around AI infrastructure investments, potentially boosting demand expectations for Marvell's high-speed networking and storage products.
Conversely, if Nvidia's results or guidance fall short of lofty expectations, it may signal a broader slowdown in AI-related spending, putting pressure on Marvell's growth story. Investors may scrutinize Nvidia's commentary on supply-chain dynamics and demand trends for insights into potential ripple effects on Marvell's upcoming earnings.
Marvell's stock has already been volatile this year, reflecting fluctuating investor sentiment on the AI boom. With Nvidia options pricing in a massive <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42048963/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility">12.5% one-day move</a>, market expectations are high, and Marvell could see collateral volatility as investors reassess AI's near-term trajectory.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42056728/nvidia-modestly-at-risk-amid-ai-chip-concerns-analyst-notes-momentum-money-swirling-around-sells-first-asks-questions-later">Nvidia &#8216;Modestly At Risk&#8217; Amid AI Chip Concerns, Analyst Notes: Momentum Money Swirling Around &#8216;Sells First, Asks Questions Later&#8217;</a>
Investors can gain exposure to MRVL by investing in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMH#NASDAQ">SMH</a>) and the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How To Buy MRVL Stock</h2>
Besides going to a brokerage platform to purchase a share &#8211; or fractional share &#8211; of stock, you can also gain access to shares either by buying an exchange traded fund (ETF) that holds the stock itself, or by allocating yourself to a strategy in your 401(k) that would seek to acquire shares in a mutual fund or other instrument. 
For example, in Marvell Tech&#8217;s case, it is in the Information Technology sector. An ETF will likely hold shares in many liquid and large companies that help track that sector, allowing an investor to gain exposure to the trends within that segment.
According to data from <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>, MRVL has a 52-week high of $95.09 and a 52-week low of $50.35.

What's Going On With Marvell Technology (MRVL) Stock?

Good Morning Traders! In today&#39;s Market Clubhouse Morning Memo, we will discuss SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META, and TSLA.
Our proprietary formula, exclusive to Market Clubhouse, dictates these price levels. This dynamic equation takes into account price, volume, and options flow. These levels are updated every day and shared with all Clubhouse Members, prior to the opening of the market.
We recommend closely monitoring these stocks, and be prepared to leverage potential breakouts or reversals. As always, stay alert and ready to adjust your tactics based on the market&#39;s pulse to optimize your trading gains. Now, let&#39;s dive into the stock analysis:
<h3>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</h3>
SPY (ARCA: SPY) is currently trading near our key pivot level of 585.75. Bulls will want to see a steady rise from this level, with the first target being 587.31. If this level is maintained as support, further momentum could lead to a test of 589.71. Sustained buying pressure could then drive prices toward 592.00, with a potential high for the session around 593.73 if the broader market supports bullish sentiment.
On the flip side, if 585.75 fails as support, bears may target 584.68 for an initial pullback. Below this level, increased selling pressure could test 583.18. If bears maintain control and momentum accelerates, we anticipate a move to 581.97, with 580.67 marking the bearish target for the session in a significant downtrend.
<h3>Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1</h3>
QQQ (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/qqq#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) is trading around the 498.37 level, a key area for today&#39;s auction. Buyers will aim to hold above this point, targeting an initial resistance at 499.44. If strength continues, 501.07 becomes the next area of interest. Should bullish momentum prevail, we could see a climb toward 502.65, with a high bull target set at 504.44 for the session.
Conversely, a breakdown below 498.37 could lead to bears pressing toward 496.94. Sustained selling might test 495.35 as the next support level. If this area fails, bears could push the price further to 493.60, with 491.82 serving as the bearish target for the day during a heavy sell-off.
<h3>Apple Inc.</h3>
Apple&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/aapl#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) is currently auctioning near 227.82, which serves as today&#39;s pivot level. If buyers can maintain this as support, the first bullish target is 229.03. Should momentum continue, prices may advance to 230.25. With strong participation from buyers, the session&#39;s high target could be 231.76.
If 227.82 does not hold, sellers are likely to drive prices lower toward 226.90. Continued downward pressure could lead to a test of 226.08. If selling remains aggressive, 225.31 becomes the next key level to watch, with 223.87 marking the bearish target for today.
<h3>Microsoft Corp.</h3>
Microsoft&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/msft#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) is trading around 414.56, with bulls looking to hold this level to maintain upward momentum. Initial resistance lies at 416.32, and if this level holds as support, a move to 417.25 is possible. Should buyers continue to dominate, the session&rsquo;s high bull target could reach 419.17.
Failure to sustain 414.56 as support may see sellers pressuring the price toward 413.14. If weakness persists, 411.72 becomes the next level of interest. A breakdown below this could lead to a deeper move toward 410.64, with the low bear target set at 409.69 in a bearish scenario.
<h3>NVIDIA Corporation</h3>
NVIDIA&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/nvda#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) is trading near 141.21, a critical pivot for today&#39;s session. If bulls take control, the first upside target is 142.35, and a break above this level could see a move to 144.21. Continued bullish action may result in a test of 145.61, with the high bull target at 147.06.
If 141.21 fails to hold, sellers may target 140.28 as the next support level. A break below could see further downside to 139.42. With sustained selling pressure, 138.55 comes into play, and the session&#39;s bearish target could be 137.94.
<h3>Alphabet Inc Class A</h3>
Alphabet&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/googl#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) is trading near 174.01, which serves as a key support level. Bulls will look to hold above this point, with 175.12 as the first target. If upward momentum builds, 176.23 could be reached, marking the high bull target for the day.
A breakdown below 174.01 might see bears pushing toward 172.28. If selling persists, 171.14 is the next level to watch. A continued decline could bring the price to 169.34, representing the low bear target for the session.
<h3>Meta Platforms Inc</h3>
Meta&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/meta#NASDAQ">META</a>) is currently auctioning around 553.05, a crucial pivot point for the day. If buyers can defend this level, the price could rise toward 559.29. Sustained bullish action might lead to a test of 565.53, with the high bull target set at 573.25 if momentum remains strong.
Failure to hold 553.05 could see sellers driving the price lower to 548.44. Further bearish momentum might bring a test of 541.79. Should selling pressure continue, 537.68 is the bearish target for the session.
<h3>Tesla Inc.</h3>
Tesla&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tsla#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) is trading near 333.93, and bulls are looking for a move to 340.97 as the first upside target. Continued buying strength could see the price reaching 346.64. With strong bullish participation, 350.87 may be tested, with 356.80 as the session&#39;s high bull target.
If Tesla fails to hold 333.93, sellers may target 327.59 for the first pullback. Persistent weakness could bring the price down to 322.52. If the sell-side dominates, 315.93 is the low bear target for the session.
Final Word: Today&rsquo;s trading session is light on high-impact economic events, offering traders an opportunity to focus on price action and key technical levels. At 8:30 AM ET, we will see the release of Canada&rsquo;s CPI data for October, which could provide insights into broader inflationary trends. The U.S. Redbook Retail Sales data at 8:55 AM ET will offer a snapshot of retail activity, which traders should monitor for potential market sentiment shifts.
Later in the session, the Treasury Buyback Announcement at 11 AM ET and remarks from Fed non-voting member Jeffrey Schmid at 1:10 PM ET may provide minor catalysts. Without significant market-moving events, it will be crucial to watch for volume spikes and institutional activity at key levels. Stay disciplined, manage risks carefully, and be ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities. Good luck and trade with caution!
The Morning Memo is curated by RIPS, a pro trader with years of experience in equities, options, and futures trading. RIPS is at the heart of the exclusive Market Clubhouse community, offering his insights, expertise, and real-time mentorship.
Start your day with a live daily market analysis, a carefully selected watch list, early access to the Morning Memo, and exclusive Market Clubhouse price levels, providing precise support and resistance indicators. When you become a member of Market Clubhouse, you will gain early access to the Morning Memo, just like this one, every single day&mdash;hours before it&#39;s published. You will also have access to a live stream with zero latency and screen sharing, enabling you to witness Rips executing his trades in real-time and sharing his exclusive trading plans, strategies, and live decision-making.
For a limited time during our special promotion, you can join RIPS and get a full access pass to Market Clubhouse for 7 full days for just $7. Check it out at <a href="https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/" title="https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/">https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/</a> where you can trade live with him and tap into his wealth of knowledge and experience. You can also catch Rips on his live day trading streams every Monday-Friday at 8 am EST on the Market Clubhouse YouTube channel: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse" title="https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse">https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse</a>.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

Market Clubhouse Morning Memo - November 19th, 2024 (Trade Strategy For SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META And TSLA)

Despite ongoing market fluctuations, Rick Rieder, the global CIO of fixed income at BlackRock, has expressed confidence in the continued rise of stock markets, even in the face of high valuations. His insights were shared during a Yahoo Finance conference, where he highlighted the absence of sellers as a crucial factor supporting this trend.
What Happened: Rieder emphasized that despite the allure of money-market funds due to high interest rates, the momentum in stock buying remains robust. He noted that consistent inflows into equities from 401(k)s and other sources continue without significant selling pressure, Business Insider <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/rick-rieder-blackrock-stock-market-outlook-commentary-valuations-no-sellers-2024-11">reported</a> on Tuesday.
Corporate buybacks are also playing a pivotal role. Rieder pointed out that major companies have repurchased a trillion dollars worth of their own shares, reducing the equity supply and boosting per-share values. This activity, he argued, more than compensates for any valuation concerns.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42022100/trump-media-faces-investor-exodus-as-arc-global-slashes-stake-to-nearly-zero-after-court-ruling?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Major Investor In Trump Media Offloads Most Of Its Stake In DJT Stock</a>
While acknowledging stretched valuations, Rieder suggested that market multiples could normalize if earnings rise significantly. 
&#8220;I think markets tend to react to the shark closest to the boat,&#8221; Rieder said, adding that these are not immediate threats. 
&#8220;I don&#8217;t know if it&#8217;s the latter part of 2025 or the beginning of 2026 unless they address the size of the spending dynamics, the amount of debt we&#8217;re issuing, and, then obviously, inflation relative to that.&#8221;
Why It Matters: The stock market has experienced a series of ups and downs recently. On Monday, U.S. stocks rebounded <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42045345/us-stocks-rebound-tesla-rallies-bitcoin-soars-above-92000-whats-driving-markets-monday">after a challenging week,</a> with all 11 sectors of the S&amp;P 500 trading positively. This recovery was driven by a decrease in pressures from the dollar and Treasury yields. Notably, consumer discretionary stocks outperformed, with Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) surging by 7% due to reports of the incoming Donald Trump administration prioritizing a federal framework for autonomous vehicles.
However, geopolitical tensions have recently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42058223/us-stocks-likely-to-open-in-red-as-geopolitical-tension-weigh-on-investor-sentiment-wharton-economist-says-market-trajectory-will-heavily-depend-on-trumps-tariff-plans">weighed on investor sentiment</a>. Today, before the bell, futures of major indices pointed to a cautious stance on Wall Street, influenced by economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the future of rate cuts, as well as geopolitical developments, including Russian President Vladimir Putin&#8216;s expanded nuclear doctrine.
Price Action: In premarket trading on Tuesday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, fell 0.35% to $586.11 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, declined 0.29% to $498.58, according to <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42028954/peter-thiel-says-trumps-60-china-tariff-would-be-very-very-bad-for-beijing-heres-whats-at-stake?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Peter Thiel Says Trump&#8217;s 60% China Tariff Would Be &#8216;Very, Very Bad&#8217; For Beijing, Here&#8217;s What&#8217;s At Stake</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Unsplash
This story was generated using <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a> and edited by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/Pooja-Rajkumari" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Pooja Rajkumari</a>

Why BlackRock's Rick Rieder Believes Markets Will Rise Despite Valuation Worries

U.S. stocks could open on a negative note on Tuesday after the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/24/11/42017118/stocks-tumble-as-traders-rethink-feds-action-vix-spikes-17-nasdaq-erases-back-post-trump-gains-whats-driving-markets-friday">averages maintained a cautious stance last week</a>. Futures of all three major indices were slightly down on Tuesday, pointing to a cautious sentiment on Wall Street.
Economic data and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's comments about the future of rate cuts dampened the sentiment. Powell said the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is not in a hurry after economic data showed strength.
Geopolitical tensions are weighing on investor sentiment, as Russian President Vladimir Putin expanded the country's nuclear doctrine, according to reports <a href="https://tass.com/politics/1874437">by</a> the TASS news agency.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>-0.36%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.47%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.62%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K</td>
<td>-1.29%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In premarket trading on Tuesday,&nbsp;the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.35% to $586.11 and the&nbsp;Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) declined 0.29% to $498.58, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Cues From Last Session:
U.S. stocks closed on a mixed note on Monday, with the Dow Jones closing in the red while the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 edged up.
Crude oil prices remained under the $70 mark, edging lower after rebounding due to disruptions in Norway.
Treasury yields eased marginally amid a broader risk-off sentiment.
On the economic data front, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index climbed to 46 in November from 43 in October, recording the highest reading in seven months.
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a positive note, with energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks recording the biggest gains on Monday.
However, industrial stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>0.60%</td>
<td>18,791.81</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.39%</td>
<td>5,893.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.13%</td>
<td>43,389.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>0.11%</td>
<td>2,306.34</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
Tom Lee, head of research at FundStrat Global Advisors, noted <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/11/18/watch-cnbcs-full-interview-with-fundstrat-global-advisors-tom-lee.html">in</a> an interview with CNBC that the "Trump trade" is still intact despite it losing some steam over the past week.
He underscored that as uncertainty reduces around President-elect Donald Trump's announcement of Treasury Secretary, it will be a "clearing event" for the markets.
He also believes that although Fed chair Powell said there is no need to rush with rate cuts, the expectations for the number of cuts over the next year remain the same. Essentially, it's only a matter of timing, according to Lee.
With Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) set to announce its results this week, Lee thinks that it will be another "clearing event" for the markets.
"Markets get very hesitant in front of Nvidia's earnings. Once that is behind us, we'll see that the demand is strong and I think markets breathe a sigh of relief."
WisdomTree and Wharton School economist&nbsp;Jeremy Siegel reiterated his bull thesis but noted that higher rates could lead to some volatility in the near term.
"Equities still offer superior returns over the longer term compared to bonds," he said, as investors turn their eye towards the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) next meeting.
Expectations of a further 25 basis point rate cut in December have fallen to just 65% now, down from 72% last week, according <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">to</a> CME Group's FedWatch tool.
"With long-term rates climbing, the market's trajectory will depend heavily on not only economic data but a clarification Trump's policies on tariffs and deportations," Siegel said.
On the whole, the Wharton economist underscored that "companies with strong balance sheets and pricing power" are best positioned to weather this higher-rate environment.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How To Trade Futures</a>
Upcoming Economic Data
Tuesday's economic calendar is fairly light.
<ul>
<li>Data on new home construction and building permits will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee&nbsp;will speak at 12:25 p.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) shares continued to rally, gaining 5.6% on Monday amid reports of Trump's transition team <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42028797/tesla-soars-over-5-in-overnight-trading-as-trump-administration-reportedly-seeks-to-ease-fsd-norms">looking to ease self-driving rules</a>.</li>
<li>Alphabet Inc.'s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) subsidiary Google is staring at the prospect of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/24/11/42053249/google-could-lose-chrome-browser-in-dojs-latest-antitrust-move">divesting the Chrome web browser</a> as part of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) latest antitrust move. The company's stock fell in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42056544/googles-parent-alphabet-shares-dip-during-tuesday-pre-market-whats-going-on">premarket trading on Tuesday</a>.</li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) shares <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42057634/super-micro-computer-is-up-by-30-on-tuesday-pre-market-whats-going-on">surged over 30% in premarket trading on Tuesday</a> after the company submitted a compliance plan to continue trading on the Nasdaq.</li>
<li>Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DJT#NASDAQ">DJT</a>) shares were down 4.7% in premarket trading after <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/24/11/42048594/trump-digs-deeper-into-cryptocurrency-bakkt-shares-soar-on-reported-interest-from-president-elects-media-company">reports suggested</a> that it is looking to acquire cryptocurrency company Bakkt Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKKT#NYSE">BKKT</a>).</li>
<li>Investors are awaiting earnings results from Walmart Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>), Lowe&#8217;s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>), and Medtronic Plc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MDT#NYSE">MDT</a>) today.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures surged in the early New York session, falling by 0.7% to hover around $68.69 per barrel.
The 10-year Treasury note yield eased marginally to 4.365%.
Major Asian markets ended in the green on Tuesday, while European stocks declined in early trading.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42056899/jim-cramer-thinks-trumps-plans-for-robotaxis-are-fanciful-but-he-is-still-bullish-on-tesla-stock-the-musk-premium-will-work-its-magic-in-other-ways">Jim Cramer Thinks Trump&#8217;s Plans For Robotaxis Are &#8216;Fanciful,&#8217; But He Is Still Bullish On Tesla Stock: &#8216;The Musk Premium Will Work Its Magic In Other Ways&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Wikimedia

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock

BKKT

US Stocks Likely To Open In Red Amid Mounting Geopolitical Tensions: Wharton Economist Says Market Trajectory Will 'Heavily Depend' On Trump's Tariff Plans

Morgan Stanley has shifted to a more optimistic stance on the stock market, projecting an 11% increase in the S&amp;P 500 by the end of 2025. Mike Wilson, the firm&#8217;s chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist, released a note on Monday outlining this new outlook.
What Happened: Wilson&#8217;s revised target for the S&amp;P 500 is 6,500, up from his previous mid-year 2025 target of 5,400. This shift comes as a surprise given Wilson&#8217;s historically bearish perspective, which accurately predicted the 2022 bear market. He attributes the bullish outlook to anticipated Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, economic growth, and potential deregulation under the incoming Trump administration, Business Insider <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-morgan-stanley-mike-wilson-bullish-11-upside-2024-11">reported</a> on Tuesday.
&#8220;A potential rise in corporate animal spirits post the election (as we saw following the 2016 election) could catalyze a more balanced earnings profile across the market in 2025,&#8221; Wilson said.
Despite acknowledging high valuations, he believes they are justifiable if the economy remains stable. He recommends focusing on high-quality cyclical stocks, particularly in the financial sector, while advising caution with consumer discretionary and staple stocks due to pricing power concerns and tariff risks.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42028797/tesla-soars-over-5-in-overnight-trading-as-trump-administration-reportedly-seeks-to-ease-fsd-norms?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tesla Soars Over 5% In Overnight Trading As Trump Administration Reportedly Seeks To Ease FSD Norms</a>
Wilson advises investors to remain adaptable amid potential policy shifts under President-elect Donald Trump, which could impact markets in both the short and long term.
Why It Matters:The bullish outlook from Morgan Stanley comes at a time when the market is closely watching<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42033047/us-stocks-likely-to-open-on-a-tentative-note-as-investors-gear-up-for-nvidia-retail-earnings-analyst-updates-sp-500-target-for-2025-says-market-is-expensive"> key economic indicators</a>. Recent comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested a cautious approach to rate cuts, with expectations for a December cut dropping to 62% from 72% last week, according to the CME Group&#8217;s FedWatch tool. 
Additionally, the upcoming <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42048963/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-massive-sp-500-volatility">earnings report from NVIDIA</a> (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) is expected to significantly impact the S&amp;P 500. NVIDIA&#8217;s influence on the AI-driven technology sector means its financial results could sway overall market sentiment, making Morgan Stanley&#8217;s bullish outlook particularly noteworthy in the current climate.
Price Action: After Trump&#8217;s win, SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) has experienced significant upswing. However, as per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro,</a> it has dropped by 1.76% in the past five days. Meanwhile, Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) has fallen by 2.65% in the same period, as of Tuesday pre-market hours.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/42028523/cathie-wood-draws-reagan-era-parallels-as-elon-musk-takes-doge-helm-this-bull-market-has-just-begun-to-broaden-out?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Cathie Wood Draws Reagan-Era Parallels As Elon Musk Takes DOGE Helm: &#8216;This Bull Market Has Just Begun To&nbsp;Broaden Out&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

'Potential Rise In Corporate Animal Spirits' Turns Morgan Stanley Bullish On Stocks, Predicts 11% Upside By 2025

Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.&#8216;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) earnings report on Wednesday, an event that&#8217;s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">across the U.S. stock market. </a>
If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.
Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.
Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: &#8220;It remains the most dominant stock in the market… expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s EPS growth in 3Q.&#8221;
In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3>
The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve&#8217;s December meeting.
&#8220;Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month&#8217;s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,&#8221; the analyst noted.
For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.
&#8220;We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,&#8221; Assis wrote.
The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3>
For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia&#8217;s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>). Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.
Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3>
Data from <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once. 
On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.
The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%. 
Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fiscal Quarter</th>
<th>Date Announced</th>
<th>Surprise % EPS</th>
<th>Surprise % Revenue</th>
<th>1-Day % NVDA Move</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Q2-2025</td>
<td>8/28/24</td>
<td>6.25%</td>
<td>4.73%</td>
<td>-6.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q1-2025</td>
<td>5/22/24</td>
<td>2.86%</td>
<td>5.66%</td>
<td>9.32%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q4-2024</td>
<td>2/21/24</td>
<td>11.45%</td>
<td>7.19%</td>
<td>16.40%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q3-2024</td>
<td>11/21/23</td>
<td>19.64%</td>
<td>12.39%</td>
<td>-2.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q2-2024</td>
<td>8/23/23</td>
<td>29.19%</td>
<td>20.38%</td>
<td>0.10%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q1-2024</td>
<td>5/24/23</td>
<td>18.48%</td>
<td>10.31%</td>
<td>24.37%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q4-2023</td>
<td>2/22/23</td>
<td>8.64%</td>
<td>0.68%</td>
<td>14.02%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q3-2023</td>
<td>11/16/22</td>
<td>-15.94%</td>
<td>2.79%</td>
<td>-1.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q2-2023</td>
<td>8/24/22</td>
<td>-59.20%</td>
<td>-17.23%</td>
<td>4.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q1-2023</td>
<td>5/25/22</td>
<td>5.43%</td>
<td>2.07%</td>
<td>5.16%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q4-2022</td>
<td>2/16/22</td>
<td>8.20%</td>
<td>3.01%</td>
<td>-7.56%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Q3-2022</td>
<td>11/17/21</td>
<td>6.36%</td>
<td>4.00%</td>
<td>8.25%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Data: Benzinga Pro</figcaption></figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42042411/inflation-could-surge-to-3-if-trump-applies-universal-tariffs-goldman-sachs">Inflation Could Surge To 3% If Trump Applies Universal Tariffs: Goldman Sachs</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Options

Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility

Good Morning Traders! In today&#39;s Market Clubhouse Morning Memo, we will discuss SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META, and TSLA.
Our proprietary formula, exclusive to Market Clubhouse, dictates these price levels. This dynamic equation takes into account price, volume, and options flow. These levels are updated every day and shared with all Clubhouse Members, prior to the opening of the market.
We recommend closely monitoring these stocks, and be prepared to leverage potential breakouts or reversals. As always, stay alert and ready to adjust your tactics based on the market&#39;s pulse to optimize your trading gains. Now, let&#39;s dive into the stock analysis:
<h3>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</h3>
SPY&nbsp;(ARCA: SPY) is currently trading near our focal level of 585.75. Bulls will aim to drive the price upward towards 587.31, with sustained momentum at that level potentially paving the way for a move toward 589.71. If buyers maintain control at 589.71 during regular trading hours, we anticipate a further advance to 592.00. The bullish apex for the day is set at 593.73, a target achievable with robust buying activity.
Conversely, if 585.75 fails to act as support, bears are likely to challenge 584.68 as the next downside level. A break here may invite selling pressure toward 583.18. Persistent bearish activity could target the strong support at 581.97. Should today&#39;s session see accelerated selling, 580.67 serves as the low bear target.
<h3>Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 </h3>
QQQ&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/qqq#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) is currently hovering around the key area of 498.37. Bulls need to hold this level to set the stage for an advance to 499.44, solidifying it as a new support base. If buyers sustain strength above 499.44, the next target is 501.07, with continued momentum likely leading to a test of 502.65. The ultimate bullish target for today is set at 504.44, achievable if buyers dominate the session.
On the downside, failure to maintain 498.37 as support could allow bears to push the price toward 496.94. Should this level give way, the auction may test 495.35. Persistent selling could target the support zone at 493.60, with the day&#39;s low bear objective positioned at 491.82.
<h3>Apple Inc.</h3>
AAPL&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/aapl#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) is trading close to our reference point of 225.31. Bulls will need to secure this level as support to drive the price higher to 226.08. A breakout above this range opens the path toward 227.82, with strong upward momentum targeting the high bull objective at 229.03. Sustained buying strength will be critical for achieving these levels.
Should 225.31 fail to hold as support, the price may dip to 223.87. Selling pressure below this area could push the auction toward 222.96, with 222.24 being the next significant downside target. If bearish momentum intensifies, expect a move toward the day&#39;s low target of 221.66.
<h3>Microsoft Corp.</h3>
MSFT&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/msft#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) is auctioning near 416.32, a critical area for bulls to defend. A firm hold above this level could spark a rally toward 417.25, establishing it as a new support. Buyers reclaiming control above 417.25 could push the price to 419.17, with a high bull target for today set at 420.26, contingent on continued upward momentum.
Failure to maintain 416.32 as support may lead to bearish attempts to test 414.56. A breakdown here could see sellers targeting 413.14. If downward pressure persists, the next support at 411.72 becomes a key test, with the day&#39;s low bear target resting at 410.64.
<h3>NVIDIA Corporation</h3>
NVDA (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/nvda#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) is currently trading near the pivotal level of 138.55. A sustained move above this point could drive the price to 139.42, a key threshold for bulls to establish as support. Momentum beyond this area may target 140.28, with buyers eyeing 141.21 for further gains. The high bull target for NVDA today is set at 142.35.
On the downside, losing 138.55 as support could signal weakness, with the price likely testing 137.94. Continued selling could push the price lower to 136.98, and in the event of a weaker session, the auction might probe support at 135.64. A bearish breakdown may lead to the day&#39;s low target of 134.56.
<h3>Alphabet Inc Class A</h3>
GOOGL (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/googl#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>)&nbsp;is trading near 174.01, a crucial level for bullish continuation. Holding this area as support could initiate a move toward 175.12, with sustained buying likely to target 176.23. Strong upward momentum could see the high bull target realized as the auction unfolds.
Failure to secure 174.01 may open the door for bearish control, testing the 172.28 level. If selling pressure continues, 171.14 becomes a key downside objective. A sharper decline could push the price to the low bear target of 169.34.
<h3>Meta Platforms Inc</h3>
META&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/meta#NASDAQ">META</a>) is auctioning around the critical level of 553.05. Bulls need to secure this point to drive the price higher to 559.29. With consistent buying activity, the auction could approach 565.53, with 573.25 as the high bull target if upward momentum dominates the session.
If 553.05 fails to hold as support, bears may take control and push the price toward 548.44. Continued selling could see the auction revisit 541.79, and if bearish momentum remains strong, 537.68 serves as the low bear target for the day.
<h3>Tesla Inc.</h3>
TSLA (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tsla#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) is trading near 340.97, a key level for bullish action. A strong push higher could target 346.64, with additional buying paving the way to 350.87. If momentum remains intact, we could see TSLA testing 356.80, with the high bull objective for today set at 363.84.
If bears overwhelm buyers and break 340.97, the price may fall to 333.93. Sustained selling pressure could extend the decline to 327.59, with the low bear target for the session resting at 322.52.
Final Word: As we begin the week, today&#39;s session features lighter economic data but remains critical for market sentiment. The New York Fed Services Business Activity for November is set to release at 8:30 AM ET, followed by the NAHB Housing Market Index at 10 AM ET. Additionally, Austan Goolsbee&#39;s remarks during a conference in Chicago could offer insights into broader economic expectations. Treasury auctions for 3 and 6 Month Bills at 11:30 AM ET may influence fixed-income markets, though the overall impact is expected to be moderate.
With limited high-impact events, traders will focus on interpreting last week&#39;s data and any emerging headlines. The lack of a clear economic catalyst could create choppy market conditions, so staying disciplined and reactive to price action is crucial. Stay cautious, manage your risk effectively, and be prepared for unexpected developments. Good luck!
The Morning Memo is curated by RIPS, a pro trader with years of experience in equities, options, and futures trading. RIPS is at the heart of the exclusive Market Clubhouse community, offering his insights, expertise, and real-time mentorship.
Start your day with a live daily market analysis, a carefully selected watch list, early access to the Morning Memo, and exclusive Market Clubhouse price levels, providing precise support and resistance indicators. When you become a member of Market Clubhouse, you will gain early access to the Morning Memo, just like this one, every single day&mdash;hours before it&#39;s published. You will also have access to a live stream with zero latency and screen sharing, enabling you to witness Rips executing his trades in real-time and sharing his exclusive trading plans, strategies, and live decision-making.
For a limited time during our special promotion, you can join RIPS and get a full access pass to Market Clubhouse for 7 full days for just $7. Check it out at <a href="https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/" title="https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/">https://marketclubhouse.club/7Days/</a> where you can trade live with him and tap into his wealth of knowledge and experience. You can also catch Rips on his live day trading streams every Monday-Friday at 8 am EST on the Market Clubhouse YouTube channel: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse" title="https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse">https://www.youtube.com/@MarketClubhouse</a>.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

Market Clubhouse Morning Memo - November 18th, 2024 (Trade Strategy For SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META And TSLA)

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-18_08h07_41-scaled.jpg" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Trump Trade</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-trump-tesla-dogecoin-xbi-mc-11182024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart comparing SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XBI#NYSE">XBI</a>) to Dogecoin to United States Dollar (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that biotech XBI has lost 5.35% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Companies in this ETF are producing innovative life saving drugs, employ brilliant scientists, own significant intellectual property, and are often bought out at large premiums.</li>
<li>The chart shows that Dogecoin has gained 48.78% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Dogecoin was initially developed as a joke.&nbsp; At one time, it was endorsed by Elon Musk; its name is the same as the acronym of Trump's Department of Government Efficiency.&nbsp; The main use of Dogecoin is speculation by the meme crowd.&nbsp; Dogecoin has an active meme crowd community behind it.</li>
<li>The contrast between the performance of XBI and Dogecoin shown on the chart is emblematic of, in large part, what investors are buying and selling in the wake of Trump's re-election.</li>
<li>On top of investors rushing into speculative assets, sentiment is extremely positive.&nbsp; Historically, extremely positive sentiment is a contrary indicator.&nbsp; In plain English, it means sell.&nbsp; As we have previously stated, sentiment is not a precise timing indicator.</li>
<li>In spite of all the warning signals, The Arora Report call remains to buy the dips.&nbsp; There are two main reasons:
<ul>
<li>There is an old saying on Wall Street that no one has ever been fired for losing clients' money.&nbsp; However, money managers get fired for lagging far behind their benchmarks.&nbsp; No money manager, irrespective of his/her view of the market, wants to commit career suicide by not chasing the market at the year end. Bearish money managers who have missed out on this rally are likely to buy the dips and chase the stock market into the year end.</li>
<li>Right now, hopium is at an extreme.&nbsp; There is nothing in the way of hopium.&nbsp; Since Trump is not yet president, there is no reality to confront hopium.&nbsp; Right now, the momo crowd is buying based on the best case of all of the positives that may come out of Trump's policies, and they are ignoring all of the negatives.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The plan is to start taking profits on new buys before hopium meets reality between Christmas and Trump's inauguration.&nbsp;</li>
<li>As a note of caution, this is not a call for wholesale buying.&nbsp; This is a call to buy on the margin based on the protection band.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Trump's transition team is starting the work to help those who helped Trump get elected.&nbsp; An example is the Trump team wanting to change the rules around self-driving cars in the U.S. to help Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).&nbsp; Musk has been a big supporter of Trump.&nbsp; Over a period of time, expect many such moves from Trump's team.&nbsp; As a full disclosure, The Arora Report gave a signal to buy TSLA after Trump's win.&nbsp; The trade has been nicely profitable.&nbsp; The system has also triggered a signal for a trade around position in TSLA, but publication of the signal may be delayed because TSLA stock has gapped up significantly.</li>
<li>Trump has appointed Chris Wright as the next Department of Energy Secretary.&nbsp; Wright is the CEO of Liberty Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LBRT#NYSE">LBRT</a>).&nbsp; Liberty Energy is engaged in fracking. Wright is also on the board of smart modular reactor company Oklo Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKLO#NYSE">OKLO</a>) that is backed by OpenAI founder Sam Altman.&nbsp; Money is flowing into gas and nuclear stocks on Wright's appointment.</li>
<li>The most important event for the market this week is NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) earnings that will be released on Wednesday after the close.&nbsp; This morning, NVDA is seeing aggressive selling because of a report of Blackwell chips heating up in data centers.</li>
<li>In the early trade, retail investors are aggressively buying Trump stocks based on the weekend pump.&nbsp; Professional investors are front running retail investors as they hope to sell at higher prices to retail investors later.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), TSLA, and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

$DOGE

LBRT

OKLO

A Must See Chart For Prudent Investors, Trump To Help Tesla Dominate, Nvidia Heat Problem

Risk sentiment edged higher on Monday, rebounding after two consecutive losing sessions and the worst week for the U.S. stock market since early September, as pressures from dollar <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">and Treasury yields faded.</a>
All 11 sectors of the S&amp;P 500 traded in positive territory, with consumer discretionary stocks outperforming, thanks to a 7% surge in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>). 
The electric vehicle maker's rally followed reports the incoming Donald Trump administration plans to prioritize a federal framework for fully autonomous vehicles. According to <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-17/trump-team-said-to-want-to-ease-us-rules-for-self-driving-cars">Bloomberg</a>, the Department of Transportation could soon place this framework at the top of its agenda.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperformed both the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday. Gains in commodities also stood out, as gold, crude oil natural gas prices all posted strong rebounds amid escalating geopolitical tensions between <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/24/11/42038707/gold-natural-gas-prices-rally-us-russia-tensions-escalate-over-ukraines-long-range-strikes">the U.S. and Russia. </a>
The U.S. dollar paused its recent rally after marking seven consecutive weeks of gains through Friday. Treasury yields, meanwhile, were flat, as the session lacked significant economic data or fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials to provide market direction.
The cryptocurrency market remained on fire, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) surging 1.5% past the $92,000 mark and setting the stage for a potential record-high close. Ethereum (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>) also advanced, rising 3% on the day. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,547.68</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,315.20</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,897.81</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,504.83</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.4% to $587.87.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;flattened at $434.49.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rose 0.7% to $499.91.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 0.5% to $229.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, rising 1.2%. The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) lagged, up 0.1%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Redfin Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDFN#NASDAQ">RDFN</a>) fell 3.7% after<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/reit/24/11/42044923/goldman-sachs-turns-bearish-on-redfin-affordability-could-weigh-on-a-housing-recovery"> Goldman Sachs downgraded</a> the stock from &#8220;Neutral&#8221; to &#8220;Sell.&#8221;</li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) rallied 18% after the company announced plans to submit a compliance proposal to Nasdaq by Monday to avoid delisting.</li>
<li>Affirm Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFRM#NASDAQ">AFRM</a>) rose 9.3% on Monday after the company revealed an expanded partnership with online travel agency Priceline, under which Affirm will serve as the pay-over-time provider for Priceline Partner Solutions.</li>
<li>Uber Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBER#NASDAQ">UBER</a>) dropped more than 7% as concerns over potential regulations on fully autonomous vehicles raised questions about the company's business model.</li>
<li>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) declined 5% due to profit-taking after an 11% rally on Friday, which had pushed the AI-defense company's year-to-date gains to nearly 290%.</li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42042411/inflation-could-surge-to-3-if-trump-applies-universal-tariffs-goldman-sachs">Inflation Could Surge To 3% If Trump Applies Universal Tariffs: Goldman Sachs</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

$ETH

AFRM

RDFN

UBER

US Stocks Rebound, Tesla Rallies, Bitcoin Soars Above $92,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

U.S. stocks could get off to a tentative start on Monday after investors switched to a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/24/11/42017118/stocks-tumble-as-traders-rethink-feds-action-vix-spikes-17-nasdaq-erases-back-post-trump-gains-whats-driving-markets-friday">risk-on mode last week</a> as the post-election rally lost some of its steam.
Economic data and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's comments about the future of rate cuts put the sentiment on a dampener. Powell said the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is not in a hurry after economic data showed strength.
Expectations of a further 25 basis point rate cut in December have fallen to just 62% now, down from 72% last week, according <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">to</a> CME Group's FedWatch tool.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>0.44%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.09%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K</td>
<td>0.52%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In premarket trading on Monday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) was up 0.13% to $586.50 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) rose 0.45% to $498.78, according to <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Cues From Last Week:
All three major indices registered a decline last week, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq seeing a bigger fall. This was the week prior, Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 registered their best week of the year after the election of Trump as the 47th U.S. president.
On the economic data front, U.S. export prices increased by 0.8% in October, while import prices rose by 0.3% month-over-month in October. U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month in October compared to a revised 0.8% increase in September, topping market estimates of 0.3%
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a negative note, with information technology, communication services, and healthcare stocks recording the biggest losses on Friday.
However, utilities and financials stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session higher.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Week&#8217;s Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>-2.92%</td>
<td>18,680.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-2.28%</td>
<td>5,870.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-2.34%</td>
<td>43,444.99</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>-5.04%</td>
<td>2,303.84</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
Wells Fargo's Jay Bryson thinks the recent surge in inflation could needle the Fed to reevaluate its pace of rate cuts.
"Slower progress on inflation in recent months may prompt the Fed to reevaluate its pace of easing moving forward," he said.
On the other hand, investors will keep a close eye on earnings from AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), while Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) investors will be interested in President-elect Donald Trump's policy outlook on regulations for autonomous driving.
Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, maintained his bullish outlook on equities.
"The S&amp;P 500 is looking at back-to-back 20% gains. The four previous times it did this (since WWII) the next year did this: 2.6%, 31%, 26.7%, 19.5%."
He underscored that while it's not unwise to be cautious about the ongoing rally, investors should not base their concerns on the upward movement so far.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The S&amp;P 500 is looking at back-to-back 20% gains. The four previous times it did this (since WWII) the next year did this: +2.6% +31.0% +26.7% +19.5% Sure, there are reasons to be cautious, but stocks up a lot two years in a row shouldn&#39;t be one of them.
&mdash; Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) <a href="https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/status/1858235842851954762?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 17, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Nathan Peterson, Director of Derivatives Analysis at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, laid<a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/weekly-traders-outlook/"> out</a> the thesis for market movements for the next week.
"I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see an attempt to rally from these levels at the beginning of the week if we can bounce from today&#8217;s lows into the close," Peterson said.
"Further rotation out of the largest market cap sector, Information Technology, or a negative response to Nvidia&#8217;s guidance, leading to a further downdraft in overall price action."
Peterson continues to maintain a cautious stance and noted that investors will wait for Nvidia earnings with bated breath.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How To Trade Futures</a>
Upcoming Economic Data
While this week's economic calendar is not as heavy as last week's, some crucial data is scheduled for the days ahead.
<ul>
<li>On Monday, the home builder confidence index is set to be released at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee&nbsp;will speak at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>On Tuesday, data on new home construction and building permits will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee&nbsp;will speak at 12:25 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>On Wednesday, Fed Gov. Lisa Cooks will speak at 11 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman will speak at 12:15 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>On Thursday, initial jobless claims data will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack will speak at 8:45 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Existing home sales data and leading economic index will be released at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid will speak at 1:10 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr will speak at 4:40 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>On Friday, the S&amp;P U.S. Services and Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Consumer sentiment data will be released at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman will speak at 6:15 p.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) will be in focus after reports of Trump's transition team looking to create a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pre-market-outlook/24/11/42031099/tesla-stock-responds-to-fsd-nod-in-monday-premarket-as-trump-team-prioritizes-self-driving-framework">framework for self-driving vehicles</a>. Tesla stock was up 7.9% in premarket trading on Monday.</li>
<li>Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) shares fell over 2% in premarket trading after reports said that its Blackwell AI chips are <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42028342/blackwell-backfires-nvidias-ai-chips-struggle-with-server-overheating-impacting-meta-microsoft-and-musks-xai-data-centers">facing overheating issues</a>.</li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>) shares were up over 12% in premarket trading after reports suggested that the company is looking to submit a plan to be in compliance once again with the listing requirements to trade on the Nasdaq.</li>
<li>Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBD#NASDAQ">WBD</a>) shares surged over 1% after the company reached an agreement with the National Basketball Association (NBA) over TV rights.</li>
<li>T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMUS#NASDAQ">TMUS</a>) shares will also be watched closely after the company was <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42022124/t-mobile-hit-by-chinese-hackers-after-rivals-att-verizon-suffer-breach-report">hit by Chinese hackers</a>.</li>
<li>Investors are awaiting earnings results from Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCOM#NASDAQ">TCOM</a>), Brady Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRC#NYSE">BRC</a>), and AECOM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACM#NYSE">ACM</a>) today.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures rose in the early New York session, gaining 0.78% to hover around $67.44.
The 10-year Treasury note yield continued to surge, rising to 4.465%.
Major Asian markets ended mixed on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling the most. A similar sentiment was also visible in European markets, which demonstrated tentativeness in early trading.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42028334/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-slip-as-feds-hawkish-stance-tempers-rally-analyst-expects-btc-to-reach-100k-before-new-year">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Slip As Fed&#8217;s Hawkish Stance Tempers Rally: Analyst Expects BTC To Reach $100K Before New Year</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Wikimedia

TCOM

TMUS

US Stocks On Edge As Investors Gear Up For Nvidia, Retail Earnings: Analyst Updates S&P 500 Target For 2025, Says Market Is 'Expensive'

The victory of President-elect Donald Trump accompanied by stronger-than-expected economic data has been able to shrug off the worries from the rise in Treasury yields as the S&amp;P 500 Index, which fell by 2.3% last week at 5,870.62 is still higher than its pre-election levels of 5,712.69 points on Monday, Nov. 4.
However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#8216;s pirouette on interest rate reduction on Thursday last week may soon start weighing in on the equity markets as experts have highlighted the possible concerns about a &#8220;tighter monetary environment&#8221; if the economy remains strong. 
After the 25 basis Nov. 7 rate cut, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/treasuries/24/11/41993899/powells-hawkish-remarks-shake-markets-stocks-fall-dollar-rockets-bitcoin-dips">Powell said </a>that &#8220;the economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates.&#8221;
What Happened: Reducing interest rates increases liquidity in the system, thus giving a boost to investment in equities, but on the contrary, holding the interest rates at a higher level causes the liquidity to reduce, yields to rise, and consequently, the economy to shrink.
While the U.S. inflation and economy shows no sign of cooling off, Fed officials may decide not to cut the rates further in their Dec. 17-18 meeting, which will impact the equity markets. 
The U.S. two-year Treasury yield rose to 4.31%, whereas the ten-year yield jumped to 4.45% on Friday. &#8220;If yields continue to trend up and they don&#8217;t find their ceiling, I think it will become a problem because it will basically translate into a tighter monetary environment,&#8221; said Irene Tunkel, chief U.S. equity strategist at BCA Research, to Reuters.
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/treasuries/24/11/41993899/powells-hawkish-remarks-shake-markets-stocks-fall-dollar-rockets-bitcoin-dips">Powell&#8217;s Hawkish Remarks Shake Markets: Stocks Fall, Dollar Rockets, Bitcoin Dips</a>
Why It Matters: &#8220;A tighter monetary environment&#8221; corresponds to higher central bank interest rates, lower bond prices, and higher yields. A tighter monetary policy, causes the yields to rise in the short term and makes borrowing more expensive, gradually reducing the liquidity in the system and hampering the growth while increasing the fear of recession.
The Federal Open Market Committee has the behemoth task of determining the rates and setting the targets while maintaining economic growth. Moreover, a tighter monetary environment is feared by equity investors as fixed-income and debt instruments become more lucrative than equities.
&#8220;Just last Thursday, at his presser, he (Powell) claimed that the FFR (Federal Fund Rate) was still too restrictive and had to be lowered to the neutral FFR. Meanwhile, our new &#8216;Nirvana Model&#8217; shows that both the unemployment rate and inflation rates suggest that the current FFR is at the neutral rate.&#8221; said Yardeni Research in one of their quick takes.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1000" height="563" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18035655/yardeni-nirvana.png" alt="" class="wp-image-652468" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18035655/yardeni-nirvana.png 1000w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18035655/yardeni-nirvana-300x169.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18035655/yardeni-nirvana-768x432.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></figure>
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42029975/cathie-wood-redirects-elon-musks-doge-focus-toward-nuclear-energy-amid-regulatory-challenges-heres-how-oklo-cameco-centrus-energy-and-other-stocks-performed">Cathie Wood Redirects Elon Musk&#8217;s DOGE Focus Toward Nuclear Energy Amid Regulatory Challenges: Here&#8217;s How Oklo, Cameco, Centrus Energy And Other Stocks Performed</a>
Talking about the two-year and ten-year Treasuries, the note added that &#8220;we expect both yields to be range bound between 4.25% and 4.75% over the rest of this year and possibly into next year.&#8221;
Adding about equities the Yardeni Research note said that &#8220;this might be a signal that the stock market could experience a correction now that the Fed might pause rate cutting. Nevertheless, we expect a Santa Claus rally in the S&amp;P 500 to 6,100 points by the end of this year.&#8221;
Similar to the S&amp;P 500 Index, the Nasdaq Composite fell by 3.49% last week to 18,680.12 points but remains higher than its Nov. 4 level of 18,179.98 points. NYSE Composite, which was 1.46% lower last week at 19,645.77 points, is also higher than its pre-election level of 19,243.39 points. The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index has had a similar momentum in 2024.
Read next:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42017638/activist-hedge-fund-valueact-boosts-meta-stake-with-121m-bet-but-ceo-morfit-supports-mark-zuckerberg" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Activist Hedge Fund ValueAct Boosts Meta Stake With $121M Bet, But CEO Morfit Supports Mark Zuckerberg's AI Vision: Here's What Investors Should Know</a>
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